SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-20 : BozuTrending Counter-TrendToday's Bozu Trending bar in counter-trend mode could be very exciting.
Bozu trending bars are typically relatively large and represent a strong price trend.
As we move closer to the upper GAP window, we may see the SPY rally through that window today—or we may see the SPY pull downward, away from that GAP, and attempt to retest support near 552.
Please watch today's video because the Counter-Trend mode of the Bozu pattern suggests we may see a downward price bar today.
I've highlighted two key price areas we need to watch regarding which direction the SPY will attempt to trend today. If we stay within those two price levels - price will stay muted today.
Otherwise, I expect the markets to BIAS to the upside but counter-trend to the downside.
It should be an interesting day for trading.
Gold is RIPPING and Bitcoin appears ready for a ripper rally.
Get some.
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NQ
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-19 : Gap Potential (Consolidation)This short video shows you why I believe the US markets will move into a consolidation phase over the next 5-7 days. This phase will likely represent moderate volatility with a Bozu Trending bar on Tuesday (8-20).
That Bozu Trending bar may be very explosive in price range.
Sit back, wait for the lows to setup over the next 5+ days and position your trades for the bigger Vortex rally phase setting up in about 7+ days.
If my research is correct, by 8-26 or so, we should be moving back into the Vortex Rally phase again.
Gold, Bitcoin, Silver, SPY, QQQ and others will likely consolidate this week unless there is big news.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 8-16 : Inside BreakawayThe move in the SPY today is very consistent with my Inside Breakaway SPY Cycle Pattern.
Additionally, the move in Gold is exactly what I predicted would happen over two weeks ago. A dual-leg rally up to $2550.
Now, we'll watch Gold rally above $2600 as this second leg appears to have considerable momentum.
As we close out the week, I do suspect the SPY will attempt to create a right-shoulder for an inverted Head-n-Shoulder pattern next week. So, be prepared for the SPY to possibly consolidate and move downward a bit before attempting another rally phase.
My SPY Cycle Patterns tend to agree with this changing cycle phase in the SPY - so there is some consistency related to a right-shoulder setup.
Overall, this has been a tremendous week for traders.
My research has continued to deliver great results for my followers and the big move in Gold has been incredible.
Next week, we'll do it again.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 8-16 : Gold Rips - Stocks StallThis video highlights why I believe today's Inside Breakaway may come with some surprises.
As Gold rips higher (check out my recent Gold videos) and the SPY really broke higher yesterday with a huge upward GAP and rally, I believe the SPY will stall a bit today and attempt to move higher near the end of the trading day today.
I don't believe the markets go straight up or straight down.
This big Deep-V recovery has run into resistance and I believe an inverted Head-n-Shoulders is likely to setup.
You'll see what I'm talking about in today's video.
What this means for SPY traders is to stay cautious today. Short - Quick trades will be the key to success.
Don't get married to any bigger, longer-term swings in price today.
It is all about getting in and out quickly and efficiently.
Gold, on the other hand, could rally to $2620 or higher over the next 5+ trading days.
Watch the US Dollar and BTCUSD as the Hedge Trade appears to be very active right now.
Get some.
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US100 (NASDAQ) Outlook ICT ConceptsUS100 (NASDAQ) Analysis
💡 Previous Analysis Review:
In the previous analysis, we noted the importance of price action around key liquidity zones. The market has now expanded higher, sweeping a significant Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) and approaching a critical resistance area.
📍Current Market Overview:
The NASDAQ (US 100) is currently trading at 19,497.2, having recently swept a Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) level. The market is now positioned near the highs, indicating a potential reversal or continuation, depending on how price reacts in this zone.
🔍 Identifying Key Levels
• PMH (Previous Month High): 20,800.0
• PWL (Previous Week Low): 17,235.0
• PML (Previous Month Low): 17,570.0
• SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity): Multiple levels visible around 18,180.0 and 17,940.0
• BSL (Buy-Side Liquidity): Recently swept near the current price.
