Nse
Nifty1! Daily Chart Analysis- NFANifty1! Daily Chart Analysis- NFA
-Price rejected from daily resistance (Mid point of red rectangle) aka daily sibi.
-Rejection from mid point of sibi shows its willingness to go further down to next imbalance(BISI-D)
-Expecting 23342 as next draw on liquidity (Green line labeled as top of daily bisi).
Aarti Drugs - Key Levels to WatchAarti Drugs - Key Levels to Watch 🔍
Aarti Drugs has shown some recovery after restoring production at its Tarapur unit, as per recent filings. Here’s the technical outlook:
1.Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
Resistance at 0.618 (₹593) and 0.5 (₹676).
Immediate support near 0.786 (₹476).
2.Volume Profile:
High activity seen between ₹450-₹500. Sustained support in this zone is crucial.
3.RSI:
Current RSI shows a slight bullish divergence—monitor for a potential rebound.
Levels of Interest:
Upside Potential: ₹593 (618 Fib) and ₹676 (0.5 Fib).
Downside Support: ₹476 (786 Fib) and ₹450 (volume support zone).
Stay cautious as the stock consolidates. Monitor for clear directional moves above or below these levels.
United Spirits Ltd. (NSE: MCDOWELL-N) - Technical AnalysisKey Observations:
1️⃣ Bullish RSI Divergence:
The RSI indicates a bullish divergence, suggesting potential reversal or upside momentum.
2️⃣ Breakout from Descending Channel:
After a period of consolidation within the descending channel, the stock has broken out, supported by improving momentum.
3️⃣ Volume Profile Support:
Strong accumulation zone observed between ₹1,440-₹1,490, indicating demand at these levels.
4️⃣ Fibonacci Levels:
Resistance levels are identified at ₹1,491, ₹1,541, ₹1,591, and ₹1,634 based on Fibonacci retracements.
5️⃣ Moving Averages:
The stock is trading above key short-term moving averages, reinforcing the positive trend.
Trading Strategy:
🚀 For Long Positions:
Entry Zone: ₹1,440–₹1,460 (if price sustains above breakout level).
Targets: ₹1,491, ₹1,541, ₹1,591.
S top-Loss: ₹1,430 (below support zone).
⚠️ Risk Management:
If the stock re-enters the descending channel, it could invalidate the bullish outlook. Monitor price action and volume closely.
Outlook:
With the RSI divergence, breakout confirmation, and strong support at ₹1,440, United Spirits Ltd. presents a promising bullish setup for short- to medium-term gains. Watch for sustained volume as the price approaches resistance levels.
💬 Your Thoughts?
What’s your take on this setup? Share your views below! 🚀
SWING IDEA - EXCEL INDUSTRIESExcel Industries , known for its expertise in manufacturing specialty chemicals, is setting up for a possible swing trade with supporting technicals.
Reasons are listed below :
Breaking out 1600 Zone : The price has tested this level multiple times and is now set to potentially break through, signaling strength.
Trendline Breakout : A breakout following a period of consolidation at the higher end of the trendline suggests momentum building.
Highest Weekly Close Since 2019 : The recent price action reflects significant bullishness, closing at levels not seen in years.
Intact Trend : The formation of higher highs and lows indicates that the bullish trend remains solid.
Trading Above 50 and 200 EMA : The price action above these key moving averages on the weekly timeframe points to continued positive sentiment and support.
Target - 1920 // 2130
Stoploss - weekly close below 1425
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
INVESTMENT IDEA - BAJAJ FINANCE Bajaj Finance , a major financial services provider in India, showcases a promising investment setup supported by both technical and fundamental strengths.
Technical Reasons :
Trend Line Support: The stock is holding above a long-term trend line, indicating resilience and potential for an upward move.
Intact Trend: Continuous higher highs and higher lows signal that the bullish trend remains intact.
Doji and Inside Candle Pattern on Weekly: This pattern suggests a possible reversal or continuation, highlighting a period of consolidation with potential for breakout.
Fundamental Reasons :
Record Revenue and Net Profit: Both metrics are at all-time highs, underscoring the company's financial strength.
Attractive Valuation: With a current 10-year PE ratio of 27.9, Bajaj Finance trades below its 10-year median PE of 45.4, suggesting it is undervalued relative to historical standards.
Solid Growth and Returns: The company boasts a 24% compounded sales growth rate, an ROCE of 11.9%, and an ROE of 22.1%, reflecting effective utilization of capital and profitability.
