+712% in 1 hour $2.15 to $17.47 $YIBOWild moves in the markets today, this stock making the largest one which ended where it started.
That tells you profits must be locked, especially when huge percentages are reached 🎯
NVDA
NVDA's Historical Bounce Data - This Is The Way.Forget all the nonsense about deepseek and evidence surrounding the NVDA chinese financial psyop that crushed the market today (primarily before the market even opened). It's all smoke and mirrors. Putting your money in the middle when the odds are in your favor is how you come out on top. That being said, there's a 90% rebound rate for NVidia's 10 biggest drops over the last - hence the reason I'm sitting on 75 calls with a strike of 125 that expire this Friday. The average next day rebound is 4.4% with the median being 5.3%. NVDA closed at $118.58, meaning there's a 90% chance that tomorrow we will see the price settle in the following ranges:
Bull Case: 60% probability: $124.50 - $126.90
Base Case: 30% probability: $120.95 - $123.30
Bear Case: 10% probability: $115 - $117
The DeepSeek Red Herring:
Speculating on the DeepSeek nonsense, the release of DeepSeek's R1 seems like an attempt to make the narrative fit the story rather than anything based on actual news:
*As someone that works w/ AI every day, DeepSeek v3 has been out for a long time, and R1 was released over a week ago. There isn't anything new about this story.
*This likely points to a coordinated dump of NVDA by 'whales' during premarket hours to push price action, and China has enough sway in the US markets to perform such a sway after hours. More than 12% of the 16.9% drop occurred in a short period before the market opened - limiting the influence/access of retail investors and thereby maximizing their leverage/power over the market.
*This could be a preemptive move by China in a financial cold war that has been developing. Trump recently touted investing $.5T in stargate (ai), and has proposed tariffs of 10% on all chinese goods starting in just 4 days (Feb 1st)
*NVDA is the perfect target to send a message. Most of their production is in Taiwan, and we know how China feels about that. The fact that China can't purchase their super chips is a big slap in the face. It'd be like China growing a bunch of crops in Idaho, only to not sell any food to the US while the US is starving.
*It's a known fact that bots place the majority of trades on the US market these days. China is a master at reverse engineering tech (if not outright stealing it). Knowing what triggers market bots would be easier than supplying a fake narrative.
Nothing about DeepSeek being the reason for the drop passes the smell test if for no other reason than from a logical standpoint...a couple If/Then scenarios:
1) If Deepseek did develop a model for $6M (which would be both insane and extremely unlikely) using outdated tech - Then NVDA's response that they should have their export restrictions removed and the 2nd largest AI market open to them is legitimate. Sales would skyrocket.
2) If this is Chinese misinformation and they're lying about using the A100 chips or the development costs, then why would they do that?
3) If China can't develop their own model without the A100s, what would they do to gain access to them? Then I think they steal the model - either the o1 (openAI) or llama (meta) model and tinkered with it just enough to optimize it as it's performance results are almost identical to openAI's o1 model - DeepSeek's Founder admits "there are no secrets in AI". While models can run on outdated hardware, you can't develop new models in a timely fashion on anything other than the A100s because they're 20x more powerful than the previous chips.
The question is was this China's attempt to trigger a black swan event in the US markets prior to the tariffs being enacted - a financial cold war if you will.
NVDA LESSON Now We Hunt For A DISCOUNT Nvidia⚪️ NVDA Another example of traders getting
trapped at the high.
⚪️ Also a prime example of traders
entering pre 150 break.
We don't need level 2 data to know
how HUMANS WILL ACT.
HUMAN BEHAVIOUR IS PREDICTABLE.
✅️That is an edge we can use too................
🟢 Every trend starts with a breakout and yes if you take everyone you will never miss the NEXT BIG MOVE BUT.....
🟢 By doing so you will inevitabley give up a high win rate, and the fact is that most humans would rather be RIGHT than make MONEY.
