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Correction: Counter Trend Break Away Pattern on 6-26This is a correction video representing the Counter-Trend mode of today's BreakAway pattern. I created the first video thinking this was a Trending pattern. Counter-trend patterns tend to reflect a reversal of price direction related to the last 3~5 days price trend. In this video, I go over how I view Counter-Trend patterns vs. Trend/Carryover patterns. Look for initial weakness in price followed by what I believe will be a strong rally phase this afternoon. Here we go...
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
Plan Your Trade 6-26 - SPY BreakAway PatternGood Morning. This continued video series highlighting my Proprietary SPY Cycle Patterns is designed to help you understand how to prepare for, and trade expected market trends. The SPY Cycle Patterns are predictive. They represent shapes/trends of future price bars on the SPY that can help traders understand where opportunities may exist for trading. They can also help you stay away from consolidation/congestion periods. In today's video, I highlight how the current BreakAway pattern in Trending mode suggests the SPY will rally a bit today. I expect the SPY to close above 545.50-546.50 as the bullish base/support level holds today. There is a bit of downward pressure on the SPY this morning. It will be interesting to see if my expectations are accurate or not. Remember, the SPY Cycle Patterns are not 100% accurate all the time. They are only about 80-85% accurate in most cases. Big news events or outside factors can drive prices in ways that do not align with my SPY Cycle Patterns. However, these SPY Cycle Patterns are generally very accurate in terms of how to plan/prepare for trading opportunities 3 to 10+ days into the future. I hope you enjoy it. Please leave a comment and tell me if you see value in these videos or what you think.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
US100 ( NASDAQ ) Outlook ICT Concepts💰 Welcome to Your Channel! Welcome to our channel where we delve into the intricacies of financial markets. Today, we focus on US100, dissecting its current price action to uncover strategic trading opportunities. Join us as we analyze key levels and market dynamics, aiming to refine our trading strategies and maximize potential gains. 📊 Let's Discuss NASDAQ Let's discuss my favorite asset, NASDAQ. The first thing we need to consider is the Smart Money Technique (SMT) which appeared on the ES (S&P500) chart yesterday, and now reflects on the NASDAQ chart. This technique is currently positioned below the chart. 📈 Anticipating Price Expansion We can anticipate the price to expand higher into the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) resting above the current price, potentially reacting to the Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) levels. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch In our key level area, we have the Midnight Open Price (00:00 NY Time) at 19691.5. Currently, the price is above this midnight open level, indicating a deep premium level, which supports our short scenario. 🔑 Liquidity Levels At the start of the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) we have both the 4-hour previous high, which is a buy-side liquidity (BSL), and a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG). These are the key liquidity levels to watch. 📉 Long Position Scenarios For any long position scenarios, we need the sell-side liquidity to be taken out, which is quite far from the current price. We can look for lower time frame low resistance liquidity or the 50% retracement of the current range, resting at 19633. 🙏 Thank you for joining us! Exploring US100 today highlighted the importance of effective risk management in trading success. Prioritize research, implement robust strategies, and seek guidance for confident market navigation. Stay tuned for more insights on our channel. Here's to profitable trading and continuous learning! ⚠️ Disclaimer The information provided here is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by RealArmin
1
