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NASDAQ 100 E-MINI FUTURES

NASDAQ Small glimmer of hope as 1D making a MACD Bullish Cross.Nasdaq (NDX) recently broke below the Higher Lows trend-line of 2023, the trend-line from the start of the year that has been supporting the strong recovery. This created the conditions for further decline, especially since the 4H MA50 keeps the price action below it, but so far Support 1 (14430) is holding. The above levels are those we will use as break-outs. A candle close below Support 1 will be a sell signal, targeting the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) at 13900. Since however the 1D MACD is close to forming a Bullish Cross, the bullish momentum attract probabilities and if a candle closes above the 1D MA50, we will instead buy, targeting 15650 (Resistance). The pattern since mid August is quite similar to the Arc formation of November - December 2022. After the 1D MA50 broke, it targeted the previous Resistance and even hit the 1.382 Fibonacci extension before the next pull-back. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100
by TradingShot
1
Trend reversal to the UPSIDE if Nq! Holds 100 EMA on DailyLooking at today's Bounce with high Volume, the Nasdaq futures have again reclaimed 100 EMA on the daily timeframe. There is a very high probability that Nasdaq Futures will go higher in coming days and test 50 day EMA. If it closes above 14,809 tomorrow, then this is the trend reversal and we are again in the bullish trend. Keep an eye on the 100 EMA, if it looses then there will be a lot of selling to the short side. As of now we are very bullish in coming days till Friday. And then we can analyze the closing of the week.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by TradesByAdvait
US is running a clinic on how to self-inflict financial woundsEarlier today I was on a conference call with traders examining the index price patterns and discussing the initial price action of The SP500 (INDEXSP: .INX) and the Nasdaq (INDEXNASDAQ: .IXIC) off their July highs. Currently my company is forecasting we revisit, and ultimately breach the October 2022 lows sometime in the first half of 2024. However, what the catalysts are to get us there is speculation. A black swan event of such some stature would need to unfold. Mid conference call one of the attendees’ types into the zoom chat box, "McCarthy was just removed as speaker!" On the call was a collective...whoa! I could understand some of you reading this article would say, so what! The US congress has been dysfunctional for some time now. Unfortunately, I would agree and could not find fault with such apathy.  However, consider the unintended consequences of such a historic action. Never has a US speaker of the house been removed in such fashion. What could develop into unintended consequences?  Which such acrimony and division in the lower chamber how can the house agree on anything? The hill conservatives in the house want to die on is the growing national debt. Whether that is disingenuous or not is not the point of this article. I'll let the political pundits argue that. I want to keep this article focused on what is directly related to the US markets. Government Funding Through some rare bipartisanship we averted a government shut down just this past weekend.  Leading up to this weekend, the news media had all but written the obituary for a funded government through regular order.  However, the legislation only funded the government for 47 days. That means it's possible we're back to worrying about a funded US government next month. Rating Agencies I have to admit when Fitch downgraded the credit rating of US government debt in August, I was skeptical of that decision. In retrospect, I now understand with all the self-inflicted uncertainty. However, do we need to now worry about Moodys and Standard & Poors.  What is the consequence to interest rates if the US credit rating becomes under assault.   Interest Rates The US markets have yet to acknowledge high interest rates are a structural headwind for company earnings and by extension, the market as a whole.  Case in point, the below chart shows the yield on the 10y treasury. 10-year US Treasury Chart Today, yields are higher than when at the October 2022 lows.  The uncertainty created today by historically removing a US speaker of the house does not scream the US should be getting a lower rate on it’s debt. No, it most certainly means the opposite. Mortgage Rates 12% of US GDP is housing. Aside from Fed action, if rates now go up because of the added uncertainty, we could easily go from positive to negative GDP.  No US sector is more rate sensitive than housing. Consumer Spending If you thought housing at 12% of GDP was large, the consumer represents 70%.  From mortgages, to credit card debt, the consumer was already starting to slow. Higher rates due to uncertainty will cause the consumer recoil, and that's the ballgame. I could go on about current labor strikes in America and how that could change the employment outlook and the economy on a dime.  I could discuss in depth the quantitative tightening action of the federal reserve.  All concerns we're currently trying to weigh its impact on the economy. Now we have to deal with this new added uncertainty. It appears in the US we know how to run a clinic on self-inflicted wounds. 
