NVIDIA (NVDA): Will $142 or $133.92 Break First?Morning Trading Family
NVIDIA is sitting at a key point, and what happens next could lead to a big move. Let’s break it down in simple terms so it’s easy to follow.
If NVDA Breaks Above $142
Things could get exciting for the bulls. Here’s what to expect:
Breaking above $142 could kick off a solid bull run.
We’d likely see momentum push the price higher from there.
If NVDA Breaks Below $133.92
The bears might take over, and these levels could show up next:
$129: The first stop where some buyers might try to step in.
$114: A bigger drop, which would be an important level to watch for support.
Here’s the Plan
-Watch $142 and $133.92—these are the key levels.
-Be ready for a breakout or breakdown, but only trade when it’s confirmed.
-Always manage your risk. Use stop-losses and don’t risk more than you’re comfortable losing.
If you enjoyed this breakdown, give it a like or follow. Have questions about NVIDIA or any other chart? Send me a DM, and I’ll help you out.
Feeling stressed or burned out from trading? You’re not alone. Let’s chat about ways to build a balanced trading mindset that helps you stay in the game for the long term. You’ve got this!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
NVDA
12/30 Watchlist + NotesAMEX:SPY - Short week from Xmas leaves us with an inside weekly setup to start the new year. The way 2-1-X and 3-1-X setups (Inside bar setups) work, is they either confirm what happened previously, or negate it. In this specific scenario on the weekly, we have a large red week of selling (2D, followed by a pretty neutral inside week (1). Next week either goes 2D, confirming the selling from the previous week and therefore showing evidence of continuation lower, or we negate that selling by making a higher high (2U) and looking to reclaim the highs from the big red week from when FOMC occurred. We can't predict which way the next week will go, but we can at the very least imagine what has to occur for both bull and bear scenarios to be successful. Simply put, above last weeks high means we are targeting the weekly high from the week prior to last week. Below last weeks low means we are targeting the weekly low from the week prior to last week. Break either side and come back into last weeks range means we are failing to confirm/negate what the signal is indicating, and then we target the other side. EX: Monday pokes above last weeks high but closes red. We then would look to engulf the week and create a 1-3 combo on the weekly. This week should be similar to last week, meaning it may be tougher to trade since we have a few negative considerations and less ideal conditions to trade.
Considerations for the upcoming week: For starters, we have another short week with new years day on Wednesday being a full day closure for the markets. Short week means less time for weekly candles to form, and therefore, likely chance of less volume to occur compared to normal weeks. Secondly, its the new year! This means we see all new candles on every timeframe up to the yearly chart. So, new Year, Quarter, Month, Week, Day, Hour, etc. Because of this, we will see issues with decoupling. This means the Year, Quarter, and Month will all be the same exact candle until we get to the second month and quarter of the year. Because the week starts in 2024 and ends in 2025, the week will be decoupled, but the M, Q and Y will not. Again, not the biggest issues ever, but just considerations to have in mind.
Weekly Watchlist: (Side Note: I have added all of my charts for individual tickers mentioned for further clarity on what I am seeing with these setups)
Bullish:
NASDAQ:MRVL - 3-1-2U W to confirm bright green M, Y
NASDAQ:AVGO - 2-1-2U W to confirm FTFC Up. Relative strength. 4HR 2-1-2U and 1HR 3-2U for Intraday entries Monday
Bearish:
NASDAQ:SMCI - Shooter 2U W to confirm failed 2U month. Super nice Daily BF
NYSE:AI - 2-1-2D W to trigger Shooter failed 2U M. Gorgeous monthly Broadening Formation.
NASDAQ:MSTR - 3-1-2D W. BTC with a weak setup on the major TFs. Looking to capitalize through MSTR and other names in that space
NYSE:BRK.B - Shooter 3 D. Weekly 2-2U too weak to hit magnitude last week. Month is 3-1 but big red currently. May be early on this but with similar setups in the Financial industry, this is one I want to watch.
NASDAQ:AMD - Hammer revstrat D to trigger Weekly 2-1-2U at Monthly Exhaustion level. Yearly has a nasty bearish revstrat setup forming, but if we are just daytrading this, it looks good for an exhaustion play intraweek. Otherwise will be watching all next year for that Y revstrat to play out
Neutral:
NYSE:SHOP - 3-1 W. Month Failing 2U.
NASDAQ:NVDA : Currently Shooter 2U W. Normally this is just bearish, but the 2W chart can go hammer 1-2-2U, and M is 2D but close to open meaning it is failing that downside signal. I could see this going either way, but its such an interesting setup that I wanted to include it.
