Nq_f
NQ had only 50% retracement off todays lows!NQ is so much weaker then the ES, it got up to 50% retracement when ES had a perfect 61.8%
Also on this move down it made a lower low, def leading to my eyes.
ES has bullish setup, NQ has more room to go before its going to test the uptrend channel.
Todays close will be interesting. If weak, then tomorrow we can gap down
NQ - still time for the right shoulderIm long here NQ and ES, tight stop though.
Needs above 11275, the target is 11380-90 by 6am or so.
If we see this move before the PCE numbers, I will exit longs and go short.
What if it will be a repeat of what happened last time PCE number was out.
Tomorrow should move the price above the last several days range, its also a directional change day and it could be a move in one direction but outside of the range.
So a low tomorrow or Monday (Im in a low on Fri/Sun for the futs) and rally into at least 5th or even 7th.
The rally will be muted and choppy imo just to reset the indicators.
Tomorrow is a not weekly, but monthly and quarterly closing!
Should be very interesting close and if it looses today's lows we could see another 100 points plus cut
Have a good night!
NASDAQ - Potential REVERSALNASDAQ is currently at a major support. What I'm noticing is that it is almost identical price action as happened in June. Nasdaq had a major bounce on 6/15 which was followed by a heavy sell day on 6/16 (very much like today). However it was immediately reversed the following day on 6/17. The breakdown on 6/16 ended up being a big bear trap which ended up with a bull run into mid August.
As usual - NOT A PREDICTION. Just an observation of price action and trying to keep an un-biased view.
PLAN: Watching today's closing price and where we end up tomorrow. /NQ is at a major turning point.
NQ is looking much lower!Here are the levels of importance for NQ on the downside:
- 11060
- 10656-500
- 10300
- 9990
The last 2 numbers are the main target zone now
I want one more push tomorrow.
Since it's not only weekly, but monthly and (very important) quarterly closing this Fri.
Last 2 quarter ends both resulted in selling last 2 days, something to pay attention to.
So a flush is very possible to start as early as tomorrow or ideally after Oct 3rd high.
I have closed my ES short at 3715.50, 3710.5 from 3727 and waiting to enter with some longs, but will have stops, dont want to wake up with a huge gap down.
Also Im in with some SPY 351 Oct 21st puts and some Fri SPY calls from the close.
If we break down, I will be entering to my swing MNQ position.
For now I want to see a standard 50-61.8% retracement to get long in am.
ES is at 3665 (main target) and 3682
NQ is at 11377 and 11322 (I like 11355 as a target)
Here is 1h chart with support and resistance white lines
Good night