6/25 Let The day Rip GREATTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT MORNING YALLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL!!!!! 06/25/2024 **News** ON THE BLOCK TODAY!!!! Chicago Fed National Activity Index 8:30 AM ET Case-Shiller Home Price Index GREEN FOLDER 9:00 AM ET FHFA House Price Index 9:00 AM ET Consumer Confidence RED FOLDER 10:00 AM ET Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index 10:00 AM ET FED SPEAKER Lisa Cook 12:00 PM ET FED SPEAKER Michelle Bowman 2:15 PM ET ***Midnight*** *#ES 5523* *#NQ 19792.75* 💰 **BUYSIDE**💰 ***#ES 5534.25***.--->Above this level we look for --->.... 🟢 5552.75 🟢 5564.50 🟢 5580 🟢 5604 🟢 5616.75 🟢 5639.50 🟢 5653.25 🟢 5676.85 ***#NQ 19855***...---> Above this level we look for--> 🟢 19880.25 🟢 19904.00 🟢 19941.75 🟢 20022.75 🟢 20089.50 🟢 20113.25 🟢 20151.50 🟢 20201.50 🟢 20246.00 🟢 20292.25 🟢 20332.50 💰 **SELLSIDE**💰 ***#ES 5511.50***--- Below this level and we look for 🔴 5509 🔴 5489.25 🔴 5468.75 🔴 5436.50 🔴 5406 ***#NQ 19726.25***---> Below this level and we look for 🔴 19693.25 🔴 19647.75 ***Expected Moves For Today*** *SPX-ES Difference*--> **67.75** *Spy Expected Move* **1.84** Upside Range **544.59** Downside Range **540.91** *SPX Expected Move* ***19.60*** Upside Range **5475.6** Downside Range **5436.4** ⚠️ ***Sweet Spot contracts for SPX would be*** ⚠️ 🔴 5440p and the 5430p(MOMENTUM TRADE) 🟢 5470c and the 5485c(MOMENTUM TRADE)
CME_MINI:NQU2024
by Stockqueenie
Plan Your Trade 6-25-24 - Base Rally DayThis video continues my series on planning your trade around my SPY Cycle Patterns. Today is a Base Rally pattern. I suspect the price will attempt to climb above $544 and may attempt to rally above $550 over the next few days. This is an excellent opportunity for traders to swing for the fences with long trades. Time your entry. If the price fails to rally above $544 in early trading, we may see a strong rally later this afternoon. Tomorrow is a Breakaway pattern in counter-trend mode. I suspect we'll see a bit of a downward price swing tomorrow after today's strong rally. Then, another push to try to rally above $550 on Thursday. Plan your trade. Learn how I can help you stay ahead of these bigger price swings.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2
Plan Your Trade 6/24/24 - Prepare For Rolling Price ActionThis continued video series focused on my SPY Cycle Patterns teaches you how to plan for future price swings and bigger trending days. Today, I expect the SPY to stay relatively muted in trend—possibly moving downward overall. The Up-Down-Up (countertrend) pattern suggests that the price will want to move downward today, perhaps setting up support near $541.50 to $542.50. I don't expect anything big to happen today as today's pattern is followed by three days of an upward price trend. That upward trend is your opportunity for profits. Tuesday, Wednesday, & Thursday look like a bigger opportunity for long trades than Monday or Friday. Friday's CRUSH pattern suggests a fairly strong downward price trend. I would be cautious of taking long positions on Friday until possibly the last 60-120 min of the day (if we see a short squeeze setup). Please use this information efficiently. I'm trying to show you how to use my SPY Cycle Patterns to plan your trading and find the best opportunities. I will have more info tomorrow as I continue this video series.
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
Plan Your Trade 6/21 - SPY Cycle PatternsPlan your trade to prepare for future price moves using my proprietary SPY Cycle Patterns. This is a continuing video series related to my proprietary SPY Cycle Patterns. These unique patterns highlight potential price moves/trends weeks and months in advance. I wanted to highlight the next 15+ trading days on the charts and track these potential setups to see how closely my expectations translated into price moves. About 3+ days into this experiment, we should see a Top/Resistance price trend today. This is usually where the price attempts to rally upward to a peak, then rolls downward, seeking a new base/bottom. Follow my research and learn how to Plan Your Trades more efficiently.
