Perfect Range Clear Tradable Levels To Watch!Sometimes you just have to zoom out and look at which levels will produce the highest probability trade. if those levels do not get reached, then we should not trade them.
Lets see if price gets to these levels tomorrow and if so we know how to position ourselves.
Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade.
Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT.
Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts below!
This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
NQ
Are US Tariffs Similar To The COVID-19 Global DisruptionThis video is in response to a question asked by one of my followers on TradingView.
He specifically asked if the current US Tariffs create a similar situation to the COVID-19 supply disruptions and how it may result in longer-term market disruptions.
In this video, I try to answer these questions and highlight the differences I see related to what is happening now vs. the COVID-19 shutdown.
It is an interesting question.
I certainly see similarities, but I also see vast differences in terms of how the global markets are attempting to address the US tariff issues.
First, the current tariff issues are somewhat self-inflicted, not something like COVID-19 (unavoidable).
Second, the global central banks acted in concert to present immense liquidity to support a global shutdown with COVID. I don't see that happening right now.
Supply-side disruptions are evident, but we'll see how they play out over the next 60- 90+ days.
Longer-term, I hope these tariff issues are resolved before the global economy moves into a deeper recession. I will state that hard assets are likely to take a hit over the next 60-90+ days across the globe.
Any moderate (think 15 to 35%) slowdown in production, shipping, and consumption across the globe is going to be felt all over the planet. It is not going to be isolated to just one or two areas.
This is the smackdown that I don't believe anyone is really ready for. And that creates the urgency to resolve the tariff issues asap.
Hope this helps.
Get Some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Video For 4-17 : Another BLANK dayToday's BLANK pattern in counter-trend mode is nothing to worry about.
As I research and document these patterns, there are patterns that appear frequently on the Daily price chart and there are others that appear more infrequently.
If I have not already marked these patterns and documented them, they have not appeared anywhere in the 11+ years of the Daily price data I use within the Lookup Engine.
Therefore, these are VERY RARE types of patterns - Extremely infrequent.
I will add that the secondary looking criteria show yesterday and today could be similar to "key top/bottom" types of price rotation. So, I do believe the current price level on the SPY (520-535) could prove to be very critical support/resistance going forward.
Tomorrow is Good Friday (no trading). So if you are going to take any trades today, make sure you remember to plan your exits for TODAY or NEXT WEEK (or later). You will not be able to exit stock/ETF trades tomorrow (sorry).
Gold is moving into a Momentum Rally, and I really want to see how that pattern plays out before the long holiday weekend.
Fingers crossed we see a BIG RALLY again today.
BTCUSD is still rolling into a downward price trend based on my EPP pattern structure. This downward trend aligns with my May 2 Major Bottom pattern for the SPY/QQQ. So I would expect BTCUSD to start to roll downward sometime near the middle/end of next week.
Remember, this weekend should be about your family, your friends, and your beliefs.
Relax and enjoy.
Get some...
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-15 : BLANK pattern day.As I stated in this video, last night I looked through the data and could not find any reference for this pattern going back more than 11 years. Same thing for tomorrow's pattern.
That means these are very RARE pattern setups and we'll have to watch to see how price action plays out today.
If there were no reference points over 11+ years of Daily price data (more than 2500 Daily Price Bars), then this is something very unique.
I believe today will act like a Reversal Bar. Potentially rallying off a lower opening price and setting up a type of Gap Lower Rally type of pattern - but that is just a guess.
At this point, trade smaller quantities until we see how price reacts this morning.
Gold and Silver make a BIG MOVE overnight - breaking above the $3300/$33 levels I suggested were critical psychological levels.
This is an INCREDIBLE rally in metals (thanks, China).
At this point, if you were long metals like I was, you can thank me all you want.
Be aware that metals will likely pause a bit above this psychological level, then start to move higher again.
The next big target is $3600-$3750 for Gold.
Bitcoin is doing exactly what I stated it would do - rolling into a top as demand for BTCUSD wanes. I believe the next low for BTCUSD will be closer to $60k-$63k. Pay attention.
