DXY: Dollar Index Update - Not done yetDollar Index DXY
The dollar remains under medium term pressure and evntually
it should fall away in stages through the blue lines of near
term support potential to 88.31, and likely touching the
longer term trend line at the extremity of the fall before
bouncing away strongly again.
In the very near term DXY is making a little continuation
pattern below the low of the last decline at 90.97-91.01 and
flipping in a 1% range bounded by 91 on the upside and by
90.17 on the downside. As it does so, gold and Eur dance to
its tune.
Even if it can manage to move up above 91.01 it is likely only
to rally towards the upper parallel at best, touch it, and
recoil back lower once more. To escape the year-long down-
trend DXY has to break that upper parallel and hold on the
retest. Only then will the Dollar's trend turn back to positive
and we switch from selling rallies to buying dips once more.
NOT
BCHUSD Athough on support this is not over yetBCHUSD
Another spawn from the Bitcoin stable that has behaved technically perfectly - could be fresh from the latest chart
book showing what a 'stock' can do under perfect conditions - but this time looking at downsides, not upsides...
It's fallen below it's dynamic support line and then come back up to retest it from the underside....and repeatedly
failed...that's the big clue that this is headed south from here - can be shorted now with stops above the line, yes? It's
exactly the opposite of what a 'good' breakout to updside will look like. And in doing so it has fallen in 4 sections/waves to
the low, searching for support from the beginning of this structure to left of chart, finding it on the lows of that
structure and rallying there.
But this decline is not done yet until Bitcoin itself makes a clear bottom. Near term support at 2322 must hold up here
to avoid another test of 2248 at least, if not to 2209. Any failure to hold this latter level during the course of this week
will tip BCH back into serious bear territory again and will likely force price much lower still, to 1840 at least, if not to
1766 where we can look to get long again if struck.
But it's holding for now above 2322 so is neutral to mildly positive...but once 2320 gives way it flips back to negative
again and we look to pick it up from lower levels from there.
IOTA IOTUSD No interest in buying this rally yetIOTA IOTUSD
Iota is testing important support at 3.229 with a low at 3.20.
this latter level must continue to hold (and will do so long as
Bitcoin holds up, which will not be for much longer now, it's
just completing its own counter-rally now). Any failure to hold
3.20 will force Iota lower still to 3.03 and then should this
level fail to 2.73 at least if not back to 2.47.
Even though it's on support and rallying now, have no interest
in buying here until Bitcoin makes a clear bottom. We can
pick it up cheaper still urther down the line.
Litecoin: LTCUSD Update and stops for remaining longsLitecoin: LTC
Longs should have been out as the dynamic support failed at
around the 276 level - see how often there will then be a
challenge of the same support from the underside, which
works for an hour or so before it falls away...not always, but
maybe 50% of breaks are like this and the other half are
clean, hard and fast.
Last comment suggested looking to buy again at 245 with
stops below 238 - well it wasn't very helpful, with a spike low
at 235 so some will have been carried out with the rest of
them...if you set your stop under 234, well done. But LTC
must continue to hold up here at lowest - and that depends
on Bitcoin holding up too, which is unlikely looking at that
chart in isolation...so if still long here be careful. Any break
below 234 by more than 5 points is unlikely to be a fake-
out...it will then likely fall to 219-210 minimum and more
probably to 188-172 range where we can look to pick up some
more.
Bitcoin: BTCUST Still not over yetBitcoin Last shot
Well that long didn't do too well - stopped out for about 200 profit unless you were smart and trailed a tight stop under it -
500 points profit lost by bad stop management. If it was going to halt the last high was a pretty obvious place - too busy
updating other calls. Just plain dumb. Late. 16 hours playing with Bitcoin. Last shot for tonight...
Despite the set-back Bitcoin is struggling on, now carving out a new set of parallels which have a corrective feel about
them. It's still a buy off the lower parallel with stops quite tight, trailing underneath it and it will be a sell off the upper
parallel later if touched at around 15600 in maybe 3 hours' time if the lower parallel continues to hold.
