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Rail/Transportation Stocks: Macro Fib SchematicsThe biggest rail companies in the world. union Pacific, Berkshire Hathaway, CSX Corp, Northfolk Southern, Canadian Railway Co... GATX is a logistical distributor of railcars, trucks, ect... FedEx and UPS are postal companies which transport many things. These Schematics are an eye full but with a careful eye, it is easy to see the patterns of support and resistance. This is a 2 Month chart but they still work with the schematics because all timeframes work in tandem. Some examples of stock movement include Berkshire Hathaway blasting off from an important Fibonacci Level (RED). Also, there are rejections on GATX and supports on UPS. Canadian Railway is heading into resistance. ECT ECT ECT...
NYSE:BRK.A
by MichaelBsul
Norfolk Southern: Activist Investor Group Takes $1Billion Stake Norfolk Southern (NYSE: NYSE:NSC ) finds itself at the center of a corporate upheaval as an Ancora Holdings-led investor group has taken a significant $1 billion stake in the company. The move, aimed at restructuring the railroad operator, includes a bold attempt to unseat CEO Alan Shaw. The activist investor group, armed with a majority slate of directors, is pushing for change amid concerns about the company's performance, particularly in the aftermath of a train derailment last year and Shaw's failure to meet operational targets. The Investor Coup: The Wall Street Journal reported that the Ancora Holdings-led investor group, which includes notable names like Sachem Head Capital Management and D.E. Shaw, has taken the plunge with a $1 billion investment. This move underscores their dissatisfaction with Norfolk Southern's (NYSE: NYSE:NSC ) current trajectory and management decisions. The investor group has not only taken a stake but has also nominated a new slate of directors, including former Ohio Governor John Kasich and Sameh Fahmy, a seasoned executive from Kansas City Southern. Issues at Stake: One of the primary concerns raised by the investor group is Norfolk Southern's (NYSE: NYSE:NSC ) handling of a train derailment last year. The incident, coupled with CEO Alan Shaw's inability to meet operational targets, has fueled discontent among shareholders. The company's fourth-quarter earnings, reported last week, further added to the investor unease as profits fell below analyst consensus estimates. The activist investors are leveraging these concerns to rally support for their proposed changes at the executive level. The Proposed Director Slate: Former Ohio Governor John Kasich and Sameh Fahmy bring a wealth of experience to the proposed director slate. Kasich's political background and Fahmy's executive expertise in the railroad industry signal a strategic approach to reshaping Norfolk Southern's (NYSE: NYSE:NSC ) leadership. The investor group is positioning these nominees as catalysts for change, emphasizing their potential to steer the company in a new and more profitable direction. Meeting of Minds: Norfolk Southern (NYSE: NYSE:NSC ) has reportedly engaged in discussions with the activist investor group and the proposed director nominees. The talks have focused on addressing the concerns raised by the investors, especially regarding the train derailment and operational targets. The outcome of these discussions could play a pivotal role in determining the future leadership of Norfolk Southern. Broader Industry Trends: The activist investor involvement comes at a time when the broader railroad industry is experiencing shifts and challenges. The Wall Street Journal notes that Sachem Head Capital Management and D.E. Shaw have also been increasing their stakes in Norfolk Southern, (NYSE: NYSE:NSC ) indicating a broader trend of investor interest and potential industry consolidation. Conclusion: Norfolk Southern (NYSE: NYSE:NSC ) is at a critical juncture as activist investors, led by Ancora Holdings, seek to reshape the company's leadership and strategy. The $1 billion stake and the nomination of a new director slate underscore the depth of investor dissatisfaction. As discussions unfold between Norfolk Southern (NYSE: NYSE:NSC ) and the activist investor group, the future of the railroad operator hangs in the balance, with potential ramifications for the broader industry.
NYSE:NSCLong
by DEXWireNews
SVB: Announces bankruptcy! The situation at Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) is not particularly complicated. In short, they borrowed short and invested long, mismanaged their liquidity, and caused their own demise. The specific steps were as follows: low-interest deposit-taking, overzealous investment in Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS), short-term liquidity gaps, forced selling of assets, and market panic. Low-interest deposit-taking: Between 2020 and 2021, due to the Federal Reserve's extended period of 0% interest rates, there was a huge financing boom in the tech industry, with a significant portion of cash flowing into SVB. SVB's deposit liabilities surged from $61.8 billion at the end of 2019 to $189.2 billion at the end of 2021, with interest rates on this portion of deposits only around 0.25%. Overzealous investment in MBS: With so much low-interest money, SVB naturally engaged in carry trade. Typically, banks focus on lending, but SVB invested a large portion of its funds in MBS. Their financial statements showed they held $13.8 billion of MBS at the end of 2019, which had grown to $98.2 billion by the end of 2021. In other words, over 65% of the deposits they took in went towards buying MBS. Short-term liquidity gap: Normally, investing in MBS is not a problem because they can be redeemed at maturity. But SVB's problem was that it held too many MBS and had too few short-term liquid assets. In today's high-interest rate environment, tech companies are struggling to survive and are gradually withdrawing money from their deposits, causing SVB's liquidity pressures to soar. Forced selling of assets: To solve the liquidity problem, management chose the cheapest option, which was to sell their MBS holdings. But now, market interest rates had increased from nearly 0 to 5% for 2-year Treasury bonds, and asset prices had fallen significantly in sync. Selling $21 billion of assets resulted in an $1.8 billion loss. Market panic: For SVB, the $1.8 billion loss was still manageable because their shareholder equity was $16 billion. However, the problem was with the $100 billion of MBS that they had not yet sold. If there was a run on the bank, this could result in a potential loss of $15 billion, causing SVB to go bankrupt. Therefore, there was a great deal of panic in the market, causing the stock price to plummet by 60% in a single day. SVB has now declared bankruptcy, and the US government has intervened. It is being managed by a specialized institution. When a bank of this size collapses, there are bound to be chain reactions. The institutions known to be affected include Circle. For those who invest in stocks, they may not have heard of it, but those who invest in cryptocurrencies certainly have, as the most famous stablecoin, USDC, is issued by Circle. The total amount is $40 billion, and in today's announcement, they revealed that $3.3 billion of their assets were stuck in SVB, accounting for almost 8%. This means that those who invest in cryptocurrencies suddenly find that their $100 has shrunk to $92. To say that it's a seismic event is not an exaggeration. There are likely dozens of institutions of a similar scale to Circle that are also trapped, but for various reasons, they are not disclosing their situation. We'll have to wait and see when they come forward. Follow me and you'll get more interesting investment information! Plus, I'll share real-time trading strategies during trading hours, including stocks, gold, crude oil, forex, cryptocurrencies, and more!