These combined factors make Bajaj Finance an attractive long-term investment option, with technical support for entry and solid fundamentals for sustained growth potential.
Crypto VS Equity : Which you will Choose for 3rd Qtr 2024This chart is very interesting for those who are struggling to find the investment opportunities. We have technical charts, And you can see 4 windows, upper two are cryptos and lower two are Indian Equity index.
Now, if we look at the charts, you can easily understand that cryptos are running for this month whereas the equity part is falling , as we all are quick learners, so we can understand what's happening here.
In simple words money is going out of various asset classes, even the gold, Fd's ,equities and being invested or traded with cryptos.
After the US President election Crypto coins are running in optimism. As Donald Trump have positive stance towards cryptocurrency.
And Nobody wants to be left out And so money is getting out of other investment assets.
I love to here your views on this ... use Comment box
Silver1! Weekly Chart analysis-NFASilver1! Weekly Chart analysis-NFA
-Price came back inside weekly range after sweeping Buyside.
-Expecting price to bounce from next Weekly BISI (Support Level)
- i want the price(candle body) to stay above midpoint of green rectangle(BISI/Support)
-Weekly market structure also forming an inverted head and shoulder
-Any bearish weekly candle close below green support rectangle will invalidate the long setup and next target will be Sellside.
Shipping Corp of India Ltd (SCI) - Weekly Head & Shoulders Watch🚨 Potential Head and Shoulders Pattern forming on the weekly chart, signaling a possible bearish reversal if the neckline breaks.
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
Neckline Support: ₹203.32 - A weekly close below this level would confirm the pattern, potentially leading to a further decline.
Right Shoulder Resistance: ₹235 - ₹270 - If the price fails to break above this zone, the bearish structure stays intact.
🎯 Target (upon breakdown): ₹177.72 - Calculated from the height of the head to the neckline.
📈 Alternative Bullish Scenario: If SCI breaks above ₹270.60, the Head and Shoulders pattern could be invalidated, potentially signaling bullish momentum towards previous highs.
📉 Indicators:
RSI shows a slight uptick, but a downward trend could confirm the bearish setup.
Watch for a volume spike if the price breaks the neckline, as it would strengthen the bearish case.
Disclaimer: T his is not financial advice. Keep an eye on these levels and manage your risk accordingly!
AU Small Finance Bank - Technical Analysis Update and Key LevelsChart Overview:
The price action for AU Small Finance Bank shows it has been moving within a rising channel for the past few years, currently testing key support levels. The bank recently saw a price downgrade from Nomura, which adjusted the target price to ₹670, retaining a neutral rating. This adjustment reflects some cautious sentiment among analysts.
Key Levels and Fibonacci Retracement:
Channel Support - The stock is currently near the lower boundary of the long-term rising channel, a crucial area where it previously found support.
Fibonacci Levels - The stock has pulled back to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level around ₹565.65 from its recent highs, which often acts as a strong support level in technical setups. A further breakdown could push it towards the 50% retracement at ₹492.40, a potential next support.
Resistance - On the upside, resistance lies around the upper channel boundary and recent highs near ₹670-₹700, which aligns with Nomura’s target.
MACD Indicator:
The MACD currently shows a weakening momentum on the weekly chart, hinting at possible bearish pressure. A recovery in MACD or a bullish crossover could indicate a return to upward momentum.
RSI Analysis:
The RSI is approaching the oversold region. A bounce from this area might signal potential for reversal if accompanied by strong buying volume.
Conclusion:
AU Small Finance Bank is at a critical support level within a broader uptrend channel. Holding above ₹565-₹570 could lead to a rebound towards the upper end of the channel, with ₹670-₹700 as potential targets. However, if the price fails to hold, watch for the ₹492 level for possible support. The current technical setup suggests caution, especially with Nomura's neutral outlook.
SWING IDEA - WIPROWipro , one of India's leading information technology companies, is displaying technical signals that suggest a promising swing trading opportunity.
Reasons are listed below :
550 Zone Breakout : The 550 level has been a significant resistance zone, and the price has recently broken out above this level, indicating strong bullish momentum.
Cup and Handle Pattern Breakout : The price has broken out of a cup and handle pattern, a bullish continuation pattern that suggests potential for further upward movement.
Bullish Breakthrough Candle on Daily Timeframe : The formation of a bullish breakthrough candle on the daily chart indicates strong buying pressure and further supports the bullish case.
Breakout of 2+ Year Consolidation Zone : The stock has broken out of a long consolidation phase lasting over two years, signaling a potential new bullish trend.
