NVDA
NVDA: Correction PhaseHello everyone,😉
I’ve put a scenario for the stock 'NVDA' together, which is currently drawing attention.
This scenario is based on not only the "Elliott Wave Theory" but also various analytical tools, so please take it into high consideration.
✔️ Wave from $140.76 downward: "Extended Flat"
This is an 'Extended Flat' composed of a 3-3-5 structure. The final C wave was completed as an 'Extended fifth wave impulse.'
✔️ Wave from $90.69 upward: "Zigzag"
This is a 'Zigzag' with a 5-3-5 structure. The A wave and C wave have a 1.618 ratio, which adds a high level of credibility.
✔️ Conclusion: Projected Path
Based on the wave count so far, I’ve drawn the projected path. I anticipate the appearance of a downward impulse wave and used the downward parallel channel and Fibonacci levels to estimate the potential decline range.
First support zone: $100.03
Second support zone: $84.57 (very strong)
Good luck!
This is not a buy or sell recommendation.
It is a personal perspective and should be used for reference only.
All decisions and responsibilities are yours.
Where will $Nvida drop to?
First of all, Nvidia is moving in a medium term downtrend, and on the way to lower low.
so we could see that the important support area would be previous low area, which share the same level with previous high volume candle.
In this case, traders who want to buy may need to wait for a better buy timing!
Nvidia's $279 Billion Slide: What It Means for Jensen HuangNvidia CEO Jensen Huang has seen his fortune plummet, crashing out of the $100 billion club after Nvidia’s stock tumbled nearly 10% on Tuesday. The sell-off slashed $9.9 billion from Huang’s net worth, dropping it to $94.9 billion. Despite this, Huang remains one of the biggest winners in the AI boom, adding $51 billion to his wealth this year alone as demand for Nvidia’s AI chips skyrockets.
The Root Causes
The dramatic fall in Nvidia’s stock was part of a broader chip sector sell-off, sparked by reports that the U.S. Department of Justice is ramping up an antitrust investigation into the company. Subpoenas sent to Nvidia signal escalating scrutiny into whether the chipmaker has been limiting competition by restricting its clients’ ability to switch to other suppliers.
Adding to the pressure, the latest U.S. manufacturing data indicated a slowdown, stoking fears about the broader economic outlook. The Institute for Supply Management reported moderate contraction in factory activity in August, leading to a market-wide sell-off. Nvidia, heavily tied to the AI hype, was one of the hardest-hit stocks.
Bearish Sentiment Weighs on Stock
Nvidia's stock is now trading near key support levels, with Tuesday’s sell-off marking the largest one-day drop in market value for a U.S. company. Technically, Nvidia’s RSI (Relative Strength Index) dipped below 40, signaling oversold conditions, but also indicating that bearish momentum could continue. The stock’s 50-day moving average sits precariously close, and a breach below could trigger further declines.
Despite this setback, Nvidia remains up 118% year-to-date, driven by its dominant position in the AI chip market. Investors have been pricing in exponential growth, which may take longer to materialize, especially given the regulatory headwinds.
What’s Next for Nvidia and Jensen Huang?
Nvidia’s meteoric rise since the AI boom in late 2022, fueled by the success of ChatGPT and other large language models, is facing its biggest test yet. While Huang’s net worth has taken a significant hit, Nvidia still plays a critical role in the AI ecosystem. The company's strategic pivot from video gaming to AI has paid off massively, but increased competition and regulatory scrutiny could challenge its dominance.
As Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) navigates these turbulent waters, investors will be watching closely for further developments in the antitrust investigation and any signs of stabilization in the broader market. With Nvidia's future closely tied to AI’s evolution, the coming months could be crucial in determining whether this is a temporary setback or a sign of deeper issues.
In the short term, technical indicators suggest caution, but Nvidia’s strong fundamentals and continued innovation in AI could offer a lifeline. For now, the chip giant's journey remains one to watch as it tries to bounce back from this historic slide.
Nvidia (NVDA) Shares Among the Biggest LosersNvidia (NVDA) Shares Among the Biggest Losers
On July 31, US labour market data was released, which proved disappointing and contributed to a decline in the Nasdaq 100 index (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) by over 10% between August 1 and 5.
This heightens the importance of the upcoming labour market data release, scheduled for tomorrow (15:15-15:30 GMT+3). It seems that concerns are growing among market participants that the news could reveal further negative trends.