⭐️THAT IS JUST SIMPLE HUMAN BEHAVIOUR.⭐️ IT'S STRANGE BUT TRUE⭐️
🌎Most traders would rather sacrifice more profit for a HIGHER WIN RATE🌍
Some of the most PROFITABLE TRADERS & INVESTORS in the WORLD have a WIN RATE BELOW 50%.❕️
❗️LET THAT SINK IT...❗️
⚠️ 🟢SeekingPips🟢 SAYS SAVE THIS GOLD LESSON NOW YOU CAN THANK ME LATER⚠️
NVDA closes below 200 Day SMANASDAQ:NVDA had a very bad day today with more than 550 billion $ Market Cap destroyed. This is one of the worst days for NVDA since March 2020. The 200 Da SMA price was 122 $. NVDA closed @ 118 $. This makes it a daily close below the 200 Day SMA. There might be some more downside and sideways movement before it starts a bullish upward trend before its earnings release on Feb 26. 6-12 Months down the line this might be one of the best buying opportunities. Long NVDA 110 $ - 120 $.
i dont know guys!I don’t know, guys, but I think this stock is getting interesting. Just last Friday, the first fractal of the drop formed, and now we’ll see the continuation. All this activity is happening within a megaphone pattern, which makes me think NVDA’s price will surpass its all-time high. The optimization of LLM models doesn’t affect anything negatively—it only helps them become more popular and drives more chip sales.
We’re on the brink of launching the Stargate project, and let’s not overlook the fact that both the hardware and software used for AI are evolving. Nothing is set in stone, which is why sales will continue to be monumental. A clear example is that if these models become optimized enough, we could see the massive use of new, more compact chips for household and personal appliances, robots, etc. So don’t be afraid—join the revolution!
NVIDIA: Crashed on the 1D MA200 after 2 years. Last stand.NVIDIA is approaching oversold valuations on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 35.351, MACD = -0.820, ADX = 27.301) following the DeepSeek news and breached its 1D MA200 for the first time in 2 years. It was January 13th 2023 when we last saw the price trading on this trendline. The 1W MA50 is just a click under and there is no other way to put it than this being NVDA's last hold. The stock is at -23% from its ATH and the pattern that has to hold in order to provide an immediate rebound is the Megaphone whose LL trendline we just hit today. As long as this holds and the 1D RSI starts reversing near the oversold level, NVIDIA should technically test the 153.00 Resistance in a month or so. Failure to hold this pattern and a weekly candle closing under the 1W MA50, may result in a bubble burst and test of the 101.50 and 91.50 support levels.
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Hobo is Deepseek exposure: could run hard!The market has woken up to bad news from China with Deepseek. Not going into detail but its generally bad for semiconductors, especially NVDA - which is quite high priced (understatement).
Been looking for opportunities on the other side of this trade and found HOLO. They will be using DeepSeek R1 as the model for their holographic AI engine. Thing is: Deepseek is the hype (just like AI and Quantum was before) and HOLO is probably one of the few stocks that offers exposure AND its only sitting at a 33 million market cap. Jokes, much higher! First target: $7, if rally can sustain for multiple weeks: $18.
I literally just bought, i honestly dont care if it pumped 50% pre-market - its a sign of strength. Let's see, obviously a risky play but also makes a lot of sense. Chart looks good after a retest of previous resistance.
NVDA Topping PatternUnlike the previous call, I made in NVDA that was corrective.
This double-top pattern is signaling a reversal pattern.
From a trading perspective, this is a great risk/reward setup that is relatively simple. A CRACK! here will likely lead to at least the right side filling, with the potential deeper pullback (reversal)
If on the other hand, it pops above recent highs then no trade or an easy stop out.
As you all know I don't do targets, I think they are silly and only used to pretend one has such insight not only can they call the move but also a "target" too. Yeah well, I'll leave that to the "experts" ;)
Bulls don't be a dick for tick.
Shorts take some early profits to improve cost basis but let this one ride!
SPX WEEKLY 27 JAN 2025Welcome to SPX Weekly. I have clearly explained the levels here. If you have any questions, please leave a comment below.
