NASDAQ: 4H MA200 held, Channel Up targeting 21,850.Nasdaq has just turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.079, MACD = 48.410, ADX = 18.587), which is a strong buy signal after two days of consolidation, considering that the short term pattern is a Channel Up. Assuming that consolidation was its latest correction that had to test the 4H MA200 as support, we now expect the pattern to resume the uptrend and target the R2 level (TP = 21,860).
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NQ1
NQ1! BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
NQ1! is making a bearish pullback on the 9H TF and is nearing the support line below while we are generally bullish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following long a good option for us with the target being the 21,655.25 level.
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NASDAQ After Trump's Inauguration 25.01.21Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ.
Monday’s Briefing Results
Chart:
Buy Position:
A breakout above the high occurred 45 minutes before the U.S. session opened, reaching the buy-entry zone at 21682.5.
While the target of 21812 was not achieved, the price increased by 95 points, generating approximately $1,900 in profit per contract.
Sell Position:
During the Asian session, after breaking the ascending trendline, a sell-entry opportunity emerged at the yellow box.
Following the entry, the price dropped by 183 points, yielding approximately $3,660 in profit per contract.
Total Results:
Based on Monday’s briefing, a total profit of approximately $5,560 per contract was achieved.
Daily Chart Analysis
Chart:
Due to Monday’s market closure, the daily candle for Monday has yet to close, and it will likely complete after Tuesday’s U.S. session.
Key Observations:
The sharp drop during the Asian session found support at the 20 EMA on the daily chart.
The 20 EMA is currently at 21387, and whether this support holds will be crucial in determining the market’s direction.
Bearish Scenario:
If the 20 EMA fails to hold, traders should prepare for a potential trend reversal.
Bullish Scenario:
Resistance was observed at the green box, particularly near the January 7 bearish candle’s high.
If Tuesday’s session closes above the 21806–21896.75 zone, it could signal a breakout above the supply zone and a trend reversal.
A critical point for buyers is whether the current price action can engulf the large bearish candle with a bullish one.
15-Minute Chart Analysis
Chart:
Key Insights:
During the Asian session’s sharp decline, the NASDAQ bounced off the upper boundary of the blue box supply zone.
However, it broke the yellow box ascending trendline, leaving uncertainty about whether the current rebound is a dead cat bounce or a genuine reversal.
The market may react strongly to the president’s inauguration speech and subsequent remarks, which could provide clear direction.
Recommendation:
At this point, trading either direction is a 50-50 probability. It’s advisable to wait for a clear breakout or breakdown before entering a trade.
Today’s Trading Strategy
Chart:
Buy Strategy:
Entry: Breakout above the yellow box high at 21779.
Rationale:
The sharp drop during the Asian session has broken the upward channel.
A breakout above the high would confirm that bullish momentum has returned.
Risk:
The next resistance is close at 21812, and whether this level is broken will be crucial for further upside potential.
Sell Strategy:
Entry:
Break below the ascending trendline, or
Break below both the trendline and the Asian session low at 21377.
Rationale:
The rebound during the Asian session occurred near the 20 EMA on the perpetual contract, making a clear break below this level necessary to confirm a trend reversal.
However, if the white box frame’s lower boundary isn’t completely breached, it’s difficult to confirm a full trend reversal.
Risk: Support at the daily 20 EMA.
Conclusion
The NASDAQ remains in a delicate balance, with potential for movement in either direction:
For buyers, the key focus is on breaking above 21779 and 21812 for a potential continuation of the uptrend.
For sellers, watch for a break below the ascending trendline or 21377 to confirm a trend reversal.
Stay patient, follow the levels closely, and trade strategically. 🚀
Trump's inauguration sends the Tech sector's 'time to shine'The 2nd inauguration of Donald Trump (now to sworn as the 47th president of the United States) is here and expected to take place on Monday, January 20, 2025.
Crowds are gathering in Washington DC in freezing conditions ahead of this most anticipated over past several months event.
Tech sector stocks are about to have a welcome moment also.
The main technical graph for Nasdaq-100 indicates here's "time to shine" as positive fundamental and technical catalysts converge.
A rising potential for AI monetization via agentic AI as a technology can autonomously accomplish complex tasks on the user's behalf.
The fact is that widespread AI adoption has happened heavily more rapidly than PC and internet adoption in prior major technology cycles, which could mean that AI is closer than expected.
As a result, qualitative commentary on ramping up enterprise AI adoption during earnings calls will likely evolve into indications of incremental revenue boosts this year, before more meaningful monetization as early as 2026, they add.
Such a trajectory would likely be a welcome development for many AI investors who expressed worries last summer after pouring such huge amounts of money into the tech with little signs of a return on investment.
In technical terms, Tech heavy Nasdaq-100 futures has been supported a week ago by 100-Day SMA, and now an epic breakthrough of the Reversed Head-and-Shoulders technical figure is coming.
