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NASDAQ 100 E-MINI FUTURES

A Break above 14020 Could change The big SidewaysThe number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits fell to 242 thousand in the week ending May 13th, down from an 18-month high of 264 thousand and below market expectations of 254 thousand. The latest reading indicated the labor market in the United States remains relatively tight, potentially leading to upward pressure on wages and providing the Federal Reserve with an opportunity to implement further interest rate hikes in its efforts to combat inflation. The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index in the US increased to -10.4 in May of 2023 from a nearly three-year low of -31.3 in April, and better than market forecasts of -19.8. General manufacturing activity in Philadelphia continued to decline overall but at at the slowest pace in four months. New orders (-8.9 vs -22.7) and shipments (-4.7 vs -7.3) rose from last month but remained negative while employment declined (-8.6 vs -0.2). The price indexes remained below long-run averages, with the prices received index declining further (-7 vs -3.3) The survey’s future indexes continued to reflect muted expectations for growth (-10.3 vs -1.5), with almost 37% of the firms expecting a decrease in activity over the next six months. US futures were mixed on Thursday, with contracts on the Dow Jones down nearly 30 points while both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq were above the flatline. Shares of Walmart were up 1.7% in premarket trading after the retailer raised its full-year forecast and earnings topped forecasts. At the same time, traders become increasingly optimistic the debt ceiling standoff would soon be solved and the US will avoid a default. Also, regional banks are also expected to extend gains when markets open. However, the latest data showed weekly claims fell more-than-expected last week, triggering fears of more Fed interest rate hikes.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by DaveBrascoFX
8
NQ1!, Retest of the BreakoutA pullback to retest the breakout of the multi-day consolidation is coming. This is an important area to watch. A potential outcome is to resume the upside move or retest the bottom of the consolidation and start to form the right shoulder of H&S. I anticipate to see a reaction first. A strong move down side would suggest the H&S scenario. The sentiment remains bullish, a pullback is expected to be bought. There is no change in the narrative to say otherwise. One can't trade leaving in the fear of a black swan event. 07/23/2023
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by SviCapital
NASDAQ Buy after a confirmed MACD Bullish CrossNasdaq crossed under the MA50 (4h) for the first time in 10 days and looks to complete a technical correction inside the long term Channel Up. There is a Rising Support, marginally over the MA200 (4h) and near the bottom of the Channel Up to consider as buy entry. However the recent price action has shown that the lower risk buy entries have been after the MACD (4h) made a Bullish Cross. Trading Plan: 1. Buy when the MACD (4h) forms a Bullish Cross. Targets: 1. 15935 (recent High). Tips: 1. The index is overbought on the (1w) timeframe so a stronger correction (e.g. MA50 1d) is plausible. Apply tight risk management to your buys. Please like, follow and comment!!
CAPITALCOM:US100
by TradingBrokersView
8
NQ1! Shallow Pullback So farA downside move yesterday looks like the beginning of something big. It might be. But that would be a pure speculation. Larger TF (weekly, monthly) charts show a strong bullish sentiment. There is a rebalancing of the NASDAQ going on to reduce the impact of the magnificent seven mega tech companies. The new distribution will be announced today after the bell. It may be the reason for that "correction". Nevertheless, I expect to see more consolidation at the top before any sign of a potential distribution leading to a structural damage of the upside channel. Until then, it makes sense to look for longs. 07/21/2023
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by SviCapital
SPY - NIKKEI225 - We're In The Great Depression + INCOME DATA Problem with monetary fiscal policy and debasement? your markets start to hyperinflation especially when you try to patch previous bubbles *cough* QT *cough* BTFP *cough* ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- The average net yearly income of Americans during 1930 was $4,887.01 Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) 8.7% AFTER TAX - $4,788 $4,788 in 1930 is worth $87,476.76 today ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- The average net yearly income of Americans during 1933 was $4,218.40 Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) 24.9% AFTER TAX - $4,045 $4,045 in 1933 is worth $94,935.84 today ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- The average net yearly income of Americans during 2023 $74,738. Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) 3.6% AFTER TAX - $57,237 ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- CONCLUSION - The average American is 65.83% poorer than the average American during the great depression. Debasing the currency does not solve poverty and enhances it. All of this data is from the IRS FRED seems to not provide information prior 1960 now you know why they don't include this on the charts. Sadly I feel most people don't understand that what is coming is not a "recession" not a "08 RE crash" its going to be a foundational collapse of the entire US debt system / treasuries / stock markets / credit crisis / liquidity crisis. ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- United States Government Debt: % of GDP 2023 = 133% Japan General Government Gross Debt to GDP 1989 = 65% Federal Debt: Total Public Debt Q1 2023: 31,458,438 or 31.4 Trillion I'm personally putting a target for 2026 for the end of the US currency reserve system The only option here is to either print more 100s of trillions than Weimar Germany Or force the entire US & Allies onto a new dollar that will combine all G7 currencies. Hopefully people can understand why there's so much controversial developments on Russia & BRICS +, this current war is nothing to do with helping another country. Its because BRICS see's the end of the US system and they are preparing for it. (sources) www.irs.gov www.irs.gov Tax rates include normal taxes of 1.5 percent on the first $4,000 of taxable income, 3 percent on the next $4,000, and 5 percent on taxable income over $8,000, plus applicable surtaxes. Last law to change rates was the Revenue Act of 1928. "Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City Average (CPIAUCSL)" fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPIAUCSL www.voimagold.com The USA is borderline on Hyperinflation, hence my theory with how people are missing this and claiming base inflation is coming down its a false metric, the YOY inflation does not factor in monetary debasement meaning you can have parabolic Consumer Price Index growth with low inflation of cost of living. This is even more dangerous as we have low inflation > hyperinflating stocks > decrease of quality of life. Nobody can see this as they measure stocks without the / USm2 adjustment or the CPI growth that's mirroring Weimar Germany. Japan in today's date are being forced to purchase US Debt by the G7 to fund this madness this is why Japan & China are the leading debt holders, problem with this? Japan is now seeing Inflation due to them basically printing the Yen to achieve this meaning they have to let up. 1. The FRED will be forced to step in on a 31 T debt problem 2. China has the ability to double this debt problem by dumping their holding like they're currently doing 3. Russia & China + BRICS are clearly doing this on purpose hence the military activity towards Russia and Taiwan, USA is basically letting the world know they're at the end of the US reserve system and they will use military force to protect it, now they can't say this out loud so the reason is Ukraine. But the only reason you would risk going to war with a Nuclear Super power like Russia would be this is indeed the final years of a failed system. You cannot pay the US debt without GDP growth + low interest rates that requires Quantitative easing at this point that will be the trigger of sending the CPI completely vertical. Weimar Germany same position war debt could not pay it so they had to print to create growth that lead to nobody wanting their currency.
SP:SPX
by FederalXBT
5
SPY - NIKKEI225 - We're In The Great Depression + INCOME DATA Problem with monetary fiscal policy and debasement? your markets start to hyperinflation especially when you try to patch previous bubbles *cough* QT *cough* BTFP *cough* ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- The average net yearly income of Americans during 1930 was $4,887.01 Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) 8.7% AFTER TAX - $4,788 $4,788 in 1930 is worth $87,476.76 today ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- The average net yearly income of Americans during 1933 was $4,218.40 Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) 24.9% AFTER TAX - $4,045 $4,045 in 1933 is worth $94,935.84 today ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- The average net yearly income of Americans during 2023 $74,738. Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) 3.6% AFTER TAX - $57,237 ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- CONCLUSION - The average American is 65.83% poorer than the average American during the great depression. Debasing the currency does not solve poverty and enhances it. All of this data is from the IRS FRED seems to not provide information prior 1960 now you know why they don't include this on the charts. Sadly I feel most people don't understand that what is coming is not a "recession" not a "08 RE crash" its going to be a foundational collapse of the entire US debt system / treasuries / stock markets / credit crisis / liquidity crisis. ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------- United States Government Debt: % of GDP 2023 = 133% Japan General Government Gross Debt to GDP 1989 = 65% Federal Debt: Total Public Debt Q1 2023: 31,458,438 or 31.4 Trillion I'm personally putting a target for 2026 for the end of the US currency reserve system The only option here is to either print more 100s of trillions than Weimar Germany Or force the entire US & Allies onto a new dollar that will combine all G7 currencies. Hopefully people can understand why there's so much controversial developments on Russia & BRICS +, this current war is nothing to do with helping another country. Its because BRICS see's the end of the US system and they are preparing for it. (sources) www.irs.gov www.irs.gov Tax rates include normal taxes of 1.5 percent on the first $4,000 of taxable income, 3 percent on the next $4,000, and 5 percent on taxable income over $8,000, plus applicable surtaxes. Last law to change rates was the Revenue Act of 1928.