SP:SPXShort
by maikisch
NASDAQ: Can hit 17,000 if the 1D MA50 breaks again.Nasdaq remains bearish on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 40.412, MACD = -138.180, ADX = 35.654) but it is on the HL trendline, the supporting trendline that emerged on the December 28th 2022 low. According to the 1D RSI, comparisons can be made with the September-October 2020 consolidation fractal around the 1D MA50, following the COVID recovery. After the 1D MA50 got crossed over for the second time, the index went on to reach the 1.786 Fibonacci extension level before the next consolidation. If the HL holds and the index breaks over the 1D MA50 again, we will have a strong long term bullish case in our hands and target 17,000 (Fibonacci 1.786). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestingScope
Are the Bears about to get BOLD?In my latest installment of the repeating Sentiment chart, we get a front row seat on how trader sentiment ebbs and flows with price action. Once we hit the target of 4172-4180, that will be a function of the bearish thesis getting aggressive. A complete unwinding of the utter junk spewed on CNBC a month ago. New highs possible? Soft landing? The magnificent seven? I stand by the comment I made in my trading room yesterday... CNBC is the most detrimental content I professional trader can ingest. Why is Tom Lee not on CNBC today? LOL... Stay safe out there. Chris
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by maikisch
5
NQ1! NAS100USD NASDAQ Analysis dated 2023 Oct 02NQ1! NAS100USD NASDAQ 2023 Oct 02 Analysis from 02 Sep 2023 short scenario worked out well for the month. - market broke down the upward channel (black dash) - Supply is present on Friday's bar - Wait for reaction to demand line of upward channel (blue highlight, set alarm) Possible scenarios: 1) Market returns into upward channel and is supported = Long on test and accept 2) Short on rejection if bottom of channel becomes resistance. Price Reaction Levels Short on Test and reject | Long on Test and Accept 16255 15801 15283 14804 13960 *Longer term: 13350 support must hold for long trend to be intact. Price/Volume/Trend Analysis: Weekly: Ave vol up bar close level with previous bar = NTC, Minor support Daily: S>D weak close up bar. *NTC = Non-Trend Changing | PTC: Potential Trend Changing Like and follow if you find this useful | *For education purpose only. Have a profitable trading week.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by paradox677
Nasdaq Futures are at the crucial point. For NASDAQ Contracts to go higher, they need to clear out the 14,950 level. If they get rejected from 14,950, then look for downside. On the other hand 14,800 is acting as a good support. wait till the Michigan consumer sentiment data release tomorrow before taking any position. do not trade for the first half hour after the open since there is a lot of data release like PCE before market. we were already down by almost 9 percent, since few days from recent highs. Very good chance of a getting and inside day tomorrow. there are high chances of us getting a follow through tomorrow on the bullish side. It is also the end of the month for positioning stand point so be aware and trade after 1 hour of market open to avoid unnecessary risk.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by TradesByAdvait
NASDAQ Triple buy signal on the short term.Nasdaq hit yesterday the Falling Support of the Falling Wedge pattern as well as the Rising Support and is posting today the 2nd straight green (1d) candle. At the same time, the RSI (1d) formed a Double Bottom. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 15300 (Falling Resistance and 0.786 Fib). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) is under a Falling Resistance. If crossed over we may start having a case for resuming the bullish trend. Please like, follow and comment!!
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingBrokersView
4
All Targets Hit in the SP500 FuturesToday we hit my long standing targets and so far have bounced. I have carried an orange bullish count and a bearish blue count on this chart for a while now. If we can develop an impulsive 5-wave structure up that breaches 4508. I'll remove the bearish blue count targeting 4030-4060. Should we rally in a corrective 3-wave manner and fail to take out key resistance, then breach today's LOD at 4277.25. Then I will remove the orange bullish count. Best to all, Chris
CME_MINI:ES1!
by maikisch
2
/ES (SPY) Gap Fill Long with Confluence/Odds Enhancers!While wariness remains re: larger timeframe structure for US equities (+ continued weakness in US gov’t bonds, USD strength), we are stalking near/intermediate-term longs via downside futures gaps in both the ES and NQ. The YM and, to a lesser extent RTY, are also approaching possible buy zones, thus bolstering this trade’s attractiveness. While the primary premise of the trade is filling the downside gap into “demand”, odds are enhanced via the trendline and anchored VWAP, which coincide with ~4300 (major psychological #). When placing equity index futures trades at LionHart, we closely watch potentially correlated markets (VIX, DXY, ZF/N/B…). Volatility has had a nice move alongside the downdraft in stocks, but may be a bit overaccelerated as it approaches “supply” (red lines). If equity indexes fill downside gaps and pierce buy zones, watch the VIX and other related markets for reversal signals. Regarding trade concerns/targeting, we sometimes prefer subjective target/trade management via small timeframe charts; that methodology will be applied here. New overhead supply has formed ~4360 and traditional resistance traders may defend ~4340-50, so trade profit margin is not ideal. Given that equity markets have a bullish bias, though, we still believe capital is worth deploying. If you can purchase multiple contracts, consider scaling ahead of the abovementioned levels and hold runners if prices press higher. The red zones = supply, where unfilled sell orders remain. Thank you for reading, thoughts/feedback welcome, and good luck/happy trading! Jon
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by LionHart_Trading
NASDAQ NQ (QQQ, NDX) Gap Fill LongQuick take here before signing off. We’re already seeing a buy side reaction in US equity indexes as the ES (S&P 500) came very close to filling its downside futures gap. We captured the S&P 500 idea in a post several hours ago (). If equities retest lower, which we believe they’re likely to, the NQ has a couple solid demand/buy zones (green lines) not too far away. Per usual, we’ll have to see how prices approach the levels – hopefully we don’t get too much of a methodical grind lower, forming clean supply/resistance to immediately challenge buyers @ our demand areas; if this happens, the trade’s profit margin/risk-reward could be truncated. We’ll do a more thorough check later and will update this post, but wanted to give you all something to think about. Comments welcome! Jon @ LionHart Trading
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by LionHart_Trading
1
Nasdaq Futures breaking supportThe Nasdaq Futures just broke the 100 EMA and the Pivot level support of S1 on a daily time frame. There is a very high chance that it will touch the 200 EMA in the coming days within 1-2 weeks. Please proceed with caution on a daily basis because we can get a dead cat bounce in this scenario. We have Jerome Powell speaking this week as well. So there are high chances of a volatile session. Please follow my profile so that I can start live streaming since trading view has limitations of 10 followers at bear minimum. appreciate your support thanks.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by TradesByAdvait