NVDA Long Idea - September 16, 2024Hi all,
I was having some fun adding graphics to my chart this morning & thought I would share with the community. Some may or may not agree with me, but this is what I am seeing.
I didn't outline how I arrived at this, but just sharing my overall thoughts on the short/mid term movement of the NVDA Stock.
Also if my fun graphics make some laugh it is worth while.
ibb.co
Chart View:
NVDA
NVDA: Weekly to 4 hour: How low are we going: Correction ? Good morning Traders
Hope everyone had a great weekend of trading:
I created a video to give you a gauge on where NVDA is going. We have an correction but is it true correction is the question.
Let me know what you think of the video, comments are always welcome.
Happy hunting
MB Trader
NVIDIA (NVDA): Our Next Move After Predicting the TopJust 14 days ago, we analyzed NVIDIA and concluded that we might see a small push upward followed by a pullback. We were correct, although the last small push didn't materialize. Still, we're pretty happy that we called the top on NVDA accurately, and perhaps some of you were able to capitalize on it. If so, that makes us even happier 😄
Since our last analysis, NVIDIA has fallen by 21%, bringing us into the area where we should be looking for long positions. We're about to do just that, even though it's risky. We're planning to enter a long position on NVIDIA, with our stop loss set below the end of Wave (4) for invalidation. We don't have a specific target set for NVDA, and we'll be monitoring it closely. Given the risk involved, we won't be over-leveraging here.
Let's see if we can get it right again!
NVDA, long, Entry: 119.15, Stop: 118.30, Timeframe: 1h**Trade Type:** long
**Ticker:** NVDA
**Entry Price:** 119.15
**Stop Loss:** 118.30
**Take Profit 1:** 120.40
**Take Profit 2:** 121.15
**Risk/Reward Ratio:**
**Timeframe:** 1h
**Trading idea only, not financial advice. Any use of this information is solely at the user's own risk.**
Nvidia made a sudden turn, showing us a very important key zone! The price has shown a turn exactly in our GAP area, and this is where it gets interesting because this turn gave much more validation to our GAP area by bouncing precisely off of it. From here on, the bearish sequence has, for the first time, been incomplete due to the swing-turn that occurred before reaching support on our point #4.
The question is: is this the moment when the price will break the resistance of our channel? Time will tell, but for now, we've identified a new zone where there is greater buying pressure, and it's exactly the same zone we've been studying for several weeks.
If you've been following this analysis for weeks or months, you'll notice that everything is unfolding according to our price action and institutional analysis.
From here on, we just need to wait for the breakout, and remember, this time it could be different since we're in very important months where the elections heavily influence price behavior.
Best regards, and thank you for supporting my analysis.
Bitcoin Zip LineI’ve been tracking the course of bitcoin for the last 5 years. I think we are in for some major volatility soon!
Scenario 1:
The bitcoin price will rally as elections are heating up, and more people are sponsoring bitcoin and other meme coins in this period, in addition the tension in the Middle East . Consequently, the US market seems to have some underlying affect on the price of bitcoin. It is connected to the dollar. De-dollarization is a reality. But, you can’t back out on currency yet, too many people would be affected. People presently and people how will. So I expect the fed to cut rates hard, and quickly, without a doubt saving the economic bubble waiting to pop soon. Leading to a red swan event. No I did not say black. Red swan would be a global market chain reaction.
Bitcoin would break upward toward the resistance area $68,387- 69,000which has been building since November 10th, 2020.
If that occurs bitcoin could fall and complete a long striking falling wedge buying opportunity with a target of $42,000 and a liquidity pool around $37,600. Bitcoin could continue with selling pressure, or the big institutions will buy back bitcoin leading to an all time high price in a parabolic move toward $79,000, $100k, 150k, and $200k. Why so high? In short summary banks, coin IPO’s, Mining Harvests, Ripple, and AI
This would be the greatest buy opportunity for either any retail trader or institutional investors. Maybe even private owned firms, government agencies, and owners of any equity.