Editors' picks
S
by EagleEyeStrategy
22
Transportation leader $NSC is making new highsNorfolk Southern Corp. operates more than 19,000 miles of rail road in the U.S. With a #2 ranking in the IBD Group Leadership and a RS line rating of 84, NSC is close of making an ATH. This is a sign of very good technicals. On the fundamental side, it had a revenues increas of 15% to $8.29B for the nine months ended 30 September 2021. Also, for the last 3 quarters reported and increase in sales and EPS. What may drive the price up for the upcoming weeks, are the news of NYSE:NSC is collaborating with NYSE:X and NYSE:GBX to create a new and sustainable high-strength steel railcar. Is a partnership between supplier, builder, and end-user. The company is also launching a new web site called NSites, a GIS-based search engine to help businesses easily find rail-served industrial sites and transload facilities that meet their needs. Remeber that round numbers like $300 holds a pretty strong psychological barrier. So I'll be waiting for the breakout.
NYSE:NSCLong
by dpuleo19
CSX Short Based on FundamentalsNo technicals bullshit here, purely fundamental driven. Micro PSR is the key theme in railroads right now. Despite a lower operating ratio CSX implementing PSR isn't proving to be as effective as people think and the optimism associated has created a bubble. Macro Railroad data weaker YoY - Bearish - www.aar.org Earnings Growth Positive - Bullish - But how can this be maintained with lower shipments and the current macro environment? Cass Freight Index YoY - Bearish - public.tableau.com Cass Freight MoM - Bearish public.tableau.com Weather - Hurricane Dorian - CSX is exposed to disruption and potential disaster which would impact the stock, it carries 8% of hazardous chemicals through it's North & South Carolina states. This stock is going lower as it's exposed as a buyback stock pump with no real growth in the past 2 years.
NASDAQ:CSXShort
by UnknownUnicorn764329
DOW Transports To Retest Recent Lows(Note: DOWT is no longer in a bear market after rallying the last two weeks) 2015 was suppose to be just another year of the epic bull market created by reckless central banking policies. Some Wall Street estimates for the S&P 500 were as high as 2,300. Me? I projected a contraction to 1,810 in mid-January. Whether or not the SPX will reach my target within the next 10 weeks, or so, is uncertain; but what has been quite clear is the scaffolding holding with risk assets around the global has been crumbling for sometime. In " Is A Storm Brewing? How History is Repeating Itself ," I was clear and concise in what 2015 had in store (posted Jan. 13, 2015): I support the idea that we are on the precipitous of something disastrous. Those who constantly look at underlying factors and notice the shifts in the FX, commodity and economic data are witnessing that the latest boom cycle is on its last leg. In essence, the post was a summery of the marco trends few wrote about because everybody indulged in the feel-good of rising stock prices. The post ended quite ominously: "2015 is going to be mercurial…" On March 26, I indicated that the DOW transports looked technically weak. Price action had been consolidating early in the year, much like the SPX. The index made several lower highs, higher lows and finally broke support at 8600. Nobody was even looking at the transports as a potential catalyst to drag the broader markets lower, even though that is historically the case. For instance, Cowen Group's Head of Sales, David Seaburg, said, as late as June 25 (after the the transports already began weakening underneath consolidation), "Everyone is up in arms about the transports, but the underperformance has very little to do with a weak economy and has more to do with the structural issues within the sector." Seaburg also said that "I DEFINITELY don't see any downside (broader markets) necessarily." Almost a month-to-the-day, not only did the DOW and SPX hit their first 10 percent correction in four years, the DOW transports fell into bear market territory. Awkward. Those that live by subjectivity, die by subjectivity. The broader markets did receive a massive bounce following the largest NYSE short-interest since the Lehman Brothers collapse, but the transports has been rejected twice from 8,250, or the 23.6% Fib. retracement from the 2012-lows. It's important to note that central bank credibility is fading fast, and traders will become more wary as the year winds down. Structurally, the index looks weak as earnings have been lackluster to not good at all. EMAs are showing bullishness on the daily, as they are sloping upward. However, a close above 8,250 will be needed to garner any significant technical buying in my opinion. Price action is within a large symmetrical triangle with price support of 7,970 cutting through the middle. This key, near-term support level could determine whether the index will test triangle support, which is supported by price support of 7,790. A confirmed close below the triangle support will cause transports to retest the 2012 ascending trend line. I expect fundamentals to continue to deteriorate into 4Q, and the transports to challege 2011's trend (between 7,200 and 7,300). Conversely, a close above triangle resistance could cause a rally to 8,500. Please follow me on Twitter @Lemieux_26 Check my posts out at: bullion.directory www.investing.com www.teachingcurrencytrading.com oilpro.com
DJ:DJT
by CommoditiesTrader
6