It really should then fall away, potentially quite hard most likely back to 12094 and if this fails back to the lows. If this
price action develops and it heads south hard and fast rather than more haltingly, then watch how it behaves at the
lows...it should start to fight and flip around there to show it's got a chance of holding and getting long with stops within 50
points of the low...if it doesn't fight here it means we need to be prepared in advance psychologically to deal with the initial
shock. We'd be looking at a full-fledged rout of every last bull left in town - driving price back as low as 8324 and maybe as
low as 7843 at the extreme. This is not over yet until that upper parallel is breached and held on the retest by the bulls
again. That would be a major surprise too. But it is Bitcoin guys. We know it's capable of pretty much anything. And so it
needs covering. To turn from bearish back to bullish Bitcoin has to cross that upper parallel, hold on the retest and then
break above 15814 and hold. If and only if it can manage that will the next long get triggered back to 17908 to start with and
likely back to highs thereafter.
And if Bitcoin loses the smaller parallels that are now holding it up before it reaches the upper parallel it means
another test of the lows is likely underway but a little earlier than currently anticipated.
Longer Term clean chart to follow
Bitcoin; BTCUSD Head and Shoulders Top Now !BITCOIN: BTCUSD This thing moves like lightning.
Shifting shapes: Head and Shoulder Top
Still don't think this has finished its rinse out yet.
Evenn more worrying, after dealing with the failed reverse
HandS this morning there looks like there's a massive head and
shoulders TOP formation appearing on the chart...stay away
for now unless short...it's still ina weak technicalposition
whilst anable to get back above resistance (old support) at
7080 right through to 7135 (more old support) and whilst
below here that Head and shoulders will grow in importance
and power...and an implied downside target at 6563.
Stay away from the cookie jar until we see the dust settle.
MCO Crazy idéaSo... yeah, This is what i'm hoping for.
BTC Going like crazy and don't look to stop in the next hours wich means money goes from other coins to be on the BTC train.
As MCO following the downtrend i belieive we are going down to the support trend ( green ) and will slow down from there.
The Monaco card & app will be released on 31 aug accoring to Monaco support and people will look for the lowest entry before that date. So i think we will follow that trend and start to push from it close to aug 31.
