Nu Holdings (NU) AnalysisCompany Overview: Nu Holdings NYSE:NU , a leading digital bank in Latin America, is rapidly expanding its footprint across the region, leveraging innovative fintech solutions to drive growth in underbanked markets. With a mission to offer simple and accessible financial services, Nu Holdings continues to strengthen its presence, especially in key markets like Mexico and Colombia.
Key Developments:
Expansion in Latin America: Nu has successfully launched checking accounts in Mexico and Colombia, showcasing strong customer demand. The company has attracted $3.3 billion in deposits in Mexico and $220 million in Colombia, underscoring its ability to effectively penetrate new markets. This expansion opens up significant growth potential for Nu, as the digital banking revolution in Latin America continues to gather momentum.
Strong Customer Engagement: Nu's active user base continues to grow, with an impressive record-high activity rate of 83%, marking the 11th consecutive increase in user engagement. This high level of customer activity demonstrates Nu's ability to retain and engage its users, a crucial factor for long-term profitability in the fintech sector.
Accelerating Revenue & Profitability: In addition to customer growth, Nu has shown consistent acceleration in revenue and profitability, solidifying its position as a top contender in the fintech space. The company's unique combination of digital banking services, credit offerings, and low-cost structure sets it apart from traditional banks and other fintech competitors.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NU above the $13.50-$14.00 range, driven by its successful market expansion, strong customer engagement, and accelerating financial performance. Upside Potential: Our price target for Nu Holdings is set at $23.00-$24.00, reflecting its potential for continued regional growth and increasing profitability as it scales operations across Latin America.
🚀 NU—Transforming Banking Across Latin America! #FintechGrowth #LatAmBanking #DigitalRevolution
NU
Will Nu Continue Rally After Unusual Volume Activity Last Week?Above 9.67 low, it favors upside in fifth wave and expect to finish the impulse started from all time low before the major correction starts. Last week, it traded with unusually high volume above 10X, which provides few scenarios. (1). It favors upside in v and can unfold 5 internal waves, while dips remain above 9.67 low but still main momentum divergence. (2). It may see minor upside as v and the volume can be exhaustion move before it reverses in larger correction, which confirms below 9.67 low or by breaking the trendline. (3). It will start nesting higher and erase the momentum divergence, which extend higher. That move should ideally supported by gap up move.
Nu Holdings reports strong Q2 earnings, shares surgeNu Holdings Ltd., a leading digital banking player globally, saw its stock prices rise following an impressive second-quarter earnings report . The company's profits more than doubled compared to the previous year, an achievement that has significantly offset concerns about increasing loan delinquency rates and a reduction in bad loan provisions.
Operating predominantly in Brazil, Mexico, and Colombia, Nu Holdings boasts a customer base exceeding 100 million, covering 55% of Brazil's adult population. Known as Nubank, the company operates without physical branches, leveraging a cloud-based platform optimized for mobile devices. For the quarter, Nu recorded revenues of USD 2.8 billion, surpassing the average analyst estimate of USD 2.66 billion, according to a Bloomberg survey.
Technical analysis of Nu Holdings Ltd. (NYSE: NU)
Examining potential trading opportunities based on the current technical landscape of Nu Holdings' stock:
Timeframe : Daily (D1)
Current trend : the stock is currently in an uptrend, with the quotes recently reaffirming support above the support line
Resistance : the resistance at 12.30 USD has been broken
Support : support has solidified at 9.65 USD
Potential downtrend target : should the trend reverse to a downtrend, the downside target could be set at 7.50 USD
Short-term target : if the uptrend persists and continues beyond the current resistance, a short-term target could be 14.35 USD
Medium-term target : with continued momentum, the stock price might aim for 15.50 USD
Investors and traders should monitor Nu Holdings closely, especially in light of its strong quarterly performance and its strategic position in the growing digital banking sector. The company's innovative approach and expansive market coverage in key Latin American countries position it well for sustained growth, which is reflected in the positive trajectory of its stock price.
