Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Hits New Yearly LowNvidia (NVDA) Stock Hits New Yearly Low
The NVDA stock chart shows that during yesterday’s trading session, the price dropped to $112.16, marking:
→ A new low for 2025, surpassing the previous bottom set on 3 February.
→ The lowest price in nearly five months.
Why Is Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Falling?
Bearish sentiment may be driven by:
→ A Wall Street Journal report stating that Chinese companies can still access Nvidia’s latest Blackwell chip despite Biden-era restrictions. Investors may fear tighter regulations, as the U.S. aims to limit technological advancements for geopolitical rivals.
→ The impact of Trump’s trade tariffs, which continue to disrupt global markets.
Technical Analysis of NVDA Stock
As noted in our report five days ago, NVDA’s price is forming a more defined downward channel (red) while moving further away from the Rising Wedge pattern (blue).
How Low Could Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Drop?
Despite NVDA’s weak performance relative to the broader market, investors may seek long positions in this former 2024 market leader.
Potential support levels:
→ The lower boundary of the red channel.
→ The psychological $100 mark.
If the Rising Wedge plays out, bears may target $85, based on the A-B range projected from point C.
A high-risk bullish argument could suggest that yesterday’s drop was a false bearish breakout below the 3 February low.
NVDA Stock Price Forecast
Analysts remain optimistic, possibly due to last week’s strong earnings report.
According to TipRanks:
→ 38 out of 41 analysts recommend buying NVDA.
→ The 12-month average price target is $178.
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NVDA
NVIDIA At The 1/4 Line - Secure Profits Now?
Currently at the 1/4 line, we can expect a potential pullback. So, if you want to secure some of your fat profits, just do it.
Why not 50% ?
If it goes up again, you have secured 50%.
If it goes down, you still have 50% for a runner.
However, I'm still follow the rule-set and the trading-framework of the Medianlines. Doing this, I know that prices PTG is the Center-Line.
NVDA - Do it again Sam - Insider only sold, not boughtI have posted enough about what's going on in NVDA. It's important in this Stock, to not going crazy, not matter what one thinks it "will" or "could" happen.
A great Hint by Unusual Whales is, that insiders had only sold in the last year, never bought their one Stock.
...what does that telly us?
May profits be with us §8-)
$3.35 to $8.50 New highs power vertical predicted from lows$3 to $8+ 🚀 New highs power vertical predicted from lows after shortseller manipulation trick on NASDAQ:ACON
4 Buy Alerts sent our along with multiple chat messages confirming the expected move
It closed the day at highs looking good for continuation tomorrow
NVDA: Fibonacci cluster support and 200MA at 126.5. NASDAQ:NVDA : Fibonacci Cluster Support at 126.5 Sets Up Potential 10% Rally to 140
Looking at NVIDIA's technical setup, I've identified a critical support zone that could launch NASDAQ:NVDA toward a significant target if it holds.
Technical Analysis
The current price action shows NVIDIA testing a key support zone consisting of:
- Fibonacci cluster at 126.5
- 200 Moving Average support
If this support zone holds, I'm targeting the next Fibonacci cluster at 140, representing approximately a 10.7% upside potential.
Entry Strategy
I'm monitoring two potential entry scenarios:
Aggressive Entry (15-minute chart):
- Wait for 8 EMA to cross above 34 EMA
- Price must break above the most recent swing high
- Entry on confirmation of this break
Conservative Entry (30-minute chart):
- Same criteria as above but on the 30-minute timeframe
- Provides more reliable signals with fewer false breakouts
Risk Management
Stop Loss: Place stops below the 126.5 Fibonacci/200 MA support zone (approximately 124-125)
Profit Target: First target at the 140 Fibonacci cluster
Conflicting Indicators
My analysis shows mixed signals that require caution:
1. My WillVall indicator on the weekly chart shows a potential buy opportunity at current prices, BUT it needs to change direction and move above the 15 level before confirming a long-term entry
2. Multiple timeframe squeeze indicators (Weekly, 4D, 3D, 2D) are currently in squeeze with negative momentum, suggesting downside pressure
3. According to IBD Market School methodology, the market is showing signs of correction and the buy switch is currently OFF, indicating we should avoid new long positions
Trade Plan
Given the current market conditions and mixed signals:
- Wait for confirmation of support at the 126.5 zone
- Look for entry signal confirmation on preferred timeframe
- Use smaller position size due to conflicting indicators
- Set clear stop loss below support (124-125)
- Target the 140 Fibonacci cluster for profit taking
I'll remain patient and wait for clearer market conditions before committing significant capital to this trade. The technical setup is promising, but broader market conditions suggest caution.