FRED:NIKKEI225
by FederalXBT
2
NASDAQ: Approaching Target 1. Pullback and buy for the 2nd.Nasdaq maintains the four month Channel Up and despite the technically overbought 1D timeframe (RSI = 72.574, MACD = 282.680, ADX = 39.484) it shows no signs of pulling back. We will make the most out of this very aggressive trend. Our target from the previous analysis remains near the R2 (TP1 = 16,000) and after a pullback as on May 24th, we will buy again and target the R3 (TP2 = 16,690). We will stop buying the pullbacks after both of the following conditions are met: the price crosses under the 4H MA50 and the 1D RSI under its HL trendline. Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestingScope
3
DOW JONES: Short term trade.Dow Jones has formed a Triangle pattern on the 4H timeframe with the technical outlook primarily bullish (RSI = 63.320, MACD = 81.030, ADX = 45.324) as the rise in the past 7 days has been very aggressive. We will take a short term trade on Dow following the breakout outside the Triangle. Over it, we will buy and target the dotted HH trendline (TP = 34,800) while under it we will sell and target the 4H MA50 (TP = 34,250). Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US30
by InvestingScope
1
NQ: How far can this uptrend go? Channel - There’s a clear uptrend channel. Symmetrical projection: An uptrend N pattern - By projecting a 100% symmetry projection of the initial swing from point A to B, and extending it from point C. - As the expected symmetric pullback to E did not occur, I anticipate a further 100% extension from D to F ($16,733). The target price level aligns with the historical high level, adding significance to the target price. Resistance levels on the way - The price successfully surpassed the previous key resistance level at $15,344 and paused by reaching the upper band of the uptrend channel. (Please refer to the link, "Related Ideas", below for more details.) - The next resistance level is the “Another potential TP” level at $16,216. ( If applying a more conservative initial swing. Please refer to the link, "Related Ideas", below for more details.) Support/ Defence level for bulls - Since the price successfully broke out and closed above the old key resistance at $15,344, we can adjust the prior low level to $14,853. - The level at $14,853 coincides with two key Fibonacci levels: The 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level from point A to “Another potential TP” level (assuming that level G represents the end goal of this uptrend). The 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from point C to point F (assuming that level F represents the end goal of this uptrend). - While the new support/defense level for the uptrend is set at $14,853, the ideal scenario for bulls is to observe a shift in the previous key resistance level at $14,344, turning it into a support level. **Not Financial Advice** The information contained in this article is not intended as, and should not be understood as financial advice. You should take independent financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by stock_adelie
NQ1! NAS100USD NASDAQ 2023 JULY 13 NQ1! NAS100USD NASDAQ 2023 JULY 13 Wait for Mon 17 Jul's bar close to determine if Friday's mark down is for additional buying / weakness. Possible Scenarios: 1) if Mon 17 Jul closes higher = long on reracement 2) If Mon 17 Jul closes lower = look for low volume mark up, rejection, then short at rejection near recent resistance / high Price Reaction Levels Short on Test and reject | Long on Test and Accept 16646 15839 15507 15118 14850 14368 *Longer term: 13350 needs to be supported for long trend to be intact. Price/Volume/Trend Analysis: Weekly: NTC ave vol up bar close off high = minor weakness | Uptrend Daily: UT ave vol bar in an uptrend = wait for next bar to determine if this is marked down for additional buying or weakness | Uptrend *NTC = Non-Trend Changing | PTC: Potential Trend Changing Like and follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable trading week. *For education purpose only.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by paradox677
NQ1!, Market Needs a Reason to SellLast session has retested monthly R1 confluence with the upper edge of the channel. Initial reaction, profit taking. This is all normal and supported by technical analysis. In my view, this is an objective way to look at the market action and remain on the right side of the chart. As the title suggests, the market needs a reason to sell which is a reverse of the current narrative. As of now, I don't see it. Until then, one could buy pullbacks in alignment with smaller timeframe technicals. Rate hikes, shrinking economy, inflation and etc. mess with the trader's mind. They assume that market should be sold and fight the trend. But the most hated upside move remains intact. Reactions(pullbacks) are not reversals. Looking at the chart the most recent breakout, from a highlighted consolidation has negated my previous idea that this is a potential head of an H&S. A pullback to retest the breakout is a buy opportunity. I anticipate a reaction on first test. Mid of the consolidation is a second place to consider buying, confluence with the upside channel mid. Full disclosure: I'm not neither bull or bear. I only follow a typical price action scenarios. Off the topic. Regarding the shorting the market. Shorting itself is entertained by hedge funds and retail traders. They want to outsmart the market and gain big returns. The investors don't short they sell the assets to relocate money into other assets. Passive investing, corporate buy-backs, 401k, pension funds only buy. They are a permanent source of keeping the bull market afloat. For those who has an irresistible pull to short learn how to time it well and execute with a precision. 07/15/2023
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by SviCapital
7
NASDAQ The All Time High is the only target left now.Nasdaq / US100 continues to trade inside a Channel Up pattern in the last 6 months. The price is now comfortably above Resistance A and the only Resistance level that's left to challenge the trend is the All Time High at 16790. The last two rallies achieved runs of 13.40%-13.80%. As long as the 1day MA50 supports, keep buying, since also the 1day RSI is supported by a Rising trendline. Target 16700. Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TheCryptagon
9