NOW
BTC Breaking: New Triangle Forming4am cyclic time zones indicate the most frequent time of day for large selloffs. There is a large resistance line that we will meet overnight that should bring the price down to a higher low (rising support). The support line of post-6600 trends will hopefully hold the imminent crash.
BTC Analysis 4/8/18 Undeniable Buying Opportunity NEW TRENDSBTC has broken its resistance levels and continues to wow investors with the growing sentiment of buyers in the market. Within the past few weeks the price has finally flirted with the sub 6k resistances prior to the beginning of the initial volume uptrend of the crash. The bandwagon bears may have finally sold every last penny of profit since BTC became mainstream. When looking at the exponentially decreasing selloffs since the maximum price, the trends are steadily fighting and pushing through 7k resistance levels with every passing day. These pushes are defying any previous pattern seen in the market, and we could truly be seeing the development of entirely new positive trends. Hopefully this new sentiment truly signals the reversal of a bearish market that has overstayed its visit.
NOW - Negative downward momentum short from Now seems forming a negative downward omentum setup along with negative Twiggs money flow divergence. It also has Plenty of selling but mostly around 5-20%. We think it will decline from here.
* Trade Criteria *
Date First Found- March 23, 2018
Pattern/Why- Upward channel breakdown, smart money short setup.
Entry Criteria- $52.46
Exit Criteria- $45.57
Stop Loss Criteria- $55.88
Indicator Notes- Twiggs money flow deep into the negative side.
Special Note- BIG selling - over 750 million dollars. Could consider $60 September Puts (currently $5.30)
Please check back for Trade updates. (Note: Trade update is little delayed here.)
Bitcoin: BTCUSD Grinding Higher - But Raise Stops
Bitcoin: BTCUST
Last Update 01:20gmt/20:20est
Bitcoin is continuing to grind higher, still contrained by the
parallel above it.It's double topping in the near term - has to
find buyers enough to push above the high at 11490 on
Coinbase feed but will likely still get rejected by the parallel
above it even it can push higher now - but grinding upwards
towards 11765 completion target perhaps sometime around
14:30 est tomorrow. A small speed line is forming under the
lows of this break so far and bulls will be looking for it to hold
firm to avoid the risk of Bitcoin topping out in near term and
moving into a dull energy sapping sideways to downwards
movement due to lack of follow through come far east opening.
So It's Ok for swings to stay long for now in hope of 11765
later but consider raising stops to under the little dynamic by
50 points or so to trap in 300 plus points profit for the day
even it does wrong from here.
It's been hard work all day. It would be a shame not to let it
run, but also a shame to risk it slipping away. These choices
are ultimately down to profile, as usual. Any move and hold
above 11765 (could only be due to far East volume buying)
would be extremely bullish - but unlikely in the near term.
Nevertheless if wrong and we see it happen at any point over
the next 24 hours we follow long once more.
Bitcoin BTCUSD Trying Hard to Change Trends Today Bitcoin BTCUSD Trying Hard to Change Trend
Bitcoin broke above the 9537 line here and then moved up to
testthe upper parallel, making an 02:15gmt/21:15est high
within the first hour of far East opening before falling away
\again to an 08:15gmt/03:15est low right on the blue support
line at 9373 before bouncing again on European interest at the
lower levels. Now it's bounced to touch the first line of
resistance at 9537 once more and day traders are taking a fast
200 point win and cashing back out again many of whom have
shorted at the usual 06:00gmt traditional short time and made
200 down and now 200 up again. At the moment Bitcoin is still
in day-traders' and scalpers' territory with no killer swings to
trade as yet. It's still trapped in a downtrend but is at least
trying to form a higher low so far today and therefore showing
first signs that this downwave is running out of downside
momentum. In very near term it's gone into a small
continuation pattern and is trying to break above the 9537
line where fixed and dynamics converge - tiny pins below and
above price forming on 15 minute chart meaninga big battle is
raging below the surface here.
Things only begin to turn positive again now when the 9537
line is retaken and held by the bulls - that will likely lead to a
test of the upper parallel again at 9682-9715 - and then the
big test...Bitcoin has to break and hold above the 9715 level
before the last bear will back off. It would be yet another
brilliant escape act by Bitcoin if it can manage this at any
point today, attracting every bull still left in town back to the
game and should be followed higher if we see this price action
develop.
