Elliott Wave View: Nasdaq Attempting for New RecordNasdaq (NQ_F) 1 hour chart below shows that the Index has ended the correction from July 13 all-time high. The pullback unfolded as a flat Elliott Wave Structure. From July 13 high, wave (A) ended at 10358.75 low. The bounce in wave (B) ended at 11058 high. The Index then extended lower in wave (C), which ended at 10301.91 low. This completed wave ((2)) in larger degree. The correction reached the blue box area, which is the 100 – 123.6% extension of wave (A)-(B). From that blue box, the Index has turned higher. This allows buyers at blue box a risk free position.
Up from wave ((2)) low, the Index rallied higher in wave (1). The subdivision unfolded as a diagonal Elliott Wave Structure. Wave 1 ended at 10531 high and the pullback in wave 2 ended at 10381.25 low. Afterwards, the Index resumed higher in wave 3, which ended at 10635.75 high. Wave 4 dips then ended at 10511.50 low. The final push higher in wave 5 ended at 10758.50 high. Afterwards, the Index did a pullback in wave (2), which ended at 10502.75 low. The Index has resumed higher and has broken above previous wave (1) high, confirming that the next leg higher in wave (3) has started. As long as 10301.91 low stays intact, the dips in 3,7 or 11 swings is expected to find support for more upside. However, the Index still needs to break above July 13 peak in order to avoid doing a double zig-zag correction.
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Elliott Wave View: Nasdaq Short Term Upside TargetNasdaq (NQ_F) has broken above June 23 high suggesting that the next leg higher has started. Cycle from 6.24 high ended in wave IV as zig-zag Elliott Wave Structure. Wave ((A)) ended at 9885.50 low, wave ((B)) ended at 10120.50 high, and wave ((C)) ended at 9729.37 low. This 3 waves move ended wave IV in larger degree. From there, the index resumed higher in wave (1) as a 5 waves Elliott Wave structure. Wave 1 ended at 9939.25 high, wave 2 ended at 9872.50 low, wave 3 ended at 10022.75 high, wave 4 ended at 10000 and wave 5 ended at 10028.25 high.
The pullback in wave (2) then ended at 9940.25 low. Wave (3) is currently in progress. Up from wave (2) low at 9940.25, wave 1 ended at 10171.50 and wave 2 dips ended at 10076 low. Afterwards, the Index resumed higher in wave 3, which could end soon. Pullback in wave 4 should then follow before the rally resume again. As far as pivot at 9729.37 low stays intact, expect dips to continue finding support in 3, 7, or 11 swing. Potential short term target for Nasdaq is the 100% – 123.6% extension from June 15 low at 10663-10884 area.
NQ_F Massive Bearish Wedge has BrokenMuch like ES futures, the NASDAQ futures have formed a massive bearish rising wedge from the March lows. This wedge has an exhaustion overthrow at the end, followed by a breakdown, then a full week's long backtest which has finally failed. If follow through selling takes place next week, I expect this to fall dramatically from these lofty heights.
One small difference between the ES futures and the NQ futures is that with the new recent high, the RSI did print a higher high than the RSI print from the lower February high. This is actually not bearish divergence but rather bullish confirmation, but considering how close the two numbers are, perhaps it is nearly divergence. With the weakness in the other markets, I doubt this will make additional new highs for many years.
Elliott Wave View: Nasdaq Broke to All-Time HighNasdaq (NQ_F) has made an all-time high suggesting that the Covid-19 correction is over at 6628.75. Index has now resumed higher and short term 30 minutes chart below suggests the rally to 9742.5 ended wave 1 and pullback to 9572.34 ended wave 2. Wave 3 is currently in progress and the subdivision is unfolding as a 5 waves Elliott Wave structure.
Up from wave 2 low at 9572.34, wave (i) ended at 9704.25 and wave (ii) dips ended at 9601.75. Wave (iii) ended at 9846.25, wave (iv) ended at 9789.50 and wave (v) ended at 9875.50. This 5 waves move ended wave ((i)) in larger degree. Pullback in wave ((ii)) then ended at 9747.00 as a double three where wave (w) ended at 9796.5, wave (x) ended at 9838.75, and wave (y) of ((ii)) ended at 9747.
Index then resumes higher in wave ((iii)). Up from wave ((ii)) at 9747, wave (i) ended at 9901 and wave (ii) pullback ended at 9811.50. Wave (iii) ended at 10005.25 and wave (iv) pullback ended at 9942.25. Expect the Index to end wave (v) of ((iii)) soon, then pullback in wave ((iv)) before resuming the rally again. As far as pivot at 9572.34 low stays intact, expect dips to continue finding support in 3, 7, or 11 swing.
Small Caps Could Continue Outperformance$RTY_F: as absurd as it sounds from a fundamental point of view given that 40% of the companies in the index are unprofitable and it's carrying a 65x forward P/E, the technical picture is very clear: small caps are putting in a medium-term rounded bottom vs. $NQ_F.
Elliott Wave View: Nasdaq Wave 5 In ProgressShort term Elliott Wave chart below suggests the dips to 8848.71 ended wave ((4)). This is part of a larger impulsive rally which started from 3.23.2020 low. Wave ((5)) is currently in progress as 5 waves in lesser degree. Up from wave ((4)) at 8848.71, wave 1 ended at 9143, and pullback in wave 2 ended at 8925.50. Index then resumed higher in wave 3 towards 9417.25 and wave 4 pullback ended at 9273.
Final leg higher in wave 5 ended at 9510.75 and this also completed wave (1) of ((5)). Wave (2) pullback is currently in progress to correct cycle from 5.14.2020 low before the rally resumes. Internal subdivision of wave (2) is unfolding as a double three where wave W should end soon as a zigzag. Index should then bounce in wave X and then turn lower again in 3 waves to complete wave Y of (2).
Index should then resume higher again in wave (3) of ((5)) provided that pivot at 8848.71 low stays intact. Dips in the Index should find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing against 8848.71 in the first degree. If pivot at 8848.71 low fails, then Index may have ended cycle from 3.23.2020 low. In this case, a larger pullback should happen before Nasdaq resumes again.
New update on NQSo excited for Monday!
Alright, so as I mentioned last Friday about the possible pullback, we saw that when Trump signed the $2 trillion bill. And as predicted, the price fell. Currently, wave 3 has the same length as wave 1, but I am really excited by the strong rebound from NQ. NQ is now at the territory, meaning a high possibility of wave 3 extension, implying a way stronger bearish trend ahead. My suggestion now is to grab more puts/shorts, whatever you wanna call it, and be ready to loot on Monday morning! Target price below 7k.
GL to Y'all