$NVDA sideways 2 months, what's brewing?I have a couple charts indicating to me that an upside move will happen, when? That's not up to me. It's been a while since NASDAQ:NVDA has had a 10% week, maybe it's to come soon? I see a inverted head and shoulders on a 4H chart and a little flagging going on here on the 1W? Interesting to see how this will play out.
WallStLsr
$NVDA inverted h&s 4H daily. Short term play. I grabbed 200 cons of 150c for 1/3/2025 avg. @.17. I may be crazy but I’m fun. Should see a burp to $140. $135 very very strong. Low volume today and the whole market reacted the same way so not really too worried. Looking to see where we are New Year’s Eve with a shortened week once again but the tendency seems to be super boost before a holiday. Day before Thanksgiving and day before Christmas the market went big green but we have a full day NYE not half. Also within that tendency there seems to be some type of dip prior. Interesting to watch. Strong close 12/27. We’ll see, we’ll see. I’m manifesting $140 Monday and $144 Tuesday and I’d sell 150 contracts. I’ll be in touch.
WSL
Nvidia or Broadcom? Who will be the winner ? How big is the custom chip market?
By 2027, the custom chip market is expected to reach $90 billion. What does this mean for Nvidia?
Nvidia vs. Custom Chips
In the custom chip (ASIC) sector, two major players, Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) and Marvell ( NASDAQ:MRVL ), have overshadowed Nvidia. Since the end of Q2, they have outperformed the tech giant by approximately 30% and 50%, respectively.
With tech giants like Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ), Google ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ), and Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) developing and accelerating the production of their own chips, the market has finally recognized the huge opportunities in custom chips.
How big is the custom chip market?
Based on comments from the two leading custom chip players, we estimate that by 2027, the custom chip market will grow to $90 billion, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 60%. Earlier this year, Marvell offered a more conservative forecast, predicting that the market will reach $75 billion by 2028, but with early customer growth suggesting further upside potential. Broadcom’s forecast is even more impressive, estimating the market could reach anywhere from $60 billion to $90 billion by 2027.
Both companies have strong platforms. Marvell’s biggest customers are Amazon and Microsoft, and after gaining deeper insight into their growth, they suggest Marvell’s market prediction might be conservative. Broadcom’s top clients include Google, Meta, and ByteDance, all of whom plan to shift to clusters of one million XPU units by FY2027. Reports also suggest that Broadcom has secured two additional customers (potentially Apple and OpenAI).
What does this mean for Nvidia?
Nvidia’s stock price is currently consolidating, and even when using enterprise value (EV)/EBITDA as a metric, its valuation is now below that of Marvell and Broadcom.
Source: Bloomberg,Spear Invest
Investors now expect Nvidia’s market share to significantly decline by 2027, leading to slower revenue growth. However, the market has underestimated two key factors:
The strength of CUDA.
The yearly product improvement cycle.
I believe CUDA holds a powerful advantage that will reduce the pressure on cloud service providers (CSPs) to promote custom chips at scale. Given that the cloud market accounts for about 50% of the total market, I believe that capturing half of this market between 2027 and 2030 would be a major win for custom chip providers.
Currently, the market assumes, based on comments from Broadcom’s CEO, that most CSP revenue will flow to custom chip vendors, but Broadcom’s assumption may be overly optimistic. Furthermore, whether custom chips can keep up with Nvidia’s yearly product launch cycle remains to be seen—Nvidia’s new products consistently show significant performance improvements with each generation. Our best estimate is that Nvidia’s competitors are still on an innovation cycle of about 1 to 2 years behind Nvidia.
Source: Bloomberg,Spear Invest
Nonetheless, the AI industry chain, especially in the medium to long term, will continue to benefit. For example, AI + Generative Content (AIGC) companies like Adobe ( NASDAQ:ADBE ) and Unity Software ( NYSE:U ), AI + Software companies like Palantir ( NASDAQ:PLTR ), AI + Insurance companies like AIX Inc. ( NASDAQ:AIFU ), and AI + Financial companies like Block ( NYSE:SQ ) will all benefit.
Next Small AI Stock Poised for a Breakout: $AIFU Next Small AI Stock Poised for a Breakout: NASDAQ:AIFU
AI stocks are the talk of the market, with explosive growth seen across the sector. Take NASDAQ:PDYN , for instance—it doubled in just two days! After digging into patterns behind such surges, I’ve spotted a small AI stock, NASDAQ:AIFU , that’s showing similar breakout potential.
