Equinor (EQNR) | Technically a Great Opporunity!Hi,
Long story short, technically the price of EQNR has started to approach an interesting price level. A lot of criteria are matching and from my point of view, those who have waiting for an opportunity to jump in then you can slowly start building your position. Obviously, after you have done your homework about fundamentals - this, what I share here, is basically pure technical. If you find something interesting from fundamentals as well then you have two green lights from both analyses and you are ready to go!
Criteria inside the marked box, starting from the highest
1. Equal waves from the top
2. Previous yearly highs starting to act as support levels (highs from 2006, 2008, 2014, 2019)
3. Fibo golden ratio 62%
4. 50% drop from the all-time high.
5. The round number 200 NOK
Hopefully, it will work as good as previous Equinor ideas:
1)
2)
Good luck,
Vaido
Norwegian
NCLH- BULLISH SCENARIONThe Covid 19 crisis hit the cruises companies hard but after the re-opening of the worldwide economy the crowd Is back, and the demand is near to the pre-pandemic levels.
Considering the fact that Norwegian Cruise Line is the third-largest cruise line in the world by passengers it is worth adding it to our portfolio.
From a technical perspective, the price is heading near the $ 15 support level which will play a crucial role in the future development of the price. if the support level resists, we may expect new moves into the price channel to $23.5.
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Norwegian Air Shuttle (NAS) with squeeze potentialWelcome to my Detailed and Extensive Technical Analysis of Norwegian Air Shuttle ( NAS )
Norwegian Air Shuttle
Welcome to this analysis from me,
Norwegian Air Shuttle currently has the potential for a strong price rise once the price leaves the breakout zone and enters Elliot wave 3.
The situation is strengthened by a clearly recognizable W formation with a completed retest, between Elliot wave 1 and 3.
The price target for the W formation is NOK 16.024
The price targets for Elliot wave 3 are at:
NOK 14.804
18.558 NOK
22,262 NOK
24,582 NOK
The price target for wave 5 is not yet fixed, and can only be determined after the successful formation of wave 4, the 42,088 NOK are only given as an optical orientation for wave 5.
If you liked this idea, I would be happy about a click on the Like button ;)
If you have any questions, suggestions or a different opinion, don't be afraid to use the comment function.
Thanks a lot
Disclaimer:
First published by me Highrisk221 on TradingView on 27. 01 .2022 14:30hrs.
Please keep in mind that this is a purely technical analysis based on probability calculations and data from the past, and only reflects what my eye shows me ;)
This analysis is for information only and is scientific in nature.
This analysis is not based on any fundamental data!
This analysis is not an investment advice and should not be considered as a buy, sell or hold signal.
This analysis is not suitable for individual individuals, it is not recommended to make a trading decision based on this analysis.
Always do your own research before investing and seek the advice of a qualified person.
I am not an investment advisor or similar.
I hold shares in Norwegian Air Shuttle, there is a possibility that I may increase or sell my shares at any time.
NAS | Norwegian Air Shuttle | LongEntry Range: 10.374 - 9.902
Avg. Entry: 10.022 (RRR: 2)
1st. Profit Target: 11.270
Stop Loss: 9.404
HOW TO ENTER MY TRADES
1. Ladder your entries.
You'll want to ladder place your orders exponentially within the Entry Range to the point your RRR is atleast 1.5 if fully filled.
2. Only first touches are valid.
If price is rebounding back into the entry zone after either the profit target or stop loss was hit the entry zone is no longer valid
USDNOK Found Support at 8.7 and Long Target at 8.9Trend Analysis
The main view of this trade idea is on the 2-Hour. The fx cross USDNOK appears to have found support around the 8.7 price level, as the countertrend move in the currency appears to have ended. This produces an opportunity to go long USDNOK with initial resistance observed around 8.9, which can be an initial target for the fx cross.
Technical Indicators
The premise is based on the RSI emerging from oversold levels and currently near the 50 level at the time of publishing. Also, there is a positive crossover on the KST. Despite the fx cross being below its medium-term MA (75-SMA), USDNOK is above its fractal MA and testing its short-term MA (25-SMA).