If the release is a success we are going a long way up. If not, god knows :)
If you don't know what MCO is you can visit their site:
mona.co
Please share your idéas in comments.
APPLE: AAPL Island reversal from top still unfilled = vulnerableAPPLE: AAPL Island reversal from the top has still not been filled - so this stock is still vulnerable to sell offs on each rally for now. The entire formation at the high is is a minefield of pin bars. Leave this stock alone until the technical picture improves
XAUUSD VOLUME & OPEN INTEREST, FULL(NOT ON CHART LIST IN TEXT)THIS REPORT IS IN TEXT ONLY. CHART DATA CONSISTS OF SESSION LEVELS COUNTED EARLIER, I HAVE PREPARED AN OPTION LEVELS TO SHARE WITH YOU, THAT CAN BE USED TO FILTER OUT LEVELS THAT YOU ARE USING IN YOUR ANALYSIS
Volume Put / Open Interest Put / Level
0 / 1527 / 949.90
0 / 980 / 969.90
0 / 1332 / 999.90
0 / 1735 / 1049.90
0 / 3101 / 1059.90
0 / 962 / 1074.90
0 / 844 / 1089.90
0 / 2832 / 1099.90
0 / 1580 / 1109.90
0 / 1064 / 1114.90
0 / 1290 / 1119.90
0 / 1977 / 1124.90
0 / 1018 / 1129.90
0 / 918 / 1134.90
0 / 3346 / 1149.90
0 / 1364 / 1154.90
0 / 1729 / 1174.90
0 / 1116 / 1179.90
0 / 915 / 1184.90
0 / 1522 / 1189.90
1 / 8795 / 1199.90
0 / 1111 / 1214.90
0 / 2349 / 1219.90
1 / 2831 / 1224.90
0 / 3040 / 1229.90
0 / 3150 / 1239.90
2 / 3271 / 1249.90
0 / 1658 / 1254.90
2 / 3043 / 1259.90
397 / 2113 / 1269.80
216 / 3236 / 1274.80
225 / 1636 / 1279.70
50 / 1053 / 1284.60
79 / 1751 / 1289.50
674 / 1223 / 1294.20
799 / 4990 / 1298.90
358 / 1651 / 1303.50
251 / 1370 / 1307.60
153 / 1331 / 1311.30
256 / 1728 / 1314.60
262 / 2521 / 1317.30
54 / 2574 / 1319.20
66 / 1363 / 1321.70
2 / 1125 / 1322.70
Volume Call / Open interest Call / Level
0 / 950 / 1323.40
0 / 1132 / 1323.40
0 / 2944 / 1323.40
0 / 1671 / 1323.40
1 / 1254 / 1323.40
1 / 3394 / 1323.50
0 / 1857 / 1323.50
0 / 1025 / 1323.50
0 / 1383 / 1323.60
0 / 3110 / 1323.60
1 / 1010 / 1323.70
0 / 1309 / 1323.80
9 / 5597 / 1324.50
179 / 1199 / 1328.80
889 / 2619 / 1331.10
589 / 3195 / 1334.20
347 / 1174 / 1337.70
304 / 1271 / 1341.70
168 / 831 / 1346.10
554 / 4378 / 1350.70
23 / 889 / 1355.40
33 / 3633 / 1360.30
14 / 1210 / 1365.30
9 / 1265 / 1370.20
161 / 2048 / 1375.20
10 / 1594 / 1380.20
6 / 1223 / 1390.10
11 / 834 / 1395.10
63 / 7930 / 1400.10
0 / 1454 / 1410.10
0 / 1618 / 1420.10
2 / 1062 / 1425.10
1 / 1366 / 1430.10
0 / 3281 / 1450.10
0 / 3086 / 1460.10
0 / 1426 / 1475.10
0 / 1459 / 1500.10
0 / 2186 / 1550.10
0 / 901 / 1600.10
USDMXN VOLUME & OPEN INTEREST, FULL(NOT ON CHART LIST IN TEXT)THIS REPORT IS IN TEXT ONLY. CHART DATA CONSISTS OF SESSION LEVELS COUNTED EARLIER, I HAVE PREPARED AN OPTION LEVELS TO SHARE WITH YOU, THAT CAN BE USED TO FILTER OUT LEVELS THAT YOU ARE USING IN YOUR ANALYSIS