NOTE: ALWAYS TRADE WITH SL
NVDA - Same Pattern, Same ShortWe have the same pattern going on in NVDA as last time.
1. Hagopian
2. Break of the U-MLH
and 3. potentially back into the Fork again.
I'm prepared for the next short with profit targets at the 1/4 line and the Centerline.
NVIDIA - Set for lift-off!NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:NVDL
No imposters here 🕵️♂️
Fakeout👏 Breakout👏 Retest👏 Higher
Can you see the other pattern? 👀
Not financial advice
NVIDIA Channel Up approaching a bottom.NVIDIA is trading inside a Channel Up with the MA50 (1h) in firm support.
The price is approaching that level and of course the bottom of the Channel Up, which is a technical buy entry.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 153.15 (Resistance 1).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1h) is testing Support (1) formed on the January 16th Low, which was a higher low for the Channel Up.
Please like, follow and comment!!
NBIS Nebius Group Among My Top 10 Picks for 2025 | Price TargetNebius Group N.V. (NBIS) presents a compelling bullish case for a potential doubling of its stock price by the end of 2025, driven by several fundamental factors that highlight its growth trajectory within the rapidly expanding AI infrastructure market.
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) has made a significant investment in Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS), contributing to a $700 million funding round aimed at expanding Nebius's AI infrastructure capabilities. This investment aligns with NVIDIA's strategic focus on enhancing its presence in the rapidly growing AI market.
Explosive Revenue Growth:
Nebius Group has demonstrated remarkable revenue growth, with Q3 2024 revenues reaching $43.3 million, representing a 1.7-fold increase compared to the previous quarter and a staggering 766% year-over-year increase. This surge is primarily driven by the company's core AI infrastructure business, which grew 2.7 times quarter-over-quarter and 6.5 times year-over-year. Analysts expect this momentum to continue, projecting annual revenues of approximately $731.96 million for 2025, reflecting a robust demand for AI-centric services and solutions.
Strategic Investments in AI Infrastructure:
The company is heavily investing in expanding its GPU cluster capabilities and data center capacity, with plans to allocate over $1 billion towards these initiatives. This strategic focus on enhancing AI infrastructure positions Nebius to capture significant market share as the global demand for AI technologies continues to rise. The annualized run-rate for its cloud revenue has already surpassed $120 million, indicating strong customer adoption and a growing client base that includes Fortune 500 companies.
Strong Market Position and Competitive Advantage:
Nebius Group is uniquely positioned within the AI infrastructure landscape, specializing in full-stack solutions that cater to developers and enterprises looking to leverage AI technologies. As businesses increasingly prioritize AI integration into their operations, Nebius's comprehensive offerings make it an attractive partner for organizations seeking to enhance their technological capabilities. The company’s ability to provide scalable solutions will be crucial as the demand for AI services expands.
Healthy Financials and Cash Reserves:
As of September 30, 2024, Nebius reported cash and cash equivalents totaling approximately $2.29 billion, providing a solid financial foundation to support its growth initiatives without excessive reliance on debt. This strong liquidity position allows Nebius to invest aggressively in technology and infrastructure while maintaining operational flexibility 14. Additionally, with gross margins projected to remain robust at around 55% in 2025, the company is well-positioned to improve profitability as revenues grow.
NVIDIA This is the final call for $240.NVIDIA corporation (NVDA) has been trading within a Channel Up for the past 2 years and just last Monday it made contact with its bottom (Higher Lows trend-line). As long as the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) remains intact, the bullish trend will be maintained.
On top of that, the price action has just completed a pattern, which in the last two times we saw it (Q3 2024 and Q4 2023), it initiated a rally. With the Channel's Bullish Legs being at least of a +86.50% increase, we expect NVIDIA to target at least $240 by May.
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Nvidia. Analysis and Price Forecast: A Strategic OutlookIntroduction:
Nvidia Inc. (NASDAQ: NVDA) continues to be at the forefront of the AI and semiconductor revolution, showcasing robust innovation and a compelling business model. This analysis leverages advanced tools such as TheWaved™ and utilizes VSA Analysis, Technical Indicators, Price Action, and Fundamental Analysis to craft a comprehensive forecast.