This could explain the sell-off that gripped the US stock market yesterday. The Nasdaq 100 index (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) dropped by more than 3%, with Nvidia (NVDA) shares losing over 9% of their value.
In the first half of 2024, NVDA was a growth leader, but now it is among the biggest decliners—a bearish signal that suggests the price decline could continue. If so, how significant could it be?
Technical analysis of Nvidia (NVDA) chart shows:
→ The price is forming an ascending channel (shown in blue) but has dropped to its lower boundary after the median line showed signs of resistance.
→ The bearish gap area around the $116 level could act as a resistance zone after the bears confirmed their control over the psychological $100 mark.
→ Alternatively, the outlines of a possible descending channel are shown in red. Today, NVDA's price is near its median line.
This suggests that the price might consolidate around the intersection of the blue channel's lower boundary and the red channel's median line.
Following this, it’s important to consider the least favorable scenario, where the descending channel takes precedence, implying a potential decline in NVDA's price below the psychological $100 level towards the lower boundary of the red channel.
Despite this, forecasts remain positive. Based on a Tipranks survey of 43 analysts, 39 recommend buying NVDA stock. Although the average price target for NVDA is $151.79 over the next 12 months, it's possible that these estimates may be revised down if the stock continues to underperform the market.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Can the Tech Titan Weather the Storm?Nvidia, a leading force in artificial intelligence and semiconductor innovation, is now facing a critical juncture. The company has recently experienced a sharp decline in its stock price, compounded by an escalating antitrust investigation from the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ). These challenges have sparked widespread concern about Nvidia's future and the broader implications for the tech industry.
The DOJ's probe centers on Nvidia's dominance in the AI chip market, with allegations of anti-competitive practices that may limit customer choices. The potential outcomes of this investigation could reshape Nvidia's business and influence the entire semiconductor landscape.
As Nvidia navigates these turbulent waters, its response will determine not only its own trajectory but also the future of AI-driven technologies. The company must address regulatory concerns, diversify its revenue streams, and continue to innovate if it hopes to maintain its leadership in the tech world.
In this time of uncertainty, Nvidia's ability to adapt and evolve will be crucial in determining whether it can emerge stronger or be eclipsed by emerging competitors.
NVIDIA BUY ZONES ACTIVE ?As posted before after the earnings report we’ve seen the stock drop from 127 to 105 after a blowout report. Here’s my current idea of a scenario
1. NVDA Settles around the price of $111 & $100 before US DATA Thursday and Friday
2. NVDA buy opportunities towards
$125-$140 or above
3. Stocks can rise on a worst than expected US Data, propelling the index market to all time highs as well as gold. This current correction phase is healthy, and needed.
4. NVDA can form a double top resistance at $138-$141 sending the stock into more selling power. Consequently to a price of $90-$50. Waiting for a bounce between this area.
Until new points of possible AI is found and chips are being sold at a higher volume. This can be the EOY stock price. Overall whoever wins presidency will have a significant impact on AI markets.
This is a prediction. Good luck to all!
Is SMCI a buy? SMCI has lagged NVDA and many other semis.
Were now approaching a critical area...its make or break!
positive Daily divergence provides some hopes that were close to a near term bounce however after today semiconductor selloff the whole complex was shattered.
The fact that SMCI remained green while NVDA was down 10% should be a small win in itself...
The question is can it hold and build on this?
I do think its better positioned for a long than most semis.
No confirmed technical breakdown has occurred yet
If NVDA falls, How far will it Retrace?? - NVDAHere I have NVDA on the 4 Hr Chart!
Price on NVDA is showing exhaustion in the $126.83 - $133.75 Range, just shy of the Previous Highs in June & July.
This Range is based off the Beginning of what seems to be an Elliot Correction Wave from the Lower Low @ $90.69 followed by our High (Point A) @ $108.8 then our Higher Low (Violation of Structure - Point B) @ $97.53.
Confirmation of Wave comes once Price Broke Point A to Push Higher to Point C where it stalls now!
Now, using the Fibonacci Retracement Tool, we can see that if $130 stands to be our new Higher High, price should be looking to make a Higher Low by Retracing to the Fib Entry Zone between $119.19 - $113.77!
-Once Price confirms the Correction Wave, we see the RSI cross Above 50
-Price is now trading Above 200 EMA
*AREA OF CAUTION*
-Price created quite a Price Gap between $110 - $112 so we could possibly see price make a another 38.2% retracement to Fill The Gap before moving Higher!!