📊 Key Considerations
• BSL Sweep: The recent sweep of BSL suggests that a significant amount of liquidity has been captured. This could lead to a retracement if the market fails to push higher.
• FVG and Reversal Potential: Though not directly visible in the provided chart, any failure to maintain higher prices after this liquidity sweep could signal a strong sell-off.
• Low Resistance Liquidity Sweeps: For both bullish and bearish scenarios, it’s crucial to monitor lower time frame liquidity sweeps:
• For a bearish scenario, additional BSL needs to be taken and a failure to break higher could indicate a reversal.
• For a bullish scenario, if an SSL is swept and the market holds above the current level, it might target the PMH.
📈 Bullish Scenario
A bullish scenario might unfold if:
• SSL Sweep and Hold: If the market sweeps an SSL and holds above the current level, it could indicate that the market is ready to target higher levels, including the PMH.
• Continuation Higher: A successful hold above the BSL sweep could lead to an exploration of higher price zones, particularly towards the PMH.
📉 Bearish Scenario
A bearish scenario could develop if:
• Failure at Current Levels: If the market fails to hold above the BSL sweep and shows signs of reversal, it could lead to a significant retracement.
• FVG Rejection (if applicable): Any rejection at a nearby FVG could further confirm a bearish move, with targets at SSL levels or lower.
📊 Chart Analysis Summary
• Bullish Expectation: A hold above the current level, especially after an SSL sweep, could lead to a continuation towards higher targets like the PMH.
• Bearish Expectation: A failure to maintain higher prices post-BSL sweep, with a subsequent reversal, could lead to a sell-off targeting SSL and lower zones.
📝 Conclusion:
The recent sweep of Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) puts the market at a pivotal point. Monitoring the reactions around this level and lower time frame liquidity sweeps will be crucial. Both bullish and bearish scenarios are on the table, with the market's ability to hold or reject current levels being the deciding factor.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 8-15 : Where's The Counter-Trend MoveIn this video, I explain how news or data-driven events can substantially obscure the SPY Cycle Pattern price trends.
My SPY Cycle Patterns are predictions based on Fibonacci & Gann cycles. They attempt to predict typical market price characteristics and trends.
When some outside news, data, or other event hits that changes market dynamics enough to drive price in a stronger upward or downward trend, the SPY Cycle Patterns may invalidate or get skewed behind the momentum of the "event" trend.
With today's price bar, I believe the closing of the European markets (near Noon in NY) and the end of lunch in NY have a much better chance of seeing prices fall back into the counter-trend Carryover pattern I predicted for today.
That means, this afternoon, we may see price roll downward and attempt to move back towards support - just like I would typically expect to see with a counter-trend Carryover pattern.
Let's see what happens.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-15 : Huge Bullish Gap On DataPlease take a minute to watch this video and try to understand why this big bullish price gap is data-related.
Today, the data suggests Retail and Manufacturing are still clicking right along.
We are not seeing any big decline in the US economy, and that means the US Fed will not consider dropping rates as inflation levels seem to be elevated.
This is also part of why I believe the US economy will "decouple" from many global economies over the next 12 to 24+ months.
If you remember, I suggested a VORTEX RALLY would start near the end of July 2024.
Well, guess what is happening now?
The US markets are setting up a BASE for the Vortex Rally. We are not in lift-off mode yet. We still need to be cautious of any potential news event (political or otherwise) ahead of the US POTUS election.
Once we approach or pass the US 2024 election, I think we'll be able to be more aggressive about continuing the Vortex Rally phase.
FYI, I will be flipping to BULLISH tomorrow.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-15 : Counter-Trend CarryoverA Counter-Trend Carryover pattern is a "coasting" of price in an opposite trend direction.
So, for today, I expect the price to stay somewhat within yesterday's range while trending downward.
I don't expect yesterday's lows to be broken/breached - although it could happen.
I believe today will be more like a pause in price before attempting another move higher.
Today's pause may be very mellow in structure/size.