Going to be a good day for everyone holding Gold/Silver/Miners CALLS (like I kept suggesting).
GOT SOME.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-15 : Base Rally PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ have been busy forming a BASE and may transition into a moderate rally mode.
I believe this move will prompt the SPY to move above the $550 level, potentially targeting $555-565 over the next 48 hours.
This upward move could be related to news or Q1:2025 earnings.
I don't believe the markets really want to move downward at this time, although I do believe the markets will move into a topping pattern by the end of this week.
Gold and Silver are moving into BLANK pattern day, today. Given the fact that we are between rally patterns and the metals charts show a very clear FLAGGING formation (watch my video), I believe we are moving into a FLAG APEX that will prompt a move above $3300 (for Gold) and $33 (for Silver). It's just a matter of time.
BTCUSD is still struggling in the Consolidation phase. As I keep suggesting, I believe the next move for Bitcoin is to the downside. But, until we break this consolidation phase, price will continue to roll around within the consolidation range.
Remember, we are going to be moving back to more normal volatility. So you need to understand these huge daily ranges are going to vanish over the next 3-5+ days.
Volatility will likely move back to the 1% to 2.5% range very quickly.
Get some..
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-14 : Up-Down-Up PatternToday's pattern suggests the markets will move in a moderate upward price trend.
Although I don't expect anything huge today, I do believe the EPP structures/layers support this upward price move and that we'll see the SPY attempt to move back towards/above 550 over time.
The QQQ will likely follow the SPY higher over the next 5+ days.
Don't get too excited about this upward price move because it is structurally moving to setup a PEAK that will transition into a downtrend near April 22-25. This peak will create a downward price flag (a new inverted EPP) structure that will assist in developing a new sideways price structure carrying into June/July.
In other words, it looks like we are trapped between 480-585 on the SPY, and we will likely stay within that wide consolidation range for another 2-3 months.
Gold should attempt to rally this week, trying to break above $3300. I believe this is a critical level for Gold and also presents a breakaway level for Silver near $33.00
Bitcoin has moved into APEX VOLATILITY and will continue to trap BUYERS into believing BTCUSD is breaking away from the consolidation range. This is a BULL TRAP.
I believe BTCUSD will ROLL OVER within about 4-5 days - setting up a big breakdown move as the SPY/QQQ also roll downward in about 5+ days.
We still continue to see volatility and sideways price action. Still lots of opportunities for skilled traders.
Get Some..
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Overview For 4-12 : Thank youThis video is mostly a big thank you for all the great comments and questions over the past few weeks.
I've been posting these videos on TradingView for almost a year and the types of viewers/followers I've been gaining is incredible.
You guys & gals have really impressed me with your questions and engagement. Many of you follow me for months without ever commenting or asking any questions.
I received a call from a client/follower in Alberta last night and he reported last week's gains at over 300% by following my videos.
I received a message from another TV follower saying he's been following my videos for many months and, after a bad loss a few years back, he has decided to give trading another go.
I've stated it before and I'll keep saying it.. I'm not trying to scam you out of anything. I'm trying to show you the RIGHT SKILLS and TECHNIQUES for you to learn to become a better, more skilled trader.
The way I look at it is like this...
If I can teach you half of what I know and see on the charts, then you guys will be able to achieve so much greater success and have gained/retained the knowledge to do it on your own.
You watch me do it over and over on these charts. Guess what - you are LEARNING at the same time.
Now, after a couple of years of doing this and following my videos, you've GAINED an education on how to trade more efficiently, manage risk more efficiently, and achieve your trading goals (I hope).
Right now, I'm getting messages/comments from people saying they are making 200%, 300%, 500%, or more every week or two from my videos.
That is absolutely incredible. I just want to urge you to remember I'm not 100% perfect in predicting the markets. No one EVER really is 100% perfect at it.
In the long run, as long as you don't get super greedy, you'll survive any minor losses and live to trade another day.