Support on 50 and 200 EMA on Weekly Timeframe : The stock is finding support at both the 50-week and 200-week exponential moving averages (EMA), reinforcing the overall bullish sentiment and providing strong support levels.
Target - 640 // 725
Stoploss - weekly close below 490
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
SWING IDEA - KEC INTLKEC International , a key player in the infrastructure sector, is presenting a swing trade opportunity with strong technical indicators.
Reasons are listed below :
950 Zone Tested Multiple Times : The price has tested the 950 resistance zone multiple times, and it is now breaking out, signaling potential for an upward move.
Bullish Engulfing Candle on Daily Timeframe : A bullish engulfing candle on the daily chart shows strong buying momentum, indicating a possible continuation of the upward trend.
Spike in Volumes : Increased trading volume supports the breakout, confirming strong market participation and investor interest in the stock.
All-Time High Close : The stock closed at an all-time high, which is a bullish signal and suggests potential for further gains.
Target - 1070
Stoploss - daily close below 880
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
SWING IDEA - SHEELA FOAMSheela Foam , a key player in the Indian mattress and foam market, presents a potential swing trading setup.
Reasons are listed below :
800-850 Support Zone : This strong support level is holding, indicating possible resistance to further downside.
Bullish Hammer Candle on Weekly Timeframe : This pattern suggests a reversal of bearish momentum and renewed buying interest.
Gradual Rise in Volumes : Increasing volumes support the potential for a sustained upward move, reflecting growing investor interest.
Target - 1060 // 1290
Stoploss - weekly close below 780
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
Aditya Birla Capital Ltd. (NSE: ABCAPITAL) Technical AnalysisCurrent Price: ₹201.60 (-0.82%)
Price Target (Jefferies): ₹265, maintained at Buy
Technical Overview
Price Action: The chart reflects a strong support level near ₹197-₹201, where the price is currently hovering. The support zone is reinforced by a trendline that has been respected several times (highlighted with green arrows). This support level aligns with a high-volume node in the volume profile, indicating considerable buying interest around this area.
Volume Profile Analysis: A significant amount of trading activity has occurred around the ₹190-₹200 range, suggesting strong demand. On the upside, high trading volume can also be seen around ₹227 and ₹241, which could act as resistance if the stock attempts an upward move.
Moving Averages: The 50-day and 200-day moving averages are providing additional support and resistance signals. The stock is currently trading near its 200-day moving average, which has historically provided solid support. A sustained break below this level could indicate bearish momentum.
Resistance Zones: The stock has encountered resistance around ₹240 (indicated by red arrows), with multiple attempts to break this level failing. This level will be crucial for the next bullish wave, and a breakout above it could lead to a new upward trend.
Key Pattern Observations: A broad ascending triangle pattern is observed, with the stock making higher lows since last year. This bullish structure indicates underlying strength, but a break below the support line could invalidate this pattern.
Technical Indicators
1.RSI: The Relative Strength Index is nearing the oversold territory, suggesting that the stock may be due for a reversal or consolidation phase.
2.Support and Resistance Levels:
Immediate Support : ₹197
Critical Support : ₹190
Resistance Levels: ₹211, ₹227, ₹241
Outlook and Conclusion
With Jefferies setting a revised target of ₹265 and maintaining a Buy rating, there is an optimistic long-term outlook. However, in the short term, the price may continue to consolidate around the ₹190-₹200 support region.
Bullish Scenario: If the stock bounces off the ₹197 level, supported by increased volume, it could make another attempt to reach ₹227 or even test the critical ₹240 resistance.
Bearish Scenario : A sustained break below ₹190 might attract further selling pressure, pushing the stock toward the ₹175 region.
Investment Idea: Traders may look for buy signals around the support zones of ₹190-₹200, with a potential target near ₹227 and ₹240, while maintaining a stop loss slightly below ₹190.
TCS Analysis - Multi-Year Deal with Air France-KLMTrend: TCS is in a strong uptrend within an ascending channel since 2021, signaling steady growth potential.
Technical Signals:
EMA Support : Price bounced above key EMAs (20/50/100/200), showing strong support.
Volume Surge : High buying volume after the Air France-KLM deal indicates increased investor confidence.
RSI : Above 50, supporting bullish momentum.
Levels to Watch:
Support : ₹3,995.45 – Reliable base.
Immediate Resistance : ₹4,411.25
Final Target : ₹4,587.95 – Top of the channel.
Trade Setup:
Entry: On pullbacks or above ₹4,217.30.
Stop Loss : Below ₹3,995.45.
