$NQ LongOur first trade of the week followed our weekly bias, with the entry based on the AMD concept.
NQ1
NASDAQ 1D MA100 held. Strong rally ahead.Last week we took a look at Nasdaq's (NDX) Triangle and the buy signal that emerged on the short-term Support Zone (see chart below):
The signal turned out to be successful and the price eventually hit our 21800 Target and got rejected again on the Lower Highs trend-line.
Today an even stronger buy signal emerged, this time on a long term horizon as not only did the price touch the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the August 2024 Channel Up but also hit the 1D MA100 (green trend-line).
This is the 3rd test of this level in 2 weeks and the 3rd hold. Technically this is a Triple Bottom formation and one of the strongest buy signals. Two times already within this Channel Up we have seen Bullish Legs of +15.70%. As a result we can technically target 23700.
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"the top is in", "for the rates"gm,
markets tend to be forward looking, and based off my understanding + the chart data, it appears the top is in for the rates.
i predict the market will begin to price in future rate cuts and start bringing the us10y down.
this will open the door to a "risk on" enviroment for big tech, as well as risk assets like crypto .
---
the count on the us10y is relatively simple.
5 waves up from the 2020 lows.
predicting 3 waves down into the year ahead.
the low on the us10y should coincide with a high in the global liquidity index,,, which is set to peak into the end first month of 2026.
🌙
---
ps. check out the last us10y update from 2 years ago via:
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/03/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/03/25
📈 21306-21310, 21371, 21526-21561, 21746-21750
📉 21095-21086, 20992, 20875-20866, 20802
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(💎: IF THERE IS NOT MUCH VOLATILITY; FOCUS ON ZONES VERSES INDIVIDUAL PRICE LEVELS)
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
US100 Trade LogUS100 setup: Long position with "1:4 RRR" and "0.5% risk" based on accumulation and gap fill breakout.
- Entry within the "1H FVG" , targeting a push towards the "daily Kijun" .
- Structure confirms a potential continuation move, though risk remains controlled.
- Powell’s recent remarks and market liquidity shifts may fuel volatility.
- Stops placed below the accumulation zone; aiming for an extended move if momentum holds.
Market Forecast UPDATES! Tuesday, Feb 4thIn this video, we will update the forecasts for the following markets:
ES \ S&P 500
NQ | NASDAQ 100
YM | Dow Jones 30
GC |Gold
SiI | Silver
PL | Platinum
HG | Copper
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/04/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/04/25
📈21621.75 ; 21579,75- 21603, 21799.75- 21823
📉21220.75 ; 21163- 21139.75, 20943- 20920
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(💎: IF THERE IS NOT MUCH VOLATILITY; FOCUS ON ZONES VERSES INDIVIDUAL PRICE LEVELS)
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
Tuesday Nasdaq Analysis 25.02.04Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ.
Monday’s NASDAQ Briefing Results
Chart:
Let’s start by reviewing Monday’s briefing results. On the buy side, after the breakout above 21200, the bullish trend continued without any reversal to a sell perspective, and the gap was completely filled. From the entry point, the price increased by about $360, yielding a profit of roughly $6,000 per contract.
On the sell side, no sell entries were triggered, so there were neither profits nor losses.
Daily Chart Analysis
Chart:
Looking at the daily chart, although the gap was filled, the price started to decline again. Overall, the market appears to be converging, and if a breakout occurs in either direction, a major trend reversal is likely. The upper target seems to be around 22100, and the lower target is approximately 20640.
Convergence Movement
Chart:
Since the market is showing converging movement, it makes sense to trade on a breakout from within this convergence.
Buy Perspective:
Entry 1: Enter long on a breakout above the resistance trendline.
Take Profit (TP): At the horizontal level indicated on the chart.
Entry 2: Enter long on a breakout above 21600.
TP: At the horizontal level.
Rationale:
The resistance trendline reflects a short-term trend, and a breakout above 21600—which is near the high of the U.S. session close—confirms bullish momentum.
Sell Perspective:
Entry 1: Enter short if the ascending trendline is broken.
TP: At the horizontal level.
Entry 2: Enter short if the price breaks below 21113.
