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NQ1

NASDAQ-100 (BIGTECH) VOLATILITY INDEX. IMPORTANT LEVELS TO LEARNBroadly-known ominously among investors as the "fear index" and launched by the Chicago Board Options Exchange (now the Cboe) in 1993, the Volatility Index (VIX) is meant to present the market's expectation of volatility over the coming 30 days. The metric is derived from options prices on the S&P 500 Index and captures the anticipated swings that drive investor sentiment. In recent years, the VIX has become a far more central index, especially during periods of financial turbulence, such as the 2008 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic. During these stretches, spikes in the VIX reflected widespread anxiety; during others, it's been a crucial barometer for market participants seeking a glimpse into investors' collective psyche. When the VIX is low, this suggests calm seas ahead. When it spikes, it signals approaching storms. Every single stock index do have its own volatility. This story is about Cboe NASDAQ-100 Volatility Index The Cboe NASDAQ-100 Volatility Index (VXN) is a key measure of market expectations of near-term volatility conveyed by NASDAQ-100 Index (NDX) option prices. It measures the market's expectation of 30-day volatility implicit in the prices of near-term NASDAQ-100 options. VXN is quoted in percentage points, just like the standard deviation of a rate of return, e.g. 19.36. Cboe disseminates the VXN index value continuously during trading hours. The VXN Index is a leading barometer of investor sentiment and market volatility relating to the NASDAQ-100 Index. Learn more about Methodology for Calculation of the VXN Index, using official CBOE website . Technical observations The main technical graph indicates that VXN Index has recently jumped, from 5-year lows around 15 basic points in mid-June, 2024 to current 25 basic points. In nowadays 25-level corresponds to 5-years SMA, and is the major one resistance level. In any case of breakthrough it certainly cracks the door to 40-levels and potentially even much above. Think twice. Then leap. Cheers, Pandorra
CBOE:VXN
by Pandorra
NQ1! Historical Fall and Important LevelsThe price fluctuated by more than 5% prior to the New York session, an atypical occurrence that suggests increased risk for the week ahead. Volatility exceeding 130 should be regarded as a cautionary signal. It may be prudent to reduce trading risks this week This significant drop could be due to concerns that if the USA election results in a Trump victory, the USA might stop protecting Taiwan, which could cause major issues in semiconductor production. Important liquidity levels given in the chart. Ask any questions you might have in the comments and please boost if the idea helped you!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by TradeConfirmed
NASDAQ erased 3 months of gains. Is this a Bear Market?In early E.U. session today the Nasdaq futures (US100) reached a level that was last seen on April 25, essentially erasing market gains of more than 3 months! By doing so, it hit the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since the week of March 13 2023 (almost 17 months). That is the strongest long-term Support for the index and technically what potentially separates a long-term rally from a long-term correction phase. What matters here is the 1W candle closing. As long as the weekly candles close above the 1W MA50, the long-term bullish trend is maintained. Last time the index closed a week below the 1W MA50 was on January 17 2022, it extended the bleeding to the 1W MA100 (green trend-line). What confirmed the new Bear Cycle was the failure to close a 1W candle again above the 1W MA50, even though it broke 4 times (January 31 - April 04 2022). Since Nasdaq's long-term pattern remains a Channel Up anyway (since the October 10 2022 market bottom), if it holds and keeps closing above the 1W MA50, we expect a new +47% Bullish Leg (the previous two have been +48% and +49% respectively), which gives a long-term Target at 25400. If however the index closes below the 1W MA50, we expect at least a 1W MA100 test, giving a rough Sell Target at 15500 (could be a little higher though). Further selling and a potential new Bear Cycle, will be confirmed only by a failure to recover and close above the 1W MA50 again. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100
by TradingShot
US100 Outlook ICT ConceptsUS100 Analysis 💰 Welcome to Your Channel! Welcome to our channel where we delve into the intricacies of financial markets. Today, we focus on US100, dissecting its current price action to uncover strategic trading opportunities. Join us as we analyze key levels and market dynamics, aiming to refine our trading strategies and maximize potential gains. 💡Previous Analysis Review: In our prior analysis, we forecasted a price retracement to the upside. This expectation was realized, as the price indeed experienced a movement higher. 📍Current Market Overview: At present, the price has swept both the previous week’s low and the previous month’s low. These levels are crucial as they represent key sell-side liquidity areas. 🔍 Identifying Key Levels for Long Scenarios In addition to the fair value gap, there are other critical levels to consider for potential long scenarios, including: • Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL): A level where buying interest may consolidate. • Previous Week High: A historical resistance level that could serve as support during a retracement. • Volume Imbalance (VI): Areas on the chart where significant volume was traded, often leading to price adjustments. • Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG): Larger time frame imbalances that can influence trading strategy. 