OUR TRADE TODAY ON NASDAQAs I said in the previous post, I didn't share today's trades, since my clients and I focused on recovering the losses silently without sharing the trades to public.
Our entry was after we got a reversal point in which we entered and targeted the PVL inside of the liquidity zone.
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NASDAQ 100 E-MINI FUTURES
NASDAQ How to trade this Falling Wedge.Nasdaq is trading inside a Falling Wedge for exactly 1 month, since the December 16th 2024 High.
The current bullish wave has been rejected on its top but today is holding the MA50 (4h) so far.
The previous bearish waves that got rejected on the Wedge's top, gave a confirmed sell signal after the MA50 (4h) was crossed.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell below the MA50 (4h) and Channel Up (bullish wave).
2. Buy above the top (Falling Resistance) of the Falling Wedge.
Targets:
1. 20600 (symmetric higher lows trendline like January 2nd).
2. 21700 (Resistance 1).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is trading above its MA trendline. This favors slightly the bullish trend.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
US100 Trade LogMarket Context:
- The CPI session’s top wick aligns with a 4H FVG rejection , signaling a high-probability short setup. Oscillators confirm exhaustion, supporting bearish momentum.
Trade Parameters:
- Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2 minimum .
- Base Risk: 1% account risk for initial positions.
- Additional Risk: Two half-contract size positions added, bringing total risk to between 1% and 2% to capture extended targets if price runs higher.
Missed Entry:
- Ideal short entry at the 0.5 level of the FVG , confluenced with the daily Kijun resistance. Hesitation led to a missed opportunity.
Retracement Importance:
- Small retracements, while frustrating, are necessary to sustain upside momentum. They provide clean re-entry points for continuation trades.
Conclusion:
- Strategic use of added risk positions and focusing on high-probability zones like FVGs and Kijun levels is crucial for optimizing profits.
MNQ CPI News Drop Rallies the marketLooks like price has seen an impressive Bullish reaction today from the 0830 news drop that took out the past days highs that was housing a ton of BSL. Conveniently, price seems to be drawing into the D SIBI and is in close proximity to the High from Wed 08 Jan 2025. I can see price trading into the SIBI and finding some sort of rejection.
Now to go forward does this make my Bias Bullish leaving the focus on the SSL at 20640.00? No not just yet because I would like to see how price trades and respects the three Premium Arrays being the D -OB, D Volume Imbalance, and the D SIBI. If price is Bullish then it should see little resistance from the CE level and the MT of the D -OB but if price is Bearish then we will see it respect a Premium Array and then continue lower.
So far there is a nice sweep on SSL and the CPI rally could be the Displacement and MSS that price needed to make to turn things around to become Bullish and start to hunt the Highs for BSL from the Mon and Tue highs of last week.
Forecast UPDATES! Jan 15, WedIn this video, we will update the forecasts for the following markets:
ES \ S&P 500
NQ | NASDAQ 100
YM | Dow Jones 30
GC |Gold
SiI | Silver
PL | Platinum
HG | Copper
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/16/25 MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/16/25
📈 21732.75
📉 21188.25
1/2 way mark 📈 21596.75 & 📉 21324.5
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
Thursday, thirsty for profit on Nasdaq, 25.01.16Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ.
Key Levels and Monday’s Recap
Chart:
As mentioned in both Monday’s and Friday’s briefings, the importance of the 20207 level was highlighted. After breaking above this level, the NASDAQ rallied by approximately 245 points.
The breakout above this major zone was followed by a pullback, confirming its significance.
March Futures Contract Analysis
Chart:
The March futures contract closed above the Ichimoku Cloud and formed a strong bullish candle. However, it finished near the 20 EMA, with the opening price currently sitting at the 20 EMA level.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: Maintaining support above the 20 EMA is crucial.
Resistance: The next critical level is 21455 (red horizontal line), which corresponds to the January 8, 2025, high following the long bearish candle on January 7.
Breakout Potential: If the 21455 resistance is broken, there’s potential for a strong rally, similar to the January 7 bearish candle's range.
Perpetual Futures Contract Analysis
Chart:
For the perpetual futures contract, the 20 EMA is currently at 21355.
Support: If the price remains above 21355, the next target is 21455, as highlighted earlier.
Resistance: Breaking 21455 could lead to further upside momentum.
Today’s Trading Strategy
Chart:
Buy Strategy:
Entry 1: Breakout above the blue box high at 21455.
Rationale: A major resistance breakout on the daily chart + breakout above the January 15, 2025, high.
Entry 2: Breakout above the blue resistance trendline within the orange box, approximately at 21588.
Rationale: This level represents the resistance zone following the long bearish candle, where dead-cat bounces previously faced resistance.
Sell Strategy:
Entry 1: Break below the blue ascending trendline.
