Banknifty Forecast for 2nd Dec'2024The trend is bearish and may follow one of these scenarios:
1. Likely to grab all buy-side liquidity before continuing bearish.
2. Likely to grab available retail liquidity before continuing bearish.
3. Likely to drop aggressively bearish, then reverse bullish to grab buy-side liquidity.
Nse
PNB 1D TFNSE:PNB has formed a small resistance zone in 1D TF. The chart though is in downtrend has formed a resistance zone which can be used in near future. This stock can be traded with multiple confirmations.
Disclaimer:- This analysis is only for educational purpose. Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades
SWING IDEA - JUBILANT PHARMOVAJubilant Pharmova , a diversified global pharmaceutical and life sciences company, offers an attractive swing trade setup with the following technical factors.
Reasons are listed below :
Break of 1000 Resistance : The price has decisively broken above the significant 1000 level and is sustaining, indicating strength and bullish momentum.
Consolidation Breakout : The stock is breaking out of a consolidation phase lasting over 6 years, suggesting a potential long-term uptrend.
Volume Spike : Increased trading volumes highlight growing investor interest and support the breakout.
Engulfing Candle : A bullish engulfing candle on the weekly timeframe reflects strong buying sentiment.
Target - 1450 // 1590
Stoploss - weekly close below 1030
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
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SWING IDEA - APTUS VALUE HOUSING Aptus Value Housing Finance , a leading home loan provider focusing on affordable housing, is showing promising signs for a swing trading opportunity.
Reasons are listed below :
370-390 Zone Breakout : This level has been tested multiple times, and the stock is now attempting to break out, indicating potential for further upward movement.
Breaking Consolidation Zone of 3+ Years : The price is emerging from a prolonged consolidation phase, which could lead to a new bullish trend.
Higher Highs and Higher Lows : The trend remains intact with consistent upward movements, suggesting continued strength.
Trading Above Weekly 50 and 100 EMA : The stock is trading above these key moving averages, reinforcing the bullish outlook.
New All-Time High : The stock has made a new all-time high, reflecting strong market sentiment.
Volume Spike : A noticeable increase in trading volume indicates increased buying interest.
Target - 450 // 510
Stoploss - weekly close below 335
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
UPL Ltd. (NSE: UPL) AnalysisOverview: UPL Ltd. is currently trading at ₹545.50, showing signs of consolidation near its short-term moving averages. The price is poised at a critical level with a potential for either a breakout or a breakdown, depending on market dynamics and volume activity.
Technical Insights:
1.Support and Resistance Levels:
Immediate Support: ₹528 (marked by recent lows and a strong demand zone).
Key Resistance: ₹549.50 (current level) and ₹584.05 (previous swing high and significant supply zone).
2.Volume Profile:
The visible range volume profile indicates a concentration of volume between ₹540-₹550, suggesting this zone as a pivot for future price action.
A breakout above ₹549.50 could attract higher volumes, pushing the stock towards ₹584.
3.Moving Averages:
The stock is near its 20-day and 50-day EMAs, indicating a neutral short-term trend.
A clear break above the 200-day EMA would signal a shift in momentum towards the bulls.
4.RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is hovering around 50, indicating a lack of strong momentum. A breakout above resistance could drive RSI towards overbought territory, confirming bullishness.
Scenarios:
Bullish Case: A breakout above ₹549.50 with high volumes could see the stock targeting ₹584.05 in the short term. Sustained momentum may lead to further upside towards ₹600.
Bearish Case: Failure to sustain above ₹549.50 might result in a pullback to ₹528. A breakdown below ₹528 could open doors for lower levels, around ₹510.
Trading Plan:
Entry:
Bullish: Above ₹550 for targets of ₹584 and ₹600.
Bearish: Below ₹528 for targets of ₹510.
Stop-Loss:
Bullish: ₹535.
Bearish: ₹540.
Final Thoughts: UPL Ltd. is at a crucial level with a well-defined risk-reward setup. Traders should wait for confirmation of direction with strong volume support before taking positions. Monitor global agrochemical sector trends and news for potential catalysts.
Zydus Lifesciences (NSE:ZYDUSLIFE)Overview: Zydus Lifesciences is currently at an interesting juncture, with signs of a potential reversal from recent lows. The price action suggests a possible recovery towards higher resistance levels, supported by technical indicators and market sentiment. Nomura's revised price target of ₹1,030, while maintaining a Neutral rating, aligns with this view.
Key Levels to Watch:
Current Price: ₹966.65
Immediate Support (SL): ₹902.55
Key Resistance Zones: ₹1,008.35, ₹1,041.45, and ₹1,102.15
Technical Analysis:
Volume Profile: The visible range volume profile shows significant accumulation near ₹1,000, which could act as a strong magnet for the price.
Moving Averages: The stock has started reclaiming its short-term moving averages. A breakout above the 200-day MA would confirm bullish momentum.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is trending upwards, indicating improving bullish momentum. Divergence suggests a potential reversal.