That is probably the most important thing I can teach you - trade within a proper scale to your RISK LEVEL. Never BET THE FARM on your trades. Always have a 50% to 70% cash reserve.
Anyway. Thank you. I really appreciate all of you.
Hope you enjoy this video.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-11 : Break-Away in CarryoverToday's Break-away pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to move (break) away from yesterday's Body range. I believe this trend, after the recent Ultimate Low in price, will be to the upside.
I know a lot of people are asking, "why do you think the markets are going to rally now - after you suggested the markets would trend downward?"
Things have changed now that we have a 90-day pause in the tariff wars. Yes, China is still an issue - but the rest of the world seems to have a pause on the tariff wars as negotiations continue.
I believe the removal of the tariff pressure on the markets will result in a moderate upward trend as we move into Q1:2025 earnings season.
Still, I don't believe we will see new ATHs anytime soon. But I do believe the 580+ level on the SPY is a potential high price level that can be reached before the end of April 2025.
Gold and Silver are moving into a GAP trend move today. I believe the GAP will be to the upside and I believe Gold and Silver will continue to rally.
Silver is really low in terms of comparison to Gold. Silver could make a very big move to the upside over the next 30+ days.
BTCUSD is still consolidating into the narrow range I suggested would happen before the bigger breakdown event near the end of April (into early May).
Everything is playing out just as I expected. The big change is the removal of the tariffs for 75+ nations (for now). That will give the markets some room to the upside and we need to understand how price structure is playing out into an A-B-C wave structure.
Get some.
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Nasdaq is not done yet, dont be fooled! On Wednesday, April 9, 2025, the Nasdaq experienced a significant 15% surge, driven by news catalysts. This upward movement aligned with the price reaching the daily Fair Value Gap (FVG), effectively absorbing all internal liquidity at that level. The critical juncture now lies in how the Nasdaq (NQ) performs over the next few days. Should we see a retest and breach of the recent highs from this news-driven rally, it could signal a strong potential for the index to achieve new all-time highs (ATH). Conversely, if the momentum falters and fails to sustain these levels, a swift decline toward 16,000 could materialize, with a further potential downside target of 14,000.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-10 : FLAT-DOWN PatternToday's Flat-Down Pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will struggle to move away from yesterday's big open-close range.
Normally, I would suggest the Flat-Down pattern will be a small, somewhat FLAT price move.
But, after yesterday's big move, the Flat-Down pattern can really be anywhere within yesterday's Daily Body range.
So, we could see very wild volatility today. That means we need to be prepared for general price consolidation (which suggests somewhat sideways price trending) and be prepared for some potential BIG price trends within that consolidation.
These BIG price trends would be more like bursts of trending, while still staying somewhat consolidated overall.
Watch today's video to learn how the Excess Phase Peak pattern is dominating the trend right now (in the Consolidation Phase).
The same thing is happening in BTCUSD. BTCUSD has been in an EPP Consolidation phase for over 35+ days now.
Gold and Silver are setting up a CRUSH pattern today. That could be a VERY BIG move higher (or downward). Given my analysis of Gold acting like a hedge (a proper hedge for global risk levels), I believe today's move will EXPLODE higher.
Gold is already in an early-stage parabolic bullish price trend. When gold explodes above $3500, I believe it will quickly gain momentum towards the $5100 level.
Right now, Gold is recovering from the Tariff news and about to explode upward (above $3200) if we see this CRUSH pattern play out well.
Thank you again for all the great compliments. I'm just trying to share my knowledge and skills with all of you before I die. There is no need to carry all of this great information and technology to my grave.
So, follow along, ask questions, learn, and PROFIT while I keep doing this.
Get some.
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Where is the support level for Nasdaq?! Is the bloodbath over?Bearish fair value gap ranges are taking over this chart and when we rally up into them, they have been sending us down over and over.
This week we have had the advantage of a bearish gap from last week's low. This gave us clear reason to seek longs to fill the gap. Now we have a small cushion of long interest in this range after retesting the 2023 yearly candle's broken high.