Recommendation
The recommendation will be to go long at market. Stop loss will be set around the 8.7 price level and a target of 8.9. This produces a risk-reward ratio of 1.3.
Disclaimer
The views expressed are mine and do not represent the views of my employers and business partners. Persons acting on these recommendations are doing so at their own risk. These recommendations are not a solicitation to buy or to sell but are for purely discussion purposes. At the time publishing, I have a position in USDNOK.
Norwgian Air Shuttle (NAS)"The time to buy is when there's blood in the streets."
- Baron Rothschild
So if you are looking for said blood the Norwegian Air shuttle (NAS) might be worth a serious look.
Background:
Biggest airline company in Scandinavia. One of the biggest in the world (I believe Top 6).
It's based in Norway. Norway is a rich country. "Oil rich".
Like many other airline companies the company is suffering massive losses.
The state of Norway has already helped the company out a lot.
Pros:
As just mentioned Norway is rich, and I believe that the state will do everything in it's power to rescue the company. I believe the company will keep asking for more help until things get back to normal in 2022/2023.
Cons:
It's still a falling knife. Never catch a falling knife.
The company has been suffering pre-COVID-19 too.
The company has never been through this big a crisis. It could end up in bankrupcy this time. Know this if investing.
Technical analysis:
To hell with technical analysis at this point. All support has been broken.
I love TD sequentials though. Looking at the daily the TD countdown of 13 was reached monday and next monday could give us another 9 sell on the TD setup.
Be careful. Cheers
NCLH Grade 5 math = easy short opChanging sentiment on a huge material change PR that wont see operations all summer.
NCLH endured an operation net loss of $1.8B in q1 (after having ticket sales of $1.2B)
Imagine the q2 book after no months of ticket sales.
They have $16B in assets, $1.3B of that is cash but with $12B in debt.
Bringing us to bottom line book equity of $4.3B
Customers from q1 sales are going to want their money back, I'm not even pricing that in here.
They really needed to open this summer.
Sure the company can last 18 months, but at what cost to shareholders? They will 100% require another debt round or equity round to exist.
My price target is 10$ in the near term & i'll be adding to any fake squeezes. Math supersedes the RH pump.
Short $NCLH to single digits.
NCLH: Buying the dipsThis is a long term investment of mine that has already yielded some nice profits thus far. You often here the recommendation to "buy the dip" or add to your investment at opportune moments. This is one of those areas where I may add to it as well. I'd like to see previous resistance around $18 become new support. 2-5 year plan! Happy trading.
MACD Weekly Cross on NCLHYou can pick up cheap July $20 Calls here as Norwegian tests a breakout to over $20.
Chart says major headwinds but we have not tested resistance with a stong MACD on the week.
I say its worth a gamble to nibble on some calls for a trade. I woudn't load the boat a ton here though - stay well within your risk tolerance. Also I would keep a tight stop loss.
Cheers.
CCL - The Fun Ship Is Finally Ready to Break Free and PartyFull disclosure. My first post. I hope I do a good service with this analysis.
My Analysis:
In short, CCL retraced a hair above 50% of its previous high. History says it's not going to create a new low. So I'm bullish with the consolidation I highlighted, its building strength for a big bull run up to $18.
I set FIB to whole numbers -- $19 (high) /$8 (low) because computer algorithm is programmed to hit those numbers.
What do you think?
Feel Free to leave a comment.
NCLH - Fibonacci retracement shows first level of resistanceNYSE:NCLH
Norwegian Cruise Lines (NCLH) recently ran into resistance as sellers prevented the stock from going past the .236 fibonacci retracement level earlier this week. Furthermore, recent options activity shows bearish sentiment with NCLH put/call volume ratios of 2.07 This means for every 1 call that trades, there are 2 puts are being traded. The Put/call open interest ratio is a little more narrow at 1.20. (Ratios were taken at the time of when this article was written and are subject to change).