Earnings & Revenue Due Wednesday Aug. 28th.
Stock Market | TSLA NVDA AAPL AMZN META GOOG MSFT AnalysisQQQ Forecast
Sp500 ETF analysis
Nvidia Stock NVDA Forecast Technical Analysis
Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis
Microsoft Stock MSFT Forecast Technical Analysis
Google Stock GOOGL Forecast Technical Analysis
Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast Technical Analysis
Meta Forecast Technical Analysis
Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast Technical Analysis
NVIDIA Technical Analysis And Forecast For This WeekNVIDIA Technical Analysis And Forecast For This Week
NVIDIA has recently experienced a pullback following a less-than-optimistic forecast for the upcoming quarter, which fell short of investors' expectations.
This disappointment has prompted a wave of shorting by several shareholders, adding downward pressure to the stock.
However, based on my technical analysis, I believe NVIDIA is poised for a potential rebound from its current price levels this week.
Key indicators suggest that the recent dip may have been overextended, and we could see a recovery as market sentiment stabilizes.
Keep an eye on support levels and any bullish signals that could indicate a reversal in the near term.
Nvidia is Going to ZERO. AI Will Not Change the World.Hello Everyone,
Anybody buying NVDA at these levels will suffer the same fate as the Intel (INTC) buyers during the Dotcom bubble. Chances are Jun 20, 2024 was the top and so far we have been making lower highs and lower lows. Weekly timeframe shows a bearish engulfing, however we will need a confirmation dump candle with another follow through candle to confirm further dumping as shown in the chart above.
Massive bearish divergence on weekly and the RSI might be confirming a lower high for the third divergence.
This bearish engulfing candle can be cancelled if we can't close below the candle next week. Whether we still trade around these levels for a little bit longer or dump now, eventually NVDA will be headed towards $5-$10 during this upcoming recession.
The NVDA hype will die during this recession and everybody is going to forget about it and will have many competitors in the future. We may never see NVDA this high again in our lifetime.
NVIDIA to $180Overview
It's a good mindset to be skeptical about a bull market that doesn't seem like it should exist. The GDP (Gross Domestic Product) has declined for a second consecutive quarter to a 24 month low and the Civilian Unemployment Rate is the highest it's been since Nov 2021. This leads me to believe that the current rally is being mostly fueled by two factors surrounding artificial intelligence: hype and revenue. NASDAQ:NVDA is the leading A.I. developer and hasn't experienced a decrease in quarterly revenue since November 2022.
When faced with the unknown -- which in this case would be the direction of the stock market -- people cling to what they know. I believe this will present itself in more clearly defined trading patterns and price-swing predictability.
Technicals
NVDA is setting up a pattern that resembles the 5 Elliott Impulse Waves with each wave taking between 3-4 months to develop. If accurate, the trough of the 4th wave could find the share price in the proximity of $100-115.
I utilized Fibonacci levels against the low of the 2nd wave to the high of the 3rd wave. In addition to helping find a support level for the 4th wave, the uptrend Fibonacci tool also provided a projected price target near $180. I compared the 1.618 (161.8%) micro-Fibonacci retracement to the 1.618 macro-Fibonacci retracement, which consumes the entirety of the already existing patterns.
I took the difference of $18.19 between the projected 1.618 Fib levels then created a low and high range where I believe the 5th wave will peak. I ended my projection at this point, however, it is worth noting that impulse waves are followed by correction waves which serve in the opposite trending direction.
$NVDA after earnings insights #NVDA has been a hot topic with the recent tech boom. This stock has recently seen several earnings reports of massive growth over the last few quarters and this earnings session was no different in my opinion. NVDA beat on every category and initiated a stock buy back! i think the market was just expecting more and the sell off will be temporary.
In this video I breakdown my outlook on NVDA and set expectations moving forward. i think we need to give it some room to work but there is opportunity. Im overall bullish on NVDA but i have a bearish back up plan going into September. Stay tuned for how we will probably end up making money both ways on this stock.
NVDA has good measured potential above last week's highs.NASDAQ:NVDA has room on the daily chart to about $135 if it can build above the highs from Friday and Thursday of last week. With earnings on Wednesday at 4:20 PM EDT, there should be significant opportunities to the long side if price continues to build above the daily 50 SMA. Equity was added long into the daily 9 EMA, and retest of the recent dark pool at $122.80, and I continue to swing long with targets at weekly highs and the daily upper Bollinger Band.