$NVDA Bull Flag Pattern A bull flag bullish pattern appears to be forming, suggesting potential upside momentum. The key question is whether Nvidia will break out following tomorrow's earnings report. If the results exceed expectations, it could serve as the catalyst needed to propel the stock higher, confirming the bull flag and potentially triggering a strong upward move. Traders will be closely watching for a decisive break above recent resistance levels, which could set the stage for further gains. #SPX500 AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:QQQ NASDAQ:NVDA #Nvidia #ES_F #NQ_F
NVDA
NVDA New ATH Inbound Technical reasons for a move to the upside are as follows 1 - 1 Fib Extension gives us $155
TR Pocket pull gives us $154 - $157 for more confluence, and finally we have Pivots at $152. All aligning in the same region I expect price to eventually gravitate to the upside . Not necessarily all on earnings day but never say never . Market structure is also in a bullish uptrend HTF. With that in mind we have these strong technicals/confluence to expect all time highs to be taken out $140.76.*ATH come Earnings Release.
I dont advocate blindly longing up here though as the last opportunity to long was back in July but if you trade the INDEX Futures then you can use this as a potential compass into taking a Long * NQ for example .
I dont look at Fundamentals but it was brought to my attention that the CEO has been selling vast amounts of stock which is publicly displayed if you care to investigate .
So its possible that he knows something that we dont and maybe the results that are announced tomorrow dont meet expectations .
if thats the case then of course be prepared for a move to the downside before continuation to the upside but bear in mind that NVDA have beaten expectations 4 X previously and have lucrative partnerships in the tech space and AI is still in its infancy so anything can happen . I remain bullish on the sector and NVDA especially
Results are announced after market close Wed 29
Share and Like to support my work
Stock Surge Leaving Bitcoin Behind? Stock Surge Leaving Bitcoin Behind?
The longstanding correlation between the Nasdaq and Bitcoin took a hit today as the two markets diverged, signaling potential shifts in investor sentiment.
This breakdown could be a precursor to broader market volatility, particularly as Nvidia prepares to release its much-anticipated earnings report tomorrow.
Nvidia initially opened lower today but reversed course, closing up 1.6%. The stock has rallied nearly 10% in August, fueled by bullish commentary from customers who are continuing to invest heavily in data centers and Nvidia-based infrastructure. This optimism has set a high bar for tomorrow’s earnings.
Bitcoin, meanwhile, is trading at $62,000, about 25% above its lowest point this month. However, the cryptocurrency is potentially facing stiff resistance at $65,000. This struggle at a key technical level could be a signal of waning risk appetite.
The Federal Reserve’s potential rate cuts are also a double-edged sword for Bitcoin. While lower rates typically boost risk assets, there’s a growing concern that such a move could indicate deeper economic troubles ahead.
On the bullish side, Paul Christopher, head of global investment strategy at Wells Fargo, recently likened the current market environment to 1995, when the S&P 500 soared to 77 all-time highs. If history repeats itself, stocks could be on the cusp of a rally not seen in nearly three decades.
I am Bullish on Superintelligence Alliance coins
Considering the steroid from the upcoming NVIDIA earning call scheduled for tomorrow, there is a likely chance that FET may hit $1.58 to $1.8 now that it has broken the critical resistance trendline.
I am positive on Artificial Superintelligence Alliance coins
NVDA: The market anticipates Nvidia's Q2 earnings reportInvestors and analysts are keenly focused on Nvidia Corporation as it prepares to release its Q2 earnings this Wednesday. Nvidia, a powerhouse in the artificial intelligence industry, has been at the forefront of producing cutting-edge chips for data centres, which is crucial for developing AI models. The company's products are in high demand, serving a diverse customer base from tech behemoths like Microsoft to innovative startups like OpenAI.
For the second quarter, Nvidia's management has projected a staggering 28 billion USD in total revenue, following a robust Q1 performance during which the company garnered 26 billion USD, surpassing its initial 24 billion USD forecast. The market is optimistic, anticipating that the Q2 results might exceed expectations, similar to the previous quarter.
Technical analysis of NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA)
Exploring potential trading opportunities based on Nvidia's stock performance ahead of the earnings report:
Timeframe : Hourly (H1)
Current trend : the stock is showing an upward trend on a daily scale, with prices consolidating in a narrow range on the hourly chart as the market waits for the earnings announcement
Short-term target : the immediate upside target is set at the resistance level of 130.00 USD
Medium-term target : breaking past the 130.00 USD resistance could open the pathway to further gains, potentially reaching the yearly high of around 140.00 USD
Key support : currently established at 123.00 USD
Reversal scenario : if the price drops below the critical support level at 123.00 USD, it could negate the bullish outlook and lead to a potential decline towards the next support level around 115.00 USD
Market impact
The upcoming earnings report from Nvidia is poised to influence market sentiment significantly and could catalyse movements across the broader US stock market. A report surpassing expectations may propel Nvidia's stock and lift broader market indices, while a disappointing outcome could trigger a corrective phase in Nvidia shares and dampen market sentiments. Investors should stay tuned for the earnings release, which will provide critical insights into Nvidia's financial health and its impact on stock market dynamics.