Believe or not NVDA- 2025NVDA- Is simply pulling back where it all began. The ones telling you to HODL will fold. This is a significant retracement. Follow for me tips and drawings. But for now Bye-Bye NVDA- This pattern will play out and if you decide to say something negative in response it's totally fine. We all have our opinions. Me I have my bank account and others riding on my drawings and intellect.
BTC Inverse H&S ConfirmedIn recent post we slipped on the structure around 92k and are in a rebound zone around 86k with a low of 78k. I believe a bullish rebound will happen starting in the month of March all the way into October. This head and shoulders formation should be the start of a familiar pattern in the 2021 bullish run. This run may lead beyond 150k and above.
This is NFA. Good luck!
-R2C
Selling Premium Going into Costco EarningsGiven Costco’s historical tendency for minimal post-earnings stock movement, along with inflated IV in the options market, selling premium via a bear call spread is a high-probability, risk- managed strategy to profit from an expected IV crush and minimal price movement following earnings.
Key Points Supporting the Thesis:
1. Historical Price Movement: Over the past 4 years, Costco’s stock has experienced an average post-earnings price movement of only 1.24%. The majority of moves have been within a modest range of -1% to +2%. This indicates that despite earnings announcements, the stock tends to remain within a predictable price range, minimizing the potential for significant directional price swings.
2. Implied Volatility and Overpricing of Options: Currently, the options market is pricing in a 4.6% move for Costco’s stock post-earnings. Given Costco’s historical price movement patterns, this is an overestimation of potential volatility. IV tends to collapse after earnings announcements.
3. Costco’s High Valuation: Costco is currently trading at a P/E ratio of 61, which is significantly higher than historical levels. This suggests that the stock is already expensive relative to its
earnings potential, making it less likely to experience a massive upward movement after earnings. The high valuation also means that even strong earnings may not drive significant upside, further increasing the likelihood of a muted post-earnings reaction.
4. Earnings Catalysts and Market Behavior: Costco’s earnings reports historically have had limited impact on the stock’s price due to the company’s stable revenue and earnings growth.
Investors have already priced in much of the growth potential, leading to minimal surprise reactions to earnings releases. The combination of low historical price movement and high IV makes this a prime environment for selling premium, as the likelihood of large moves is low, while option prices remain high.
NVDA to 151? Morning Trading Fam
Currently this is what I am seeing with NVDA, looks like we have decent support around 118 if that level holds I can see us driving up to 144 then 151 from here. However if we break through the 118 support: we could possibly see a massive breakdown down to 87-88 dollar range.
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
The key is whether there is support around 121.82-123.90
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
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Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(NVDA 1W chart)
The key is whether it can receive support and rise around the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.5 (120.14) ~ 0.618 (127.46).
If not, and it falls, it is expected to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Accordingly, there is a possibility that it will touch around 104.75.
-
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can rise above 121.82-123.90 and receive support.
If not,
1st: Fibonacci ratio 0.382 (113.42)
2nd: 104.75
You need to check whether it is supported near the 1st and 2nd above.
At this time, the important thing is whether the price can be maintained above the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart and remains, it is likely to turn into a downtrend, so be careful when trading.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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Cryptocurrency and Stocks will DecoupleI still remember the AI saying that NVDA was going to 320 "in the near future." This was back in June 2024. No matter when you asked the AI, its only prediction would be up, it couldn't make an analysis based on the data coming from the chart. The program wasn't very intelligent, that's what I concluded.
I disagreed. NVDA is going down and this is now fully confirmed.
We are seeing a very long distribution phase and the crash is now taking place.
Ok, but what about Bitcoin?
Bitcoin will decouple from traditional markets, just look at the news.
While Cryptocurrency is due a generational bullish wave, the stock market is due a generational retrace.
I honestly don't know how the stock market will perform but I can look at individual charts. NVDA is bearish and going down strong.
NVDA, TSLA, the SPX, the NDX and Crypto are not the same. These are two completely different monsters.