Descending Bearish channel seems is clearly broken in this time.
MNQH Continued Bullish Run On Friday price made a nice Bullish run that took out the PDH from the previous two days and price closed above the D LV and D SIBI. Currently we have price wicking off the D LV and has traded higher cutting through the MT level of the -OB. If price can stay above that MT level then I can see price going higher and taking out the PDH from Fri Jan 17 2025 at 21680.00 and then eventually target the PDHs from January 6th and 7th.
So lets continue to watch and see if price has truly switched to being Bullish after taking SSL, and finding support off the D BISI CE level.
NASDAQ Major Lower Highs break-out just took place!Nasdaq (NDX) broke on Friday above the Lower Highs trend-line that started more than a month ago on the December 16 2024 High that initiated the recent correction. This has technically been a Bearish Leg within the +2 year Channel Up and every time such a structure broke above its Lower Highs trend-line, a strong rally followed.
At the same time, the 1D MACD just completed a Bullish Cross below the 0.0 neutral level and out of the 9 previous time this took place, it only failed to produce an immediate rally 2 times.
We technically see that the current Bullish Leg that started on the August 05 2024 Low, isn't over yet, so we still expect it to complete a +47% to +48% rise before a stronger correction. As a result, our Target is 25000.
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Get ready for Monday's Nasdaq 25.01.20Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ.
NASDAQ Daily Chart Analysis
Chart:
On the daily chart, the NASDAQ shows a breakout above the short-term corrective trendline, signaling a potential trend reversal.
Key Developments:
The price has broken above the 20 EMA on the daily chart.
It also rebounded before breaking below the Ichimoku Cloud, hinting at a potential return to new all-time highs.
Support and Resistance:
Support: The 20 EMA, currently around 21390, serves as short-term support.
Resistance: The chart suggests that significant upside remains open, with fewer immediate barriers overhead.
Current Pattern and Resistance
Chart:
The NASDAQ is currently near its only remaining resistance trendline, created between December 17–18, 2024 (orange box).
Key Points:
Beyond this trendline, there are no further descending resistance trendlines.
Resistance will then come from horizontal supply zones or historical highs.
Breakout Potential:
If the price breaks the green box resistance zone, the next key resistance is one of the two white box zones.
A breakout beyond the white box zones could pave the way for new all-time highs.
Today’s Buy Strategy
Chart:
Entry Trigger:
Breakout above both the remaining resistance trendline and the recent high at 21682.5.
Target Levels: Horizontal resistance levels (marked on the chart).
Rationale:
A breakout above the long-term descending resistance trendline, combined with a breakout above the previous high, would likely lead to entry into the blue box supply zone on the left.
This would increase the likelihood of a continuation toward higher levels, fueled by the supply zone dynamics.
Today’s Sell Strategy
Chart:
Entry Trigger:
Breakdown below the orange ascending trendline and a break below 21481.
Target Levels: Horizontal support levels (marked on the chart).
Rationale:
A break below the ascending trendline would indicate weakening momentum.
If a pennant-like pattern forms and the price breaks below the starting zone of the pattern, it would signal a high likelihood of a trend reversal.
The green box highlights the potential breakdown area.
Additional Note:
If the price consolidates and the ascending trendline is broken above 21481, adjust the target to 21481 as the maximum downside level.
Conclusion
The NASDAQ is at a critical juncture, with potential for both significant upside and downside moves:
For Buyers: Watch for a breakout above 21682.5 for potential continuation into the supply zone and beyond.
For Sellers: Monitor for a break below the ascending trendline and 21481 for potential downside momentum.
Stay cautious, and trade strategically based on key levels. 🚀
Weekly Forecast 1/21/25-1/24/25Disclaimer:
I trade ICT and use ICT terminology in my analysis.
Nothing in the market is certain; this is what I would like to see price action playout this week.
This is not financial advice.
The forecast is written on the chart.
If you like this and want to see more, consider following.
Weekly Market Forecast Jan 20-24thThis is an outlook for the week of Jan 20-24
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
ES \ S&P 500
NQ | NASDAQ 100
YM | Dow Jones 30
GC |Gold
SiI | Silver
PL | Platinum
HG | Copper
The indices look set to move higher this week, as Trump is inaugurated Monday, bringing a possible "Trump Pump" to the markets. The metals are a bit mixed, but may continue upward this week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
SL HIT ON NASDAQAs I post my winning trades, I'm going to post my losing one, so people, especially beginners know that trading isn't always wins and wins, and no strategy always brings back profits for you.
Every strategy has downsides and upsides, this is the first thing I teach to my students who fully understands it.
In case you wondered how I trade, I'm a reversal based trader. hich means I trade reversals, ans as every strategy it works 80% of the time and having a losing day of the week, but the unforgivable thing is to let your emotions take over your trading and lose all the profits you made.
