Nasdaq 100 Futures - Is the BOTTOM in place ???NQ1!
Here are several zones, levels, and projections of where I'm looking for price action to occur over the coming week(s). There is 'some' confirmation for me to believe that we just saw the bottom put in place (for now) with potential to reach new all time HIs.
Within each zone or level, am using other price action confirmations before entry (usually double bottoms/tops) and with the wide ranges we're seeing lately, targeting 50, 75 to 100+ points on each trade.
If price falls to new LOs, below, the red band levels, then I will look at flipping this entire idea to the reverse short side - simple. Will find out very quickly with the previous close just coming off the LOs.
Nq100
NQ Trade ScenariosWith Nasdaq Futures seeing high volatility in a bearish trend, there are 2 levels that I like for a trade with the thesis that as long as we are below 7210, we are going to test the 6900 lows.
Trade Setup 1: I think a retest of the lows would be a successful and see at least a 100 point bounce.
Directional Bias: Long
Price Target: 7100
Good Entry: 6900-6930
Risk/Reward: Max risk of 30 points, 200 point potential reward
Trade Setup 2: I think a open to the beginning of the week would create a nice short opportunity for a potential of 300 point downside.
Directional Bias: Short
Price Target: 6900
Good Entry: 7200-7230
Risk/Reward: Max risk of 30 points, 200 point potential reward
NQ Futures Long2The trade idea I posted last week, we never got the price target to set up a nice short. However, the trend was clearly down and there was no signal to long until the look below and fail on Thursday down in the 6900-6930 area.
Give the close we had Thursday/Friday, it looks like some buying algos showed up.
Weekends can change the complexion given our heightened volatility but it looks like a long trade is setting up for a test of the lower 7300s at least.
Directional Bias: Long
Price Target: 7300-7320 area
Good Entry: Retest of the speculative red trendline at 7100-7130 or a break above 7200 intraday
Risk/Reward: Max Risk of 30 points/100 pt+ Reward
Good luck to all.
Target hit. New Higher Low made. New long.TP = 7,640 hit as the 1D Channel Up (RSI = 50.527, MACD = 11.240) advanced towards a new High at 7,700. It has since pulled back to make a Higher Low and we think that this has been priced at 7,400. We are going long again aiming at the next potential Higher High. TP = 7,828.50. When 7,640 is crossed again, we will place the SL there to ensure the safety of a big portion of the profits.
1D Channel Up. Long.Nasdaq is on a simple 1D Channel Up (RSI = 63.030) halfway from completing a very aggressive Higher High candle sequence (MACD = 87.610, Highs/Lows = 108.2500, B/BP = 183.1400). As seen on the chart it posts recurring patterns that can help us calculate the next High, which should be around 7,700. Our long's TP = 7,640.
NQ Trade updateAs we creep closer to our second target we are pulling stops to Break Even plus 10 to lock the trade in. We are fairly confident we will see target number 2 early in the session today. Regardless, we want to manage the trade properly. Yo never know when the PPT will swoop in to save the market. ;) Trade well!
Nasdaq flag? The $NQ chewed up support which made it non existent over the last couple of days. The $NQ could be starting to develop a bear flag. We will watch this closely. We are short term bullish but long term bearish for now. The swings are wide. If you "must" trade, reduce your size and focus on one maybe two markets.