### Why NASDAQ:AIFU Looks Promising:
1. Technical Pattern:
NASDAQ:AIFU ’s chart mirrors NASDAQ:PDYN ’s pre-surge behavior, forming a triangular consolidation pattern. With the stock near the apex and increasing volume, a breakout appears imminent.
2. Volume Spike:
Recent volume expansion is strikingly similar to NASDAQ:PDYN ’s activity before its massive price jumps, signaling heightened investor interest.
3. Fundamental Catalyst:
NASDAQ:AIFU recently completed a significant merger with BGM, which valued its assets far higher than expected. This deal is set to generate a notable accounting profit, likely to be reflected in its next earnings report—a potential game-changer.
### The Bottom Line:
Combining strong technical signals with a powerful fundamental catalyst, NASDAQ:AIFU could be the next big AI stock to surge. If you’re hunting for a hidden gem in the AI sector, keep an eye on this one!
NVIDIA | 4 HOUR TIMEFRAME | STOCK TRADINGHello guys, I made NASDAQ:NVDA analysis for you. For this kind of analysis, please value my analysis with your likes Thank you very much to everyone who supports me by liking
SIGNAL ALERT
BUY NVIDIA 137.26 - 134.44
🟢TP1: 140,90
🟢TP2: 144.90
🟢TP3: 150.90
🔴SL: 128,03
Stay with love guys.
NVDA Nvidia Among My Top 10 Picks for 2025 | Price TargetIf you haven`t bought the recent dip on NVDA:
My price target for NVDA in 2025 is $170, driven by the following fundamental factors:
Dominance in AI and Data Center Markets:
NVIDIA is a leader in the artificial intelligence (AI) and data center sectors, which are expected to experience exponential growth. The company's GPUs are critical for AI applications, and its data center revenue has surged dramatically, reaching $14.51 billion in Q3 2023—a threefold increase year-over-year. Analysts predict that NVIDIA's revenue could reach approximately $111.3 billion in 2025, driven by the relentless demand for AI technologies and the expansion of data center capabilities.
Innovative Product Pipeline:
The upcoming introduction of NVIDIA's Blackwell architecture is set to enhance its competitive edge further. This new line of chips is designed to deliver unprecedented performance levels for AI applications, solidifying NVIDIA's leadership in the sector. The anticipated demand for these advanced products is expected to bolster revenue and profitability significantly. Additionally, NVIDIA's continuous investment in research and development ensures that it remains at the forefront of technological advancements.
Strong Financial Performance and Market Sentiment:
NVIDIA has demonstrated robust financial health, with gross margins consistently above 70% and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts reflecting strong growth. The company has also engaged in substantial share repurchase programs, returning value to shareholders while signaling confidence in its future performance. Market sentiment remains overwhelmingly positive, with analysts frequently upgrading their price targets based on NVIDIA's strong fundamentals and growth trajectory.
Will AMD recover and catch up with NVDA? updated/Revised Outlook🔸Hello traders, today let's review 2days/candle price chart for AMD.
Price contained within bullish channel since 2021, however currently
pullback/correction in progress.
🔸65% correction in progress, based on previous swings expected to complete at/near 88/90 USD in Q1 2025. Until then it's recommended to stay out.
🔸Once we bottom out near 90 USD in Q1 2025, expecting bullish swing 265% gains off the lows, so projected high is 310/320 USD.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: Bulls wait for correction to complete at/near 85 usd in Q1 2025 and get ready to BUY/HOLD. Bullish impulse / reversal off the lows price target based on measured move projection is 310/320 USD. patience required, do not expect miracle/overnight gains in this market. good luck!
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Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Bullish pattern on NVDAThe stocks is placing a bullish pattern
Descending broadening wedge
CASE 1: formation of a descending broadening wedge after a trough
This type of pattern appears on the troughs, it is a bullish reversal pattern.
The break in the resistance line definitively validates the pattern.
The price objective is determined by the highest point at which the descending broadening wedge was formed.
NB: often, the steeper the descending broadening wedge’s trend lines, the faster the price objective is reached.
Statistics of the descending broadening wedge after a bullish movement
In 80% of cases, the exit is bullish.
In 75% of cases, a descending broadening wedge is a reversal pattern.
In 60% of cases, a descending broadening wedge’s price objective is achieved when the resistance line is broken.