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NU Holdings Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought NU before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NU Holdings prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 11.50usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-5-17,
for a premium of approximately $0.67.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Macro Monday 46 - South America Indexes Signaling Major Trend Macro Monday 46
Emerging Chart Trend in South America and Brazil
Brazil is the largest economy in South America, followed by Argentina, Chile, Colombia, and Peru.
These 5 countries together hold a huge 90% share of the South American economy.
Today we will look at index charts for South America and Brazil to get an overall initial technical picture from a price standpoint of the aggregate in these regions.
IShares Latin America 40 ETF - AMEX:ILF
The iShares Latin America 40 ETF (ILF) is a collection of the 40 largest Latin American equities by market cap.
The index is heavily weighted in Financial Services which makes up 33% of the Index. Basic materials form 19% and Energy makes up 15% of the Index allocation. Interestingly NUBank NYSE:NUS has a large c.6% holding within the index. This is a stock I hold that has performed incredibly well and I have shared many bullish charts on NU. Incredible that a relatively New Bank has grown large enough to make it into the top 5 holdings here.
The Top 5 companies in the ILF Index are:
1. Vale S.A. NYSE:VALE : 9.3% Allocation. This company is a global leader in iron ore production and the second-largest nickel producer (Basic Materials).
2. Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras NYSE:PBR : 7.6% Allocation. Known as Petrobras, this is a multinational corporation in the petroleum industry (Energy).
3. Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. $ITUB. 6.5% Allocation. Itaú Unibanco is one of the largest banks in Brazil, providing a range of financial products and services (Financial Services).
4. Nu Holdings Ltd. NYSE:NU : 5.84% Allocation. Nu Holdings is a financial technology company that offers banking services and is known for its digital banking platform, Nubank (Financial Services).
5. Grupo Financiero Banorte, S.A.B. de C.V. SKILLING:GFNORTEO.MX : 5.36% Allocation. Banorte is one of the largest and most prominent financial institutions in Mexico (Financial Services)
The Latin America 40 ILF Char
SUBJECT CHART ABOVE
What jumps from this chart?
▫️ Firstly we appear to forming a long term pennant style flag from which a break up is more likely than a break down.
▫️ We have been rejected from the upper diagonal line repeatedly and if we break above this line it would be a very good indication of an initial trend change.
▫️ We have dashed underside diagonal support line warns of lower prices if broken (historically has been useful).
▫️ We are above the 200 week SMA at present and we are challenging the PointOfControl (POC) Line.
Summary South America 40 Index
As this is a long term pennant style flag from a major increase in price action in the early 2000’s, a break above the long term diagonal resistance line would be a major signal of the beginning of a new bullish trend, keep in mind that such a price move would also demonstrate a break above POC (strong trading range to hold as support). We need to watch the diagonal underside support line (dashed line) for a break lower which would be an indication of significant weakness. Either direction will give us a good signal of how the largest companies in Latin America are performing and by extension South America.
Now lets look at the largest performing country in South America, Brazil.
Brazil
Brazil is the 8th largest economy in the world and the only country in South America to make it into the top 10 world’s economies.
Brazil is the top contributor to South American nominal GDP accounting for 61% of the increase in the South American economy (Int. $264 bn). In 2nd and 3rd place are Colombia (Int. $50 bn) and Peru (Int. $25 bn) with much lower contributions.
Brazil’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the year 2023 grew 2.9% and is expected to grow by c. 2% in 2024, lower is anticipated mainly as a result of the delayed effects of monetary tightening.
Brazil is considered a key financial center for South America. It has the largest economy in the region and is home to a number of significant financial institutions and stock exchanges. São Paulo, in particular, is recognized as the financial capital of Brazil and is a primary hub for international business activity in the country. Brazil is also a leading producer of a host of minerals, including iron ore, tin, bauxite (the ore of aluminum), manganese, gold, quartz, and diamonds and other gems, and it exports vast quantities of steel, automobiles, electronics, and consumer goods.
iShares MSCI Brazil ETF - AMEX:EWZ
The iShares Brazil ETF (EWZ) seeks to track the investment results of an index composed of Brazilian equities. The ETF tracks a free float-adjusted market capitalization-weighted index designed to measure the performance of the large- and mid-capitalization segments of the equity market in Brazil. All this means is that Larger companies have a bigger impact on the index’s performance.