Rationale: If the short-term support trendline from January 14–15 weakens and breaks, it indicates diminishing bullish momentum, making it a good short opportunity.
Entry 2: Break below the 21186 support zone.
Rationale: The 21123–20800 range is a strong support frame. If 21186 is broken, a test of the lower support near 21123 is highly likely.
Conclusion
The NASDAQ is at a critical juncture, with key resistance and support levels coming into play:
For Buyers: Look for breakouts above 21455 and 21588 for opportunities to ride the bullish momentum.
For Sellers: Monitor breakdowns below the ascending trendline and 21186 for downside opportunities.
The market remains dynamic, so stay disciplined and trade wisely. 🚀
Intraday Levels for Nasdaq 100 Futures - 14/01/2024This analysis focuses on the Nasdaq 100 Futures, aiming to identify potential support and resistance levels where the price could experience intraday bounces or trend reversals, as well as zones where the price might potentially break higher or move lower.
Considerations
The range used in this analysis serves only as a reference for broader-level insights.
For intraday operations, it is advisable to utilize a lower timeframe to refine entry and exit points more accurately.
To confirm the validity of these levels, it is essential to evaluate real-time conditions as the price approaches these zones. Factors such as pressure, trading volume, and Order Flow will play a critical role in determining whether these supports hold or are likely to be broken.
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/14/25 (BULLISH??)MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/14/25
📈 21320
📉 20765
1/2 way mark 📈 21185 & 📉 20900
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
NASDAQ: First 4H Death Cross since September is a Buy Signal!Nasdaq is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 39.062, MACD = -70.200, ADX = 29.762) as it is on a downtrend since December 16th, almost 1 month. Technically this downtrend is the bearish wave of the medium term Channel Up. Last Wednesday the index formed its first 4H Death Cross since September 10th 2024 and interestingly enough, instead of bullish, it was a buy signal then. As the current bearish wave is now almost at the bottom of the Channel Up, this is technically a HL, thus the most efficient buy entry on the short term. The September bullish wave peaked on the 1.236 Fibonacci extension before a pullback under the 4H MA50 again, so we now turn bullish on Nasdaq, aiming again for the 1.236 Fib (TP = 22,500).
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Nasdaq Analysis for Tuesday 25.01.14Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ.
Monday’s Results
Chart:
Buy Perspective:
No buy entry signals were triggered.
Sell Perspective:
While there was a mention of the possibility of a breakdown below the lows, no clear sell entry signals were given.
After the breakdown, the NASDAQ dropped by approximately 180 points but eventually rebounded sharply toward the end of the session.
This suggests that observing for a day to allow for the formation of a supply zone would have been a prudent approach.
Key Points to Note
Chart:
March Futures Contract:
The price initially broke below the Ichimoku Cloud on Monday but re-entered the cloud due to Tuesday’s gap-up opening.
Key Levels:
Cloud bottom: 20980. A failure to hold this support level could have a long-term bearish impact.
Cloud top: 21216, marking an important resistance level.
Perpetual Contract Analysis
Chart:
The perpetual contract shows the price re-entered the Ichimoku Cloud after briefly touching the cloud's bottom.
A bullish candle has formed above the cloud, signaling support.
Key Levels:
Cloud entry: 21005.
Resistance at the 60 EMA: 21085.
Current Market Frame
Chart:
The NASDAQ appears to have entered either the red box or the orange box frame:
Red Box Range: 20788–19818.
Orange Box Range: 20382–21081.
Key Resistance Levels:
The 21081–21085 range represents a critical resistance zone.
A breakout above this level could signal the potential for further rebound.
Today’s Trading Strategy
Chart:
Buy Strategy:
1. Breakout Above 21088.5 (Morning High):
Rationale: This represents a breakout above both the resistance trendline starting from January 7, 2025, and the morning high.
Risk: The price could face immediate resistance at 21123, potentially reversing quickly.
2. Breakout Above 21207:
Rationale: This level marks the top of a previous supply zone following a sharp decline, making it a more conservative entry point.
Sell Strategy:
While the framing structure is complete, the market appears to be stabilizing at the bottom. For now, observing the market and avoiding sell entries is recommended.
Conclusion
The NASDAQ remains in a critical consolidation phase, with the potential for both rebounds and further declines.
For buyers, focus on breakouts above 21088.5 and 21207 for potential upside.
For sellers, it’s advisable to observe the market for clearer signals, as the recent bottoming behavior suggests limited downside in the short term.
Patience and careful observation are key in today’s session. Let’s stay disciplined and trade wisely. 🚀
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MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/13/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/13/25
📈 21074
📉 20660
1/2 way mark 📈 20970.50 & 📉 20763.5
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
Nasdaq US100: Positioned for a Breakout to New Highs!After a deep retrace on the daily timeframe, I’ve initiated a long position on the Nasdaq US100. The plan is to ride this wave back to its Higher High, capitalizing on the recovery momentum.