The SPX and NDX is landline.
Crypto is free wireless internet for all.
The SPX and the NDX is centralization and control.
Bitcoin is decentralization, innovation, technology and freedom.
Times change.
The stock market will recover and it is sure to continue growing long-term.
Will the establishment let it crash or will they jump in and pump it up?
I don't know. But NVDA is bearish and going down. What one does, the rest follows.
But, what about Bitcoin? Bitcoin is going up.
It is very simple. They will decouple, they will not move together anymore. Many, many Altcoins are trading at bottom prices, many stocks are trading high up.
The giant stocks will crash, while the Cryptocurrency market goes up. This is one more of the reasons why we are about to experience the biggest bull-market in the history of Crypto.
People are evolving, the world is changing. We are changing from centralized monopoly money, to a free decentralized technology that is available for all.
Money is not the paper, the shiny stone or the codes; money is what we decide to use for the purpose of exchanging value.
At one time, salt used to be money as well as cows. Sea shells, glass and cacao are also on the list. People used to use these things as money.
The argument that Bitcoin has no value is obviously flawed. If you want to buy a Bitcoin you have to pay a price, that's value, nothing more.
If we decide to use something as money, it becomes money.
Bitcoin is money for the new generation.
The old generation dies out and a new one takes its place.
Life will continue to evolve and money will do the same.
Now it is Bitcoin, later down the road it will be something else. But Bitcoin has value, it is really expensive and it will continue to grow.
After the crash, NVDA will recover for sure.
Namaste.
Whole market drops but our strategy makes profitWhile the rest of the market drops our strategy delivers profitable day once again 👏
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Nicely profitable day while NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:PLTR NASDAQ:META and even MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN end in deep red 🔻
Nvidia stumbles to test 200 MA post earningsWill the dip buyers emerge here?
US markets continue to remain on the back foot, with the tech sector in sharp focus after Nvidia’s earnings. The chip giant initially climbed over 1% in pre-market trading but swiftly reversed, dropping 4% as investors reacted to results that, while decent, failed to dazzle. With chipmakers driving market volatility and concerns mounting over US-China tech tensions, Nvidia’s performance today could set the tone for the sector.
Adding to uncertainty, Donald Trump reignited trade war fears, announcing that tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China will take effect on 4 March.
Let's see if Nvidia dip-buyers will emerge to defend the 200-day MA around $126 area, or whether we will see further weakness heading into the close. Next key levels to watch include $120.00 and $115.00. Wednesday's low of $128.50 is now the key resistance level to watch. It would be a bullish scenario if we go back above this level now.
On a macro front, attention turns to Friday’s Core PCE data following weak economic reports, including a 4.6% slump in pending home sales and rising jobless claims. Next week we have ISM PMIs and NFP jobs report, as well as a rate decision from the ECB, all to look forward to.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
NVDA : Good shopping pointshello friends
We have analyzed these stocks for you in a very simple way. In the long term...
We have identified good shopping points where you can shop.
Note that the price is at the ceiling of the channel and it is not logical to buy at the ceiling of the channel, so either we buy in case of correction or if the channel is broken and its failure is valid, we can buy.
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Nvidia Flexes Bold Guidance but Can the Chipmaker Deliver on It?Chief Jensen Huang showed hubris on the earnings call right after Nvidia NVDA reported another blockbuster quarter with record sales and soaring profits. He said that demand for the new Blackwell chip is “amazing.”
“Well, I'm more enthusiastic today than I was at CES We have some 350 plants manufacturing the 1.5 million components that go into each one of the Blackwell racks, Grace Blackwell racks. Yes, it's extremely complicated,” Huang said. “Nothing is easy about what we’re doing, but we’re doing great.”
Everyone and their dog was glued to the screen after-hours Wednesday, waiting to hear what the most important person for the stock market was going to say. And many were hoping it’ll be good and Nvidia will save us from the recent selloff that spilled from tech stocks to all stocks .
And indeed, it was another stellar performance by Nvidia. For the fourth quarter ended January 26, the chipmaking giant pulled in record revenue of $39.3 billion, up 80% from a year ago, topping analyst estimates for $38 billion. Earnings per share reached $0.89 against Wall Street guidance for $0.84 a pop. Net income landed at $22.1 billion, up 80% from a year earlier.