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Navigating NVIDIA Earnings Led Volatility with S&P 500 OptionsNVIDIA will announce its Q2 2025 results on 28th August. The semiconductor giant is expected to deliver USD 28.6 billion in revenues. Even a mild shortfall can send its stock prices tanking. The firm is slated to scale even greater heights on continued AI hardware demand & explosion in data centres.
ANALYSTS REMAIN BULLISH
NVIDIA enjoys buy rating with 12-month price targets ranging from USD 90 to USD 200 per share across 52 analysts.
Forty-seven analysts have strong buy rating followed by nine buys and five holds based on 61 analysts issuing ratings over the last three months.
The firm has a commanding position in the AI-driven chip market. Booming demand for GPUs in data centres and cloud computing serve as relentless tail winds.
NVIDIA EXPECTED TO DELIVER INCREDIBLE RESULTS ON GROWING AI DEMAND
AI demand is palpable. This demand is vindicated by eye popping financial performance. Few can deliver higher earnings without comprising margins. NVIDIA has crushed both.
Its revenues have risen 5.6x since 2019 while its net income has risen 10.6x during the same period. Its net income margins have expanded two-fold from 25.6% to 48.9% in the same time frame.
Little surprise that its shares are up 162.71% so far this year far surpassing S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and other mega caps.
NVIDIA IS EXPECTED TO EXTEND ITS DOMINATION
Tech firms are in early stages of AI hardware adoption, driving demand for NVIDIA’s chips. Its data center business is a key revenue driver, benefiting from growing AI workloads.
Source: Statista
NVIDIA’s AI GPUs are crucial for machine learning and neural network tasks. GPUs will contribute to 40% of its total revenue in 2024.
The firm continues to expand its CUDA software ecosystem. CUDA enables developers to optimize AI workloads. Combination of hardware and software makes its ecosystem extremely sticky. It locks in developers & clients contributing to long-term revenues.
Furthermore, NVIDIA’s long-term roadmap includes innovations in AI chips designed for specific tasks, such as inferencing and deep learning, areas where its competitors have struggled to gain traction.
RECAPPING NVIDIA’S RECORD SHATTERING Q1 2025 EARNINGS
The firm delivered record quarterly revenues of USD 26 billion (up 18% QoQ & 262% YoY), primarily driven by a 427% surge in Data Center business. Its net income of USD 14.88 billion and diluted EPS of USD 5.98, marked 21% and 629% increase respectively YoY. The gross margin rose to 78.4%, up 2.4% QoQ & 13.8% YoY.
The firm also announced ten-for-one forward stock split effective 7th June. It increased quarterly dividend by 150% to $0.10 per post-split share. On such stunning results, its share prices rose 9.3% after announcement.
Even though NVIDIA share prices have risen, its price-to-earnings ratio have come off thanks to even sharper rise in its earnings.
The price paid for each dollar of earnings is cheapest over the last eight quarters based on P/E ratio. The P/E ratio is down to 51x as of Q1 2024 compared to 144x as of Q1 2023.
EARNINGS SURPRISES & SHOCKS AND ITS IMPACT ON STOCK PRICES
NVIDIA’s quarterly earnings has crushed expectations 21 out of the last 22 quarters since 2019. Beating earnings has become par for the course for this firm. Even mild shocks can cause tremors in its share prices.
It is no surprise then that the 12-month rolling beta of the firm is 2.78x making it highly volatile. Beta measures share price sensitivity to the overall market. It quantifies price moves of a stock to the broader index.
BETA HEDGING NVIDIA STOCKS WITH S&P 500 MICRO INDEX OPTIONS
Portfolio Managers holding NVIDIA stocks can cleverly use deeply liquid CME Micro E-Mini S&P 500 Index Options (CME Micro S&P 500 Options) to hedge against potential earnings linked price shocks.
Holding NVIDIA shares while hedging the holding via CME Micro S&P 500 Put Options helps to build effective portfolio resilience.
Investors are assumed to hold one-hundred shares for illustration. The notional value of NVIDIA shares is calculated using close of market price on 23rd August.
Trading View publishes twelve-month rolling beta for each stock. It can be used for calculating the required number of S&P 500 index puts to hedge against downside price risk.
We suggest adjusting the beta upwards (“Earnings Linked Beta”) by 50% to cater for earnings linked excess volatility.
The notional value of options is calculated using Earnings Linked Beta. Two lots of CME Micro S&P 500 Options are required to hedge 100 NVIDIA shares.
