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Norway

$ENOR is NOKUSDENOR is a more liquid equivalent to NORW-- there is enough volume to trade it hour-by-hour rather than day-by-day. I was curious why neither ETF followed the Oslo Boers exactly and... apparently the arbitrage is from its correlation to the currency pairing NOKUSD. So really Norway ETFs' strength comes from oil strength and DXY weakeness, both of which aren't happening at the moment. Moving up in an ascending channel... only a matter of days until we break.
CBOE:ENORShort
by sdeutsch95
Norwegian pennystock Flex LNG (Natural gas transportation)Table of contents: § 1 About FLNG § 2 The market § 3 Why I am bullish § 4 The risks § 1 Flex LNG(FLNG) is a Norwegian company. They specialize in transporting liquid natural gas around the world for heat, cooking etc. They also create ships themselves, specially created within the CE regulations to ensure safe transport, as natural gas is highly flammable and explosive (who would have figured that one out...) Now, FLNG has done something that might be incredibly smart or it might be incredibly stupid depending on which way things goes: Most companies transporting gas and oil get a fixed rate on the transport, however FLNG has made it so they get paid based on the spot price of natural gas (futures are called NG1! if you want to see the price) This means if the price of natural gas goes up, so does their revenues, which also creates an interesting scenario for us as I will explain in more details in § 3. § 2 FLNG's market is mostly based in China and India (~2 billion people) which in latest years have used a lot of coal for heating, the problem with burning coal is that it's very harmful to the environment, it releases a lot of CO2 and last but not least it releases microscopic particles in the air increasing cases of astma and COPD (Chronic Obstructing Pulmonary Disease) which I don't have to tell you - is reall bad. Now both China and India needs to move over to a more environmental friendly source of energy and heat, this is where natural gas comes in. When you burn natural gas, you only get CO2 and water as a biproduct, which is still bad for global warming, but does not increase cases of COPD or astma. § 3 I am bullish when it comes to FLNG as I believe it will be ranging a lot based on time of year, as we can see when it comes to natural gas spot prices, this can make it a lot easier to predict price movements, as price has historically been highest in the winter (because it's cold and people need more heating, again, who would have figured...), and lower in the summer as very few people need heat in the summer. I also think that because the market is so huge with at least 2 billion people I think there is a LOT of room for expansion. § 4 Although I believe this is an up and coming industry that will be huge the coming years, there is no guarantee that FLNG will be the leaders in the market, but seeing as Norway historically have been one of the leading ship builders and also leading within oil technology I strongly believe flex have a high potential. However, if it does not reach a 50-100% increase within February, it will likely not happen this year as spot prices will be on their way down again. Another risk is market turbulence which might hurt FLNGs price. To end it off with a little bit of my techincal analysis: Price bounced from the 80NOK mark (~$10) where it has not been since it's true pennystock days where liquidity was scarce. Price was trending downwards after the winter just like NG prices have too. I believe the 80NOK level will hold because a lot of bigger institutions bought in at 120NOK and I believe they will either look to average down around the 80NOK mark to get their average to 100NOK to lower their overall downside. And as we are smarter than the institutions (not really) I came up with an idea on how to spot more accurately when price is likely to explode (thank me later): Look at weather forcast for the most populated areas in China and India, when temperatures start dropping it's probably time to buy either FLEX or NG futures. Thank you all for reading and have a great rest of your day.