With the prospects of receiving a bailout is not looking good for the cruise line industry, there are mixed signals from the White House that leave many investors wondering whether to buy the stock now, or wait for another drop in the stock. Many cruise lines have suspended all operations for 30 to 60 days. So we will be monitoring the impact that has on the stock.
The White House is expected to pass the massive CARES act, which may provide many U.S. companies the eligibility to receive loans or loan guarantees from the Federal Government. The major cruise lines are not incorporated in the United States, which the President knows and mentioned last night that he would like to see them come to the United States... and that he wants to assist the cruise lines. <- You can see now why it's a toss up as to whether or not the cruise lines will receive financial aid from Federal Government.
Based on all the public information available, where do you think NCLH is heading? Up or Down?
Finnair's support zone holding - BullishHello everyone! Time for free analysis! :)
Finnair has been downtrending for months now and by now we are able to trade the uptrend. In December Finnair was priced at 5.5€ and since then it has been uptrending. Support trendline has been strong and it has not been broken. When touched, it will go back up.
Today Finnair has been declining for 3.5%. Good opportunity to long.
Earlier in the chart I have analyzed Finnair's profit levels. (Unfortunately not in the picture).
The most common price channel on Finnair has been 6.87 to 7.515.
Here is what I suggest:
-Long Finnair.
First profit takeout: 0.236 fibo (6.410)
Second profit takeout: 6.820€
Third profit takeout: 7.15€
At best there is 18% upside.
Dark blue lines = low-point trendlines
Light blue = top-point trendlines
Feel free to leave comment! What do you think about Finnair's future?
ridethepig | CADNOK 2020 Macro Map A good time to map the strategy and flows for CADNOK as we approach year-end. As you will have noticed I am tracking for a major pullback in the cross over the first half in 2020, this is coming from large macro forces at play. Central bank coordination has opened up the opportunity for NOK to outperform CAD.
Firstly the reflation theme via USD devaluation is going to help Canada a lot less than the rest as Canada will receive a spillover from the US manufacturing recession.
Secondly we need to discuss the impact of Oil across both economies. CAD and NOK are affected by oil with divergencies in their breakevens. For example Canada breakevens are circa $45 compared with Norway at $23 per barrel. Meaning simply Norway has more breathing room for the fall in Oil:
The third and final leg to the stool is coming from yield differentials. After the more dovish than expected shift in stance from BoC, the window is open for a cut which has not been fully priced while Norges which was previously the last hawk standing has hit the pause button. I personally see room for another hike from Norges next year which is the leg I am looking to trade here.
Best of luck all those in CADNOK, a very good pair to add to your FX portfolio.
USD/NOK 1H Chart: Pair returns to senior channelStrong upside momentum has driven the USD/NOK exchange rate since late March. The pair had appreciated 8.60% until it peaked near the 8.32 mark on Tuesday. It likewise breached the prevailing one-year channel on the same day. As a result, the US Dollar shot up to the 8.32 level and subsequently fell back to the breached senior channel.
During the past few weeks, the pair has been trading in a rising wedge pattern. It is expected that the pair remains trading in this pattern and thus edges lower within the following sessions. The pair is likely to find strong support at its bottom boundary which is reinforced by the weekly PP, the 200-hour SMA and the monthly R1 at 8.10.
Meanwhile, the pair’s overall direction within the following two weeks should be towards its ten-month high near 8.45.
USD/NOK Dominant resistance is testedAlthough many resistance levels were passed on other US Dollar's pairs during the fundamental surge of the Buck generated testimony of the Chairman of the Federal Reserve Jerome Powell., the USD/NOK pair’s resistance has held its ground.
Namely, the resistance of the large scale pattern, which represents the pair’s decline since late 2017, has held its ground. Its upper trend line had enough power to hold. However, it was strengthened by the weekly R1 at the 7.9194 level.
Meanwhile, during the recent trading sessions a new long term pattern was spotted, which is a result of the pair bouncing off the lower trend line of a multi year pattern. To keep it short, the mentioned patterns are set to face one another in the upcoming trading sessions and a triangle pattern is likely to form and result in a break out.