The table below demonstrates overall Beta Hedged P&L based on various price scenarios for NVIDIA share prices and S&P 500 futures price after earnings.
Single stock options can be used to hedge. The cost of hedging using them would be expensive due to elevated IV levels during earnings. Investors must balance cost savings against basis risks.
Please note that beta hedging involves basis risks. If the stock and index prices fail to move in tandem as expected, then beta hedge may not provide adequate protection from adverse price moves.
The table below illustrates Beta Hedged P&L if index moves in a muted manner which is unlikely.
The table below illustrates Beta Hedged P&L if index moves inversely to NVIDIA share prices. This scenario is a highly unlikely but is included for clarity of understanding and illustration purposes only.
Investors can consider exploiting elevated implied volatility in NVIDIA options by selling calls to partly fund the purchase of index put options.
By selling a 25-delta options expiring on 30th August, the investor creates a covered call strategy on the underlying NVIDIA stocks. A 25-delta call translates to a 142 strike and the last traded price on 23rd August was USD 2.70 per share. Investors can view up-to-date pricing sheets along with various options analysis tools on CME QuikStrike .
The P&L of beta hedge plus covered call assuming expected index moves is as shown below:
MARKET DATA
CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme .
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NVDA NVIDIA Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the the recent dip on NVDA:
nor before the big rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NVDA NVIDIA Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 138usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $15.65.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
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NVDA Near Historic Highs: Awaiting Key Breakout SignalsI’m sharing a weekly chart analysis for NVDA, focusing on its current position near historical highs at $129 after a bounce from $90.
From the logarithmic scale chart, it's clear that NVDA has been in a long-term progression channel since July 2015. Currently, the price is positioned on the upper deviation line of this channel, indicating a potential resistance area. Given this position on the logarithmic scale, I am leaning towards a short bias as it suggests we could see a pullback or correction.
I’ve also identified two cup & handle patterns, each with their respective targets. However, these patterns will only be validated based on the next price movements.
While there is still a blue support trend and a red resistance trend in play, the price near its historical highs and its proximity to the upper boundary of the progression channel suggest that a downward movement could be more likely. However, due to the large time scale of the weekly chart, we should wait for further confirmation of a downtrend before taking a short position.
For now, I recommend caution and suggest waiting for a confirmed breakout or breakdown from the current channel before making any decisive trades. I’d love to hear your insights and thoughts on this setup.
NVIDIA (NVDA): Wave 1 Nearly Complete – New Entry Opportunity?After a break, we’re taking another look at NVIDIA, which is now around $100 — which sounds like a much more attractive level compared to $1100. But it isn't, as in the meantime we witnessed a stock split. We still see more upside for NVIDIA as we believe we are in Wave (5) of the current cycle, if our count is correct.
Zooming in, the past surge doesn't need much commentary as it was mostly upward movement without significant corrections. Now, it looks like we’re getting into the intra-wave structure. We expect Wave 1 to finish after one last leg up to complete the five-wave cycle for Wave 1.
Afterward, we could look for entry points at the end of Wave 2. If this scenario plays out with the bearish divergence on the RSI, we will update you on how we plan to position ourselves.
Mag 7 Drags Down Large Cap - Potential Index Wedge FormationsThanks for checking out the video today. It was a reasonably nice selloff today, led mostly by the Mag 7 stocks. All US Indexes were in red, Nasdaq taking the worst of it around -1.60% lower.
Powell on tap for Friday with Day 2 at Jackson Hole. The market is oh so curious if the FED will cut 25 or 50 bps in September and we have plenty of news to digest prior to the official September 18 FOMC Meeting and Press Conference.
If Friday Aug 23's trading day pushes lower and helps balance out the aggressive bull moves from August 5's bottom, we could see a nice wedge pattern in the works - lower highs / higher lows.
Watch the S&P Daily 200 SMA or 200 EMA for some dynamic support. It will be interesting to see if the bulls and bears both get what they want with prices on the move through September with volatility returning to elevated levels > 20 perhaps.
Thanks for watching!!!
Nvidia's Stellar Rise Amidst the AI Gold Rush
Nvidia, the tech giant renowned for its high-performance graphics processing units (GPUs), has been riding a wave of unprecedented success. As the world dives deeper into the realm of artificial intelligence (AI), Nvidia's GPUs have become the indispensable hardware powering the most advanced AI models. This surge in demand has propelled Nvidia's stock to new heights, solidifying its position as a leader in the semiconductor industry.
The AI Revolution Drives Demand
The rapid advancements in AI technology have created a voracious appetite for computing power. Nvidia's GPUs, originally designed for rendering complex graphics, have proven to be remarkably efficient at handling the intensive calculations required for training and running AI models. Their parallel processing architecture allows them to perform multiple tasks simultaneously, making them ideal for the demanding workloads associated with AI.