TP: At the horizontal level.
Entry 3: Enter short if the price breaks below 20943.
Rationale:
The ascending trendline has been in place since February 3, 2025, and has not been broken since.
In a gap-filled scenario, if a break of the trendline is confirmed, it is appropriate to enter a short position.
The level 21113 represents the lower boundary of a short-term supply zone and is considered a critical support level.
For 20943, which is the low of the sharp drop on February 3, a break could trigger a move down to the major convergence level of 20640.
The white and black boxes on the chart denote areas where significant trend reversals have been observed on the daily chart.
Conclusion
The gap has been filled, so there is no further reason for the price to continue rising, and it’s difficult to confirm a bearish trend solely based on that. We believe that it is best to trade according to the market’s movement.
Let’s adapt our strategy accordingly. Have a great day of trading!
New Monday to trade in Nasdaq 25.02.03Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ.
NASDAQ Daily Chart Analysis
Chart:
Let’s start by examining the daily chart. Although the chart from the past week is packed with material for a briefing, I intentionally took a break from watching the NASDAQ during the holiday period.
What we observe now is that the red box level corresponds to the deep dip that appeared last Monday.
There was a gap down at the green box, and before Friday’s close, the gap was filled via an upper wick.
Today, however, the NASDAQ has experienced another gap down, and even the lower boundary of the Ichimoku Cloud failed to hold as support. The market broke down and is now trading sideways.
Major Support and Resistance Zones on the Daily Chart
Chart:
On the daily chart, the green box zone indicates that if today’s open at 21200 manages to break upward, the gap could be filled up to around 21534.
Regarding the yellow box, due to the sharp drop on 25.01.27, the low was set higher than on 25.01.13; support has been established in the range of 20763–20694.
Thus, if the price declines further, whether the yellow box support holds will be critical.
Where to Trade Today? – 15-Minute Chart Analysis
Chart:
Buy Perspective:
Entry Trigger: A breakout above the purple box at 21200.
Rationale: Rather than trading impulsively, I recommend a long entry based on the possibility of filling the gap if today’s high is broken.
Risk: The overall trend remains bearish.
Sell Perspective:
Entry Trigger:
Option 1: A break of the short-term ascending trendline.
Option 2: A break below today’s low at 20943.
Rationale:
This signal indicates significant risk and suggests that the market is overheated—possibly on the verge of a bubble burst.
Risk:
Although the trend is bearish, entering a short position at the tail-end of a move raises questions about how far the price may fall. It is advisable to set targets based on major support levels.
Conclusion
I am observing a chaotic market, and it appears that this downtrend may just be getting started.
Stay patient and cautious, and always trade based on key levels and strategic risk management.
Happy trading, and let’s finish the week strong! 🚀
The Market Matrix - Gold, Crude, DXY & Nasdaq for Feb 1 2025This weeks edition of The Market Matrix.
Disclaimer
The information provided in this content is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments.
Trading financial markets involves significant risk, including the potential loss of capital. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trading decisions and should conduct your own research or consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any financial decisions.
The creator of this content assumes no liability for any losses or damages resulting from reliance on the information provided. By engaging with this content, you acknowledge and accept these risks.
$NQ MMBMIn the 4H timeframe, we believe the week will start with a decline to seek liquidity in a discounted region, in order to pair orders and continue the macro bullish movement.
$NQ MMBMThe price respected the Mean Threshold of the weekly Order Block, forming a swing at a key level. We anticipate the third candle distribution and expect next week to be a classic buy week, with the previous week's daily high as our first target.
