NZD/USD (Zoomed in)When you draw your trendfibs considering the running flat for wave 2, NU should be in wave 4 retrace, which can be a flat or a triangle maybe. I would look for correction to 23-38%. Then... It may break the trend line and retrace back half the wave (50-62%) the total 5 wave if continuing trend. FOMC tomorrow. $ hr looks like sell, but you sell tonight, you could wind up in chop. Refer to my previous posts.
NU
NU SHORT H4price has formed medium term bullish channel, an expected retest of the trendline below of the channel is an opening to short for short term
to medium term.
On weekly price is at a vulnerable price level on an inner ascending trendline, a convincing break and retest of this trendline will see price plummet to the initial ascending trendline on weekly.
The current short is a 60-70% probable trade based on a short to medium term channel .
NZDUSD SELL SET UP (WEEKLY)Hello everyone,
I was a bit worried about NU for a couple of reasons, it kept doing 100% retracements and in my opinion one of the pairs that I really don't trade but this BOS( Break of Structure ) on the weekly tf shows that even if it does another 100% its going to be heading to the downside(bears).
I charted some possible areas were we might see the retracement before heading down, please let me know if you have any questions.
I would love to offer my help to new traders by answering questions they might have or if you would like me to look at your charts feel free to send me a message.
Thank you.
NZD/USD H4NZD/USD H4
NZD/USD it is better not to trade now because i see sort of range market. We should wait till the price reaches key support level 0.6855 and see what happens next. if price respects the support we will have confirmed double bottom and can go long. OR price can breakdown the support and that scenario we can short NU.
NU-4H Short Downtrend > Shorting > in Ascending Triangle > Aiming my entry upon a Bearish Breakout to the bottom side. > Awaiting Entry Signal/setup to print at the top of A. Triangle > Currently at a resistance level > 1:2 R:R >Stop behind 50ma > Feeling "Strongly" bout this play, but still waiting for setup to confirm. AKA making the 'safe' entry
Make or Break NZDUSD (BIAS IS BEARISH)The New Zealand Budget came out last week. Some experts feel it is too optimistic and we will see additional Kiwi weakness. Additionally, DXY strength doesn't seem to be slowing down. We could some retracement to the upside. My bias is more downside. I'd like to see red trendline provide some resistance. P
Shorting NZD USD to hell and back Simple trade setup - Market has found support at a supply zone (0.6818) and has retraced to its daily resistance level
This is a great opportunity to re-short this pair. I will be looking to scale back the position at the same supply zone as before.
Fundamentally this trade is support by a rate hike and the pending US tax reforms.
Thanks
Nzd/Usd Wedging Head & ShoulderLooks like price is making lower lows and lower highs wedging into the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern we are in. Looking for a break of the neck to signify the swing is in affect and will be thinking about shorts this week. If the last high/right shoulder is broken then we might test the head again and push through up to 1.618 fib of last weeks bull this week. Hope it helps, trade with caution. Trade study not investment advice
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Nzd/Usd - Short Study - A- Looking for another few pips to the downside before consolidation and a testing of this weekly short term bull trend. if we break the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern we are in i am looking for another 40 pips or so. If we get a break of the last shoulder and head then i am looking for 1.618 fib of this weeks bull run for upside target. Hope it helps. Trade studies not investment advice, trade with caution
NZDUSD-"better to fail in originality & not succeed in imitationHope everyone has had a great year of trading.
I know I haven't posted here in a while but i'm going back to making a habit of it.
Lets take a breather from GBPUSD and attempt this simple cyclical trade.
An easy 100 pips is up for grabs should price come to our entry point.
Although not entirely recommended , aggressive opportunities exist on the way down, if you can manage the drawdown whilst being true to your own risk management rules then position yourself as price moves down. I know I will :)
The year is over but that doesn't mean risk management falls out of the window. Stay Safe and Good Luck!!! Forex is Risky afterall.
NU Bearish Butterfly IdeaThis is probably a long shot, but ultimately, I'm looking or the price to retest the 0.72950 level for a short position. To get there, price may jump around and potentially form a butterfly pattern. Harmonic patterns are useless to predict until at least the C leg, and we aren't even there- but hey, that's what I'm doing.
I'm looking for the price to react at 0.72130 off of the 0.382 of the X to A, which is roughly where the 200MA (1h) is headed. If an hourly candle closes below this level, this will invalidate the pattern (but not necessarily the location of the short). My target to enter a short is 0.72950, as mentioned above. I'll update my idea if/when we get to that level with TP and SL. The 09/05/17 jump in price is iffy PA to short, but we're still in a downtrend on the 4h even at that level.
Good luck and thank you for looking.
-Zedro