The index is heavily weighted in Financial Services which makes up 25% of the Index. Energy at 22% and Basic materials at 16.6% of the Index allocation are 2nd and 3rd after Financial Services.
The Top 5 companies in the ILF Index are:
1. Vale S.A. NYSE:VALE 3.SA : 11.3% Allocation. This is a mining company and one of the largest producers of iron ore and nickel in the world (Basic Materials)
2. Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras $PETR4.SA & $PETR3.SA: 10.1% Allocation. Commonly known as Petrobras, this state-controlled company is involved in the energy sector, primarily focusing on the exploration, production, and distribution of oil and gas (Energy).
3. Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. $ITUB4.SA: 8.3% Allocation. Itaú Unibanco is one of the largest financial conglomerates in the Southern Hemisphere (Financial Services)
4. Banco Bradesco S.A. $BBDC4.SA: 8.0% Allocation. This is another major player in the Brazilian financial market, offering a wide range of banking and financial services (Financial Services)
5. WEG S.A. $WEGE3.SA: 3.5% Allocation. WEG is an industrial company that operates globally in the electric engineering, power, and automation technology areas (Industrials).
The EWZ Chart
What jumps from this chart?
▫️ Firstly we appear to forming a long term pennant from which a break up is more likely than a break down IMO.
▫️ We have been rejected from the upper diagonal line repeatedly and if we break above this line it would be a very good indication of an initial trend change.
▫️ We have dashed underside diagonal support line warns of lower prices if broken (historically has been useful).
▫️ We have yet to break above the 200 week SMA and we are challenging the PointOfControl (POC) Line.
Summary Brazil Index
A break above the long term diagonal resistance line would be a major signal of the beginning of a new bullish trend, keep in mind that such a price move would also demonstrate a break above POC (strong trading range to hold as support). We need to watch the diagonal underside support line (dashed line) for a break lower which would be an indication of significant weakness. Either direction will give us a good signal of how the largest companies in Brazil are performing and by extension South America (as Brazil is thee major contributor to South America.
Overall
Overall IF the Latin America ETF and the Brazil ETF break out of their respective pennants to higher levels and find support prior diagonal resistance lines, the 200 weekly SMA, and the POC, this could indicate a bullish trend in South America for years to come. It would then be worthwhile to then look at companies within Brazil and South America for trading and investing opportunities.
All these charts are available on my Tradingview Page and you can go to them at any stage over the next few years press play and you'll get the chart updated with the easy visual guide to see how the South America market has performed. I hope its helpful.
PUKA
NUBank Update - Stop Raised NUBank - NYSE:NU
⚠️We already lost the 21 SMA
✅Raised my stop to $7.55
Good news is we have POC under price and we had two touch downs to the $7.70 level. IMO if we lose these both, the diagonal line too will be lost too & id rather get some of the position off the table.
I still think we can bounce and go higher with a wave 5 extension higher. You could enter a trade here and set a stop under POC to your risk tolerance. Would I do this? Only with a small position because we have had one hell of a run. An ideal entry would be off the 200 MA @$6.83 at present.
Lets see how this plays out. Incredible run and profit, and now a protective stop in place hat ensures gains will crystalize if structure is broken
PUKA
NU Holdings Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NU Holdings prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 9usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-9-15,
for a premium of approximately $0.12.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NU - Breakout Horizontal Trend Channel🔹Horizontal trend channel in the medium long term is broken up.
🔹RSI is above 70 after a good price increase the past weeks..
🔹The RSI curve shows a rising trend, which could be an early signal of the start of a rising trend for the price as well.
🔹Overall assessed as technically positive for the medium long term.
