Nasdaq, Semiconductors, Natural Gas, Bitcoin: FOMC reviewDiscussing the sell off in semis today.
Potential reversal in Nat gas
Bitcoin & crypto selloff.
FOMC tomorrow: No rate cut.
Will Powell come out hawkish tomorrow? its looking likely he will based off of the BOJ rate hike. Oil surging doesn't help the dovish case.
Commodities breaking out doesn't help the inflation fight.
NVDA
NVDA's White Support Line for a Potential Rebound Today is day 2 of the NASDAQ:NVDA GTC conference, NASDAQ:NVDA had a bearish day yesterday even though it was day 1 of the event. I think there was actually a lot of great news for NASDAQ:NVDA , but surprisingly there was little upside in terms of price action. So far NASDAQ:NVDA has been bearish since reaching the yellow trendline, and I think the momentum has been bearish. For now NVDA is near a white support line and bulls are looking for a rebound here so that NVDA has some upside for day 2 of the GTC event.
NVDA - Once a Castle, Always a Castle🏯Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 NVDA has been overall bullish, trading within the rising wedge in green.
Currently, NVDA is in a correction phase and approaching the lower bound of the wedge.
Moreover, it is retesting the previous major high marked in red.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the previous major high and lower green trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #NVDA approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Time to Test Some Lower Levels for SupportBack in December when NVDA was trading in the 490s I posted an idea (linked) predicting it would make a run to 660. It went above and beyond that, and now its at a point where I'm exiting long positions and watching it closely for a chance to short.
At this point, I think it is still risky to short, but staying long is foolish. NVDA has started a distribution phase and has earnings as a catalyst this week. What remains to be seen is if this distribution phase will have an upthrust (UTAD) to achieve one more higher high, or if it will get its sign of strength to the downside. Bulls might ask why would it reverse now? - because increasing demand has become unsustainable with out making a pullback to establish some significant support below.
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Near Term expectations for price action:
- I'm looking to enter some near-term puts on other names next week, but I'm not playing NVDA until after earnings (there are better plays)
- But I think NVDA (and semis group) is arguably most important driver of overall market currently
*** 715 is the most important level
- If 715 holds as support NVDA will see a higher high in the coming weeks
- If it sees a sustained break below 715 then it will become bearish near-term and will need to test some lower levels for support before attempting new high
Chart - important areas explained:
** If NVDA is trading inside the shaded green diamond going into earnings then I'm expecting a gap up following the report to breakout above 742
3 most likely paths:
GREEN arrow (bullish): drop to test 715 going into the earnings report and then breakout above 742 - if this occurs my upside targets will be 777, 792 and 816 by end of March 2024
RED Arrow (near-term bearish, but will provide buying opportunity): break below 715 to around 697-707 and then test 715 for resistance but get rejected ( if this occurs I will buy Mar 1 puts, and my downside target will be 661-683 by 2/28-3/1 )
black arrow ("worst case" scenario bearish): I don't think NVDA will crash but its setup does actually allow that as a possibility if 661 fails as support)... in this scenario we will get the same price action as the RED path, but 661 would fail as support. If this occurs there is downside risk to 560 and my targets will become 619, 585, 560 .. This would actually be the best case scenario for traders ha $$$$ - not enough evidence yet to expect this but I am watching close.
See linked ideas of my previous NVDA long ideas if you need validation that I'm not just some doomsday preacher, I'm looking at it unbiased as possible.
NVDA Analysis - Continuous, Just as the Markets !This is a Thread, so Follow for Technical Analysis performed with TrapZone Pro & UMVD Indicators.
* Trend is Based on TrapZone Color
* Bar Colors give us Momentum Green from strong Up Moves. Red Bars point to strong Down Moves.
* Red UMVD = Selling Pressure & Green UMVD = Buying Pressure. Purple is for Divergence = Battle of Supply & Demand
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1-18-2024
GREEN UMVD pushing the price UP with a strong Green TrapZone.
Nvidia's GTC 2024: Unveiling Next-Gen AI Chips and SoftwareNvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ), the titan of artificial intelligence semiconductors, kicks off its highly anticipated annual developer conference amidst fervent speculation surrounding new chip unveilings and software advancements. As Chief Executive Jensen Huang takes the stage for his keynote address, investors and tech enthusiasts alike await eagerly to witness the latest offerings that will shape the future of AI technology.
The Quest for Innovation:
At the heart of GTC 2024 lies Nvidia's relentless pursuit of innovation, epitomized by the unveiling of its next-generation AI processors. With competitors like Intel and Advanced Micro Devices vying for market share, Nvidia aims to solidify its leadership position by introducing the formidable B100 chip, poised to deliver significant enhancements over its heralded predecessor, the H100.