The first thing I teach is don't let your emotions take over your trading, and don't make more than 2 losing trades a day. STICK TO THE PLAN.
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US100 Trade LogMarket Context:
- The CPI session’s top wick aligns with a 4H FVG rejection , signaling a high-probability short setup. Oscillators confirm exhaustion, supporting bearish momentum.
Trade Parameters:
- Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2 minimum .
- Base Risk: 1% account risk for initial positions.
- Additional Risk: Two half-contract size positions added, bringing total risk to between 1% and 2% to capture extended targets if price runs higher.
Missed Entry:
- Ideal short entry at the 0.5 level of the FVG , confluenced with the daily Kijun resistance. Hesitation led to a missed opportunity.
Retracement Importance:
- Small retracements, while frustrating, are necessary to sustain upside momentum. They provide clean re-entry points for continuation trades.
Conclusion:
- Strategic use of added risk positions and focusing on high-probability zones like FVGs and Kijun levels is crucial for optimizing profits.
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/16/25 MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/16/25
📈 21732.75
📉 21188.25
1/2 way mark 📈 21596.75 & 📉 21324.5
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
OUR TRADE TODAY ON NASDAQAs I said in the previous post, I didn't share today's trades, since my clients and I focused on recovering the losses silently without sharing the trades to public.
Our entry was after we got a reversal point in which we entered and targeted the PVL inside of the liquidity zone.
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NASDAQ How to trade this Falling Wedge.Nasdaq is trading inside a Falling Wedge for exactly 1 month, since the December 16th 2024 High.
The current bullish wave has been rejected on its top but today is holding the MA50 (4h) so far.
The previous bearish waves that got rejected on the Wedge's top, gave a confirmed sell signal after the MA50 (4h) was crossed.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell below the MA50 (4h) and Channel Up (bullish wave).
2. Buy above the top (Falling Resistance) of the Falling Wedge.
Targets:
1. 20600 (symmetric higher lows trendline like January 2nd).
2. 21700 (Resistance 1).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is trading above its MA trendline. This favors slightly the bullish trend.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
Forecast UPDATES! Jan 15, WedIn this video, we will update the forecasts for the following markets:
ES \ S&P 500
NQ | NASDAQ 100
YM | Dow Jones 30
GC |Gold
SiI | Silver
PL | Platinum
HG | Copper
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Thursday, thirsty for profit on Nasdaq, 25.01.16Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ.
Key Levels and Monday’s Recap
Chart:
As mentioned in both Monday’s and Friday’s briefings, the importance of the 20207 level was highlighted. After breaking above this level, the NASDAQ rallied by approximately 245 points.
The breakout above this major zone was followed by a pullback, confirming its significance.
March Futures Contract Analysis
Chart:
The March futures contract closed above the Ichimoku Cloud and formed a strong bullish candle. However, it finished near the 20 EMA, with the opening price currently sitting at the 20 EMA level.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: Maintaining support above the 20 EMA is crucial.
Resistance: The next critical level is 21455 (red horizontal line), which corresponds to the January 8, 2025, high following the long bearish candle on January 7.
Breakout Potential: If the 21455 resistance is broken, there’s potential for a strong rally, similar to the January 7 bearish candle's range.
Perpetual Futures Contract Analysis
Chart:
For the perpetual futures contract, the 20 EMA is currently at 21355.
Support: If the price remains above 21355, the next target is 21455, as highlighted earlier.
Resistance: Breaking 21455 could lead to further upside momentum.
Today’s Trading Strategy
Chart:
Buy Strategy:
Entry 1: Breakout above the blue box high at 21455.
Rationale: A major resistance breakout on the daily chart + breakout above the January 15, 2025, high.
Entry 2: Breakout above the blue resistance trendline within the orange box, approximately at 21588.
Rationale: This level represents the resistance zone following the long bearish candle, where dead-cat bounces previously faced resistance.
Sell Strategy:
Entry 1: Break below the blue ascending trendline.
Rationale: If the short-term support trendline from January 14–15 weakens and breaks, it indicates diminishing bullish momentum, making it a good short opportunity.
Entry 2: Break below the 21186 support zone.
Rationale: The 21123–20800 range is a strong support frame. If 21186 is broken, a test of the lower support near 21123 is highly likely.
Conclusion
The NASDAQ is at a critical juncture, with key resistance and support levels coming into play:
For Buyers: Look for breakouts above 21455 and 21588 for opportunities to ride the bullish momentum.
For Sellers: Monitor breakdowns below the ascending trendline and 21186 for downside opportunities.