AMEX:SPY
by BradMatheny
Learning To Plan Your Trade With SPY Cycle PatternsDid you watch my SPY Cycle Pattern video this morning? Were you aware that today was designated a Harami-Inside type of price action? This type of pattern represents a very narrow, often trendless, trading day. I warned all of you before the market opened that today would be a day to sit back and wait for the market to show us whether it wanted to trend or not. Obviously, there were some quick pullbacks and trends—but nothing very big. If you had stayed out of the market most of the day, you probably would have been happy avoiding the chop. Tomorrow is a big CRUSH pattern. These patterns are usually fairly large price range bars that often move against the 3~5 bar trend - in this case, downward. This video covers the next three weeks of trading in the SPY and shows how I read the SPY Cycle Patterns as "sentences" related to how prices will react and move (including trends and ranges) going forward. Of course, nothing is 100% perfect when predicting future price trends. But I think you'll find real value in the SPY Cycle Patterns and how they can help everyone prepare for the type of price action to expect. Plan your trade. Use all the tools required to help you make better decisions. Remember, trade only when the market provides opportunity and efficient price trends. I'll keep updating these videos for all of you over the next few weeks. Let's go make some money as the markets trend into Q2:2024 earnings.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
Plan your trade for 6/18/24 - SPY researchHere is another video to help you prepare for the next 2+ weeks of trading in the US markets. Using my specialized SPY Cycle Patterns and technical analysis, I still see the markets consolidating in a melt-up type of trending over the next 2+ weeks before moving into a strong rally phase near late June/early July. You can see how my SPY cycle patterns help into understand opportunities and when to prepare for more aggressive trading. Today is a Harami-Inside pattern - meaning I will be mostly sitting on the sidelines today. Maybe targeting one or two quick trades. But tomorrow and the rest of this/next week look very solid for more moderate/aggressive trading in bigger price trends. And, I'm going to start preparing for the RALLY, RALLY, RALLY phase near July 1, 2024. Learn how my specialized research can help you. Learn the Mechanics of Trading. Let's go get'em.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2024-06-17 - a weekly price action market recap and outlook - nqGood Evening and I hope you are well. Nasdaq. 20000. What else can you say. The AI bubble will be in the history books and Michael Lewis will write a book about the insanity that’s going on. I sincerely hope they bring the exact cast back from the big short. You can quote me on this one. Over the next months, you will read about companies cutting back on spending, especially on AI since it’s expensive af and not bringing in any money. Nvidia will probably be halved somewhere in 2025/2026 so stock should hit around 65ish. Monthly ema is at 60. I looked that up after I wrote the halving part. comment: Let’s review this weekly painting, now that we finally reached 20000. All bullish targets are met, the upper bull channel is broken and I expect this to be a bull trap rather than a breakout above with follow through. If nq trades above 20100, I am obviously wrong. Last two times we reached new highs we sold off for a couple of weeks and this is what I expect this time as well. Market will most likely pull back from here and then retest the ath again before we trade back to the smaller bull channel around 18500 or lower. current market cycle: 20000. Get a tattoo of that. key levels: 18000 - 20000 bull case: Bulls outdid themselves on this one. One for the history books. Can they get higher? Sure but I doubt it. Have nothing for them in this section. Move on. Invalidation is below 19000. bear case: Let’s see if they appear tomorrow. We should see a decent pullback to at least 19500 over the next days, follow by a retest of the ath, which should fail. A bigger two-legged correction should get us down to 18500 over the next days/weeks. On the bigger time frame all my bullish targets are met and all wave series ended between 19000 and 20000. Got nothing for the bulls here. Invalidation is above 20100. short term: Who buy’s this above 20000? Let’s see tomorrow. If they actually do, no idea where it can go. I expect a pullback to 19500 and the daily 20ema. medium-long term: This climactic blow off top was the grand finale of this bull trend. Perfect break above multiple patterns which I expect is a bull trap and we will test the various support lines next before the new bear trend will unfold over the next 3-9 months. current swing trade: Short 20000 until bulls manage to break 20100 or big profits. I will take profits and add to this position along the way. Chart update: This is my best guess on how the next 3-9 months will play out. Gave all the reasons above.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Short
by priceactiontds
3
