NASDAQ: my view for Intraday and SwingHi Traders,
This is my view for this week on
NASDAQ
I remind you that this is only a forecast based on what current data are.
Therefore the following signal will be activated only if specific rules are strictly respected.
I really hope you liked this content and I would like to know what do you think about this analysis, so please use the comment section below to give me your point of view.
Pit
DISCLAIMER:
Trading activity is very dangerous. All the contents, suggestions, strategies, videos, images, trade setups and forecast, everything you see on this website and are the result of my personal evaluations and was created for educational purposes only and not as an incentive to invest. Do not consider them as financial advice.
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NQ
NQ Reverts Off 618 Support ($11,6389)If you are short, stay very cautious.
This base/bottom in the NQ may be the start of a breakout rally phase after months of consolidation below a strong downward sloping trend line.
Far too many people are failing to understand the market dynamics at play right now. Shorts are getting slaughtered as the reversion/reflation trade is happening.
Follow my research. This is just getting started.
MNQ struggling to break resistance. Launchpad setting upIf you trade the MICROS, like me, then you'll want to be cautiously aware of a key Flag/APEX pattern setting up in the MNQ.
Any breakout above the PURPLE resistance channel may prompt a strong upside price rally after February 12th or so.
Pay attention to the volatility over the next 10+ days as the ES/NQ/YM are likely to struggle and become wildly volatile as price attempts to break free of the downward trend channels.
If you have not been following my research, please check out my other TradingView posts and other resources.
The next 5+ years are going to be very surprising for traders/investors.
Get ready for a Wave-5 rally.
SPY New High - likely headed higher.Are you following my research yet?
Check out my SPY Cycle Patterns and decide for yourself if my predictions are accurate:
SPY Cycle Patterns for this week:
1/15/2023 GAP Potential
1/16/2023 GAP-Reversal
1/17/2023 Breakdown201
1/18/2023 POP
1/19/2023
1/20/2023 BaseRally301
1/21/2023 Break-Away
1/22/2023 Rally-111
1/23/2023 Carryover
1/24/2023 Inside-Breakaway
1/25/2023 Harami-Inside
1/26/2023 CRUSH
1/27/2023 Rev-Rally
Now, using traditional Fibonacci price modeling, we can see the recent support level held and a New High was reached.
This indicates the SPY will likely attempt a bit of consolidation/rotation over the next 4+ days, but will likely rally even higher in early Feb.
Follow my research. It's simple and easy to follow.
NQ/MNQ Futures Reaction AreasOn this chart are the reaction areas for the NQ, MNQ, NDX at least for the first part of the week.
I wanted to release this before the Sunday open because it might help for the overnight session.
All levels or areas have short descriptions.
I published this on a 30m chart (structure) because it really provides a good mix between my standard intraday (5m) timeframe and the 60m golden timeframe.
What is clear here is the zone between 12,000 - 12,9000 doesn't provide many high-probability reaction areas.
As usual, the focus for the week should be momentum and how well that is being held up, especially given the close on Friday. It was clear the market wanted to recapture the weekly open and it did just that.
Any downward move has to find support at some key reaction zone; otherwise, sentiment will shift against a continued upside move.
11,100 or so, really that key battle zone. If the price gets here and how it reacts will be key. Watching how the 60m momentum and bias hold LONG will be key going into the first few days of this trading week.
As far as known news events, Thursday is the big day. So as the week develops, plotting where Thursday wants to test and close will be key. I'll update this idea as we go along this week.
Aspects to Retail to Market Maker Trading Alignment Inventory management for market makers is generally relative to the amount of contracts that can be liquidated for cash on spot. Market makers need to ensure that they have enough cash available to meet their obligations, including the potential need to buy or sell securities or derivatives to provide liquidity to the market.
When a market maker holds a large position in a security or derivative, it must be able to convert that position into cash quickly and at a stable price in order to meet its obligations. This is particularly important in situations where the market maker needs to meet margin requirements or respond to unexpected market movements.
As a result, market makers typically use a variety of techniques to manage their inventory and ensure that they have enough cash available to meet their obligations. This includes monitoring the market conditions, adjusting the bid and ask prices, and using hedging strategies to reduce the risk of holding a large position in a security or derivative.
In summary, market makers' inventory management is generally relative to the amount of contracts that can be liquidated for cash on spot, they need to ensure that they have enough cash available to meet their obligations, including the potential need to buy or sell securities or derivatives to provide liquidity to the market. Market makers use a variety of techniques to manage their inventory and ensure that they have enough cash available to meet their obligations, including monitoring the market conditions, adjusting the bid and ask prices, and using hedging strategies to reduce the risk of holding a large position in a security or derivative.
.... and Im bullish until the Market suggest otherwise. For Friday At least.
NQ UpdateRSI hit overbought, looks like it pulled back.
ECB and Fed speakers tomorrow. Not sure what the pump is all about this morning since I'm not trading, but I might take a stab at some put options overnight.
I don't have much faith in the central banks actually doing their jobs correctly, so going light. Either way, I wouldn;t hold any long positions tonight.
SPY Swing Long on ReversalSPY dropped to a mid Fib level from the recent pivot high and bounced.
Price is now rising in a channel predictive for a 1% rise tomorrow.
The ADX indicator shows the negative direction reversed and now positive
and rising out of the chop zone confirms the reversal as a solid one not
a fake out as does the MACD with a crossover under the histogram
I will trade this with strike 392 calls for expiration this Friday expectant
for 25+% return in two days
ES Looking For Support Near 3920 - Then LIFTOFFPay attention. Today will likely be a large range bar - possibly with a deep low near 3920.
My SPY cycle patterns call today a "Major CRUSH". That means we could see a very large price range today.
Combined with other SPY Cycle patterns, I believe the ES will attempt to establish a base/bottom - retesting recent lows.
As we move into 2023, be aware that cycle trends have shifted. We are entering a Wave-5 bullish price trend.
This Wave-5 trend may not result in new all-time highs this year, but we should see a solid recovery/reversion back to the upside.
There are still risks related to the global banking/credit system, so stay cautious of crisis events.
Follow my research. Pay attention to the clear market data - not the perma-bears that continue to tell you a "major crash" is about to happen.
After today, we move into more bullish consolidation as Earnings start to hit.
SPY Fibonacci & TA. Bullish Target Above $410.For everyone interested:
Expect volatility to be king over the next few weeks (earnings and economic data).
SPY reaching a major APEX in price trend. It is very likely to resolve to the upside, but that means we have to be prepared for "false breakouts".
Fibonacci price trends suggest current trend is BULLISH (closing GAPS). The upper GAP may be the next target on a strong rally phase.
Don't play around with this trend. If you are SHORT - PROTECT YOUR CAPITAL.
Economic data continues to suggest the US markets will resolve to the upside if inflation trends continue to weaken.
Follow my research & videos.
I've been trying to warn you about the start of a Wave-5 rally for more than 5+ months.