I believe the SPY/QQQ are biased to the upside, so I expect this price pause to stay above recent support levels.
Watch this video to see why I believe the recent upper range of the Gap will act as firm support for an upward price move into next week.
We have to wait for the markets to return to Trending mode.
60% of trading is WAITING for the opportune setups.
Get some.
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NQ / NASDAQ📉 NQ1! Analysis: Potential Short-Term Correction 🚨
The NQ1! chart indicates a potential pullback as we approach the key date of August 22, 2024. The current trend suggests that the market might experience a decline, with a local bottom expected around this date.
Traders should prepare for a possible correction, which could provide an optimal entry point for those looking to position themselves ahead of the next potential rebound.
#NQ #Nasdaq #StockMarket #Trading #MarketAnalysis
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-14 : SPY 8 Day ForecastAt the request of one of my followers, he asked what to expect going forward into next week for his swing trading efforts.
That is one of the great things about my SPY Cycle Patterns - they can assist in "what may happen" if we consider them somewhat accurate and reflect future price bar characteristics.
So, to help him and others, I looked at the rest of this week and next week to highlight what I believe is the most logical outcome for the SPY for the next eight trading days.
I will warn you that my expectations may not efficiently represent price range (or price target objectives). I've learned that I may expect price to move to a level or area and watch it move well beyond my expected target levels.
So, be aware that price may rally or contract well beyond the levels I'm showing on this chart.
What should be somewhat accurate is the SPY Cycle Pattern prediction of how price will react each day.
I find these Cycle Patterns to be about 75-85% accurate as long as some outside news or crisis event drives prices in some panic trend.
That said, here is an outline of what I expect to see happen over the next 8+ days on the SPY.
I hope you enjoy it.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-14 : 540 Support Set For RallyPlease watch the other morning video I created before the markets opened.
I suggested the SPY would move downward and try to find support between 539-540.
It looks like the SPY has established a low just above 540 in early trading and I believe this low may have set the BASE PRICE for the day.
Obviously, price could continue to push down into the 539 area, but, it promising on my charts that price is contracting, pulling downward a bit, in the midst of a SPY Cycle Pattern RALLY day.
Now, we need to see how the RALLY is going to setup and if we are going to attempt to move above 545-546 today.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-14 : Today Is A RALLY DayToday is a RALLY day on my SPY Cycle Patterns.
After the recent base/bottom in the SPY and the subsequent reversion to the upside - I expect today's rally to be somewhat muted in size. I'm not expecting a large range rally bar to form today - although it could happen.
The reason I'm not expecting a huge rally bar today is because we've already seen a very strong upward price move - particularly yesterday's Breakaway pattern.
I see the markets right now: they've already moved substantially higher (more than 61% of the recent downtrend) and are likely to stall out a bit before attempting to move higher.
Price never moves in a straight upward or downward trend. There are always pauses, pullbacks, or countertrends along the broader price trend, and traders need to expect them as the broader trend plays out.
Today, I'm expecting the price to attempt to melt upward but, at the same time, reflect a "pause" in the rally phase—essentially, slow down the rally phase a bit.
I do believe the IWM (Russell 2000 ETF) may offer traders a great opportunity. The undervalued sectors have been weaker than the main US Indexes. The Russell may trend broadly higher today in an attempt to play "catch-up" with the other indexes.
Gold may be making another big move higher - possibly starting the second leg upward.
Get some.
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The Rip you Short? or the last Dip to buy?Last week's decline DID NOT BREACH THE APRIL LOWS . To be 100% objective, as long as price is above the April lows, we still retain the ability to make one more high. That is the purple arrow on the above chart. Price will need to breach 5587 in pretty much a straight shot now, as this would be a wave 3. However, that is not my primary analysis.
My primary analysis is the ES Futures market is in the final stages of it's minute circle b-wave. that should complete in the target box on the chart. From there, price should be declining in minute circle c-of Minor A. In the ES that should be in the area of the April lows, or slightly below 5,000.