As long as we remain above this yearly level--16.960ish (Using last year's low for NQ 17,570ish)-- we will see a neat consolidation and sitting upon these levels before the rally that may lead us out of this range.
That is what I expect, however, if we lose these levels, you already know we are headed to the dungeon of a true recession.
20 min breakdown:
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-9 : Top/Resistance UpdateToday's big rally, prompted by Trump's Tariff comments, presents a real learning opportunity for traders and followers of my videos.
Everyone wants to know what's going to happen next.
This video will tell you what I believe is NEXT for the markets and why.
It should also reinforce the construct that price is the ultimate indicator and the use of the EPP/Cradle patterns as a mechanism for using price structure to attempt to identify where opportunities may exist.
As much as this video is an analysis of price action and a prediction of what may come next, it is also a tutorial showing you how to use price patterns, structure and context to attempt to plan for your next opportunities.
Ideally, the next phase of the market is to establish a consolidation range.
If the 480-525 lower consolidation range does not hold - then it will likely become a precursor of the July breakdown (support) level. Remember, we still have the July/Oct lows to deal with.
I fully expect the 550-575 consolidation range to become the new dominant consolidation phase for the current EPP pattern.
It makes sense to me that, absent any crazy tariff war, the most likely outcome will be for the markets to recover back to the 550-575 level and to consolidate further.
The last component we have to consider is the recent lows near 480 could have been a very quick breakdown to an Ultimate Low. If that is the case, then we'll most into a mode of seeking the next higher resistance level and I believe the 550 or 575 level would be the obvious next resistance level.
So, at this point, I believe the continuation of the Excess Phase Peak pattern is likely, but the price is actively seeking the consolidation range between the lower consolidation level and the upper consolidation level.
Price MUST establish the consolidation range, or INVALIDATE this pattern, in order to move onto the next pattern/phase.
Get Some..
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NASDAQ Harmonic pattern indicating strong bounce incoming.AI vs. Dot-Com Bubble
When drawing parallels between #AI and the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s, many express concerns that current valuations may be excessively inflated. However, significant differences are apparent.
To begin with, the current price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of the NASDAQ-100 is approximately 30, whereas during the dot-com bubble, it skyrocketed to 200, with many companies lacking any earnings in sight.
Additionally, the market capitalisation to #GDP ratio reached unprecedented levels in the late 1990s, while today's figures, although still high, are supported by robust earnings and solid cash flows from established business models.
Innovations in AI, cloud computing, and digital transformation have fuelled revenue growth, exemplified by #NVIDIA's data centre sales, which surged 409% year-over-year in Q4 2024, and Microsoft's Azure, which experienced a 28% year-over-year increase in 2024. This surge in productivity is being driven by individuals, businesses, and governments alike.
As a result, major tech firms are making substantial investments in AI research and development, with clear strategies for monetisation.
AI is poised to become a transformative force, akin to the transistor, a groundbreaking invention that scales effectively and permeates various sectors of the economy.
Lastly, the Federal Reserve raised interest #rates to 6.5% to tackle inflation after previously lowering them to address Y2K concerns before the bubble burst in 2000.
In contrast, current expectations suggest that interest rates will stabilise or decrease, which would support valuations.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-9 : Top/Resistance PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to move a bit higher in early trading - trying to identify a resistance area. Then, roll over into a downward price trend.
Be cautious of the overnight price range, potentially already setting the upper boundary of the TOP pattern for today. It can happen that overnight trading sets a PEAK/TOP, and we move into sideways/downward trading related to the current TOP/Resistance pattern.
I believe the US markets will attempt to move upward, toward the $490-500+ level before topping out today. I believe this move will be related to the strong support near the $480 level and will attempt to further establish the downward price channel established by the big breakdown in trend over the past 9+ days.
Ultimately, I believe price is struggling for direction, but I also believe this process (with tariffs) is working out as expected.
This is obviously a very volatile market - so stay cautious as we move into a more consolidated price trend over the next few weeks.
I don't expect the markets to try to make any really big moves over the next 2+ week (unless news hits). At this point, I believe the markets will try to UNWIND the volatility over the next 2+ weeks.