Target : ₹4,411.25 - ₹4,587.95.
Nifty Bank Index Analysis (30-Minute Chart)Key Observations:
1.Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
The chart shows a clear downtrend from around 54,497 to the recent low near 50,279.
Key retracement levels include:
23.6% Retracement : Around 53,497, indicating minor resistance.
38.2% Retracement : Near 52,882, a level that has acted as resistance multiple times.
50% Retracement : Around 52,385, which has been retested recently.
78.6% Retracement is seen at 51,180.8, a key level of support.
2.Moving Averages (MA):
The 30-minute chart shows price movement interacting with multiple MAs.
The 200-period MA is an essential indicator of trend direction and resistance/support.
Shorter MAs like the 20 and 50 periods can highlight entry points during trend reversals.
3.Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance: 52,389.90 and 53,497.15. Breaking these could signal bullish momentum.
Support: 51,195.90 and a lower support at 50,279.50, which marks the recent low.
4.Trendline Channels:
The index is moving within a channel, with an upward support trendline. The price respecting these levels might suggest range-bound movement with breakout potential.
3.Volume Analysis:
Recent volume spikes align with price testing key resistance levels, hinting at possible rejection or continuation if volume sustains.
Reliance has formed H&S & seem to be in process of making a top!NSE:RELIANCE seem to have formed H&S formation. Structure is tilted on the left and has formed over a long period (~10 months). Finally the structure seem to have completed though the price is still trying to bounce from the neckline. Today we have an evening star kind of formation which might push the price towards neckline in a breakdown attempt this week.
I can see similar formation across charts and when you see such formations in multiple charts, it typically suggests a top formation is occurring. It has been a slow process and might take some more time before these H&S start materializing so some amount of patience is needed. I guess we are close to making a near term top in Indian markets.
Potential Correction Ahead for Waaree Energies Ltd After Strong Analysis:
1.Price Surge and Overextension: Waaree Energies Ltd has witnessed a sharp upward move, pushing prices significantly higher in a short period. This steep ascent could indicate an overextension, making the stock vulnerable to a pullback or consolidation phase.
2.Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance is observed around the 3,600 level, with another support/resistance flip level near 3,300. Price nearing these levels might trigger profit-taking or selling pressure from short-term traders.
3.Overbought RSI Indicator: The RSI is currently in overbought territory, signaling an overvalued condition. Historically, an RSI above 70 often suggests a cooling-off period might be near, as buying momentum may slow down.
4.Volume Insights: The recent price rally has been accompanied by high volume, which validates the strength of the trend. However, any decrease in volume while the price stays elevated could indicate waning buying interest, strengthening the case for a correction.
Conclusion: Given the steep rise, overbought RSI, and proximity to resistance, caution is advised. A healthy correction could provide better entry opportunities. Monitor for potential reversal signals and volume changes to gauge the sustainability of this trend.
Trade Idea: Consider waiting for confirmation of a pullback or consolidation before entering new positions. Key support areas for potential retracement include 3,300, 2,625, and 2,280.
Sonata Software Ltd. (NSE: SONATSOFTW)The daily chart of Sonata Software shows a notable consolidation phase after a strong uptrend earlier this year, which peaked around ₹837. The stock has been trading within a descending triangle pattern, a sign of ongoing consolidation with potential for a breakout in either direction. Here’s a closer look at key levels and technical indicators:
1.Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
The stock has retraced to key Fibonacci levels, finding temporary support near the 0.236 level around ₹563 and facing resistance near the 0.382 level around ₹615. These levels are crucial as the stock approaches a breakout or breakdown point.
2.Trendline Analysis:
Two converging trendlines form a descending triangle, indicating potential price compression. A breakout above the upper trendline or a breakdown below the lower trendline could signal the next trend direction. Traders should watch for a breakout above ₹615-₹620 or a breakdown below ₹563.
3.Volume and Momentum:
Volume has been gradually decreasing during this consolidation, which typically precedes a breakout. If there’s a spike in volume with a breakout, it could confirm the direction.
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is around 47, showing neutral momentum but with room for movement in either direction. A rise above 50 could indicate bullish momentum.
3.Key Support and Resistance:
Support: Major support is around ₹563 (0.236 Fibonacci level) and ₹479 (100% retracement).
Resistance: Immediate resistance stands at ₹615, with stronger resistance around ₹658 (0.5 Fibonacci level) and ₹700.
Outlook:
Given the current pattern, Sonata Software is approaching a decisive moment. A breakout above ₹615-₹620 with strong volume could push the stock towards ₹658 and beyond. Conversely, a breakdown below ₹563 might lead to further downside.
