Nq_f
Nq potencial bullish flat Seems like NQ is in a Bullish flat formation, that will take another few weeks maybe couple months to resolve.
Still Bullish longer term as long as August low is not pierced!
Long around b (in blue) of 3 (green) to new ATH's... then we'll be looking for signs of bearishness and entry to short for a big 5 waves down!
NQ | QQQ | Day trading plan 7-26-2024CME_MINI:NQU2024
Bullish Scenario
Immediate Resistance Levels:
Bullish Line: : 19,115.75
Target Price 1: 19,168.75
Target Price 2: 19,278.50
Strategy:
Entry: Consider entering a long position above the immediate resistance at 19,115.75.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the nearest support at 19,041.75 to minimize risk.
Targets: Set targets at the resistance levels mentioned above. Partial profit-taking can be considered at each target level.
Confirmation: Look for bullish candlestick patterns or confirmation from volume indicators before entering the trade.
Bearish Scenario
Immediate Support Levels:
Bearish Line: 19,065.00
Target Price 1: 19,041.75
Target Price 2: 18,998.75
Target Price 3: 18,932.00
Strategy:
Entry: Consider entering a short position if the price breaks below the Bearish Line at 19,065.00.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the nearest resistance at 19,115.75 to minimize risk.
Targets: Set targets at the support levels mentioned above. Partial profit-taking can be considered at each target level.
Confirmation: Look for bearish candlestick patterns or confirmation from volume indicators before entering the trade.
Summary
Bullish Entry: Above 19,115.75 with targets at 19,168.75 and 19,278.50.
Bearish Entry: Below 19,065.00 with targets at 19,041.75, 18,998.75, and 18,932.00.
Stop Losses: Adjust according to the nearest support/resistance levels to manage risk.
This analysis should be used in conjunction with other indicators and market conditions for a comprehensive trading strategy.
Elliott Wave Analysis Expects Nasdaq Futures (NQ) Continue HigheShort Term Elliott Wave in Nasdaq Futures (NQ) suggests the rally from 4.19.2024 low is in progress as an impulse. Up from 4.19.2024 low, wave ((i)) ended at 17949 and dips in wave ((ii)) ended at 17386. The NQ extended higher in wave ((iii)) with internal subdivision as another impulse in lesser degree. Up from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 18348 and dips in wave (ii) ended at 18165. Wave (iii) ended at 18760, wave (iv) ended at 18545, and wave (v) ended at 19023 which completed wave ((iii)).
Wave ((iv)) pullback did a zig zag Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave ((iii)), wave (a) ended at 18802 and pullback in wave (b) ended at 18933. Final leg wave (c) completed wave ((iv)) at 18621 low. The future rallied again in wave ((v)) ending an impulse as wave (i) of ((v)) at 18956 high. Near term, as far as pivot at 18621 low stays intact, expect a correction in 3 or 7 swings in wave (ii) before resuming to the upside in wave (iii) of ((v)). It expects short term upside in ((v)) towards 19117 – 19270 area as minimum extension, while dips remain above 18623.85 low. Alternatively, it can do double, if break below 18623.85 low as ((iv)) before turning higher.
NQ 4H Analysis - Range BoundThe SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ 4H is currently in a range, marked by a shifting structure to the downside. Despite attempts to regain momentum, buyers have been unsuccessful, as demonstrated by the annotated sweep on the chart. We are now in a holding pattern, waiting for a direction to be chosen. While the overall trend remains bullish, we are in a cautious phase due to the market forming a balanced range.
There is a bullish internal structure flip, followed by a notably bullish 4H bar. However, the sweep above previous highs indicates that buyers were not ready to drive prices higher. Attempts to rebound on every previous internal lower high fell short, leading us back to where the internal structure flip occurred.
Buyers emerged again off of the internal structure flip high, but unless a higher low is formed and prior highs are finally surpassed, it seems that the momentum is dwindling. This could potentially signal the onset of buyer exhaustion and early indications of a larger timeframe pullback at the beginning stages.
NQ Bearish Structure | Looking for a possibly 2-legged pullbackNQ has broken its structure to the downside, disrupting the bullish pattern that had been ongoing for a while.
I am looking for an hourly two-legged pullback to the ~70% retracement zone before making a new low, since the price has broken above a prior lower high. This suggests that buyers want to see higher prices before we possibly make a lower low.
There is an hourly demand zone around 18200-18170, which I suspect buyers will try to use to push prices higher.
NQ Hourly Trend LinePrice action rules suggest that once a trend line is broke, we tend to make a new extreme before the reversal. As we can see here, price has broke, made a new high, and is not stagnant.
Just as horizontal break and retests are a thing for support/resistance, angular break and retests occur on trend lines as well. It'll be interesting to see.
NQ1!, Contract Rollover to RescueGap ups/downs are a strategy used to overcome stubborn levels. The most recent contract rollover is no exception. Opening way above the inflection level guaranteed a bullish session for the NFP day (12/8). The market is positioned for an upside continuation. We may still see some consolidation in the upper part of the channel, representing a clear bull flag formation, before a final push through 16320 inflection level. Perhaps the most anticipated Santa rally this season.
A less anticipated scenario: the price returns in the lower part of the channel and consolidates. That may lead to the channel breakdown.
As a day trader I focus on rotations only, I trade rotations. What causes them is not my concern. I took awhile to adapt to this way of thinking. I can anticipate a potential rotation based on the technicals though but the ultimate word is left to the market. Prediction vs anticipation is a big topic.
A smaller timeframe is used to watch the price action around an inflection level to confirm a beginning of a rotation.