📉 Key Considerations There exists additional sell-side liquidity just below the current price on the chart. This could potentially draw the market’s attention, prompting a move toward these levels. However, it’s important to note that the probability of such a move is somewhat diminished after the substantial downward trend that we have witnessed. 📈 Bullish Scenario Current conditions suggest potential long scenarios supported by a fair value gap on the four-hour chart, with upward expansion possible. However, due to the impending NFP news, we will not engage in trades today, but if price moves upward, we will target key levels including BSL, PWH, VI, and FVG. We recommend using lower time frames for more precise entry opportunities. 📉 Bearish Scenario For any potential short scenarios, we require a retracement back to higher levels. This could involve targeting lower time frame levels of resistance or buy-side liquidity that can be taken out before executing a sell. After this maneuver, we would then focus on targeting the sell-side liquidity present on the chart. 📊 Chart Analysis Summary We observed the anticipated retracement in price and noted significant sell-side liquidity levels being tested. Current conditions suggest potential long scenarios, supported by a fair value gap on the four-hour chart along with other key levels, though the likelihood of downward sell opportunities below the chart appears reduced after recent price movements. 🙏 Thank you for joining us! Exploring US100 today highlighted the importance of effective risk management in trading success. Prioritize research, implement robust strategies, and seek guidance for confident market navigation. Stay tuned for more insights on our channel. Here's to profitable trading and continuous learning! ⚠️ Disclaimer The information provided here is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by RealArmin
THE FREAKY SEVEN IS SET TO CONTINUE ITS CHEMICAL TRIP. SOON...US stock indexes closed mixed on Monday as investors awaited a massive wave of data this week. 171 companies within the S&P 500 are set to report their second-quarter earnings results this week, and expectations are high given the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) 16% year-to-date rally. Some of the biggest companies including Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon will report results this week. I won't sing you lullabies about expected numbers. The major technical graph indicates that 50-Day SMA already done & fully retested. The next one chase is IXIC 125-Day SMA & all the way below, as much as it possible.
NASDAQ:IXIC
by Pandorra
Alphabet & Tesla push All The Bigtech into Bearish MarchIndexes end lower as investors brace for major earnings results After the closing bell, Tesla and Alphabet released their second-quarter performance. Investors were especially attentive to the carmaker, looking to see if its performance has improved since the start of the year. Tesla was battered by a slew of headwinds in the first quarter, but investors have since grown bullish on the flagship EV manufacturer. The two firms are the first of the Magnificent Seven tech stocks to release their earnings. Unfortunately they both did not deliver strength, so it breaks the momentum to the tech rally. Tesla shares fall nearly 9% in premarket trading after earnings miss Tesla shares dropped in premarket trading in the U.S. after the electric car maker reported second-quarter earnings that missed expectations, as its auto business continued to face pressure. Elon Musk’s electric vehicle company reported that automotive revenue declined 7% year on year in the June quarter to $19.9 billion, while its adjusted earnings margin also fell. Bulls and bears have been in a grapple over the stock, with some believing the company’s core car business is under pressure, while others held hope about a future Musk has promised around autonomous driving. Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL) shares fall nearly 4.5% in premarket trading after earnings report Alphabet earnings top estimates as cloud business gains steam, AI losses grow. Google parent Alphabet reported its fiscal second quarter earnings after the bell on Tuesday, beating analysts' estimates on the top and bottom lines as its cloud businesses continue to pick up steam, topping the $1 billion mark for operating profit for the first time. For the quarter, the company saw earnings per share of $1.89 on revenue of $84.7 billion. Analysts were anticipating earnings per share of $1.85 on revenue of $84.3 billion, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. That's a jump from the same period last year of 31% and 14%, respectively, when the company reported earnings per share of $1.44 on revenue of $74.6 billion. Advertising revenue topped $64.6 billion versus analysts' expectations of $64.5 billion, and up from $58.1 billion last year. YouTube ad revenue, however, fell short, with the segment bringing in $8.66 billion versus expectations of $8.95 billion. Technical thoughts What is next? Hmm.. I think more Bulls & Bears are to run. The main graph Nasdaq-100 Sept'24 Futures contract (NQU2024) indicates on strong Bearish Momentum. This is all because of 50-Day SMA breakthrough, as well as breakthrough of major 3Mo old upside channel.