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/31/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/31/25
📈 21849.75, 21937.25, 22024.75 (NEXT ZONES: 21859.5-21968.75)
📉 21674.50, 21587, 21499.25 (NEXT ZONES: 21748.75-21639)
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(💎: IF THERE IS NOT MUCH VOLATILITY; FOCUS ON ZONES VERSES INDIVIDUAL PRICE LEVELS)
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/30/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/30/25
📈 21748 & 21885.25 (NEXT ZONES: 21807-21917, 22027-22137)
📉 21473.50 & 21336.25 (NEXT ZONES: 21477-21367, 21257-21147)
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(💎: IF THERE IS NOT MUCH VOLATILITY; FOCUS ON ZONES VERSES INDIVIDUAL PRICE LEVELS)
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/29/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/29/25
📈 21910 (NEXT ZONES: 21840-21797, 22052-22011, 22265-22224)
📉 21320 (NEXT ZONES: 21413-21373, 21200-21160, 20987-20947)
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(💎: IF THERE IS NOT MUCH VOLATILITY; FROM 930 OPEN, FIND THE HIGH OR LOW AND PROFIT OFF $200 DIFFERENCE FOR INCOME)
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
NASDAQ: Now targets 24,000 by Q2Nasdaq has recovered yesterday's crash and turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.692, MACD = 88.960, ADX = 31.397). The current rebound is taking place on the 1D MA50 and is a double bottom on the P1 level, which was previously a Resistance coming from the July 11th 2024 High. The same P1 level was seen supporting a year ago the January 5th 2024 Low. This hold ended in a rally to the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. With even their RSI Channel Down patterns being identical, we expect a new bullish wave to start now, aiming the 1.5 Fib once again (TP = 24,000).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/28/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/28/25
📈 21558 (NEXT ZONES: 21615)
📉 21182 (NEXT ZONES: 21132, 20993-20920)
(💎 NOT MUCH VOLATILITY, HOWEVER FROM 930 OPEN, FIND THE HIGH OR LOW AND PROFIT OFF $200 DIFFERENCE FOR INCOME EVEN IN UNCERTAIN TIMES)
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/27/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade 🎯 for 01/27/25
📈 21750 (NEXT LEVELS: 21865)
📉 21406 (NEXT LEVELS: 21372, 21227)
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
NQ Futures -Key Levels after the sell off longs and shortsA must watch video that provides solid context to the current range using fibs + pivots .
2025-01-27 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Huge gap down on Globex open and market just sold off. We retraced about 50% and now it’s decision time again. Bears need to keep it below 21500 for a retest of 21000 or lower and bulls want the megaphone to continue and squeeze the shorts to death. Above 21500 no bear can hold short and we will most likely see acceleration upwards. I favor the bears if we stay below the 1h 20ema. For now we are in a trading range 21100 - 21400 until clearly broken.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 20000 - 22200
bull case: Bulls prevented a bloodbath and had a nasty reversal from 20763 for a 600 point bounce. They need a strong 1h close above 21350 if they want higher prices.
Invalidation is below 21100.
bear case: Bears need to keep it below 21500 or more bulls will join the party again. The longer we can keep the big gap from 21908 down to 21400ish open, the better for the bears and more bulls will give up, hoping for 22000 again. The low of last week was 21370 and the bounce got up to 21395. Close is always close enough. Bears remain in control of the market until we see a big 1h close above the 20ema and 21400. For now this is just a two-legged pull-back to the ema, so bears really need to defend this and not fumble a great setup again.
Invalidation is above 21500.
short term: Bearish against the 1h 20ema, which is around the 50% retracement. 21000 will get retested and maybe the lows as well.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-01-27: High’s are most likely in. Any short with stop 22200 is good. I’d like to see 20000 over the next 2-3 weeks.
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Shorting anywhere above 21500 or buying below 20900 during the big spike down from 21140 to 20763. The spike down came after nasdaq had already made a 700+ point down move and those spikes are most likely the intermediate bottom and we see a pullback because bears needed to reduce risk and take some of those windfall profits.
Nasdaq US100: Positioned for a Breakout to New Highs!After a deep retrace on the daily timeframe, I’ve initiated a long position on the Nasdaq US100. The plan is to ride this wave back to its Higher High, capitalizing on the recovery momentum.
Technical Insight:
• Key Structure: The market has shown strong respect for the current retracement levels, providing a solid base for a bounce.
• Trendline Support: Price action aligns well with the trendline channel, indicating potential for upward continuation.
• Fib Levels: The pullback reached a critical zone, signaling that buyers may step in to push the price higher.
Let’s see how this plays out! Always remember to trade with proper risk management and pay yourself along the way!