In 21% of cases, the price makes a pullback in support on the descending broadening wedge’s resistance line.
NVTS - 50% already, 300% more to go! Massive 2025 StockNASDAQ:NVTS 💾
A top 5 trade for me right now!
We are up a massive 50%+ since we called this name out for a breakout retest then move higher. We got exactly that friends. It's a massive move but what if I told you that this move pales in comparison to the overall 300%+ move I see coming over 2025! Buckle up this is going to be a wild ride friends.
Weekly Analysis:
-H5 Indicator is GREEN
-Broke out of downtrend & falling wedge in which we hit our first profit target and now we successfully retested the breakout and bounce higher! I bought more shares/ options this past week.
-Sitting on a volume shelf with a lot of room to run!
-Williams CB has created support and formed!
🔜🎯$4.65🎯$6🎯$7.62🎯$11.17🎯$12.29
⏲️Before May2026
Not financial advice.
NVIDIA. Buying opportunitiesHey traders and investors!
NVIDIA Daily Timeframe Analysis
A sideways trend (range) was formed on the daily time frame in October 2024 (point 4 was formed). The lower boundary is 128.74, and the upper boundary is 152.89. The seller's vector 11-12 interacted with the lower boundary of the range, where key volumes of the vector passed ("rKC" on the chart). The buyer absorbed these volumes on December 23, meaning they defended the lower boundary of the range.
The current buyer's vector is 12-13, with a potential target of 146.54 (152.89). The obstacle for the buyer is the test level of the seller's zone at 142.82 (the seller's zone is the red rectangle on the chart).
It makes sense to look for buying opportunities (buy patterns) as part of the idea of realizing the buyer's vector 12-13.
I wish you profitable trades.
$AMD GAP FILL 138 & 160A stock gap occurs when there's a significant jump in a stock's price after market closure, typically driven by some news. When this gap is filled, it indicates that the stock's price has reverted to its pre-gap, or "normal," level. This common occurrence happens as the price stabilizes after the initial rush of buying and trading sparked by the news subsides.
Exhaustion gaps are usually the most likely to be filled because they indicate the end of a price trend.
BUY NOW
According to 30 Wall Street analysts who provided 12-month price targets for Advanced Micro Devices over the past three months, the average price target is $182.18. The high forecast is $220.00, and the low forecast is $145.00. This average price target indicates a 46.14% change from the last price of $124.60 (as of 12/23/2024)
NASDAQ:AMD 's growing presence in the markets for central processing units (CPUs) and graphics processing units (GPUs) is poised to drive significant stock gains. We foresee a robust outlook for the semiconductor specialist's Epyc CPUs in the server and data center segment, as well as strong performance from the company's M1350 and M1400 GPUs.
+ NASDAQ:AMD net profit YoY grew by 777.88% which is 633.31% above its peer average
+ NASDAQ:AMD revenue has grown by 17.57% YoY from Q3 2023 to Q3 2024
+ NYSE:MD EPS is forecasted to grow by 41.26% YoY from Q4 2023 to Q4 2024
+ NASDAQ:AMD has a lower debt to equity ratio (3.02%) compared to its peer average (33.87%)
+ NASDAQ:AMD 's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 40.07% to 3.02% over the past 5 year
From halt to halt up to +800%!DRCT started the day at $0.55 and mostly just traded each 1min candlestick a few moments befor it got halted again, it continued that until it moved from $0.55 to $5.00 doing +800% upside on massive 50 million shares traded. We mentioned it inside our trading chatroom when it crossed $1 early in the morning.
Then this move triggered other halt-to-halt similar stocks like CHEK which went $0.59 to $3.04 and SLGL which went $0.42 to $1.39 (currently at new high halt)
Nvidia (NVDA) Consolidation Continues Below Trend LineChart Analysis:
NVIDIA stock remains in a broader uptrend, with price action bouncing off a rising trendline (black) while consolidating within a descending channel (green zone).
1️⃣ Rising Trendline:
The trendline, established from early 2024 lows, continues to act as dynamic support, with the price rebounding from this level.
2️⃣ Descending Channel:
Recent price action is contained within a descending channel, reflecting short-term consolidation within the broader uptrend. A breakout above the channel could signal a continuation of the primary trend.
3️⃣ Moving Averages:
50-day SMA (blue): Positioned at 139.70, just above the current price, potentially acting as immediate resistance.
200-day SMA (red): Positioned at 116.64, confirming the long-term bullish structure.