OSL:FLNGLong
by DonBboy
1
Euro slide continuesThe month of July has been an unmitigated disaster for the euro - with only three trading sessions in the books, EUR/USD has declined a staggering 2.73%. Earlier in the day, the euro dropped to 1.0186, its lowest level since December 2002. The euro appears headed for parity with the US dollar, a psychologically significant level. The economic outlook in the eurozone is not an encouraging one. Inflation surged to 8.1% in May, surpassing the April record of 7.4%. A peak in inflation remains elusive, and the ECB is way behind the inflation curve - the central bank hasn't raised interest rates yet, which are in negative territory. Even so, a lukewarm eurozone economy means that raising rates poses the risk of a recession. The energy situation has been deteriorating, as sanctions against Russia have led to counter moves in which Moscow has reduced its gas exports to Europe, which could result in an energy shortage this winter. If Russia reduces oil or gas exports to Europe, prices will soar and this could cause a severe economic downturn. A strike by Norwegian oil and gas workers on Tuesday threatened to exacerbate the situation. The Norwegian government has stepped in and ended the strike, but investors remain nervous as the eurozone's energy situation could become precarious. Today's data out of the eurozone showed some improvement but did little to raise risk sentiment. Germany's Factory Orders rose 0.1% in May, up from -1.6% in April but still a negligible gain. It was a similar story for eurozone retail sales, which came in at 0.2% in May after a -1.4% read in April. On Thursday, Germany releases Industrial Production for May, which is expected to slow to 0.7%, down from 0.4%. EUR/USD faces resistance at 1.0124. Below, there is support at 1.0075 There is resistance at 1.0221 and 1.0324
by OANDA
USDNOK Channeling Towards 9.35Trend Analysis The main view of this trade idea is on the 2-Hr Chart. There appears to be an upward trend channel developing for USDNOK. Higher lows are observed around the 8.63 and 8.76 price levels. Higher highs are seen around the 9.00 and 9.10 price levels. Expectations for the fx cross to continue higher in the trend channel, taking USDNOK towards 9.35. A breakdown in the rally of USDNOK will be observed if the fx cross falls below 8.80. On the longer term timeframe, if USDNOK breaks above the resistance of the upward trend level, the fx cross can rally towards 9.80. Technical Indicators The technical indicators are pointing out that USDNOK will rally over the next couple of months. USDNOK is above its long-term Moving Average (440-MA) and is in a bullish mode for the Supertrend Indicator. The Supertrend is also producing higher lows and higher highs, similar to the upward trend channel. The Awesome Oscillator (AO) is above 0 and green and the RSI is above the 50 level. Recommendation The recommendation will be to go long at market, with a stop loss at 8.80 and a target of 9.35. This produces a risk/reward ratio of 1.60. Disclaimer The views expressed are mine and do not represent the views of my employers and business partners. Persons acting on these recommendations are doing so at their own risk. These recommendations are not a solicitation to buy or to sell but are for purely discussion purposes.
Long
by Ceddy86
EURNOK- Norway Increases Interest RatesNorway's central bank raised its benchmark interest rate on Thursday as widely expected, and said more hikes were likely next year although that would depend on the impact of a surge in coronavirus infections and the emergence of the Omicron variant. Norges Bank's monetary policy committee raised the sight deposit rate to 0.50% from 0.25%, its second hike in three months, as predicted by 20 out of 22 economists polled by Reuters and in line with the central bank's own plan. In other words: Fundamentals are strong here and our chart agrees. Our Love to all our Norwegian friends, the FXPROFESSOR
Short
by FX_Professor
1
Norwgian Air Shuttle (NAS)"The time to buy is when there's blood in the streets." - Baron Rothschild So if you are looking for said blood the Norwegian Air shuttle (NAS) might be worth a serious look. Background: Biggest airline company in Scandinavia. One of the biggest in the world (I believe Top 6). It's based in Norway. Norway is a rich country. "Oil rich". Like many other airline companies the company is suffering massive losses. The state of Norway has already helped the company out a lot. Pros: As just mentioned Norway is rich, and I believe that the state will do everything in it's power to rescue the company. I believe the company will keep asking for more help until things get back to normal in 2022/2023. Cons: It's still a falling knife. Never catch a falling knife. The company has been suffering pre-COVID-19 too. The company has never been through this big a crisis. It could end up in bankrupcy this time. Know this if investing. Technical analysis: To hell with technical analysis at this point. All support has been broken. I love TD sequentials though. Looking at the daily the TD countdown of 13 was reached monday and next monday could give us another 9 sell on the TD setup. Be careful. Cheers
OSL:NAS
by FourApplesADay
2