Best to all,
Chris
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update 8-13 : Perfect Breakaway RallyToday's SPY Cycle Pattern, the Breakaway in Trending mode, appears to have been a perfect call for today's price action.
We have seen an impressive rally take place all morning long.
I know it's hard to believe my SPY Cycle Patterns can predict a market trend/rally like this, especially when you consider these predictions are made months and years in advance.
But when you look at how price plays out most of the time, these patterns actually predict market price characteristics as long as some type of panic or crisis mode doesn't intervene.
Tomorrow's rally pattern should be more like what we see today.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 8-13: Breakaway GAP RALLYWatching the markets this morning, it was very clear the SPY Cycle Pattern prediction of a breakaway pattern setup cleanly with the morning bullish price gap.
Now, we get to watch as the markets struggle to move above recent resistance channels (and Fib retracement levels) as the Vortex Rally base continues to build.
I find it very interesting to watch so many other analysts continue to predict a CRASH.
What changed over the past 5+ weeks?
- A different candidate for the elections?
-- the US elections were in question many months ago.
- Bank Of Japan indicating they need to aggressively support the YEN?
-- the US Fed rate hikes were already putting pressure on global currencies and economies.
- Conflicts in the ME (as that situation continues to work itself out)?
-- The Israel conflict has been ongoing for more than 40+ years. Israel is doing what it must to defend itself from multiple aggressors.
- What else?
I simply don't get why so many other people seem to think the US markets are, somehow, going to absorb all of these foreign market economic & currency issues.
So what, Asian currencies weaken further over the next 24-36 months. How does that detract from the US economy?
So what, the Canadian dollar weakens further and their economy moves into a recession. If you remember correctly, the Canadian economy was super-heated pre and post-COVID (at about 150% of the US economy). It is almost essential for the Canadian economy to contract after a massive speculative bubble.
So what, other foreign markets struggle to defend their economies and currency values as we shift/settle into a more defined global structure. The decoupling of these global economies is actually a very healthy component of what is taking place throughout the globe - monetary contraction.
We need to see this type of monetary contraction in order to move into an organic growth phase. The US Fed and global central banks kept the world's economies on a high over the past 10+ years with easy rates. Now, we need to settle back into more normal rate/economic function.
And I still believe the US economy is the strongest, most dynamic, and most capable of growing over the next 24-36 months while the rest of the globe "settles into a base".
Get ready for a Vortext Rally in the US/US-Dollar.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-13 : Breakaway May Pause A BitThis morning's video covers the SPY, QQQ, Gold, Bitcoin, IWM, and more.
I suspect today's Breakaway pattern will result in a moderate pause before the markets attempt to move higher.
I still believe the US markets are shifting (decoupling) from global markets a bit, and we are amid a mild "shakeout."
I believe the US markets must settle (establish a base) before the rally can continue.
Ultimately, what has changed over the past 90 days is nothing other than the fact that we have a new dynamic in US politics, and the BOJ has warned that the US Fed's rate decisions may put extreme pressure on foreign currencies.
Get ready for a bit of a sideways slide before the markets resume trending (I believe upward) again.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 8-12 : SPY 10 Min Flagging/BreakoutThis update shows you why I believe the SPY will resolve the current Flag formation into an upward price trend.
The Vortex Rally base will likely continue to setup over the next 5+ days. But the 531-532 level on the SPY is proving to be a strong support area and as long as this level is not broken - we should see the SPY attempt to rally back above 545-550.
It is all about timing the move and staying patient while the SPY/QQQ settle near this base.
I'll continue to post more updates as price trends.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 8-12: Vortex Base Building This is a quick update suggesting that the upward momentum in the US markets appears to be fairly strong. But I urge my followers to stay cautious.
The markets are not "cleared for lift-off" yet. We still have numerous Fibonacci resistance levels to break, and we could see the markets move into a broad sideways FLAG formation or break downward again to establish a deeper low.
Within this video, I share what I believe is essential for the markets to move into a confirmed "lift-off" mode.