Technical Insight:
• Key Structure: The market has shown strong respect for the current retracement levels, providing a solid base for a bounce.
• Trendline Support: Price action aligns well with the trendline channel, indicating potential for upward continuation.
• Fib Levels: The pullback reached a critical zone, signaling that buyers may step in to push the price higher.
Let’s see how this plays out! Always remember to trade with proper risk management and pay yourself along the way!
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
NASDAQ One more low to go.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a short-term Channel Down since the December 16 2024 High. So far it has made two Lows and each one bottomed after the 4H RSI made Double Bottom as seen on the chart.
Right now the 4H RSI just turned oversold below 30.00, so technically we still have room for one last Low before we see a rebound. We expect the next Bullish Leg to target at least 21300, which is marginally below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement, the level that formed the previous two Lower Highs of the Channel Down.
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NQ1! BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
NQ1! is making a bearish pullback on the 9H TF and is nearing the support line below while we are generally bullish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following long a good option for us with the target being the 21,655.25 level.
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MNQ Week Review 01/06/25 - 01/10/25 Price delivered precisely to the Daily Discount Draw on Liquidity which was the D BISI 50% quadrant at 20,875.75 underneath that nice triple bottom PDLs.
Now the question to ask is does price justify staying inside that BISI or will price cut through the BISI and continue to reach for the SSL at 20,640.00?
Lets continue to watch and see if price reverses or continues lower from here.
This week I got to experience first hand why its good to have a Directional Bias and why its a good idea to stick with it regardless of being right or wrong.
- First always remember as a traders we do not control outcome only our performance and if we get one day wrong then thats okay because its only one day in my trading career not my whole trading career. Also its very important to have methodology or an edge that can produce consistency as that will help aid the mental battle of missing trades or getting the bias wrong and not getting the framework to take a trade. In the beginning it might feel bad but keep in mind the game is not capital gain but capital preservation. If your methodology is consistent in terms of producing setups then missed setups or hitting SL should not worry you as there will always be another day to trade and get a setup.
-Another key thing I want to touch on is the peace of mind you get when sticking to your Directional Bias. When your looking for example only Bullish scenarios and ignore all Bearish ones then your not over here investing mental capital on a trade that you know is counter to the HTF Bias and could easily hit your SL. Watching price action also becomes enjoyable as well because you don't care to be right or wrong so if your right and your setup forms then take the trade and if your wrong then just turn the charts off and trade another day as there is plenty of trading opportunities through out the year.
$NQ & ES BearishThe NQ and ES on the monthly chart showed signs of rejection, indicating a possible correction toward a PDA located in the discounted region of this timeframe. Consequently, on the daily chart, there was a shift in the price delivery state, now seeking this liquidity as well as the daily sell sides. We maintain a bearish outlook for the assets, but it is important to note that the price may correct toward the premium region of the daily chart, seeking new liquidity to build momentum and ultimately reach the monthly chart objective: a more pronounced drop.
Prepare Nasdaq for Monday on weekend 25.01.11Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ.
Briefing Results
Chart:
Buy Perspective:
No buy entry signals were triggered during session.
Sell Perspective:
While the initial blue ascending trendline break could have been a sell entry, the timing occurred outside of market hours (during the Asian, European, and U.S. sessions), rendering the move insignificant.
Thus, the sell entry was based on the extended yellow ascending trendline. Upon its breakdown, the target was exceeded, resulting in a total drop of 325 points and approximately $6,500 in profit per contract.
Daily Chart Analysis (Perpetual Contract)
Chart:
On the daily chart:
Lagging Span (Chikou Span):
The Lagging Span has definitively entered below the candles, suggesting a high probability of a trend reversal.
For a full reversal, the price must break above 21555.
Current Position:
The price is currently at 21016.
The Lagging Span suggests the potential for upward movement toward 21437 on Monday, barring further breakdowns.
Green Box:
Previously acted as a support zone, but the red box candlesticks broke below, creating new lows.
Ichimoku Cloud:
While the price has entered the cloud, it continues to close above the upper boundary, maintaining support for now.
Key Moving Averages:
Without a gap-up on Monday, the daily candle is likely to open below the 20 EMA and 60 EMA.
Major resistance levels are at 21090 and 21440, respectively.
March Futures Contract Analysis
Chart:
While largely similar to the perpetual contract:
The price closed within the Ichimoku Cloud.
Intraday trading on Friday even saw the price break below the cloud’s lower boundary.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 21213 (cloud upper boundary).
Support: 20930 (already broken once, so its strength as support is questionable).
Key Daily Chart Patterns
Chart:
Two notable patterns emerge on the daily chart:
Descending Triangle (Red Lines):
Height: ~6.8%.