Price Action: The formation of higher lows near ₹949 reinforces the possibility of a short-term recovery.
Trading Strategy:
Entry Zone: Between ₹950 and ₹970, as the stock shows stability near support levels.
Stop-Loss: Strict stop-loss at ₹902.55 to limit downside risk.
Targets:
Target 1: ₹1,008.35
Target 2: ₹1,041.45
Extended Target: ₹1,102.15
Risk Management:
Position size will depend on risk tolerance, ensuring a Risk-Reward ratio of at least 1:2.
Avoid chasing the price above ₹970 if momentum wanes.
Final Thoughts: Zydus Lifesciences presents a favorable risk-reward scenario with clear technical signals for a rebound. However, macroeconomic factors and sector performance will play a critical role in sustaining the move. Traders should monitor price action near the resistance zones closely for signs of continuation or rejection.
Banknifty | 28th Nov'2024 Forecast | NSEMany retail traders have buy orders (buy-side liquidity) that big players (institutions) can take.
First, they grab all the buy-side liquidity.
Next, they target sell-side liquidity by creating false breakouts.
Then, they push the price down to a strong support or demand zone (bearish move).
After that, they reverse the price up (bullish move) and take any remaining buy-side liquidity.
DM to learn more about liquidity and how big players think in the market!
Alkem Laboratories Ltd. (NSE: ALKEM)Technical Analysis and Key Levels
1.Current Price Action:
Alkem Laboratories is trading at ₹5,484.40, testing a critical support zone (₹5,300–₹5,450) identified by historical price action and volume profile.
2.Resistance and Support Levels:
Immediate Resistance: ₹5,811.55 (previous swing high).
Key Resistance Zone: ₹6,000–₹6,346.55. A breakout above ₹6,346.55 can lead to fresh bullish momentum.
Immediate Support: ₹5,323.60 (near-term support).
Critical Support: ₹4,629.85, a major demand zone. Failure to hold this level could trigger further downside.
3.Volume Profile:
High-Volume Node (HVN): Significant buying interest is observed around ₹5,450–₹5,800.
Low-Volume Node (LVN): Below ₹5,300, liquidity decreases, increasing the risk of a sharp drop toward ₹4,629.85.
4.Moving Averages:
The stock is currently hovering around the 50-day moving average, indicating short-term indecision.
The 200-day moving average at ₹5,323.60 acts as crucial support for long-term trend analysis.
5.RSI Indicator:
The RSI is neutral but leaning towards the oversold region, suggesting potential accumulation in this zone. A break below ₹5,323 could push RSI into bearish territory.
6.Key Observations:
Nomura's Price Target Update: Nomura revised the price target to ₹6,097 (Neutral stance), close to the immediate resistance levels, which aligns with market consolidation.
7.Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Case: Sustaining above ₹5,484.40 and breaking ₹5,811.55 may open doors for ₹6,346.55.
Bearish Case: A decisive break below ₹5,323.60 could lead to ₹4,629.85.
8.Trading Strategy:
For Bulls: Look for confirmation above ₹5,811.55 with increased volumes before entering long positions.
For Bears: Short opportunities arise if the stock breaks and sustains below ₹5,323.60 with a target near ₹4,629.85.
Zomato Ltd. - Head and Shoulders PatternA potential Head and Shoulders pattern is visible on the daily chart, signaling a possible trend reversal. Here's a detailed breakdown:
Pattern Highlights:
Left Shoulder: Formed in mid-August with resistance near ₹279.60.
Head: A peak in September crossing ₹279.60 but failing to sustain.
Right Shoulder: Currently forming, respecting the resistance zone at ₹279.60.
Key Levels:
Neckline Support: ₹238.99. A decisive close below this level could trigger a bearish breakdown.
Resistance: ₹279.60, acting as a strong barrier for bullish momentum.
Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently neutral but showing potential weakening momentum.
Moving Averages: Price hovering near the 50-day EMA, with the 200-day SMA as a key support level.
Potential Scenarios:
Bearish Breakdown: A close below ₹238.99 may open doors to lower levels, with the first target around ₹220.
Bullish Invalidity: A breakout above ₹279.60 could invalidate the pattern, leading to further upside momentum.
Volume Insights:
Noticeable volume reduction in the right shoulder formation, aligning with the classic characteristics of this pattern.
Bank Nifty | NSE | Intraday Forecast for November 25, 2024Strategy involves analyzing the 24th's daily candle and the 15-minute time frame after the market opens on the 25th. Here's a breakdown of the scenario:
Key Assumptions in the Strategy:
24th Daily Candle Analysis:
Its a strong bullish (BL) pattern, expect a potential gap-up opening on the 25th.
25th Market Opening (15-minute chart focus):
Scenario 1: If the market breaks a strong resistance zone above, it is expected to range for a while.