CME_MINI:NQU2024
by Pandorra
4
NASDAQ Bullish reversal possible while holding the 1D MA100.Nasdaq (NDX) failed to hold the short-term Channel Up as it broke below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). However the long-term Channel Up that started after the October 26 2023 bottom has now assumed control as the index found support on its 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which is right on the pattern's bottom (Higher Lows trend-line). This is technically the 3rd bottom formation within this 8-month span and the two Bullish Legs that followed registered rises within the 21% - 22% range. Notice also that the 1D RSI almost hit 30.00 and rebounded, which is consistent with the April 19 2024 and October 26 2023 bottoms. As a result, our current Target on Nasdaq is 22500 (+20% rise from the new Higher Low). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingShot
US100 Outlook ICT ConceptsUS 100 Analysis 💰 Welcome to Your Channel! Welcome to our channel where we delve into the intricacies of financial markets. Today, we focus on US100, dissecting its current price action to uncover strategic trading opportunities. Join us as we analyze key levels and market dynamics, aiming to refine our trading strategies and maximize potential gains. 💡Previous Analysis Review: In the previous analysis, we anticipated a sell-off from the all-time high (ATH). The price movement extended much lower than expected, surpassing various key levels. 📍Current Market Overview: Currently, the price is around 19,044.3. The price has swept several key levels, including the previous week low, equal lows, and sell-side liquidity (SSL). There is now a noticeable reaction to the daily fair value gap (FVG). 🔍 Identifying Key Levels: The chart highlights several significant levels and zones influencing the current market behavior: • ATH: All-Time High • PWH: Previous Week High • PWL: Previous Week Low • BSL: Buy-Side Liquidity • SSL: Sell-Side Liquidity • EQL: Equal Lows • Daily FVG: Daily Fair Value Gap, highlighting areas of imbalance on the daily timeframe 📊 Key Considerations: • Current Price Position: The price is trading around 19,044.3, reacting to the daily FVG. • Key Levels Swept: The price has swept the previous week low, equal lows, and SSL, indicating potential for a bullish reversal. • Daily FVG Reaction: The price is reacting to the daily FVG, often acting as a support zone. 📈 Bullish Scenario: Given the current price action and key considerations, a bullish scenario is possible if the following conditions are met: • Retracement to Premium Level: We can expect a retracement back up into a premium level (above 50%) after sweeping key levels. • Continuation of Reaction to Daily FVG: The reaction to the daily FVG suggests potential for a move higher. 📉 Bearish Scenario: A bearish scenario should be considered if the following conditions are met: • Failure to Hold Above Daily FVG: If the price fails to hold above the daily FVG and starts to decline, further bearish movement is likely. • Break Below Recent Lows: If the price breaks below the recent lows, it could signal a continuation of the downtrend. 📊 Chart Analysis Summary: Bullish Expectation: The expectation is for the price to potentially retrace back up into a premium level (above 50%) after sweeping key levels and reacting to the daily FVG. Bearish Expectation: If the price fails to hold above the daily FVG and breaks below the recent lows, further bearish movement is anticipated. 🙏 Thank you for joining us! Exploring US100 today highlighted the importance of effective risk management in trading success. Prioritize research, implement robust strategies, and seek guidance for confident market navigation. Stay tuned for more insights on our channel. Here's to profitable trading and continuous learning! ⚠️ Disclaimer The information provided here is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by RealArmin
NQ | QQQ | Day trading plan 7-26-2024CME_MINI:NQU2024 Bullish Scenario Immediate Resistance Levels: Bullish Line: : 19,115.75 Target Price 1: 19,168.75 Target Price 2: 19,278.50 Strategy: Entry: Consider entering a long position above the immediate resistance at 19,115.75. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the nearest support at 19,041.75 to minimize risk. Targets: Set targets at the resistance levels mentioned above. Partial profit-taking can be considered at each target level. Confirmation: Look for bullish candlestick patterns or confirmation from volume indicators before entering the trade. Bearish Scenario Immediate Support Levels: Bearish Line: 19,065.00 Target Price 1: 19,041.75 Target Price 2: 18,998.75 Target Price 3: 18,932.00 Strategy: Entry: Consider entering a short position if the price breaks below the Bearish Line at 19,065.00. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the nearest resistance at 19,115.75 to minimize risk. Targets: Set targets at the support levels mentioned above. Partial profit-taking can be considered at each target level. Confirmation: Look for bearish candlestick patterns or confirmation from volume indicators before entering the trade. Summary Bullish Entry: Above 19,115.75 with targets at 19,168.75 and 19,278.50. Bearish Entry: Below 19,065.00 with targets at 19,041.75, 18,998.75, and 18,932.00. Stop Losses: Adjust according to the nearest support/resistance levels to manage risk. This analysis should be used in conjunction with other indicators and market conditions for a comprehensive trading strategy.
CME_MINI:NQU2024
by shkspr
8
The Implications of the US Unemployment Rate - It Is Higher Now What is moving lately? The US unemployment rate has edged up. We can see from past cycles that when unemployment numbers started breaking above their downtrend, crisis occurred. Micro E-Mini Nasdaq Futures and Options Ticker: MNQ Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
FRED:UNRATEShort
by konhow
NASDAQ Held the 1D MA50 and is rebounding.Nasdaq (NDX) almost hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) on Friday and immediatelly rebounded yesterday, in anticipation of high cap earnings starting tonight with Tesla and Alphabet. The 1D MA50 has been intact as the major Support of the Channel Up pattern since May 06. The previous two Bullish Legs rallied at least +10.37% before the next short-term pull-back, so we are setting a new Higher High (top of the Channel Up) Target on Nasdaq at 21450. Notice also the harmonic occurrence of the bottoms (Higher Lows) of the Channel Up as highlighted by the Sine Waves. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingShot
5