BTCUSD is trading near the lower range of the consolidation phase. This could be the start of the breakdown to the Ultimate Low.
GOLD and Silver are moving higher after forming the base (just as I expected). Metals will likely rally strongly as global fear elevates.
Thank you for all the great comments. I'll try to publish a few new videos today and tomorrow to help everyone out.
Remember, price gives us new information every minute/bar. It is a matter of unraveling the puzzle with price - one bar at a time.
If you like what I do, follow along.
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Trumpenomics - Market Volitility - How low will it go?What we know:
When Trump entered office he said the stock market was too high and he was not investing in the markets.
The Tariffs have caused volatility and a decline in the markets.
Market drops in the past have been between 30% and 60%.
How far do you think the market will drop this time?
European session - Futures, another day down?Each morning I connect at 9am italian time. I look at Asian indexes, then FTMIB, FDAX to see how Europe is responding to the tariffs story.
I start watching ES NQ YM GC CL in early US premarket. If volatility is good we can have some shots otherwise waiting for news (often 8:30 ET ) or 9:30 US open.
This morning is a waiting for me.
FTMIB is rejecting now the 33000 JLInes but too early to start trading it.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 4-8 : Absolute PerfectionThank you. Thank you to all of you who follow my videos and believe in my research.
The last few days/weeks have been absolutely incredible.
My SPY Cycle Patterns, on average, are about 70-80% accurate over a 12-month span of time. There are things, like news and big events (elections, outside forces, big news) that can disrupt any market trend and completely invalidate my SPY Cycle Patterns.
But, when the markets are generally left to their own accord, the SPY Cycle Patterns play out almost perfectly.
Yes, traders need to learn to adopt a PLAN A vs. PLAN B mentality with my SPY Cycle Patterns.
If Brad is right - this will happen. And if Brad is wrong, the opposite will likely happen.
But, the comments I've been receiving over the past 20+ days have been incredible.
Thank you.
Knowing that I'm reaching a larger group of people now (than when I started doing these videos about a year ago) and knowing that some of you are really seeing some BIG GAINS following my research is simply incredible.
I started doing these videos to prove my research and tools were incredible solutions for traders. But, at the same time, I started doing this to combat some of the scammers that are out there.
In my world, watching people (or hearing from them) after they've been scammed a couple of times is heartbreaking.
Most people put a lot of time and effort into trying to become skilled traders. I get it.
That's why I'm doing this - to show you the right path and to show you that price is the ultimate indicator.
Again, thank you from the bottom of my heart. Keep sending me those success stories and...
GET SOME.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update 4-8 : Counter Trend Bottom/RallyThis video was created to help you better understand why it is important to WAIT for the SPY Cycle Patterns to setup efficiently.
It is critically important that all of you learn the three basic rules of trading.
1. Never try to force a position/trade. If your research tells you some type of price event/trend is likely - don't jump into the trade too early. Wait for confirmation and wait for price to confirm your analysis is correct.
2. Start with a small position. Never GO BIG on your initial trade. If you are wrong, you can manage the trade with a small win/loss. If price moves in the direction you expect, you can add more once you get confirmation the trend will continue (potentially).
3. BOOK PROFITS early and keep BOOKING PROFITS as the trend continues higher. You can always get back into the trade with CALL/PUT options - but if you don't learn to BOOK PROFITS EARLY (20-30% profits in the trade), then you'll very likely FAIL to build your account efficiently.
(Trust me, #3 is VERY IMPORTANT)
Beyond these three simple concepts, one of the most important aspects of trading with my SPY cycle patterns is to learn to WAIT for the pattern to setup efficiently.
Today is a great example.
The BOTTOM/Rally Start pattern was in Counter-trend mode. Thus, I expected it to be INVERTED - turning it into a TOP/Selloff Start pattern.
In order for that pattern to play out, we needed to see the markets open higher (and potential trend higher for a bit of time), then roll over into a top pattern. After that tops pattern setup, the markets should continue to move into a moderate selloff trend (downward).