Volume Put / Open Interest Put / Level
0 / 10 / 20.00000
0 / 27 / 19.04762
0 / 81 / 18.86792
0 / 40 / 18.69158
0 / 10 / 18.34861
Volume Call / Open interest Call / Level
0 / 20 / 19.41750
0 / 20 / 19.23079
0 / 1 / 19.04763
0 / 10 / 18.86793
0 / 77 / 18.69160
0 / 44 / 18.51852
0 / 40 / 18.34863
0 / 2 / 18.18182
0 / 30 / 18.01802
0 / 150 / 17.09402
USDJPY VOLUME & OPEN INTEREST, FULL(NOT ON CHART LIST IN TEXT)THIS REPORT IS IN TEXT ONLY. CHART DATA CONSISTS OF SESSION LEVELS COUNTED EARLIER, I HAVE PREPARED AN OPTION LEVELS TO SHARE WITH YOU, THAT CAN BE USED TO FILTER OUT LEVELS THAT YOU ARE USING IN YOUR ANALYSIS
Volume Put / Open Interest Put / Level
1 / 1906 / 120.481
0 / 231 / 119.759
0 / 117 / 119.047
0 / 351 / 118.342
0 / 232 / 117.646
0 / 117 / 116.957
0 / 338 / 116.277
20 / 218 / 115.603
23 / 288 / 114.938
26 / 276 / 114.280
13 / 380 / 113.628
20 / 438 / 112.984
0 / 428 / 112.346
10 / 846 / 111.714
158 / 944 / 111.088
47 / 708 / 110.468
292 / 741 / 109.853
1 / 1343 / 109.243
103 / 1032 / 108.638
113 / 1394 / 108.036
68 / 961 / 107.439
212 / 1719 / 106.845
70 / 1295 / 106.254
96 / 1282 / 105.666
86 / 3010 / 94.819
13 / 1185 / 95.288
9 / 2733 / 95.755
2 / 927 / 96.220
0 / 881 / 96.682
0 / 1145 / 97.143
0 / 1930 / 97.601
40 / 632 / 98.058
0 / 1579 / 98.514
0 / 110 / 98.969
Volume Call / Open interest Call / Level
0 / 301 / 108.996
0 / 614 / 108.371
16 / 304 / 107.757
0 / 378 / 107.151
32 / 850 / 106.554
185 / 633 / 105.965
97 / 1183 / 105.386
960 / 782 / 104.815
55 / 1723 / 104.253
14 / 1100 / 103.699
6 / 1536 / 103.152
250 / 1186 / 102.613
5 / 1392 / 102.081
224 / 905 / 101.556
4 / 2190 / 101.037
14 / 684 / 100.525
15 / 1555 / 100.018
10 / 388 / 99.517
31 / 1614 / 99.022
10 / 623 / 98.532
42 / 922 / 98.047
3 / 953 / 97.568
35 / 1080 / 97.093
15 / 1663 / 96.623
11 / 467 / 96.158
0 / 616 / 95.697
0 / 804 / 95.241
0 / 297 / 94.789
13 / 328 / 94.342
0 / 409 / 93.899
1 / 253 / 93.460
0 / 250 / 93.025
0 / 349 / 92.594
0 / 443 / 90.910
0 / 235 / 90.091
0 / 539 / 86.957
1 / 1600 / 86.580
USDCHF VOLUME & OPEN INTEREST, FULL(NOT ON CHART LIST IN TEXT)THIS REPORT IS IN TEXT ONLY. CHART DATA CONSISTS OF SESSION LEVELS COUNTED EARLIER, I HAVE PREPARED AN OPTION LEVELS TO SHARE WITH YOU, THAT CAN BE USED TO FILTER OUT LEVELS THAT YOU ARE USING IN YOUR ANALYSIS
Volume Put / Open Interest Put / Level
0 / 1 / 1.03627
0 / 114 / 1.01523
0 / 1 / 1.01010
0 / 5 / 1.00502
0 / 115 / 0.99998
0 / 10 / 0.99500
30 / 278 / 0.99006
29 / 32 / 0.98515
0 / 66 / 0.98030
0 / 79 / 0.97548
0 / 101 / 0.97070
0 / 26 / 0.96597
0 / 30 / 0.96128