But until then Bitcoin is effectively trapped at these lower
levels and the downtrend remains in force - but it's not super-
bearish here, just mildly so - and so we need to watch it here
to see if it tries to break above the smallest parallel of the
continuation pattern - if so can follow with stops below 9480.
Otherwise we wait for lower values still.
Bitcoin: BTCUSD On Important Support Right nowBitcoin. Clock-Work 05:53 est
another 01:00 gmt low, another at 06:00gmt. And high at
10:00 - right on the upper parallel where longs who bought at
6am have closed out for 450 points - day's work done.
Now has to climb above the upper paralle and hold there on
retest once broken to turn back to bullish again from here.
Unlikely in very nearterm but it's trying hard here. We have
had 4 waves down which is standard stuff for Bitcoin so this
decline could be over but it still has some work to do to bust
above the mass of resistance gathered above it from
here...the old neck-line - can only get long from here once
the upper parallel is busted and held - all it's done so far is a
nice little counter rally to exactly where it should stop. We
got some far Eastern interest at 01.00 and some European
interest at 06:00 and now we'll need US interest to help it
move higher from here - in meantime it needs to unwind a
little. So far it's holding at 10100 but when this gives way it
should fall back to support at 9965-9855
07:07est
Last low on Bitstamp at 9935 with a nice spike under it on 15
minute - and now we have a break of the upper parallel and
test of the first line of resistance at 10254 as early birds in US
catch the worm - likely to push on up to the neckline by
14.45gmt, maybe in the 15 minute candle on US official open
- if you got long on the last dip as above stay with it and raise
stop to just under the low at 9930 for small loss if wrong from
here. Look to close out in the 10300-10350 range where fixed
and dynamic resistance begin to merge. But we 've broken the
down-trend and need to be ready to get long again when and
if that uppermost dynamic/old neck-line is broken above and
held (now at 10345) - can follow the break with stops below
10300 when it happens.
Bulls have 4 waves down which signals potential completion -
but the bears have that Head and Shoulders on their side still
- bulls gotta break that neck-line next big test - then we are
off to the races with a relief rally - but not until...day
traders are using the smallest dynamic here on 3 minute by
look of it...
09:09est
After moving sideways above the parallel for a while Bitcoin has come back to life as expected with US opening. Now testing the target at 10300-10350 with a spike high at 10372 on bitfinex....so closed out and looking to buy again lower , maybe only as low as 10300 ...
09:14
Had to get that uploaded quickly - so this is looking good again - has just poked above the dynamic/old neck-line on Bitstamp which is the big test now...buying across 3 continents - just neeed to beware a suck in here though...but if it can hold up here above 10350 and the dynamic this is going to rally very well now...
Bitcoin: BTCUST Massive Bull Breakout maintained - stay long Bitcoin Coinbase Chart Massive Bull Break Maintained Overnight. Stay long to 12090
The break stayed good overnight and the far East bought
into it too...not massively but still a good sign of returning
confidence world-wide as all the bad news begins to dry up.
This break out is so important and so far technically perfect
on Coinbase chart - and shows how, once price beat the last
dynamic above it Bitcoin surged upwards, shackles undone.
The next part of the Bitcoin puzzle is to look more closely at
the reverse head and shoulders to see how likely it is to be
trustworthy from here. First off the last one failed - and
actually went on to form the right hand shoulder of this larger
RHS - whilst Bitcoin was still in the middle of a downtrend,
which with today's price action is now effectively over - the
only disconcerting thing about this RHS is that it's a little too
prefect technically. Can it be too good to be true? Too
obvious? Why? On The Coinbase chart this reverse head and
shoulders has a minimum upside of 3216 points added to the
break out level/neck-line at 8874 - creating a minimum
upside target at 12090 on Coinbase. Stay with it
Bitcoin BTCUSD Rocking it but up against important resistance Bitcoin Bitstamp
Bitstamp
Rocking It but coming to important resistance here too - can stay long to 8545 if day trading - and if intending to run it would still use the dynamic under price as exit as it can still have one more collapse...don't stay too full-on bullish unless 8545 can be busted above now....needs to consolidate some really but it's Bitcoin. It does what it wants. Day traders will close out and get long lower or if not and it powers through 8545 they have to buy back again once it does...