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NVAX

NVAX- Breakout Long opportunity from $1.55 to $2.37NVAX looks really good breakout opportunity. Its just tethering 50 day moving average, a break above will be Long Entry confirmation., and we think it will easily hit 2.40 area. Trade Criteria Entry Target Criteria- break above $1.55 Exit Target Criteria- $2.37 Stop Loss Criteria- $1.29 You can check our detailed analysis on NVAX in the trading room/ Executive summary link here- www.youtube.com Time Span- 3:45" Trade Status: Pending
NASDAQ:NVAXLong
by AcornWealthCorp
NVAX TRADE UPDATEI figured I'd clean up this setup a little bit on the chart to show what's going on with this trade a little more clearly, since we're running into opex, and I'll have to do something with it here shortly. I also for mapping out what I'm going to do if price does certain things relative to my cost basis and original stock purchase price. The trade originally started out as a "Plain Jane" covered call, where I bought shares at 7.54 and sold the Sept 16th 8 call for something like a 6.39 debit (so my cost basis in the shares at that point was 6.39/share). I proceeded to sell the Sept 16th 5 short put to further reduce cost basis in my shares, as well as to sell some premium in this unusually high implied volatility underlying (I filled the short put for an additional .67 ($67)/contract credit. When, after all, can you get >$50/contract credit for a somewhat far out-of-the-money short put in an <$10 underlying -- rarely. After selling the put, my cost basis in the shares would be 6.39 minus .67 or 5.72/share. Currently, the 8 short call is valued at .72 ($72) (it was originally $115), and the short put is valued at .25 ($25) (originally, $67). Rolling into expiry, I'm looking to take the short put off at near maximum profit (.05 or less). If price finishes above $8 at expiry, my shares will be called away at $8, and I'll be out of the trade. However, what should I do if price either finishes (a) between my stock purchase price and the short call or (b) price finishes below my stock purchase price, but above my original cost basis for the covered call (6.93/share)? If price finishes "between", I'm likely to just treat the trade from that point forward as a straight "speculative long" stock play and set a stop loss for my shares at break even and then let the trade ride. The reason why I would probably not continue to sell calls against and set a stop loss on the stock is to avoid the scenario where I would get stopped out on the stock and have a naked speculative short call hanging out there which could get painful if price whips higher on news (which is due out sometime in the 4th quarter and most likely at a presentation NVAX is going to give in mid-October). If price finishes lower than what I paid for the stock originally, but above my cost basis for the original covered call, I'm likely to just close it entirely out, having made profit on the short put and on the covered call setup ... .
NASDAQ:NVAX
by NaughtyPines
6
TRADE IDEA: NVAX COVERED CALLI'm already in a similar trade, but NVAX keeps on giving with high implied volatility rank and high implied volatility. Metrics: Buy shares at 6.99 Sell Oct 21st 7 call 5.10 db at the mid (off hours; it may naturally look a touch different at NY open) $190 max profit if called away at $7 (a ridiculous profit figure for a $7 underlying) ROC: 37.3% Alternative: Look to just sell premium using the Oct 21st expiry. For example, the 5 short put is currently bid .75/ask 1.15. Even the bid ($75) is stupid rich premium here ... .
NASDAQ:NVAX
by NaughtyPines
NEXT WEEK'S COVERED CALL CANDIDATES: ZIOP, NVAX, LC, WLLHere's my "short list" for covered call candidates for next week generated by looking at Barcharts.com high volatility stock options list and the Dough grid: WLL buy shares at 7.66; sell Sept 16th 8 call; 7.10 debit; $90 max profit (12.7% ROC) CC buy shares at 11.45; sell Sept 16th 12 call; 10.78 debit; $122 max profit (10.6% ROC) LC buy shares at 5.40; sell Oct 21st 5.5 call; 4.85 debit; $65 max profit (13.4% ROC) ZIOP buy shares at 5.46; sell Oct 21st 6 call; 4.65 debit; $135 max profit (29.0% ROC) NVAX buy shares at 7.04; sell Oct 21st 8 call; 5.42 debit.; $258 max profit (47.6% ROC) FCX buy shares at 11.92; sell Sept 30 12 call; 10.90 debit; $102 max profit (9.3% ROC) JCP buy shares at 10.55; sell Sept 30th 11 call; 9.59 debit; $96 max profit (9.6% ROC) Notes: (1) WLL's a petro play. Because so many small petro companies are in trouble of one kind or another (i.e., shale and/or offshore oil exploration exposure), I generally prefer playing something with a little less "single company exposure" (e.g., XOP). But, hey, it meets my general rule of >10% ROC. (2) CC is a basic materials/chemical play. It spun off from DuPont and has had quite an up run here in spite of a recent punitive damages judgment for chemical dumping (weirdly, the stock dipped and then subsequently popped on the news, probably out of relief that the debacle was in the rear view mirror). (3) LC's been in a downtrend since IPO. At best, a money, take, run play. (4) I still like ZIOP. It's biopharma and has a fairly diverse pipeline such that if one drug fails, they still have more in the hopper. And that 29% ROC, well ... drop dead gorgeous if it can get to $6. (5) I'm also in NVAX (biopharm). In comparison to ZIOP, their pipeline is quite narrow and currently devoted to a single vaccine (RSV). sg.finance.yahoo.com (vaccine "could be breakthrough," but not time to "break out the champagne" (code for "it could suck ... or not")). (6) FCX (mining). I covered called this in late 2015, early 2016 which commodities were at a cyclical low and then bailed out when it appeared to be topping. Looking back, it kind of looks pricey here in comparison, and I'm not so hot on the ROC. However, it's highly liquid, and it has some room to pop to 14.00 resistance (and naturally some room to cave; the 2016 low is sub-$4). (7) JCP. Well, it's JCP. Plus, it's had a bit of a run up here, and if past performance is indicative of future results, well, it could zombie trade back to sub-$9 and with the ROC, well, not at the top of my list ... .
WLong
by NaughtyPines
THREE COVERED CALL IDEAS: WTW, NVAX, AND FEYE(?)WTW: Buy at 10.56/share; sell Sept 16th 11 call; 9.27 debit at the mid; max profit $173/contract (18.7% ROC). NVAX: Buy at 7.51/share; sell Sept 16th 8 call; 6.01 debit at the mid; max profit $198/contract (32.9% ROC). (I'm already in a similar NVAX trade .. ). FEYE: Buy at 13.95/share; sell Sept 16th 14 call; 10.67 debit at the mid; max profit $333/contract (31.2% ROC). The reason why I put a question mark next to the FEYE is that it's still gyrating about post-earnings and the pricing on the short call is unlikely to be accurate (it will change at open). So this may not be nearly as sexy at NY open as it looks to be right now ... .
WLong
by NaughtyPines