NEPI Castle ready to Rock up to R159.60 W Formation formed on NEPI.
It's a W Formation because the second rounding bottom is more than 50% the height of the first.
Nature: High probability analysis
Price>20
Price>200
Uptrend (Safety line - check)
First target will be at R159.60
I personally don't have experience trading this market, so not sure how it will play out - but the candles and liquidity seem ok.
NRP
Long Crypto, Gold, Silver - Short FiatFED has begun a cycle of rate cuts although they don't want us catching that idea. Trump is downright determined to get the FFR back to 0% as quickly as possible, going so far as to demand the FED to cut rates 100bps at yesterday's meeting. Powell made clear that the FED doesn't want to turn this into a "trend of rate cuts" but that they would take appropriate action if trade tensions and global growth continued to weigh on the economy.
In a nice, slappy way, Trump delivered the tariff bomb today. FFR futures, which priced another 25bp cut in September at around 50% probability following yesterday's FOMC, shot up to an 84% probability following Trump's announcement. It is clear what the long plan is here: lower rates, weaken the dollar, increase outstanding debt. AKA further the dependence on an exponentially increasing supply of dollars and place spikes on the landing pad of a recession. We are headed toward a global negative interest rate environment - worked for Japan didn't it?!
This is setup is bigly huge for assets holding the qualities of money to be revalued.
In fact, it is inevitable. Timeline? My money - I mean currency - is on a few years, but ultimately it comes down to when the powers that be want to kick the fiat currency system into a hyperinflationary grave. You be the judge.
LONG TERM HYPERBULLISH.
NEPI ROCKCASTLE TRADING SCANDAL HURT, WILL IT RECOVER?NEPI Rockcastle owns and manages a portfolio of dominant retail properties in the following high-growth CEE countries: Romania, Poland, Bulgaria, Slovakia, Hungary, Croatia, Czech Republic and Serbia. The Group benefits from a highly-skilled internal management team which combines asset management, development, investment, leasing and financial expertise. Geographically diverse management skills allow NEPI Rockcastle to pursue Central and Eastern European (CEE) property opportunities more efficiently, benefiting from a strategic advantage in the acquisition, development and management of properties. The Group is well positioned for growth, driven by its best-in-class operating platform, as well as its historically proven capacity to deploy existing capital resources into attractive direct property investments. NEPI Rockcastle continues the active investment policy that supported the growth of NEPI and Rockcastle respectively over recent periods, with a strong pipeline of acquisitions and developments currently being pursued in its targeted region.
NRP is however part of a large trading scandal where they were accused of overstating profits and have taken big hits in terms of share price.
Technicals
There are two options here but both setups indicate that there should be further downside.
Option 1
Here we can see the initial impulse move to the downside on the left and I expect the second impulse to complete to the downside at a target price of around 3000. The corrective structure completed 4 waves and broke to the downside and is now on the retest level which means that the second impulse could begin shortly.
Option 2
The same initial impulse move applies but we could see the formation of a larger correction as indicated above. The break to the downside for impulse two will have the same target as option 1 and could occur on wave 4 or alternatively after the completion of wave 5 to the top first.