Please be patient. If we stay patient and protect capital, there will be many opportunities for big swing trades.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-12: Gap/Breakaway PatternWatch this video to learn why the Vortex Rally is building a base and why it is important that price stay above the 0.382 and 0.50 Fibonacci price levels as the base forms.
You'll see how these Fibonacci price structures are key components to all of my research and how to use them efficiently.
Fibonacci Price Theory teaches us price is always attempting to reach new highs and/or new lows. Additionally, price moves in only two modes : Trending or Flagging.
When you completely understand the mechanics of price and how price attempts to operate (see above), then you can pick apart charts very easily.
Currently, price is moving higher (establishing new higher highs) and may attempt to break through the downward 0.382 & 0.50 ceilings as the Vortex Rally base continues to build.
Stay cautious this week as we may see extended price volatility. There will be a huge opportunity (sweet spot) for traders over the next 60+ days to catch more of this big Vortex Rally phase.
Get some
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SPY/QQQ/GOLD Plan Your Trade - New Week Aug 12~16+Thank you for all the boosts and likes. I'm trying my best to deliver informative and intelligent information for traders to learn to make their own decisions.
My goal is to teach you the skills to become better at identifying and selecting better opportunities for profits. Not to be right all the time - that's impossible.
But, to learn to manage risk levels, trade more efficiently, plan your trades, and to execute better trades with detailed information and guidance.
I hope I'm achieving those goals for all of you.
Some of the comments have been wonderfully supportive. Of course I'm not right 100% of the time - no one is. I'm simply trying to provide the best analysis I can to help you plan and prepare for better trades.
This video discusses what I expect from the markets over the next 5~10+ days.
I believe the markets need to retest support before shifting into the new Vortex Rally phase.
We need to watch Gold/Silver, the Transportation Index, Crude Oil, the US-Dollar, and how the SPY/QQQ react over the next 5+ days.
It will be interesting to see how things play out.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 9-9 Update : SPY Must Rally Above 532This is a quick update related to the Inside Breakaway Pattern today.
The SPY must attempt to break above 532 in order to attempt a rally up to 539-542.
I really believe the SPY is primed to move into a Ripper Rally phase between now and the end of next week.
I will urge the Make-Or-Break (525-526) is still in play.
If the SPY falls below 525 - the trend flips to BEARISH
If the SPY stays above 525 - the trend is BULLISH.
So, we need to see how today plays out. But, I believe a Ripper Rally is primed and ready to go where the SPY could rally up into the 540+ level very easily.
It may play out as a rally to 545++ by mid-next week - but we may see it start today.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-9 : Inside Breakaway VolatilityToday's Inside Breakaway pattern requires price to open within the body of yesterday's candle. Therefore, we need to see price move below $530.65 before the 930 opening bell in NY.
If this happens, then the Inside Breakaway pattern is ready to play out, and I believe we have a much stronger chance (about 75%) for the price to rally higher today (leaving only about a 25% chance for a broader market pullback).
The Current Flag formation on the SPY (and other major symbols) may present an extended range of volatility today and on Monday.
I'm suggesting today's Inside Breakaway pattern will resolve to the upside. But I'm also warning there is about a 30% chance the markets will FLUSH-OUT to the downside today before resolving back into a Bullish price trend.
The reason I'm making this suggestion/warning is because of the Flag pattern that is currently playing out. The closer we move toward the Flag Apex, the more likely we will see broader price volatility and bigger price swings.
It is very common for price to become extremely volatile near Flag Apexes. This happens because the price has been coiling into the Flag Apex range for many hours/days and potentially weeks. That energy, when released, usually prompts a fairly large volatility range.
Today, I warn that the $524-525 should act like a make-or-break level for Bullish or Bearish trending.
I cover the SPY, Gold, Bitcoin, IWM, and more in today's video.
Remember, I'm trying to teach you techniques you can use for the rest of your life while showing you what I see on these charts.
Get some.
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