Beyond Chip Design:
While Nvidia's prowess in chip design is undisputed, the company's foray into software products further underscores its commitment to holistic technological advancement. Huang is slated to reveal a plethora of new software innovations, reflecting Nvidia's multifaceted approach towards shaping the AI landscape. With its software and services business reaching a remarkable annual run rate of $1 billion, Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) demonstrates its capacity to drive innovation across both hardware and software domains.
Return to In-Person Engagement:
Amidst the backdrop of a post-pandemic world, Nvidia's decision to hold GTC in person for the first time since 2019 signifies a symbolic return to normalcy. With an expected attendance of approximately 16,000 individuals—double the figure of the last in-person event—GTC 2024 heralds a resurgence of interactive engagement and collaborative exchange within the tech community.
The Grand Stage:
Huang's keynote address, set against the backdrop of a Silicon Valley hockey arena, represents a fittingly grand stage for the unveiling of Nvidia's latest innovations. As the largest venue ever secured for such an event, it underscores the magnitude of anticipation surrounding Nvidia's announcements and the pivotal role the company plays in shaping the future of AI technology.
“Only Up” Trend coming to an END? NVDIA As you can see in the chart i have shared last time NVDIA hit these levels led to a significant move towards the downside of the channel.
It is easy to be blind right now and think “only up” but i am removing the emotions from my trading strategy and i believe we will see a move downwards incoming weeks/months on NVDIA i believe this will affect the whole markets even the crypto markets.
Just think with your head at this moment, we have been in a ranging only up trend for the past months/weeks. Of course you can attempt to milk out a little more gains but be careful…
Semiconductor Pullback Imminent?The semiconductor index has been one of the best performing areas of the market over the last few quaters, and has continued to be strong since the late October bottom.
The index is coming into overhead fibonacci resistance, and with weakening momentum starting to show up, similar to July last year, a pullback here looks likely.
It seems hard to imagine with all of the AI lead optimism, but this sector could see some retrace back to the 3100s to reset sentiment.
If the indicated resistance region is broken, the next likely targets are substantially higher.
Will be monitoring for a reversal pattern to emerge and confirm the time has come to exit longs and consider a short trade.
Nvidia uptrend may be running out of steam, where are the stops?Nvidia currently trading at 36 times sales and pricing in all the forward growth in earnings analysts can see. Many cheap stocks trade at 1-2 x sales, normal price to sales for growth stocks might be 5-10x sales. But 36 x times has a huge built in growth premium which makes holding these growth names risky. Its just like a premium on precious metals at the coin dealer, except the growth premium here far larger.
The trend is in tact as long as NVDA stays above 20 day moving average, in my opinion.
sox index and sox/gold may be showing waning momentums signals already.
EXPECT $500+ OUT of NVDAAt this point NVDA is unstoppable. It will not pull back until at least $500 - $520.
But even at that point it could easily turn the top of this upward channel trend
Into support and then we are looking at clear skies and smooth sailing until $1000.
I mean why not? NVDA could easily demand a more than 2 trillion dollar market
Cap. Especially considering when its quarterly revenue is at a whopping 7 billion,
giving the stock the admirable PE ratio of 213. This one has room to run. Insiders
might be dumping large blocks of shares but nothin g that should give investors
reason to be cautious. Fasten your seat belts because AI is in charge of this rally.
NVDA AT BEAUTIFUL SUPPORT!! EXPECTING A BOUNCE!There's a triple confluence here on NVDA, This is a massive support level with a developing 45min order block. With these confluence and a strong company leading the tech/AI world, I would expect higher prices to come unless we get a random negative event.
I'm bullish and looking to break $1,000 in the next few months.
Let me know your thought sin the comments below
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NVIDIA - Has the bubble been burst?After the sharp drop that NVIDIA had on Friday, what consequences can we observe?
Has the bubble been burst? Are we going to attend strong corrective phases?
Following the line with the price at maximums on February 12 and 23, we can see that when it reached that resistance line last Friday, the price fell sharply.
Since then it has moved laterally, above the support of the 823 zone.
I think this is not a figure of exhaustion, but a stop and a lateral movement.
Microsoft started the sideways move before NVIDIA, and has been eating up time without hurting the price level.
For me, the trend is still bullish.
Guys, what do you think? Leave a comment with your thoughts.
Nvidia may have finally topped in Primary wave 3Off the Friday reversal (which was stunning over 100 points in range) I can now count 5 waves down in the micro timeframes. Whether this is a wave 1 or just an a-wave, we should get a retrace slightly higher before descending in a wave 3 or c-wave.