Plan Your Trades - SPY Research For 6/17 & BeyondI put together this video to help traders plan and prepare for the next 30-60+ days - as we move into Q2:2024 earnings and pre-election consolidation. Every week, I spent hours going over my Custom Indexes, proprietary price modeling systems, sector analysis, and more. My goal is to help as many traders as possible prepare for the greatest opportunities of their life (the next 5 to 10+ years). I see so many traders getting trapped into following free or paid internet advice and blowing up their accounts. In my opinion, stick to the basics. Price is the ultimate indicator. Then, determine the true bias of price trend and identify strong candidates to profit within that trend. If you are a daytrader - you probably won't like my research/comments. I don't really daytrade much. I'm more of a swing trader - looking for 8% to 25% swings that take 3 to 20+ weeks to mature. Either way, this video will help you understand what to expect over the next 30-60+ days in the US/global markets. Prepare for a big move in late June or early July.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2
SPY Rallying to $608+. Are you ready?My research suggests the SPY will quickly rally above $560 and continue higher to breach $608 (a 100% Fibonacci measured move) before the end of August. The Q2:2024 earnings data and continued US economic strength will drive capital investments in US equities over the next 3+ months. Traders continue highlighting the risks related to US banking issues and the related downside price concerns. I also share these concerns - but continue to follow the price action simply. My analysis suggests the SPY will attempt to rally to levels close to $605+ before finding any major resistance.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
How will Stocks React to Inflation?The stock market's reaction to an inflation trend always involves a delay. Based on studies of the inflation trend, this delay is approximately 6 months. How about the inflation data month by month? Micro E-Mini Nasdaq Ticker: MNQ Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME_MINI:NQ1!Education
by konhow
2
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 9 - NQ1- (31st May 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions. A couple of things to note: - I cannot see news events. - I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range. - I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks In this session I will be analyzing E-mini NASDAQ, starting from the Weekly chart. - R2F
CME_MINI:NQ1!Education
by Road_2_Funded
NASDAQ. Weekly trading levels 27 - 31.05.2024During the week you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a transaction and its support is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation. Zones show preferred price ranges WHERE to look for an entry point into a trade. If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones. Levels are valid for a week, the date is in the title. Next week I will adjust the levels based on new data and publish a new post. ! Please note that brokers have a difference in quotes, take this into account when trading. The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :) ---------------------------------------------- I don’t play guess the direction (that’s why there are no directional arrows), but zones (levels) are used for trading. We wait for the zone to approach, watch the reaction, and enter the trade. Levels are drawn based on volumes and data from the CME. They are used as areas of interest for trading. Traded as classic support/resistance levels. We see the reaction to the rebound, we trade the rebound. We see a breakout and continue to trade on a rollback to the level. The worst option is if we revolve around the zone in a flat. Do not reverse the market at every level; if there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to continue the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern. Don't forget to like Rocket and Subscribe!!! Feedback is very important to me!
OANDA:NAS100USD
by Forex_Hoby
NASDAQ. Weekly trading levels 20 - 24.05.2024Indices are at highs. We haven’t been to the top yet, there’s no data there. If we update the historical maximum, we can find out more in the Daily Posts. During the week you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a transaction and its support is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation. Zones show preferred price ranges WHERE to look for an entry point into a trade. If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones. Levels are valid for a week, the date is in the title. Next week I will adjust the levels based on new data and publish a new post. ! Please note that brokers have a difference in quotes, take this into account when trading. The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :) ---------------------------------------------- I don’t play guess the direction (that’s why there are no directional arrows), but zones (levels) are used for trading. We wait for the zone to approach, watch the reaction, and enter the trade. Levels are drawn based on volumes and data from the CME. They are used as areas of interest for trading. Traded as classic support/resistance levels. We see the reaction to the rebound, we trade the rebound. We see a breakout and continue to trade on a rollback to the level. The worst option is if we revolve around the zone in a flat. Do not reverse the market at every level; if there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to continue the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern. Don't forget to like Rocket and Subscribe!!! Feedback is very important to me!
OANDA:NAS100USD
by Forex_Hoby
2