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
NASDAQ Triple buy signal.Nasdaq (NDX) is having a very aggressive correction early into the week, mostly due to Chinese start-up DeepSeek. Fundamentals aside, this move has taken the index back to its 1-month Support Zone, which has given an excellent buy entry 3 times already.
At the same time, it has come the closest to the Higher Lows trend-line that has been in effect since October 01 2024, while the 4H RSI entered its oversold (<30.00) Support Zone, which in the past 3 months has offered the 5 most optimal buy opportunities.
This is in our opinion a Triple Buy Signal on the short-term, which should test at least the Lower Highs trend-line at 21800, before patterns on the wider, longer term time-frames take over.
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Nasdaq Trading for the last January 25.01.27Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ.
Friday’s NASDAQ Briefing Results
Chart:
On Friday, the NASDAQ broke above the purple box resistance trendline but failed to break through the next major resistance zone at 22093.5–22111.25.
After the ascending trendline broke, the sell entry zone at 21854.25 was triggered. Although there was a brief rebound before the U.S. session closed, the price eventually dropped further on Monday.
Currently, the price has fallen approximately 300 points from the entry, yielding a profit of around $6,000 per contract.
Detailed Analysis of Friday’s Patterns
Chart:
One key point to note from Friday’s briefing was that the upward pattern was forming a pennant.
When the black box supply zone broke, the chart showed signs of consolidation, as seen with the light blue trendlines.
This consolidation involved higher lows and lower highs, but the breakout signal came from the red box.
However, the breakout attempt failed after the price couldn’t break through the green box.
If the green box had been broken, the pattern would have shifted from a pennant to an ascending triangle, signaling stronger bullish momentum.
Instead, the failure to break out suggests that the pennant formation remains valid.
Also, considering the timing, the breakout attempt coincided with a scheduled economic indicator release, which is why setting a break-even stop-loss would have been the prudent choice.
Economic data releases often disrupt natural chart trends with sudden bursts of trading volume, which is why it’s generally recommended to avoid trading immediately before or after such events.
Trading Within Trend Breaks
Chart:
Using the red box as an example:
Let’s say you entered after the red box breakout 15 minutes before the economic release, even though it wasn’t an ideal entry.
Stop-Loss Strategy: A break-even stop-loss should be applied to protect against volatility during the announcement.
First Stop: If the price falls below your entry level, it’s the first signal to exit the trade.
Second Stop: If the price breaks below the blue box, you must exit because the ascending trendline is broken, invalidating the uptrend.
Stop-loss levels are challenging to specify as fixed numbers because they depend on time and price movement. For trend trading, entry and exit decisions must be adaptive and based on real-time conditions.
Daily Chart Analysis
Chart:
The daily chart shows:
A significant bearish candle following a break of the short-term ascending trendline and the major support level.
A gap-down open, with the price now inside the Ichimoku Cloud.
The current price is testing support near the daily 20 EMA.
Potential Scenarios:
Upside: There’s a slight chance for a gap-filling rebound.
Downside:
A retest of the red box support zone near 21308.
Support at the 60 EMA or Ichimoku Cloud bottom near 21220.
Further major support levels are 21006 and 20694.
Weekly Chart Analysis
Chart:
Last week’s bearish weekly candle completely engulfed the previous week’s body.
The remaining lower wick reaches down to around 21377.75.
Current Market Momentum
Chart:
The NASDAQ is currently in a steep, almost vertical downtrend.
This movement makes it essential to remain cautious:
Entering short positions at this stage carries the risk of a rebound to fill the gap.
Entering long positions could result in further losses if the trend continues downward.
Since most entry points have already been invalidated, it’s best to stay on the sidelines for now.
Conclusion
With Asian markets observing holidays next week (Korea from Monday, China from Tuesday, and Hong Kong from Wednesday), trading volumes are expected to decrease.
Given the current market conditions, taking a step back and avoiding unnecessary trades might be the wisest approach.
Unless significant news impacts the market, there’s a possibility of the session closing with some recovery.
Thank you for your hard work this week, and let’s finish strong. See you in the next briefing! 🚀