On any descent, Nvidia needs to hold $770. A breach of $770 brings $647 into view. I am currently
Best to all,
Chris
NVIDIA (NVDA) Inverse H&S Breakout ConfirmedPretty self explanatory. Not usually a fan of inverse H&S any more but this one has all the classic hallmarks without the questionable slanty neckline or asymmetrical shoulders.
NVDA stock looks ready to rock following recent U.S legislation limiting what semiconductors can be exported to China + Nvidia chips expected to be a major component in the growing AI industry, with tech giants like Microsofts investing $10 bill in ChatGPT.
Also, yknow, Pelosi has NVDA bags so that helps too.
See how this one goes.
The Legal Quagmire: NVIDIA's Copyright Woes and the Future of AIIn the high-stakes world of technology and artificial intelligence, the recent legal entanglement of NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ), a powerhouse in AI chip manufacturing, has sent shockwaves throughout the industry. The emergence of a copyright infringement lawsuit against NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ), spearheaded by three authors, Brian Keene, Abdi Nazemian, and Stewart O’Nan, has not only cast a shadow over the company's integrity but also raised pertinent questions about the ethical use of intellectual property in AI development.
The crux of the matter lies in NVIDIA's ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) AI NeMo development, which allegedly relied on a vast array of copyrighted works, including the aforementioned authors' books, to train its generative AI model. This revelation has ignited a firestorm of controversy, with the authors accusing NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) of unauthorized usage of their literary creations, thus infringing upon their copyrights.
At the heart of the lawsuit is the assertion that NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ), knowingly or unknowingly, incorporated these copyrighted materials into its AI platform, thereby reaping the benefits of others' intellectual labor without proper attribution or compensation. This not only raises serious legal implications but also underscores the ethical dilemma surrounding the exploitation of creative works in the pursuit of technological advancement.
The ramifications of this legal battle extend beyond the courtroom, reverberating across the AI industry and financial markets alike. NVIDIA's ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) shares witnessed a significant dip of about 5.5% in value following the news of the lawsuit, signaling investor apprehensions about the company's legal liabilities and potential financial repercussions. Moreover, the lawsuit has cast doubt on NVIDIA's ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) reputation as a frontrunner in AI innovation, with stakeholders questioning the company's adherence to ethical standards and intellectual property rights.
Amidst the legal wrangling and market volatility, one cannot overlook the broader implications for the future of AI development and its intersection with copyright law. As AI continues to evolve and permeate various aspects of society, the need for robust legal frameworks to govern its usage and safeguard intellectual property rights becomes increasingly urgent. The outcome of this lawsuit could set a precedent for how tech giants navigate the complex terrain of AI development while upholding ethical and legal standards.
In response to the allegations, NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) has remained tight-lipped, opting not to comment on the matter publicly. This silence has only fueled speculation and uncertainty, leaving stakeholders grappling with unanswered questions about the company's involvement in the alleged copyright infringement.
As the legal saga unfolds, it serves as a sobering reminder of the intricate ethical and legal considerations inherent in AI development. Beyond the courtroom drama and market fluctuations, it prompts a critical reflection on the responsibilities of technology companies, the rights of content creators, and the broader implications for society at large. In the ever-expanding landscape of AI innovation, navigating the fine line between progress and ethical integrity remains a paramount challenge—one that requires collective vigilance and unwavering commitment to upholding the principles of fairness, transparency, and respect for intellectual property.
Bitcoin Ethereum & Crypto - are you ready for the next move?Bitcoin & crypto have been flying in the wake of semiconductor strength & the approaching halving.
As crypto has entered the stratosphere, and BTC at double top are we likely going to see some profit taking?
Double tops typically act as strong resistance, especially since there's been minimal consolidation leading into the move.
AMD Corrected Again- Buy the Dip Idea LONGAMD on the 15 minute chart breakout through anchord VWAP bands starting on February 29th
from the mean anchored VWAP support. Two days later finding itself extended to the second
upper VWAP band, price corrected over the next day down to the first upper band and then
after a few hours reversed and headed back toward the second upper band going somewhat
sideways and getting there two and a half days later. Price was rejected from that dynamic
resistance and fell into the first band which provided support to close the week.
The Luxalgo regression line forecast is for yet another more up to test the resistance of that
second upper band. I will take a long trade here recognizing that the forecast is for a 10-12%
move in the immediate term. If the forecast is accurate a stop loss will not be necessary. I will
set it at 204 to prevent anything other than an insignificant loss.