Without a doubt, Nvidia continued its string of record-shattering results. And, what’s more, that’s also what Nvidia thinks will happen with the current quarter. The company projected revenue of $43 billion for the first three months of 2025, up 65% from the year-ago quarter when sales hit $26 billion .
To get to that figure, and keep the growth going, Nvidia will need to retain all its deep-pocketed clients like Amazon AMZN , Meta META , Microsoft MSFT and Alphabet GOOGL . These four alone make up about half of Nvidia’s revenue. Other customers with buckets of cash include ChatGPT parent OpenAI and Elon Musk’s Tesla TSLA .
As to the share price, investors didn’t really cheer the upbeat guidance or the double beat on both earnings and revenue. The stock showed virtually no reaction in extended trading — could it be that markets expected an even bigger blowout performance?
Or maybe they don’t believe in Nvidia’s business model after DeepSeek achieved for mere millions what OpenAI achieved for hundreds of millions? Year to date, Nvidia, the second-largest company in the world , is down 5% to $3.2 trillion. It’s drifted about 10% away from the all-time high hit in early January.
And with this, make sure to closely watch the earnings calendar for other hot reports as AI history is being made before our eyes.
What’s your take on Nvidia’s future? Do you think its Big Tech clients will soon whip up their own AI chips? Or is Nvidia’s AI dominance set in stone? Share your thoughts in the comment section!
Breaking: Nvidia ($NVDA) Surges 4% on Earnings BeatNvidia (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ), the U.S.-based semiconductor giant, has once again outperformed market expectations, reporting $39.3 billion in Q4 revenue, a 2.7% increase beyond analyst projections. While its dominance in AI chips remains unchallenged, a surprising growth driver has emerged: its automotive and robotics segment. With demand for driver-assist technology soaring, this segment is poised to become Nvidia’s next multi-billion-dollar business.
The Rise of Nvidia’s Automotive Business
Nvidia’s automotive and robotics revenue surged by 103% year-on-year, reaching a record $570 million in Q4 FY2025. This brings its total segment revenue for the fiscal year to $1.69 billion, marking the second consecutive year above the $1 billion threshold.
Although automotive contributes just 1.45% to Nvidia’s total revenue, analysts predict exponential expansion as real-world applications of autonomous driving and robotics continue to develop.
Technical Analysis
As of the latest session, NASDAQ:NVDA closed up 3.67% and continued its positive momentum, rising 2% in premarket trading. From a technical standpoint, Nvidia is approaching a bullish breakout, supported by the following indicators:
- RSI at 48: This suggests the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, leaving ample room for an upward push.
- Key Fibonacci Levels: In case of a pullback, the 65% Fibonacci retracement level serves as a strong support zone, providing a potential rebound point.
- Breakout Potential: A move above the 1-month high could signal further bullish momentum, paving the way for new highs.
With AI-driven demand surging, and Nvidia's automotive and robotics division gaining traction, the company is well-positioned for long-term profitability. Investors should keep a close watch on technical breakouts and fundamental milestones, as Nvidia continues to redefine the future of AI and autonomous technology.
Nvidia (NVDA) Share Price Dips Slightly After Earnings ReportNvidia (NVDA) Share Price Dips Slightly After Earnings Report
Following the close of the main trading session yesterday, Nvidia released its quarterly earnings report, exceeding analysts' expectations:
→ Earnings per share: Actual = $0.89, Expected = $0.84
→ Revenue: Actual = $39.3 billion, Expected = $38.1 billion (a 78% increase year-on-year)
It was also revealed that Nvidia’s latest AI chip family, Blackwell, generated $11 billion in sales for the quarter. This eased concerns that transitioning to the Blackwell chip series could lead to a decline in revenue.
How Nvidia (NVDA) Shares Reacted to the Earnings Report
Despite the strong earnings, Nvidia’s share price did not benefit significantly. Post-market trading saw heightened volatility, with NVDA shares fluctuating between $126 and $136 in the first few minutes after the report’s release.
As volatility subsided, NVDA stabilised around $129, slightly below Wednesday’s closing price of $131.37, reflecting a decline of approximately 1.7%.
Technical Analysis of NVDA Stock Chart
In February, NVDA’s share price continued to hold below the lower boundary of its previous upward trend channel after failing to break the psychological barrier at $150. Specifically:
→ The lower channel boundary has now acted as resistance (indicated by the arrow).
