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NASDAQ Nothing to stop this uptrend. Next stop 21300.Time to update our Nasdaq (NDX) thesis from 2 weeks ago (June 20, see chart below), where we called for a pull-back and then a buy on a 20700 Target: As you can see we got the short-term correction within the (dotted) Channel Up and the index resumed the long-term uptrend of the 8-month (blue) Channel Up. Supported by both the 4H MA200 (red trend-line) and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), we expect this uptrend to be extended in a similar way as the January 2024 post 4H MA200 correction rebound. That sequence completed a +25.78% from the October 2023 bottom, before pulling back near the 4H MA200 again. As a result, we upgrade our Target to 21300, closer to the top of the long-term Channel Up. See also how symmetrical the 1D MACD fractals are between the 2 sequences. We should now be expecting a Bullish Cross, to confirm this Leg's continuation. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingShot
1
NASDAQ Time for a Correction?NASDAQ Time for a Correction? The recent events in the financial markets have highlighted growing uncertainty and the potential for a correction in the NASDAQ. A thorough analysis of both fundamental and sentimental factors provides valuable insights for investors looking to make informed decisions. Technical Overview This past week, NASDAQ failed to surpass its recent peak, marking a significant technical signal. There is a strong divergence appearing on technical analysis indicators such as RSI and MACD, suggesting a potential trend reversal. Macroeconomic Events The upcoming week is set to bring several key events that could significantly impact the markets: Tuesday: Fed Chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak. Recent statements from Fed officials hint that Powell may adopt a hawkish stance, potentially leading to further pressure on interest rate hikes. Wednesday: The release of the ISM Services PMI for June and the FOMC Minutes. These reports could set the tone for the markets in the coming weeks, offering insights into future monetary policy directions. Friday: Non-Farm Payrolls data, eagerly awaited by the market. The results could influence short-term economic expectations and future Fed decisions. Seasonality and Sentiment We are entering a period of seasonal stagnation and potential correction, which is typical in a U.S. election year. Market seasonality often affects investor behavior, leading to greater caution and reduced activity. COT Report and Market Sentiment The Commitment of Traders (COT) report indicates that 47.12% of funds hold short positions on NASDAQ, suggesting a bearish outlook among major market players. Additionally, retail sentiment is also negative, with around 60% in short positions. To avoid being on the wrong side of market sentiment, it would be preferable for this sentiment to drop to lower levels. The current situation on NASDAQ is fraught with uncertainty and potential challenges. Technical signals are warning of a possible correction, and upcoming macroeconomic events could bring further changes. Seasonality and market sentiment also indicate potential difficulties. Investors should remain cautious and be prepared to adjust their strategies quickly in response to evolving conditions.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by InvestMate
3
NASDAQ Literally nothing to stop this long-term rally.Earlier this month (June 07, see chart below), we explained why we were very bullish long-term on Nasdaq (NDX) using the 1W time-frame: The price rose from 19000 to 19750 since and there is literally no technical sign of stopping this tremendous rally yet. In fact, today we bring you another approach, this time on the 2M time-frame. As you can see, since November 2023, the index is past a Bullish Cross on the 2M LMACD. Since the 2008 Housing Crisis, we have witnessed this signal only 3 times. In fact, despite the presence of a relentless 14-year Channel Up, the most recent LMACD Bullish Cross resembles more the first one on November 2009. Even though the 2022 Inflation Crisis wasn't the same as the 2008 Housing Crisis, it is the strongest we saw since then. The chart clearly shows that 2-year Channel Up (blue)/ Bullish Legs have been the vessels of upward continuation within the 14-year Channel, while at the same time +135% rises have been quite common. As a result, before the current rally takes a breather, we can expect to see as high as even 24500 (+135% from the November 2022 bottom). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by TradingShot
Nasdaq Slapped- Like u saw yesterday, BTC dipped but the main reason for now is just the global economy being worst. - Nasdaq Companies made big % lost yesterday - here the main list - www.cnbc.com - The Covid19 caused a fast dip followed by a mega pump based on stimulus (brrrrr), now the real dip is ongoing. ---------------------------------- Trading Part ( Long Term ) ---------------------------------- - Buy 1 : 12,000$ - Rebuy : 10,500$ - 11,000$ TP : before 20,000$ ---------------------------------- - This Analyze of course can be faked by a strong money printing (Brrrrrrrrrrrr) Happy Tr4Ding and St4y Safe !
ULong
by thecryer
38
US100 ( NASDAQ ) Outlook ICT Concepts💰 Welcome to Your Channel! Welcome to our channel where we delve into the intricacies of financial markets. Today, we focus on US100, dissecting its current price action to uncover strategic trading opportunities. Join us as we analyze key levels and market dynamics, aiming to refine our trading strategies and maximize potential gains. 📊 Let's Discuss NASDAQ Let's discuss my favorite asset, NASDAQ. The first thing we need to consider is the Smart Money Technique (SMT) which appeared on the ES (S&P500) chart yesterday, and now reflects on the NASDAQ chart. This technique is currently positioned below the chart. 📈 Anticipating Price Expansion We can anticipate the price to expand higher into the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) resting above the current price, potentially reacting to the Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) levels. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch In our key level area, we have the Midnight Open Price (00:00 NY Time) at 19691.5. Currently, the price is above this midnight open level, indicating a deep premium level, which supports our short scenario. 🔑 Liquidity Levels At the start of the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) we have both the 4-hour previous high, which is a buy-side liquidity (BSL), and a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG). These are the key liquidity levels to watch. 📉 Long Position Scenarios For any long position scenarios, we need the sell-side liquidity to be taken out, which is quite far from the current price. We can look for lower time frame low resistance liquidity or the 50% retracement of the current range, resting at 19633. 🙏 Thank you for joining us! Exploring US100 today highlighted the importance of effective risk management in trading success. Prioritize research, implement robust strategies, and seek guidance for confident market navigation. Stay tuned for more insights on our channel. Here's to profitable trading and continuous learning! ⚠️ Disclaimer The information provided here is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by RealArmin
1
Weekend Wizardry On Crude OilRight now It makes no sense in my mind why the market would want to return to being bearish. Yes we are in a premium and after a couple days of upwards movement there can be some stagnent action for traders who like to take more than 25-40 ticks ona single move. So again why would market want to move lower on a htf bases as pointed in my arrows we have a Daily FVG whcih I will be watching price to respect and create a discount in that FVG The wicks from Friday and Monday Daily chart show immediate rebalance and a propell higher is what I am looking for. Given Monday can be opposing price to what Tues and Wed Provide... wink wink Magnet shows my target for next week. to revisit this and whilst in fvg how do we close? Daily fvg CE? I really do look at price on the day to day basis weekly targets yes but this is a subconscious thought when im trading pacific times of the day.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by IamThattrader
NASDAQ Minor correction expected. Where to buy?Nasdaq (NDX) has almost reached the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up pattern that started on the October 26 2023 bottom. The last Higher Low was made on April 19 2024 and ever since, a strong Bullish Leg in the form of a Channel Up (dotted), took the index above both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 4H MA200 (red trend-line). Since the last Bullish Leg topped at around a +20.87% rise, we can assume that the price has entered a rejection zone. The only parameter left to confirm this, is for the 1D MACD to form a Bearish Cross. As you can see the two Bullish Legs are fairly similar so far in their price action. With the late December 2023 - early January 2024 pull-back bottoming on the 4H MA200 exactly, we are expecting a symmetrical pull-back to that level again, where we will be looking to add more buys and target 20700 (top of the 8-month Channel Up). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100
by TradingShot
1