Recent Price Movements and Key Patterns:
1. Candle Pattern Analysis:
From the provided patterns sequence data:
January 13, 2025, 14:00:
Pattern: "Increased Buy Volumes"
Movement: +6.69% from open to close, suggesting strong buyer activity and market confidence.
January 10, 2025, 16:00:
Pattern: "Buy Volumes Take Over"
Movement: -5.7%, indicating potential sell-offs after profit-taking.
These patterns highlight the recent tug-of-war between buyers and sellers, creating opportunities for strategic entries and exits.
2. Key Levels and Trend Analysis:
From technicals:
Current Price: $135.19
Resistance Levels:
Short-Term: $139.48 (MA200 on the hourly chart)
Mid-Term: $141.15 (MA100)
Support Levels:
Immediate: $127.30
Key Support Zone: $123.69-$127.30
Nvidia's price is trading below critical moving averages (e.g., MA50 and MA200), suggesting a potential rebound or consolidation phase before further directional movement.
Multi-Dimensional Analysis:
1. Volume Spread Analysis (VSA):
Analysis: Strong buy patterns are evident, with significant volume upticks near critical support zones. This implies institutional interest in accumulation phases.
Prediction: Anticipate continuation of buying pressure if price stabilizes above $135. Resistance at $140 may pose challenges in the short term.
2. Fundamental Insights:
Nvidia’s Q4 earnings report showed record revenue driven by AI GPU demand.
Major customers in cloud computing and automotive industries continue to bolster growth.
However, rising interest rates and potential geopolitical risks (e.g., China’s tech policies) might pressure valuations.
3. Price Action Analysis:
Recent bullish engulfing candles near $127 indicate buyer confidence.
Price may revisit $130 before testing $140. Breaking $140 could pave the way to retest $150 (January’s absolute high).
Projections:
Short-Term (1 Week):
Target: $138.50
Stop-Loss: $132.00
Rationale: A breakout above MA50 ($136.93) will signal short-term bullish momentum.
Mid-Term (1 Month):
Target: $145.00
Stop-Loss: $130.00
Rationale: Stabilization above $140 supported by institutional buying and potential macroeconomic support.
Long-Term (3-6 Months):
Target: $160.00
Stop-Loss: $125.00
Rationale: Continued demand for Nvidia’s GPUs in AI and automotive applications combined with broader tech sector recovery.
Strategic Recommendations:
Support Levels:
-
1. 127.3
2. 123.69
3. 113.9
4. 90.4855
5. 87.88
Resistance Levels:
-
1. 127.3
2. 123.69
3. 113.9
4. 90.4855
5. 87.88
Powerful Support Levels:
-
Powerful Resistance Levels:
-
1. 89.599
2. 89.599
3. 63.974
4. 63.974
5. 48.462
Above $160: Consider reducing positions to hedge against potential market corrections.
3. Stop-Loss & Risk Management:
Strict stop-loss at $130 for short-term trades.
Trail stops to lock profits as price moves favorably.
Tools and Insights:
Analysis powered by TheWaved™, leveraging decades of professional experience and cutting-edge analytics. Key insights have been shared to align with both retail and institutional perspectives.
Call to Action:
For personalized queries or deeper insights into Nvidia’s price action, feel free to reach out via direct message. Explore our tools and indicators through the link in our profile.
Concept of Rays
Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept
Core Idea
My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns.
Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible
Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement.
Disclaimer: This analysis reflects the author’s perspective based on available data and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risks; ensure proper due diligence.
Follow TheWaved for more actionable insights!
NVIDIA's Momentum A Breakout Story in Progress1. Trend and Structure
The chart showcases an upward momentum, breaking out of a prior resistance level, indicating bullish pressure. The breakout aligns with the upward-sloping trendline, which serves as a strong support structure.
2.Breakout Confirmation
The price has successfully broken through a resistance level, confirming a bullish breakout. This signals potential continuation toward the marked target zone.