The pattern broke downward on Friday, suggesting a potential target at 19594 (6.8% below the breakdown point).
Falling Wedge (Blue Lines):
While this indicates a corrective downtrend, a breakout above the blue box could signal a return to the highs or even new all-time highs.
Both patterns offer insight into market sentiment but require confirmation to act upon.
Monday Trading Strategy
Chart:
Buy Perspective:
Entry Trigger: A breakout above the green box + 21206.
Context: The price has shown resistance at 21206 following a rebound and subsequent decline.
Targets: Resistance levels are marked on the chart; verify specific price points on the chart’s left side.
Key Consideration:
Without a breakout above 21562 (light blue box), the overall trend remains bearish.
Any potential buy would likely be a temporary retracement within a broader downtrend.
Sell Perspective:
Recommendation: Monday may be best suited for observation rather than aggressive sell entries.
Risks: There are no clear support trendlines, and selling on a break of the previous low carries considerable risk.
Conclusion
The NASDAQ is a dynamic and unpredictable market where what appears to be a correction may not actually be one.
Recent declines can trigger panic among traders, but it’s critical to approach the situation with patience and a calm, strategic mindset. Avoid emotional decisions and focus on the bigger picture.
Trade smart and stay prepared for any market movements. 🚀
MNQ!/NQ1! (EARLY) Day Trade Plan for 01/10/25MNQ!/NQ1! (EARLY) Day Trade Plan for 01/10/25
📈 21560
📉 20930
1/2 way mark 📈 21406 & 📉 21090
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
Prepare before National Foundation Day on Nasdaq 25.01.09Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
First, I’d like to apologize for not posting a briefing yesterday, January 8, due to personal reasons. Let’s dive into today’s analysis of the NASDAQ.
Tuesday’s Briefing Results
Buy Entry: No buy entries were triggered, so there’s no commentary for this perspective.
Sell Entry: The trigger was a breakdown below the ascending trendline and the lower boundary of the supply zone at 21640.
Outcome: After the breakdown, the NASDAQ dropped by 350 points.
Profit: Approximately $7,000 per contract.
Daily Chart Analysis
The NASDAQ is currently consolidating between the 20 EMA and the 60 EMA, which suggests indecision:
The price has not closed below the 60 EMA, indicating that support is still holding and cautioning against premature selling.
The price has not entered the Ichimoku Cloud, which means a full bearish transition has not occurred yet.
This range-bound movement suggests that the market is awaiting a major catalyst, such as an economic indicator or political news, to determine the next directional move. A more strategic approach is required in this scenario.
Key Supply Zone Dynamics
The current range is highlighted in the orange box, where price movements have shown inconsistent behavior:
Resistance and support levels within this range do not align consistently.
The best approach in this zone is to wait for a clear breakout in either direction before entering a trade.
This area is prone to stop-hunting, increasing the risk of being prematurely stopped out in both directions.
Today’s Trading Strategy
Buy Scenario:
Entry Trigger: A breakout above the green box at 21812.
Reasoning:
The red box marks the upper boundary of the resistance zone, but breaking above it alone does not provide a strong buy signal.
A move above 21812 would signify a breakout above key resistance levels, including the descending trendline and prior candle resistance, providing sufficient justification for a buy entry.
Sell Scenario:
Entry Trigger: A breakdown below the orange box support.
Reasoning:
Breaking the short-term ascending trendline would open the door for a test of Wednesday’s low.
If the low is breached, the price could decline further to the 21006 level.
The 21006 support zone corresponds to the January 2, 2025 low of 20983, a critical level.
A breakdown here would signify entry into the daily Ichimoku Cloud, opening substantial downside targets.
Conclusion
Today is a market holiday in the U.S. (National Foundation Day), so trading activity will be paused.
In such conditions, I recommend avoiding impulsive or speculative trades and instead observing the market’s behavior to prepare for the next session.
Stay disciplined and trade wisely. 🚀
This briefing will remain valid until Friday due to the market holiday.
The next NASDAQ briefing will be shared over the weekend in preparation for Monday’s trading.
NASDAQ: The buy zone is under the 1D MA50.Nasdaq is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 47.510, MACD = 54.540, ADX = 27.946) as it got rejected yesterday back to its 1D MA50. This trendline is holding since September 12th and during this 4 month period is sustained a very steady uptrend. This is so far the bullish sequence with the slowest pace inside the 2 year Channel Up. This lack of strength along with the fact that the 1D RSI formed a pattern that during these 2 years was followed by a dip under the 1D MA50, suggests that it might be best waiting for the price to hit the 1D MA100 before placing a long term buy again. Once this condition is met, we will go long and aim for the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (TP = 24,350), which was always hit when a Channel Top was priced.
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