4️⃣ Momentum Indicators:
RSI: At 52.29, reflecting neutral momentum and suggesting room for further upside if a breakout occurs.
MACD: Below zero, indicating lingering bearish pressure, though flattening momentum suggests the potential for a shift.
What to Watch:
A breakout above the descending channel and the 50-day SMA could confirm a resumption of the uptrend, with resistance near 150–155.
A failure to hold the rising trendline could shift attention to the 200-day SMA near 116.64 for potential support.
NVIDIA remains in a bullish framework despite short-term consolidation, with key levels providing a roadmap for the next directional move.
-MW
NVIDIA (NVDA): Breakout Levels in Sight!Good morning, trading family!
NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is getting close to a key resistance level at $141.87. Here’s what could happen:
If the price breaks $141.87: We might see it move up to $150 and even $158 if the momentum stays strong.
This is an exciting setup, so keep an eye on how the price reacts. Let’s stay focused and trade smart!
Wellness Tip of the Day: Start your morning with a healthy breakfast. A mix of protein (like eggs or yogurt), healthy fats (like nuts or avocado), and slow carbs (like oatmeal or whole-grain bread) will give you steady energy and help you make sharp decisions all day.
Comment, like, follow, or send me a message if you’d like more details about this trade!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
12/22/24 Weekly Watchlist + NotesAMEX:SPY - Huge sell off across the board from FOMC news on Wednesday. SPY sold off down through previous Broadening Formation range reclaiming previous downside pivot just below 684. So with that in mind, we expand out of the BF below that pivotal low, or come back through range above it. With SPY currently setup to potentially go 3-2 daily, we look to see whether fridays high or low gets taken out. Being above the pivot at 684, we are looking to come back through that BF range and make new ATHs as of now. Of course this can all change depending on whether our W is green or red, but for now we are closer to making a daily HH than a LL. With Christmas being this week, the markets close 2 hours early on Tuesday, and re open on Thursday. Being a short week like this, we need to be extra cautious as there will be lower than normal volume, and simply less time for the weekly candle to form, so expectations on a large move this week as most seem to be predicting, may not happen for the prior reasons. Personally will not be trading Tuesday and possibly not at all this week if I don't see absolute A+ setups.
Watchlist:
Bullish:
NASDAQ:NVDA - Pot. 1-3-2U Daily to trigger failed 2D hammer week. Swept BF lows this past week. Looking to come back through range. This is a big name for the markets, so I expect that if the markets are recovering, this will lead the way or follow with it
NASDAQ:MU - 2-2U reversal potential daily to target gap fill from ER. We took out weekly BF mag on friday, hitting exhaustion levels after finally escaping the motherbar it was stuck in for the last 11 weeks. One side gets toasted, magnitude is hit for W and M. All the ingredients for a big recovery. Only issue is being stuck in last weeks range
NASDAQ:PLTR - potential 3-2D for a simultaneous weekly 2-1-2U trigger. Nuclear green on all TFs. Slight room to go to target ATH again, but mainly looking for the weekly inside up measured move, meaning if we go 2-1-2U, we can expect the same move up as we had in the week prior to last weeks inside bar week.
Cruise Lines: NYSE:CCL + NYSE:NCLH Weekly hammers. NYSE:RCL Not a clean weekly AS, but similar daily to other names in the industry.
Bearish:
NASDAQ:TSLA - 3-1 4Hr to trigger MoMo shooter Daily to trigger Shooter Weekly 2-2. Daily PMG to target from ATH Exhaustion. (Big green day for most names Friday, why was TSLA so bearish with such relative strength lately?)
NASDAQ:AVGO - Shooter 2U Day to trigger 2-2 shooter week. Huge gap up from earnings. Looking to attack the gap.
NYSE:KO - MoMo Shooter 2D day to trigger 2-1-2D week. Having issues making range lately, but daily BF is targeting lower still, and weekly 2-2d has yet to be negated. Inside week will confirm more downside to target our BF magnitudes on the D and W, or it will be negated by a 2U week. Simple plan here. Short under prev week low, exit if back above.
NYSE:UBER - MoMo shooter 2d Weekly to reconfirm M 2D and Q 2U going 3. Check Monthly for the BF. Wanna see continuation lower to Q mag at 54.84. No daily AS but 3-1 4HR. May be a slower mover on the list. Basing all my decisions on the weekly as the momo shooter should simply just trigger and work
Is $AMD a massive buy opportunity for 2025?Is NASDAQ:AMD a massive buy opportunity for 2025?