Scenario 2: A test of the $68’387-$69,000 area and a breakout to $73,000 could lead the price to $79,000. If this price is reached, bitcoin will either decide to test shaky hands and liquidate. As a matter of fact, new hands coming in, can squeeze toward $90,000 above 100k before deciding a true bullish path. Same rules apply on the buy opportunity. This would be parabolic as well which would make $42,000 the main support zone in a long term situation drawback.
This is just a prediction, good luck ;)
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NVDA long term trend still looks bullishNVDA over past 3 months has been slowly trending downward since July. This is not a cause for concern yet, its normal in late Summer for markets to contract.
Past 3 slowly trend downward
Year long upward trend still being followed
Its normal for late Summer to have pullbacks
NVDA remains in very bullish range and right now producing buying opportunities
Nvidia gearing up for potential more upside push?Bear in mind that August and September typically yield negative returns for the broader market. However, Nvidia managing to close above its previous bearish candle is a good indication that it has fuel left in the tank for another potential run to the upside.
NVDA shows a small pullback aheadNVDA has rallied very nicely over the past two days
breaks above resistance temporarily indicating price exhaustion.
started pulling back in late day trading
decreasing volume during pullback indicates decline should not be severe, merely to put it back in trading range again.
NVDA appears to have room left in the rally overall with a mid pullback to come in the near term.
Are we headed to an incremental new high?With Nvidia breaking tp the upside of the target box for circle-b, that means if we continue to follow through in the Minor B wave, as I am forecasting, we stand an excellent chance to making new all-time highs on a very marginal basis . Nonetheless, this will still be part of the overall primary degree correction that Nvidia is involved in.
Read my last post of Nvidia to see the previous target box
Larger Timeframe Analysis Showing Primary Degree Correction
Nvidia (NVDA) Shares Surge Over 8%Nvidia (NVDA) Shares Surge Over 8%
According to the Nvidia (NVDA) stock chart, yesterday’s closing price was just below $117, compared to just over $108 the day before. The positive momentum was largely driven by the stock market’s reaction to inflation news, as mentioned earlier.
For Nvidia investors, this is a clear sign that the stock is regaining its leadership position, a success attributed to CEO Jensen Huang.
As Barron’s reports, at the Goldman Sachs conference in San Francisco, Huang discussed the launch of the new Blackwell chip and the return on investment for Nvidia’s clients. He mentioned that demand is so high that some companies Nvidia works with have become "emotional."
Technical analysis of Nvidia's (NVDA) stock chart shows the price forming an ascending linear regression channel (shown in blue), rebounding from its lower boundary.
However, bulls will need to prove their strength, as a series of resistance levels lie ahead:
→ The bearish gap zone around $117. → The psychological level of $130. → The upper boundary of the descending channel (shown in red).
If the Federal Reserve cuts rates next week and Powell’s comments are dovish, Nvidia’s stock could break through this resistance and continue its impressive 2024 rally, which saw the price increase by around 150% in the first half of the year.
Analyst forecasts remain optimistic. According to a Tipranks survey of 42 analysts, 39 recommend buying NVDA stock, with an average price target of $153.24 over the next 12 months.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NVDA rallied today with consistent strong volumeAfter a good cpi report NVDA rallied with momentum giving clues of more rallying to come
Rally stayed under resistance level which indicates for a sustained rally
Volume increased and remained steady during rally
RSI broke above 50 going into bullish zone. Hopefully SMA will follow
NVDA has started to form long term downward trend that began back in July. We need to watch out for this zone as a take profit area
Overall we expect the rally to continue.
Nvidia - A Correction Of -50% Is Starting!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is reversing at a strong resistance:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Last month Nvidia already corrected about -35% but managed to close with an indecision doji candle. However, previous cycles, the recent rally of +1.000% and the fact that Nvidia is retesting a strong resistance trendline all suggest that Nvidia will still move much lower soon.