Abstracting the price action through the lens of rotations keeps a trader less biased and ultimately less irritated when the market ignores the collective consensus.
A random thought.
In the age of informational flood it is a very difficult job to be a stoic trader. A trader does not need to be obsessed with tools and indicators to be profitable, he needs to stay objective. A simple rule: a support is support until's broken will make you money in the long run and this is an objective way of trading.
Cheers.
12/9/2023
Mind the Gap. And an interesting way to share my personal chartHello
I have inserted my personal work chart for this am so I can share exactly what I'm looking at.
I just discovered this today.
There is a gap below current price that should be watched.
I don't suspect many are trading today but if you are, good luck.
Also be mindful trading view is rolling over contracts automatically on charts EARLY and this will give discrepancies between Dec and forward month. I didn't appreciate that this morning.
NQ OverviewThe NQ 1-hour chart depicts a clear trading range between the key resistance at 16,085 and the current key support at 15,940, with a prevailing bullish sentiment within this range. Below the key support, a previously tested demand zone ranging from 15,930 to 15,890 exists. Shorting into this demand zone carries high risk, requiring a loss of the key support level at 15,830 to trigger a substantial pullback.
My trading plan involves exploring short scalping opportunities at the upper range boundary, with conservative targets of 5-10 points, given the elevated risk associated with shorting. Additionally, I plan to consider long positions at key support and demand levels, contingent on the continuation of demand and support signals.
It's noteworthy that NQ is potentially forming a bullish flag pattern with support at 15,940, characterized by lower highs forming into support, suggesting a possible breakout. The question of how long NQ can sustain its ascent before a pullback is a valid one. However, it's essential not to let speculative scenarios influence your bias and instead focus on trading based on observed price action and chart analysis, which currently supports a bullish sentiment.
NQ 4-Hour Bull FlagA potential bull flag is emerging on the NQ 4-hour chart, with the 15945 level acting as critical support. As the market experiences a period of consolidation, we observe a gradual descent towards this support zone. This consolidation phase, following a prolonged bull run, raises questions about the market's next move: will the bull flag lead to another upward leg, or are we poised for a necessary pullback? Both NQ and ES are currently in a cooling-off phase, forming additional breakout patterns. On a higher time frame, the key support to monitor remains at the 15945 zone.
NQ Uptrend Still BullishWhen evaluating whether to take a short or long position, it's crucial to observe current trends. For example, the NQ 4-hour chart maintains its uptrend as it hasn't broken any higher lows. This was evident during a live chat I observed today, where some traders were initiating short positions anticipating a "flush." However, their rationale wasn't clear. Understanding the shift in trends, characterized by breaking higher lows followed by forming lower highs and lower lows, is a key aspect in determining your trading bias across all time frames. Although the 4-hour trend is still strongly bullish, the 1 to 5-minute timeframe may exhibit a "pullback," offering short-term intraday shorting opportunities. However, it's important to be aware that this strategy goes against the dominant bullish trend in a higher time frame and is very high risk.
NQ 6H OverviewOverview
NQ seems to be operating within a descending triangle pattern at the moment. This formation doesn't necessarily indicate a bullish or bearish trend, but a breakout in either direction could provide significant insights. In addition to the descending triangle, it's evident that we're currently ranging between two crucial levels: 16000, which acts as a major supply zone, and 15800, serving as a significant break and retest zone. If the 15800 level holds strong, we might see a move towards 16000 or higher. Conversely, if 15800 is breached, there's a possibility of a decline to the 15600 level, the next demand zone, or even to 15450, another notable break and retest zone.
Key Levels
Supply: 16000
Demand: 15600
Break and Retest Zones: 15800 & 15450
NQ Bull Flag into Demand NQ - Daily - 14350
This is supply and demand to the tee on the NQ daily. You can see 4 days of resistance before price gapped up 580 points before pulling back. We are now retesting this area. After a demand that large, we are bound to see some sort of interest in buying within this area (theoretically).
If we are to bounce on NQ, this is likely the area we'd bounce. Either for a small relief bounce, or a large one. Keep an eye out here tomorrow.
Weekly Plan NQ Futures Week Of 10-910/09 Weekly Plan. NQ Futures December NQZ2023.
Weekly Pivot is 14,988 [13D balance HB zone
Targets
15,151 9/20 gap top + 10/6 spike top
15,361 9/18-9/22 weekly vpoc
15,514 prior 5D balance half back
Targets
14,816 250% extension of 5D balance break down
14,628 13D balance zone low
14,526 6/8 gap bottom
Now trading at 15,020 NQZ
Alerts:
You will receive alerts in this channel every time NQ hits (2M candle close):
Weekly opening 15,040.
Weekly pivot at 14,988.
Each weekly target.
Side notes:
Current 13 days balance zone is H15,436 / HB15,011 / L14,586
When trading off weekly levels, each level will act as support and resistance, “no trade zones” do not apply to weekly plan.
NQ Weekly Plan Video >>>> @everyone
SPX Weekly Outlook ending Oct 13We have one large gap above and 2 gaps below. As usual, 4300 and 4200 are the whole number support.
Above 4325; we can go for the gap fill to 4400-4405. Over 4405 is 4465
Below 4300 is 4200 and then 4150 then 4100.
Remember, the JPM collar is calling for 4500 above and then 4050 below.
SPX Weekly Outlook ending Sep 29We have 3 gaps below to 4000-3960. Right now the support area is sitting at 4300-4260 where SPX is indicating we will test this upcoming week. We do have a gap above at 4400 that I expect a possibility to be filled if bears cover.
4300 hold we could bounce back to 4355-4400.
4300 break we test 4260 then 4200 followed by 4100 4000 then 3960.