Think about it. Were you smart trying to SELL INTO the rally this morning or were you smart to wait for the ROLLOVER and sell into the breakdown trend?
IMO, smart traders waited for the top to setup/confirm and started selling as we got into the breakdown trend phase.
Again, I'm trying to help you learn to become a better trader.
I hope this video helps.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4/8 : Bottom/Rally Start - CounterFirst off, today's pattern is in a COUNTER TREND mode. Think of that as the pattern being INVERTED to the current price trend.
Next, the Bottom/Rally Start pattern is usually a base/bottom type of pattern that prompts a fairly strong bullish/rally phase in price.
This time, because it is inverted (in Counter-trend mode) and is forming within the broad consolidation phase of the current EPP pattern, I believe this Bottom/Rally Start pattern will really be a Top/Selloff start type of pattern.
Where price will find resistance in early trading, form a rollover top, and start to move back downward towards the 500-505 level on the SPY.
I don't believe this downward price move will attempt to break below 480-485 today. I believe today's move will be a moderate pullback in the trend.
Although any BIG news could disrupt the current support near $480, so be aware that any big news event could crush the markets (again) and send the SPY trying to retest the $480 support level.
Gold and Silver appear to be basing - perfect. I'm watching for Metals to really start to reflect the FEAR in the markets and rally above $3200 (Gold)/$39 (Silver).
BTCUSD appears trapped in the breakdown stage of the current EPP Consolidation phase and the new CRADLE pattern. No matter how I try to identify if I'm wrong with BTCUSD, I keep seeing the breakdown as the more dominant trend.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade EOD Review : POP PatternToday's pattern played out perfectly.
I'm really amazed that the SPY rallied up to my resistance level ($520-525) and stalled/bottomed exactly near my $480 support.
Absolutely PERFECT reflection of the data I presented this morning and from my research over the weekend.
Now, if my analysis is correct, we move into a sideways consolidation pattern for the next 3+ weeks where price will attempt to establish a range (moving slightly downward in trend) before we get to the late-June breakdown (setting up the July 2025 low), then another big breakdown in October 2025.
I can't tell you how pleased I am with the comments and messages I get every day. Some of you are KILLING IT and I'm so happy to be able to help.
Remember, we are all trying to find the best way to profit from these market trends. So remember to share your success with others and let them know how to find the best tools for trading (on TradingView).
Now, let's get busy trying to get ready for the next phase of this market trend (which will come in June).
I'll keep you updated.
Get some.
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NQ volatility likely to persist until retest of 13k buy zonechart shows it all...expect more volatility this month, likely a retest of 61.8 fib level at 15k & 78.6 fib levels (based on lows from 2023) near 13k before we finally run to the highs again into 2026!
tariffs have similar impact as rate hikes...overall will be digested by markets just fine & we'll head back to the highs as fed sees more freedom to cut given those effects...very incentivized to prevent a "hard landing" economically without also boosting inflation too much, so this is all actually a good thing if you can see it :)
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-7 : POP In Counter Trend ModeToday's POP pattern in Counter Trend mode suggests the markets will find support and attempt to POP upward a bit.
I expect the SPY to attempt to reach levels above 505 today. Possibly trying to peak near 510.
The same thing will happen with the QQQ - a potential rally (POP) higher targeting the 420-425 level.
Watch this video TWICE if you really want to understand what is taking place in the markets right now.
The tariff issue will settle over the next 15+ days. The SPY/QQQ are moving into the EPP Consolidation Phase (just like I've been telling you for months now).
BTCUSD is moving into a BREAKDOWN phase and will likely target $63k over the next 30+ days.
Gold and Silver reacted to the breakdown of the SPY/QQQ as they always do - PANIC SELLING.
Now that the panic selling pressure appears to be subsiding, Gold and Silver should build a base and begin an explosive move higher - targeting $4200-4500 for gold and targeting $41-44 for silver.
We live in exciting times and I still believe the US markets will DOUBLE or TRIPLE over the next 5-10+ years.
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