Next Move: After consolidating (ranging), the market will decide the trend direction based on a zone breakout:
Bullish Breakout (BL side): Enter a long trade based on confirmations like increased volume, sustained breakout, or momentum indicators.
Bearish Breakdown (BR side): Enter a short trade once confirmations like rejection candles, lower highs, or volume surge appear.
Tata Motors (Daily Timeframe) AnalysisChart Pattern & Trend:
Primary Trend: The stock previously followed a rising channel pattern, peaking near ₹1,176.50. After breaking the channel's lower boundary, it entered a significant downtrend.
Current Trend: Bearish, as the stock has consistently been making lower highs and lower lows.
Fibonacci Levels:
The Fibonacci retracement tool highlights key levels:
61.8% Level (₹880.35): This level acted as a minor support before breaking down.
50% Level (₹788.85): The stock is hovering around this level, attempting to stabilize.
38.2% Level (₹697.40): If the downtrend continues, this could be the next key support.
23.6% Level (₹584.20): A deeper correction might test this level in a prolonged bearish scenario.
Volume Analysis:
Declining volumes suggest weakening momentum on the downside.
A volume spike at key support levels could indicate buying interest.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is in the oversold zone or nearing it, indicating potential for a short-term pullback or consolidation.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: ₹880 (61.8% Fibonacci) and ₹900 are immediate resistance zones.
Support: ₹788 (current level) and ₹697 (38.2% Fibonacci) are critical supports.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Reversal: A breakout above ₹880 with increasing volumes could signal the beginning of a recovery.
Continued Bearishness: A breakdown below ₹788 could lead the stock toward ₹697 and ₹584.
Trading Strategy:
For Long Positions: Look for reversal patterns around ₹788 or ₹697, supported by RSI divergence and volume confirmation.
For Short Positions: Consider selling near resistance levels like ₹880 with a stop-loss above ₹900.
BPCL 1D TFNSE:BPCL has been playing near a support zone and has broken it and is moving downward. But now if we see a little bit into the past we can see a long wick which represents the power of sellers at that point. So going into this trade is little bit risky. If you want to trade this setup kindly use multiple confluences. Do share the confirmations you are looking to trade this setup in the comment section
Disclaimer:- This analysis is only for educational purpose. Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades
Nifty1! Daily Chart Analysis- NFANifty1! Daily Chart Analysis- NFA
-Price rejected from daily resistance (Mid point of red rectangle) aka daily sibi.
-Rejection from mid point of sibi shows its willingness to go further down to next imbalance(BISI-D)
-Expecting 23342 as next draw on liquidity (Green line labeled as top of daily bisi).
Aarti Drugs - Key Levels to WatchAarti Drugs - Key Levels to Watch 🔍
Aarti Drugs has shown some recovery after restoring production at its Tarapur unit, as per recent filings. Here’s the technical outlook:
1.Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
Resistance at 0.618 (₹593) and 0.5 (₹676).
Immediate support near 0.786 (₹476).
2.Volume Profile:
High activity seen between ₹450-₹500. Sustained support in this zone is crucial.
3.RSI:
Current RSI shows a slight bullish divergence—monitor for a potential rebound.
Levels of Interest:
Upside Potential: ₹593 (618 Fib) and ₹676 (0.5 Fib).
Downside Support: ₹476 (786 Fib) and ₹450 (volume support zone).
Stay cautious as the stock consolidates. Monitor for clear directional moves above or below these levels.
United Spirits Ltd. (NSE: MCDOWELL-N) - Technical AnalysisKey Observations:
1️⃣ Bullish RSI Divergence:
The RSI indicates a bullish divergence, suggesting potential reversal or upside momentum.
2️⃣ Breakout from Descending Channel:
After a period of consolidation within the descending channel, the stock has broken out, supported by improving momentum.
3️⃣ Volume Profile Support:
Strong accumulation zone observed between ₹1,440-₹1,490, indicating demand at these levels.
4️⃣ Fibonacci Levels:
Resistance levels are identified at ₹1,491, ₹1,541, ₹1,591, and ₹1,634 based on Fibonacci retracements.
5️⃣ Moving Averages:
The stock is trading above key short-term moving averages, reinforcing the positive trend.
Trading Strategy:
🚀 For Long Positions:
Entry Zone: ₹1,440–₹1,460 (if price sustains above breakout level).
Targets: ₹1,491, ₹1,541, ₹1,591.
S top-Loss: ₹1,430 (below support zone).
⚠️ Risk Management:
If the stock re-enters the descending channel, it could invalidate the bullish outlook. Monitor price action and volume closely.
Outlook:
With the RSI divergence, breakout confirmation, and strong support at ₹1,440, United Spirits Ltd. presents a promising bullish setup for short- to medium-term gains. Watch for sustained volume as the price approaches resistance levels.
💬 Your Thoughts?
What’s your take on this setup? Share your views below! 🚀