→ A downward trend channel (marked in red) is becoming increasingly apparent.
As a result, NVDA shares have not shown the ability to recover from the panic sell-off on 27 January, when Nvidia and other leading AI companies saw their stocks plummet following the success of Chinese startup DeepSeek.
NVDA Share Price Forecast
Analysts remain optimistic, possibly due to the expected increase in AI-related capital expenditure by major tech firms in 2025. Additionally, the upcoming GTC conference could serve as a bullish catalyst, likely featuring new product announcements within the Blackwell family.
According to TipRanks:
→ 33 out of 36 analysts recommend buying NVDA shares.
→ The 12-month average price target for NVDA is $177.
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NVIDIA to $228If Nvidia were truly done for, why is it impossible to find their latest 5000 series GPUs?
Even if someone wanted to buy one, they simply can't.
The reason lies in Nvidia's commitment to fulfilling the soaring demand from AI data centers, which has left them unable to produce enough H100 and H200 models.
This situation also allows Nvidia to increase their profit margins significantly, capitalizing on the disparity between demand and the media frenzy surrounding them.
DeepSeek serves as a prime example of how out of touch mainstream media can be.
All DeepSeek did was replicate Chat GPT.
Training models requires substantial computing power. The panic surrounding Nvidia and other semiconductor companies is quite amusing; the demand for computing power is skyrocketing!
The gap between the reality of the AI mega-trend and the narrow focus of mainstream media is staggering! It's astonishingly out of touch! Just as out of touch as Cramer was when he declared META was done at $100, or when he thought Chat GPT would obliterate Google at $88.
Stock prices fluctuate between being overvalued and undervalued. While we have metrics like EGF and PE ratios to assess valuation, indicating that Nvidia is currently inexpensive, this doesn't guarantee it won't drop further. However, it is generally wiser to buy stocks when they are cheap rather than when they are costly.
The greater the deviation from the high then the greater the BUYING OPPORTUNITY being presented for the very best leading companies.
The key takeaway is that the deeper Nvidia falls during its corrections, the more advantageous it could be.
Those who are experiencing anxiety during these declines may find themselves selling at a loss, or for a marginal profit possibly around previous highs, while the stock has the potential to rise to $228 and beyond.
The potential for growth is significant; the $228 Fibonacci extension may not represent the peak. Attempting to predict a top for Nvidia could be misguided. Once it reaches $228, Nvidia might maintain a valuation similar to its current $130 level.
NVDA XABCD Best Level to BUY/HOLD 30% gains🔸Hello traders, today let's review recent price chart for NVDA.
Well defined swings in progress, expecting further downside before
the tide finally turns for NVDA bulls. Currently it's recommended to stay out.
🔸Speculative XABCD defined by points: X 150, A 115, B 140, C 120, D 160.
most points validated already, C/D pending.
🔸Well defined swings in progress, so expecting a low near 120 before
reversal and new swing higher.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: Bulls wait for correction to complete at/near 129 usd in March 2025 and get ready to BUY/HOLD low, this is a swing trade setup, so will take longer to hit target, patience required. final TP is 160 USD, 30% upside from point C/buy entry. good luck traders!
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NVDA expected to remain volatile near term before bullish move!!Expecting to see sellers resume control at 135-136 levels near term, to take price back to 118-120$ gap fill target for liquidity purposes.
After that, looking for price advancement to 158-165 buy-side target levels for final high on weekly buy cycle.
NVDA Earnings - Must Watch EarningsNVDA Earnings Wednesday after market
This is crazy that 1 stock may be the pain or gain for the markets in 2025
Glass Half Full
-NVDA is a revenue monster
-Earnings trend continues to point higher
-Demand for chips remains high (minus DeepSeek scare and uncertainty)
-19% weight on SMH
-7% weight on SPY
-8% weight on QQQ
-NVDA bullish can single handedly lift the markets and renew optimism and risk appetite
Glass Half Empty
-NVDA is overvalued
-NVDA hasn't hit all-time highs since Nov 2024 (with fakeout in Jan 2025)
-NVDA's reign is over and competition is heating up in the chips space and AI arms race
-NVDA bearish can be the wave of risk off that confirms current market concerns and fears
It's a big deal - plan and trade accordingly. Thanks for watching!!!