The market remains dynamic, so stay disciplined and trade wisely. 🚀
MNQ CPI News Drop Rallies the marketLooks like price has seen an impressive Bullish reaction today from the 0830 news drop that took out the past days highs that was housing a ton of BSL. Conveniently, price seems to be drawing into the D SIBI and is in close proximity to the High from Wed 08 Jan 2025. I can see price trading into the SIBI and finding some sort of rejection.
Now to go forward does this make my Bias Bullish leaving the focus on the SSL at 20640.00? No not just yet because I would like to see how price trades and respects the three Premium Arrays being the D -OB, D Volume Imbalance, and the D SIBI. If price is Bullish then it should see little resistance from the CE level and the MT of the D -OB but if price is Bearish then we will see it respect a Premium Array and then continue lower.
So far there is a nice sweep on SSL and the CPI rally could be the Displacement and MSS that price needed to make to turn things around to become Bullish and start to hunt the Highs for BSL from the Mon and Tue highs of last week.
Intraday Levels for Nasdaq 100 Futures - 14/01/2024This analysis focuses on the Nasdaq 100 Futures, aiming to identify potential support and resistance levels where the price could experience intraday bounces or trend reversals, as well as zones where the price might potentially break higher or move lower.
Considerations
The range used in this analysis serves only as a reference for broader-level insights.
For intraday operations, it is advisable to utilize a lower timeframe to refine entry and exit points more accurately.
To confirm the validity of these levels, it is essential to evaluate real-time conditions as the price approaches these zones. Factors such as pressure, trading volume, and Order Flow will play a critical role in determining whether these supports hold or are likely to be broken.
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/14/25 (BULLISH??)MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/14/25
📈 21320
📉 20765
1/2 way mark 📈 21185 & 📉 20900
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
NASDAQ: First 4H Death Cross since September is a Buy Signal!Nasdaq is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 39.062, MACD = -70.200, ADX = 29.762) as it is on a downtrend since December 16th, almost 1 month. Technically this downtrend is the bearish wave of the medium term Channel Up. Last Wednesday the index formed its first 4H Death Cross since September 10th 2024 and interestingly enough, instead of bullish, it was a buy signal then. As the current bearish wave is now almost at the bottom of the Channel Up, this is technically a HL, thus the most efficient buy entry on the short term. The September bullish wave peaked on the 1.236 Fibonacci extension before a pullback under the 4H MA50 again, so we now turn bullish on Nasdaq, aiming again for the 1.236 Fib (TP = 22,500).
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Nasdaq Analysis for Tuesday 25.01.14Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ.
Monday’s Results
Chart:
Buy Perspective:
No buy entry signals were triggered.
Sell Perspective:
While there was a mention of the possibility of a breakdown below the lows, no clear sell entry signals were given.
After the breakdown, the NASDAQ dropped by approximately 180 points but eventually rebounded sharply toward the end of the session.
This suggests that observing for a day to allow for the formation of a supply zone would have been a prudent approach.
Key Points to Note
Chart:
March Futures Contract:
The price initially broke below the Ichimoku Cloud on Monday but re-entered the cloud due to Tuesday’s gap-up opening.
Key Levels:
Cloud bottom: 20980. A failure to hold this support level could have a long-term bearish impact.
Cloud top: 21216, marking an important resistance level.
Perpetual Contract Analysis
Chart:
The perpetual contract shows the price re-entered the Ichimoku Cloud after briefly touching the cloud's bottom.
A bullish candle has formed above the cloud, signaling support.
Key Levels:
Cloud entry: 21005.
Resistance at the 60 EMA: 21085.
Current Market Frame
Chart:
The NASDAQ appears to have entered either the red box or the orange box frame:
Red Box Range: 20788–19818.
Orange Box Range: 20382–21081.
Key Resistance Levels:
The 21081–21085 range represents a critical resistance zone.
A breakout above this level could signal the potential for further rebound.
Today’s Trading Strategy
Chart:
Buy Strategy:
1. Breakout Above 21088.5 (Morning High):
Rationale: This represents a breakout above both the resistance trendline starting from January 7, 2025, and the morning high.
Risk: The price could face immediate resistance at 21123, potentially reversing quickly.
2. Breakout Above 21207:
Rationale: This level marks the top of a previous supply zone following a sharp decline, making it a more conservative entry point.
Sell Strategy:
While the framing structure is complete, the market appears to be stabilizing at the bottom. For now, observing the market and avoiding sell entries is recommended.
Conclusion
The NASDAQ remains in a critical consolidation phase, with the potential for both rebounds and further declines.
For buyers, focus on breakouts above 21088.5 and 21207 for potential upside.
For sellers, it’s advisable to observe the market for clearer signals, as the recent bottoming behavior suggests limited downside in the short term.
Patience and careful observation are key in today’s session. Let’s stay disciplined and trade wisely. 🚀
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MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/13/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/13/25
📈 21074
📉 20660
1/2 way mark 📈 20970.50 & 📉 20763.5
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*