Chart Pattern;
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
ASIA: NZDUSD B&R - REJECTIONAsia has had some movement already and a nice shakedown especially against AUDUSD. However, most pairs against USD are still in technical uptrends and with a fresh session we look to enter an identified break and retest setup using rejection candles in NU. Lets see how it plays out
The “Lipstick Index” and beauty stocks to invest in During the last months, inflation has reached sky-rocketing values, leading to a significant increase in the cost of living; contrary to the textbook economic rationale, a possible recession is not making the sale of cosmetics products decline. Rather, in June 2022, lipstick sales went up in the US.
The Lipstick effect, or Lipstick Index, entails a negative correlation between beauty sales and the general economic trend and can be found even during the 1930s Great Depression.
The term was used by Leonard Lauder, the former CEO of Estée Lauder, that stated that the brand’s lipstick sales jumped after the 9/11 terrorist attack and the corresponding American downturn.
Similarly, in 2012, researchers in Texas found out that a downturn in the economy had a positive effect on profits in the beauty industry.
According to NPD Group Inc, in 2011 in the US, skincare, makeup and fragrance sales rose by 11% with respect to the previous years. Sales also rose by 9% in Britain and by 3% in France.
Therefore, people that have less disposable income decide to spend it on non-essential goods anyway. The main theory behind this behaviour is either that women would buy more cosmetic products to feel more attractive, or that in general buying a small luxury will not leave you completely broke.
The Journal of Behavioural and Experimental Economics in 2020 made research on CEX - Consumer Expenditure Survey (which does not distinguish between diverse beauty products) - and it turned out that during the Great Recession, women between 18 and 40 years old would reduce their spending on other categories of consumption to favour spending in cosmetic brands.
Back in June this year, the NPD Group found out that sales of lipstick and other types of makeup grew by 48% in the first quarter over the previous year, and that the biggest share was retailed by prestige brands.
Economists establish that during recessions, consumers spend increasingly either on the traditional inferior good, or the morale booster (non-necessities).
The Lipstick Index could therefore be the indicator of a possible economic recession.
Moreover, after the rebound from the COVID-19 pandemic, the new threat for Europe and the US became inflation. By July inflation had reached 8.6% in the US, and 9.1% in the UK, triggering a drastic effect on various industries.
Beauty purchases seemed on the rise, and brands were forced to up their RRPs to cover higher supply chain costs. For instance, pricing for fragrances at Ulta, Sephora and Nordstrom has increased by 12% since 2020.
According to Yahoo Finance, the cosmetics industry is a fast-growing one and generated over $500 billion in sales in 2020.
According to NPC, during the first half of 2020, the sales of makeup products declined by 24%, whereas the skincare sector was on a rise during the pandemic.
E-commerce sales grew, too, and in the first quarter of 2021, Ulta Beauty reported an increase of 16% in online orders.
The best beauty products to invest in allegedly are :
Natura&Co. Holding S.A. (NTCO) , which in quarter 1 of 2021 had generated 9.5 billion BRL in revenues; at the end of that year, 4 hedge funds were tracked holding positions in the stock.
Inter Parfums Inc (IPAR) , in operation for the past 30 years, with an EPS OF 1.10$ this year, and after licensing the deal with Ferragamo. At the end of the first quarter of 2021, there were 9 hedge funds holding positions in the stock.
Nu Skin Enterprises (NUS) . The popularity of skincare rose during the pandemic, right when people were not able to show off lipsticks and decided to take care of themselves at home. It has a P/E ratio of 17.16, and $2.22 EPS.
E.l.f. Beauty Inc (NYSE:ELF) : it is a recently new multinational makeup and skincare brand. Between 2020 and 2021, the ELF stock gained over 60% and even DA Davidson raised the price target on ELF stock. It currently has a P/E ratio of 81.81 and $0.53 EPS.
Ulta beauty (NASDAQ:ULTA) : it’s got 46 hedge fund holders, with a P/E ratio of 18.51, an EPS of $21.35 and an average volume of 884,553.
COINPLUSTRADE! NUCYPHERguys this time i bring you a diferent coin but one of the first ones i bought 2 years ago.
in the weekly chart thanks to the rsi we see that ever time the pueple line is above the yellow ones , a bullrun is coming.
in the chart if you see, there is a comun pattern,we have seen this 3 timrd in the pass, can this be the 4??