0 / 20 / 0.95663
0 / 20 / 0.93402
Volume Call / Open interest Call / Level
29 / 24 / 0.98528
5 / 111 / 0.98044
0 / 80 / 0.97564
0 / 110 / 0.97089
0 / 35 / 0.96620
0 / 21 / 0.96155
0 / 65 / 0.95694
0 / 79 / 0.95239
0 / 5 / 0.94787
0 / 59 / 0.94340
0 / 20 / 0.93897
0 / 6 / 0.93458
0 / 3 / 0.93023
0 / 6 / 0.92593
0 / 26 / 0.92166
0 / 10 / 0.91743
0 / 5 / 0.91324
0 / 11 / 0.90909
0 / 10 / 0.88889
0 / 10 / 0.86580
0 / 5 / 0.85837
0 / 5 / 0.85470
0 / 5 / 0.84746
0 / 5 / 0.84388
0 / 5 / 0.84034
USDCAD VOLUME & OPEN INTEREST, FULL(NOT ON CHART LIST IN TEXT)THIS REPORT IS IN TEXT ONLY. CHART DATA CONSISTS OF SESSION LEVELS COUNTED EARLIER, I HAVE PREPARED AN OPTION LEVELS TO SHARE WITH YOU, THAT CAN BE USED TO FILTER OUT LEVELS THAT YOU ARE USING IN YOUR ANALYSIS
Volume Put / Open Interest Put / Level
0 / 8 / 1.44928
0 / 20 / 1.43885
0 / 4500 / 1.41844
0 / 43 / 1.40845
0 / 91 / 1.39860
2 / 251 / 1.38889
3 / 387 / 1.37931
3 / 1413 / 1.36986
9 / 323 / 1.36054
268 / 1009 / 1.35134
15 / 472 / 1.34227
407 / 2131 / 1.33331
106 / 842 / 1.32447
323 / 1070 / 1.31573
52 / 1197 / 1.30710
0 / 790 / 1.29858
5 / 551 / 1.29017
3 / 223 / 1.28185
0 / 185 / 1.27364
0 / 301 / 1.26553
0 / 28 / 1.25752
0 / 4 / 1.24179
Volume Call / Open interest Call / Level
48 / 48 / 1.32460
142 / 102 / 1.31585
396 / 437 / 1.30723
198 / 981 / 1.29873
98 / 1519 / 1.29034
70 / 1531 / 1.28206
3 / 1180 / 1.27389
47 / 675 / 1.26583
5 / 573 / 1.25786
0 / 694 / 1.25000
1 / 324 / 1.24224
0 / 320 / 1.23457
0 / 260 / 1.22699
0 / 76 / 1.21951
0 / 50 / 1.21212
0 / 48 / 1.20482
0 / 7 / 1.19760
0 / 1 / 1.19048
0 / 4 / 1.18343
0 / 7 / 1.17647
0 / 24 / 1.16959
0 / 26 / 1.16279
0 / 17 / 1.14943
0 / 6 / 1.14286
0 / 4 / 1.13636
0 / 15 / 1.12360
GBPUSD VOLUME & OPEN INTEREST, FULL(NOT ON CHART LIST IN TEXT)THIS REPORT IS IN TEXT ONLY. CHART DATA CONSISTS OF SESSION LEVELS COUNTED EARLIER, I HAVE PREPARED AN OPTION LEVELS TO SHARE WITH YOU, THAT CAN BE USED TO FILTER OUT LEVELS THAT YOU ARE USING IN YOUR ANALYSIS
Volume Call / Open interest Call / Level
8 / 628 / 1.31850
0 / 1257 / 1.32010
1 / 499 / 1.32200
1 / 545 / 1.32410
1 / 1125 / 1.32650
10 / 1106 / 1.32910
0 / 1655 / 1.33190
1 / 924 / 1.33500
425 / 948 / 1.33820
275 / 608 / 1.34170
82 / 2008 / 1.34540
16 / 768 / 1.34930
64 / 1876 / 1.35340
62 / 747 / 1.35760
212 / 1208 / 1.36210
23 / 764 / 1.36660
122 / 499 / 1.37120
120 / 303 / 1.37600
16 / 450 / 1.38080
33 / 901 / 1.38560
191 / 561 / 1.40030
1 / 268 / 1.40530
0 / 308 / 1.41020
0 / 326 / 1.41520
0 / 245 / 1.44010
0 / 277 / 1.45000
0 / 242 / 1.48000
0 / 308 / 1.49000
0 / 335 / 1.49500
0 / 263 / 1.50000
0 / 205 / 1.51000
0 / 225 / 1.52000
0 / 213 / 1.54000