Nqfutures
NQ is looking much lower!Here are the levels of importance for NQ on the downside:
- 11060
- 10656-500
- 10300
- 9990
The last 2 numbers are the main target zone now
I want one more push tomorrow.
Since it's not only weekly, but monthly and (very important) quarterly closing this Fri.
Last 2 quarter ends both resulted in selling last 2 days, something to pay attention to.
So a flush is very possible to start as early as tomorrow or ideally after Oct 3rd high.
I have closed my ES short at 3715.50, 3710.5 from 3727 and waiting to enter with some longs, but will have stops, dont want to wake up with a huge gap down.
Also Im in with some SPY 351 Oct 21st puts and some Fri SPY calls from the close.
If we break down, I will be entering to my swing MNQ position.
For now I want to see a standard 50-61.8% retracement to get long in am.
ES is at 3665 (main target) and 3682
NQ is at 11377 and 11322 (I like 11355 as a target)
Here is 1h chart with support and resistance white lines
Good night
NQ is testing the bottom of the bear flagWatch this bear flag to break and we see 11165-35 very quick.
Main support is at 11234, breaking that will flush quick
I have the price down to even 11050-60 level.
Very important to hold here.
My thinking is we sell off into the open and move up after Powell speech tomorrow am
Today's action off the low could be another trap for the perma bulls to call it the low...
Will be waking up early tomorrow to watch the market and see where I add to my SPXL and some Oct calls long position I started today
P.S. DO NOT GO LONG Heavy! This can crash and the crashes come from the oversold conditions! Size properly and have stops or more powder to add
NQ is at maj support terretoryHere are the support levels to watch:
- 11167-75 (My target for a while)
- 11058.50
- 10656.50
Maj Resistance is at 12260, above and it will squeeze back to 14k imo
But the pressure is still down, Oct should bring 10k zone imo.
My plan for tomorrow is buy am lows
Have a good night
NQ is getting close to its first main target of 11180Its getting close, should hit next week.
Its still not a place to be long imo, we are still in a rabbit hole
SPX can see 3200 level next month!
Powell damage control is here, dont get trapped if we go up into the close
BTW here is a link from days ago, you know where the price is now
NQ H&S or Bear flag?I want to see a final move down after FOMC, maybe lasting into tomorrow and then up into the 26-27th high.
On the other hand it can just blast of making a higher low to suck more bears in and stop the longs.
Make your bets, today will be volatile.
Main trend is still down. Im looking for a high on the 27th and sell hard into the EOM in Aug like move
NQ to make another daily engulfing pattern if we make below 790The price rejected the test of the broken trendline - perfect kiss of the death pattern.
My thoughts about a fakeout were too optimistic, I was looking to add to my NQ short at higher levels and it didnt present an opportunity.
Main target for this move is 11175-85 and possibly much lower.
Try not to day trade this, unless you're quick with taking profits and run
NQ same as the SPX, looking for a good size rally after the FOMC and fade completely by Friday
Going to short a bounce, if presented
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NQ Zoomed out chartCheck the broken to the downside trend channel re-test NQ is having now.
So far its riding it from the bottom.
I wont count out a fakeout move up to 12150-60 or even 12240-50 and then going back below the bottom of the trend channel.
Support is at 11900 for tomorrow long try. If we see that level during the open time, I will be taking long for a 100+ points ride up.
The most bullish case is - re visit 12700 level.
But the time is really running out and unless we get a huge squeeze tomorrow, I think the upside will be very limited and the price will eventually get to my main target - 11175-200 and maybe much lower.
Oct should mark the low and Im wondering if we even see 9-10k zone tested.
So far Im planning on adding to my swing short tomorrow and just seat on it till after the FOMC decision move.
Im running some ES longs against my main NQ short, ready to cut at 3919ES level.
This is my working chart and I have hided as many indicators as possible, so you all can see the chart more clear then it is:)
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NQ should gap filllCrazy retracement, should comeback to place of origin since Thursday low
Main target zone is at 12330-12260NQ
Resistance is at 12555 and 12585-90
This should continue/fill the gap today.
Its a directional change day today, if we go down all day, this can go much lower into the 15th low
NQ is at resistance zoneIm short from here, stop just above today's highs
Might close before the close or AHs, tomorrow might spike up higher for a fakeout and then start selling into the 16th low
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NQ fullfiled the IHS targetPosted this on the Sep 8th:
We hit the target!
Now support at 12465. I will be shorting tomorrows open if we re-test the highs.
Looking for a low on the 13th and press higher. If we see the high on the 13th instead, then we down into the 16-19th.
My ideal pathway is low on the 13th and up into the 19-21st, then big sell off into EOM
If we get above 12830, then we should test 13215NQ next, that would be my ideal target after the 13th low
Will do SPX update in a bit and one more for those who are on my email list.
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Enjoy rest of your Sunday!
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NQ is in breakout mode (note the gap due to Sep to Dec contract)NQ has switched its contract on TV to Dec, looks like a gap up.
Im short right here and some from the close.
Today's close was into the wall last 10 min pump, closed below intraday highs = not bullish.
Needs a gap up or we should see much lower levels tomorrow.
Last few weeks we dump big on Friday's, will it repeat tomorrow? My bet is yes.
Ideally we see a higher low tomorrow and retrace hard into last hour or 2 of the day and never look back, that would setup a move for much higher next week
Its VIX OPEX on Wed, triple witching week
200MA here on 4h chart is the ideal target for this move
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NQ has an IHS forming target is 12700-50Its not a perfect formation, but if we close above today's highs, we should see much higher levels, ideally into 12700-50 zone
Im cautiously long, tomorrow is a crazy day on my cycle chart with a directional change.
Ideally we see one more low and go up into 13th
Have stops
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NQ is at its resistance lineIts hard to call the bottom call from last night, as I mentioned only my gut feeling of the low being in, as the markets were on the verge of breakdown.
"Its really Do or Die territory. My gut feel is telling me we will hold it, but you dont trade based on any feeling..."
I did take 40 points and run and didnt trade much this am, working on something exiting, hope to share it in a month or two...
So far we have bounce off the 12280 resistance zone, needs above this trend line for real breakout, for now its still in short gamma
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Thanks in advance!