As AI applications continue to expand across various industries, from healthcare and finance to autonomous vehicles and customer service, the demand for high-performance GPUs has skyrocketed. Companies like OpenAI, Meta, and Google are investing heavily in AI research and development, and Nvidia's GPUs have become a critical component of their infrastructure.
Nvidia's Strategic Moves
Nvidia has been proactive in capitalizing on the AI boom. The company has made significant investments in research and development to enhance its GPU technology and expand its product offerings. In addition to its traditional gaming GPUs, Nvidia has introduced specialized AI accelerators, such as the A100 and H100, which are optimized for AI workloads.
Furthermore, Nvidia has been expanding its ecosystem through partnerships and acquisitions. The company has collaborated with major cloud providers like Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud Platform to offer AI services based on its GPUs. This has made it easier for developers and businesses to access and utilize AI capabilities.
Challenges and Opportunities
While Nvidia's prospects appear bright, the company faces certain challenges. The semiconductor industry is cyclical, and there is a risk of a slowdown in demand for GPUs if the AI market experiences a correction. Additionally, competition from other chip manufacturers, such as AMD and Intel, is intensifying.
However, the long-term outlook for AI remains positive, and Nvidia's strong market position and technological leadership give it a significant advantage. As AI continues to penetrate various sectors, the demand for high-performance computing power is likely to grow, providing ample opportunities for Nvidia to expand its business.
Conclusion
Nvidia's success story is a testament to the transformative power of AI. The company's ability to leverage its GPU technology to meet the demands of the AI revolution has propelled it to the forefront of the semiconductor industry. As AI continues to evolve and reshape the world, Nvidia is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing market and maintain its leadership position.
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NVDA reclaimed the daily 50 SMA along with QQQ.NASDAQ:NVDA broke out of a wedge consolidation at $109 earlier this week and has closed above the daily 50 SMA, along with NASDAQ:QQQ and many other technology leaders. There has been a shift in market tone since the jobs report last Thursday, 8/8. Since then, all data points have been bought by the bulls, and QQQ reclaimed the daily 10 SMA, giving signs that the bull-thesis was valid. The longer QQQ and other major technology names build above the daily 50 SMA, the more likely they are to continue higher.
Short NVDA for a little +33%...This trade is purely psychological revenge...
Long AAPL and TSLA, short NVDA haha
NVIDIA's (NVDA) Stock Expected to Plummet to $82 Post Q2 Earnings
1. Overestimated AI Chip Demand
2. Data Center Growth Slowing Down
3. Vulnerabilities in the Gaming Sector
5. Product Innovation Fatigue
6. Supply Chain Vulnerabilities
Market Analysis and Projection: NVIDIA Stock OpportunityI WILL BUY NVIDIA STOCK AT $112.
On the 5th of this month, NVIDIA (NVDA) experienced a significant downturn, with its stock price plunging to approximately $90—a day marked by widespread volatility in both the financial markets and cryptocurrency sectors.
As of now, NVDA has rebounded to $115. Based on my market analysis, I am anticipating a pullback to $112, at which point I plan to initiate a buy position. My target for take profit is set around $126.
For investors and traders, NVDA still presents a strong potential for growth, making it a stock worth monitoring closely.
Bulls Say "Can't Stop Won't Stop" - S&P 1% from All-Time HighsIt's as if the markets couldn't wait to open on Monday and continue what they've been doing for 9 of 11 trading days - push higher.
S&P +.96%
Nasdaq +1.31%
Dow +.58%
Russell 1.22%
For a Monday, it was a pretty directional day.
Wed-Fri is when the US news hits (FOMC Minutes, PMI, Jackson Hole, Powell Speech) so let's see if the party bus continues to rock until something forces a pause.
S&P is a mere 1% off of the all-time highs. All of these comebacks are mighty impressive considering it's the bears that usually accelerate the direction - these bulls are highly motivated.
NVDA Nvidia Buy the Dip OpportunityIf you haven`t bought NVDA before the breakout:
It's important to note that the leading company in Artificial Intelligence is currently trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 29.48. This valuation suggests it might be relatively inexpensive for investors considering a long-term position. Given the company's strong market position and growth potential in the AI sector, this could be an opportune time to enter, especially if you believe in the sustained growth and innovation of the industry. The Forward P/E ratio is a key indicator of expected future earnings and, at this level, it indicates that Nvidia is reasonably priced in comparison to its future earning potential.
My price target for the end of the year is $140-145.
NVDA Demand ZoneThis is how I like to combine my demand zones with TrendCloud.
Notice how TrendCloud counts the waves in this downtrend.
As price falls we also see Bullish Divergence on the TrendCloud Momentum Filter.
When you combine these together you get a higher probability of success.
Add this to your trade plan and let me know how it works out.
Enjoy!
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