AMD is doing great financially/fundamentally with chips that is 2nd to NVDA. In addition, their data center revenues are growing exponentially.
It is a probably a great buying opportunity here at $121 going into 2025.
$ NVDA Trade Analysis DarkPoolsThe chart demonstrates the price action of NVIDIA (NVDA) with significant levels, volume spikes, trendlines, dark pool prints, and pivot levels. NVDA has experienced notable price fluctuations, forming a broader pattern of higher highs and higher lows, but it is now testing critical support levels after a pullback.
Key Observations
Trend Analysis:
Primary Trend: The long-term uptrend is intact, with the green ascending trendline providing consistent support.
Short-term Trend: The recent candles suggest a pullback within the uptrend, with price action consolidating near the S1 support ($129.07) level.
The price remains above the long-term ascending support line, maintaining its overall bullish structure.
Dark Pool Prints:
Key dark pool levels are marked, showing significant institutional activity:
$136.71 (most recent dark pool print): The price recently rejected this level, which could act as near-term resistance.
$124.65 and $119.37: These levels represent potential downside support if the price continues to fall.
Support and Resistance Zones:
Resistance:
The price is struggling to reclaim the $136.71 dark pool level, which aligns with the R1 pivot ($140.76).
Above this, the next major resistance is R2 ($162.07).
Support:
Immediate support is at S1 ($129.07). A breakdown here could lead to a retest of the $124.65 dark pool level or the S2 pivot ($119.39).
The long-term trendline and S3 pivot ($102.98) are critical for maintaining the bullish bias.
Volume Analysis:
The chart shows high volume near support levels, indicating significant activity. This suggests either strong buying interest or institutional distribution.
Potential Reversal Zone:
A clear head-and-shoulders pattern might be forming. If the neckline around $129.07 breaks, it could confirm a bearish reversal, targeting levels near $119.37 or lower.
Trade Plan
Bullish Scenario:
Entry: A confirmed breakout above $136.71 (dark pool level) with increased volume.
Targets:
First Target (T1): $140.76 (R1 pivot).
Second Target (T2): $152.89 (mid-resistance).
Final Target (T3): $162.07 (R2 pivot).
Stop Loss: Below the ascending trendline and $129.07 (S1 pivot).
Bearish Scenario:
Entry: A daily close below $129.07 (S1 pivot) with momentum and volume confirmation.
Targets:
First Target (T1): $124.65 (dark pool level).
Second Target (T2): $119.37 (dark pool level).
Final Target (T3): $102.98 (S3 pivot and trendline support).
Stop Loss: Above $136.71 (dark pool resistance).
Additional Considerations
Dark Pool Reactions:
The $136.71 level will play a crucial role in determining near-term direction. Watch for rejections or sustained price action above this level.
Head-and-Shoulders Risk:
A break below $129.07 could lead to a measured move lower based on the head-and-shoulders pattern.
Market Context:
NVDA is heavily influenced by the tech sector (QQQ). Broader market conditions will provide context for whether this pullback is temporary or part of a larger correction.
Will NVDIA rise at the expense of APPLE?We have seen in the past few days the NVDIA Corporation (NVDA) to be holding its ground better than other tech giants that got more inflated during the recent run like Tesla.
What we've discovered by running some regression tests among top 30 cap stocks, is a very interesting relationship between NVDIA and Apple Inc (AAPL). Though most people might think that the two have completely parallel paths on their growth, we found out that at times, their correlation has been negative.
Our sample data starts 2 years ago from the October - November 2022 market bottom of the Inflation Crisis. As you can see, this is where the first divergence between the two stocks started, with NVDIA rising to spearhead the recovery to a new Bull Cycle, while Apple was lagging behind and falling.
What followed was a period where naturally both stocks rose, which led to the first 'Bear' stage, what we call Phase 2 where both stocks showed a synchronized weakness (with Apple correcting more however).
Then after a recovery for both to their highs, NVDIA formed a Bull Flag, which led to Phase 3 (similar to the late 2022 price action): Apple topped and started falling aggressively, while NVDIA started an impressive rally.
Again a period of price increase for both stocks followed, which has led to a new Phase 2 (July -October 2024). In line with their 2-year pattern, Apple has been rising since the November U.S. elections, while NVDIA has formed a new Bull Flag.
If the price action continues to replicate this model, then we may see a new Phase 3, where Apple starts to correct while NVDIA's Bull Flag leads to a strong rally.
So do you think potential Apple capital outflows will turn into inflows for NVDIA?
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