Levels to watch: $100, $55
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
NVDA - One More Bounce Before Potential Drop!I’m anticipating a bounce on NASDAQ:NVDA at this level. Despite the prevailing bearish sentiment, I’m inclined to take this trade, as many are predicting further declines. I’m expecting one more bounce, potentially forming another lower high, before a drop to the sub-90s.
This is a critical juncture for me, so I’m opting to capitalize on the opportunity now.
The trade is set for this week.
Nvidia Stock Analysis: A Rally Amid Divergence & Strategic MovesNvidia (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ) stock has seen notable volatility recently, rallying 6.6% despite mixed performances from its peers in the so-called "Magnificent Seven" stocks, which include Apple, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Meta, and Tesla. These tech giants dominated the market in 2023, but the third quarter of 2024 has seen divergent returns and significant selling pressure, causing a rebound in Nvidia's stock after hitting early August lows.
Nvidia’s influence on the Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 indexes is considerable due to its large market cap. The stock’s current performance and future prospects are under the microscope of investors and analysts alike, as Nvidia continues to navigate both technical and fundamental factors that could shape its near-term trajectory.
Beating Estimates and Strategic Advances
Nvidia (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ) recently beat Wall Street’s estimates for its fiscal second quarter, reporting adjusted earnings of 68 cents per share on sales of $30.04 billion. This was well above analyst expectations of 65 cents per share on sales of $28.74 billion. The company’s earnings soared 152% year-over-year, while revenue jumped 122%, showcasing the strength of Nvidia’s business amid the growing demand for AI and high-performance computing chips.
Additionally, the U.S. government is reportedly considering allowing Nvidia to export advanced chips to Saudi Arabia, potentially enabling the country to train and run powerful AI models. This move, reported by Semafor, would further bolster Nvidia's sales pipeline and extend its reach in the global AI market. Saudi Arabia is making efforts to comply with U.S. security requirements to expedite the acquisition of Nvidia's advanced H200 chips, which are already being used in OpenAI’s GPT-4o, a cutting-edge multimodal platform.
The Biden administration’s recent restrictions on AI chip exports, aimed at limiting China's access, have opened strategic opportunities for Nvidia to expand in Middle Eastern markets like Saudi Arabia, provided these nations comply with U.S. regulations.
Technical Outlook
Technically, Nvidia stock (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ) is showing resilience. Despite the recent dips, NASDAQ:NVDA has rebounded 6.22%, currently attempting to rise from the August low of $90.76. This recovery is supported by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which stands at a healthy 54.98, indicating the stock is not in overbought territory and has room to rally.
Nvidia’s stock is trading above key moving averages, including the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages, reinforcing its bullish outlook. The ability to maintain these levels despite recent market turbulence underscores Nvidia's strong market positioning. The stock’s 10-for-1 split, which took effect in June, has not dampened investor enthusiasm, as NASDAQ:NVDA continues to attract buyers looking to capitalize on its ongoing leadership in the AI and semiconductor industries.
What’s Next for Nvidia?
Nvidia’s future appears bright, driven by robust earnings, strategic market opportunities, and technical strength. However, investors should remain vigilant of potential risks, including regulatory challenges and broader market volatility that could impact the stock’s short-term performance. With U.S. authorities closely monitoring AI chip exports, any changes in policy could affect Nvidia’s international growth prospects.
Investors should also keep an eye on Nvidia’s ongoing innovations in AI, gaming, and cloud computing sectors, which continue to drive revenue growth and market leadership. As the company looks to capitalize on emerging technologies and new markets, Nvidia's stock is positioned to benefit from both fundamental and technical tailwinds.
Conclusion:
Nvidia’s impressive rally and resilient stock performance amid market fluctuations underscore its dual strength in fundamentals and technical. The company’s ability to beat earnings expectations, navigate geopolitical complexities, and maintain key support levels highlights Nvidia as a standout in the tech sector. For investors seeking exposure to a leader in AI and high-performance computing, Nvidia remains a compelling choice with the potential for continued gains.