A volatile week but no structural changes, or changes in the directionality. It seems the path to downside has been painted. But when it comes to the market nothing is guaranteed. One needs to think from the change or no change of current context. As of now, the H&S remain broken, the upside channel is broken. Nevertheless, my scenario 1 is a horizontal...
For whatever reason, the thing about traders is they don't like to go short and they don't like to buy puts. This is primarily because of being conditioned by the market makers during bull runs and bull impulses that it's just literally lighting money on fire. And so once a real correction begins, some people buy the dip the entire way down, averaging down,...
Snowflake, a Nasdaq company, has earnings looming post-market, which has IV on weekly calls and puts juiced to 150%. Yet people are still gambooling on the next big instawin. The problem is you'll blow your account and won't need TradingView anymore and won't be able to have any fun in your community. Really, a far better proposition if you want 5 and 8:1 odds...
When I made my July 29 call on the ES SPX Futures here: SPX - The Sound of a Shattering Iceberg We had anticipated that a retrace to the highs or a raid on the highs was on deck. And yet throughout August, price action has been extremely bearish across all commodities, indexes, equities, and bonds. We very suddenly went from talk of a new bull market to a...
NQ had a phenomenal run-up since yesterday. It was hard to find any sign of weakness. In the 15 min. TF I found the correct Fork to apply that gives me any usable information about price. 1. The Shiff-Fork projects price to the upside, but also expose the fact that price fell out of the projection below the L-MLH. 2. Price stopped at the HVN. Or better, the...
General Market update focusing on Bitcoin. Bitcoin breakdown is still not being supported with significant spot buying as the March dump was, overall volume is low. ETH looks much worse however has the ability to gain some local levels and move higher. Both BTC and ETH are ranging and building liquidity. The SP500 and the Nasdaq are still rallying and have the...
As NQ have Provided with Sellside Delivery, Next Draw on Liq Should be that 14420.00 Even Fig, And the Weekly Discounted FVG Below
Looking at the nasdaq futures market we can see price has been down trending for approximately the last month. While this down trend will probably continue a significant squeeze / retrace of the trend at some point should be expected. The question is when would we expect to see this correction. This is an hourly line chart on the log scale for micro nasdaq...
Apple has really been, perhaps arguably, the key reason the bear market rally has been as extreme as it has in 2023. Looking back to January, there really has not been even a single genuinely bearish day. But with Q2 earnings as a catalyst, we now have signs of a genuine and significant reversal pattern, and at an all time high. It's very evident on monthly...
THE BURRY CHANNEL: World famous trader Michael Burry went all in on stock market shorts last week! Bullish setups are going to be hard to find until we break out of this channel! *MICHAEL BURRY'S SCION ASSET MANAGEMENT JUST RELEASED ITS LATEST 13F FILING *BURRY BOUGHT PUTS WORTH $900 MILLION DOLLARS AGAINST THE S&P 500 AMEX:SPY *BURRY BOUGHT PUTS WORTH $740...
Greed quickly became extreme at the end of July, and the beginning of August has severely punished bulls, who are still buying the dip and buying the dip. The July high on Nasdaq happened to occur along with the Dow and the SPX in that all three indexes swept out the January '22 pivot that amounted to a rejection that ended that unprecedented bull...
The Nasdaq price continued its downtrend and dipped into our green target zone between 15 292 and 14 431 points. Here, we now expect the green wave 4 to end. Following this wave, we anticipate a substantial rise above resistance at 16 062 with green wave 5. However, we think it is 35% likely that the price will go below this zone. In this alternative scenario, it...
I have an open call on the Nasdaq NQ CME Futures that theorizes that the markets may have topped in terms of the perpetual bull run, but that we may also get a rip back towards/at new highs. Nasdaq NQ - Is It Time To Sell The Rip? The process has been quite slow to play out so far, but the most dangerous thing for bulls with NQ is that 15,000 has not yet...
Today I shared a video in my trading room of Tom Lee on CNBC post his CPI massive rally call which didn't materialize. One member pointed out: " Lol. The man in this interview is not “fearless.” He is having trouble getting it out, and he has concerns. He is impressed by the “pronunciation” of this move. " I share the sentiment chart so we can observe the...
I vividly recall a few years back having just finished labeling the above chart of the SP500 from inception. I labeled the chart and included most of the historical events that occurred over the course of that time. As a trader, I wanted to have a quick reference visual picture of price action during war time, innovation, and societal change, juxtaposed on my...
NAS left a number of relative qual lows late last week. We are expecting price to want to trade below these to accumulate buy positions before ptonetinally expanding to take out last week’s high. There is a daily OB below price that may support it. the July open price is also at these levels. Interactions with both of these levels can be interpreted as short term...
Context: Monthly, weekly - Uptrend (UT) Daily - downtrend (DT) Micro-structure: Poor low from yesterday, excess high from Wednesday Last Day: Bearish break out from the range w/o much follow through (b-shape profile implies liquidation of longs, w/o new business). Price returned to the previous range. Conclusion: Healthy weekly consolidation. Daily DT...
I have been on Trading View for almost a year now. In that timeframe I have been fortunate enough to have almost 2,600 people who follow my work, shared almost 700 ideas within that community, and founded my website for paying members. Yesterday, we held a training / education Zoom call and dissected the move up off the October low of 3502. The purpose of this...