Note: Keep an eye on broader market conditions as well, as they can influence breakout strength and follow-through.
Birlasoft Ltd - Technical Analysis and Potential Trade IdeasPrice Structure and Fibonacci Analysis:
Birlasoft's stock is currently in a descending triangle pattern, with price approaching a critical support level around ₹523, which aligns with the 0% Fibonacci retracement level from the recent peak of ₹859.55.
The Fibonacci levels on this chart highlight major retracement zones:
23.6% Fibonacci level at ₹602.60 served as previous support but has now turned into resistance.
The 50% level at ₹691.35 and the 61.8% level at ₹731.05 acted as strong resistance levels during past retracements.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels:
The stock has a key support zone around ₹523, which has been tested multiple times (green arrows on the chart), indicating a possible demand zone.
If this level fails, there is further support around ₹512.40 and a long-term support zone near ₹476.30.
Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance is seen near the 23.6% Fibonacci level at ₹602.60, where previous breakdowns occurred.
A descending trendline (marked with red arrows) indicates continuous selling pressure around this level.
Volume Profile Analysis:
The Volume Profile on the right shows a high-volume node around ₹570-₹600, suggesting strong historical trading interest in this area.
If the price breaks out of the descending triangle pattern, this zone could act as an initial resistance on a potential upward move.
Technical Indicators:
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is near the oversold region, which could indicate a potential rebound if buying interest emerges at the support levels.
Volume Trends: A noticeable increase in selling volume has been observed during the recent downtrend, highlighting persistent selling pressure.
Trading Ideas and Strategy:
Bullish Scenario:
A bounce from the ₹523 support level, accompanied by a volume spike, could present a buying opportunity for a short-term recovery to ₹602.60 or higher.
Confirmation of a reversal at this level could open the path towards ₹651.70 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement), where further resistance is expected.
Bearish Scenario:
A breakdown below ₹523, especially with high volume, could lead to further downside toward ₹512.40 or even the long-term support at ₹476.30.
Traders may consider short positions below ₹523, targeting lower support levels with proper risk management.
Conclusion:
Birlasoft is currently at a critical juncture. Traders should keep an eye on the ₹523 support level for potential bullish setups or watch for a breakdown below this level to consider bearish trades. This analysis highlights both opportunities and risks, depending on the upcoming price action around these crucial levels.
SBI Life Insurance Co. Ltd (NSE: SBILIFE) - Technical Analysis Price Action and Fibonacci Analysis
SBI Life is currently trading at ₹1,628.85, which is near a crucial Fibonacci retracement level:
1. Fibonacci Levels:
The price previously peaked around ₹1,935.10, forming a possible double-top pattern.
It has since retraced, approaching the 50% retracement level at ₹1,624.75, a significant support zone. This level often acts as a key point for potential rebounds.
Below this, the 61.8% level at ₹1,551.50 is the next major support. If the price declines further, this level could provide strong support.
2. Volume Profile:
The Volume Profile on the right suggests a high volume node around ₹1,450, indicating strong accumulation in this zone. This level, if reached, could serve as a significant support area and potential bounce point.
3 . Moving Averages:
The stock is currently trading near the 200-day moving average (black line), which may act as a long-term support level.
The 50-day (blue) and 100-day (red) moving averages are above the current price, indicating that the stock has broken below its short- and medium-term trend lines.
Technical Indicators
1. Relative Strength Index (RSI):
The RSI is showing signs of being in the lower half of its range but hasn’t reached oversold territory, suggesting there may be further downside before a potential rebound.
2. Volume Trends:
There has been a significant increase in volume during the recent pullback, indicating strong selling pressure.
Conclusion and Potential Scenarios
Bullish Scenario: If the stock holds the 50% Fibonacci level at ₹1,624.75 and the 200-day moving average, we could see a recovery toward the 38.2% level at ₹1,698.00, with further resistance at ₹1,788.60.
Bearish Scenario: A break below ₹1,624.75 could lead the price toward the 61.8% level at ₹1,551.50. A further decline might see the price test the high-volume node around ₹1,450.
Trading Strategy
For Long Positions: Watch for a bounce near ₹1,624.75 or ₹1,551.50 with confirmation from volume and RSI improving from lower levels.
For Short Positions: A breakdown below ₹1,624.75, particularly with strong volume, could present a shorting opportunity down to ₹1,551.50 or potentially lower.
Note: Always consider market conditions and use proper risk management techniques.