3.Entry Point
The entry appears to have been taken near the breakout point, at approximately $141.60, aligning with the bullish momentum.
4. Target (Take Profit)
The take-profit level is marked at $152.94, representing a reasonable upward move from the breakout point. This target aligns with the continuation of the trend.
5. Stop Loss
The stop-loss level is placed at $133.46, below the recent support and trendline. This level ensures protection in case the breakout fails.
6.Risk-Reward Ratio
The setup demonstrates a healthy risk-to-reward ratio, with potential gains outweighing the risks. This indicates a well-calculated trade.
7. Technical Indicators
The momentum of the candles breaking the resistance shows strong bullish interest. No immediate signs of bearish divergence or reversal are visible in the chart.
The chart reflects a bullish breakout setup in NVIDIA's stock price. With strong momentum and a clear trendline breakout, the trade aligns well with the current upward movement. The target and stop-loss levels are well-placed, adhering to a disciplined trading strategy.
$NVDA #Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA is currently accumlating.
A close above $160 is a breakout and is unlocking an uncharted zone up to the closest psychological mark $200.
A close below $124 is a retest to the nearest demand zone at the same level.
A close below $118 is unlocking $88 mark.
#STOCKS #STOCKMARKET #NVDA #NVIDIA #SUPPLYANDDEMAND #AHMEDMESBAH
Nvidia: FluctuationOver the past two weeks, NVDA has exhibited increased fluctuation within the boundaries of the current key levels: the resistance at $152.89 and the support at $126.34. Initially, the price seemed to favor our alternative scenario, but it managed to reverse just in time. Following a dip to $129, the stock rebounded swiftly. Our primary assumption remains that the beige wave III should eventually break above the $152.89 resistance. However, there is still a 33% chance that the expected rises will be delayed by a new low of the blue wave alt.(IV). This alternative scenario will prevail if the stock falls below the $126.34 support level.
NVDIA vs APPLE Which one reached $4 Trillion first??With NVIDIA surpassing APPLE as the worlds largest company in terms of market cap, we want to get your opinion on which one you think will reach $4 Trillion first.
NVDA looks to have the momentum over AAPL but of course anything can happen. Fundamentals/ technicals aside, which do you think will become the world's first 4T dollar company?
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
NVDA is recovering from the deepNVDA is recovering from the deep
I will take a buy if it pulls back to $136 zone.
My SL will be in the $131 zone
My TP will be in the $150 zone
This is a Profit to loss of about 3:1
1/20 Weekly Watchlist + NotesWeekly Watchlist and Market Analysis Using #TheStrat
Indexes - SPY went failed 2D week following the previous week going 3 and we nearly went 3 on this last week, but came up short with little room to go to previous week highs. This week we look to go 3-2-2U to confirm the month being failed 2D that has now retraced more than 50% of the previous months range, meaning we are now closer to taking out previous month highs than we are to reclaiming previous month lows. With full timeframe continuity green, we know that buyers are full in control at the moment, and this upcoming week looks to confirm that further as we look to target previous weekly highs on our way up to ATH levels. No daily actionable signal and a couple daily gaps to the downside, so we will see what happens Tuesday pre market whether we gap down to give last weeks buyers some corrective activity, whether we gap up, clear weekly magnitude (at the high of the weekly 3 from the week prior to this last week) before seeing if we expand further to confirm the month attempting to go 3 or begin reversing back through last weeks range. Finally, we may just open flat and see where intraday signals and continuity take us.
(Slightly pressed for time at the time of writing so I apologize for the lack of detail like my normal posts)
Watchlist:
Bullish:
NVDA - 2-1-2U Daily, 2-2 Weekly. Daily BF looks interesting
PLTR - 3-2-2U Weekly. High rVOL
WMT - Hammer 2-2 Week, MoMo Hammer Daily. Inside green Month which isn't great this late in the month, but not bad enough to ruin this setup for me
DLTR - Hammer 3-2-2U weekly after month went 3. Looking to go back through the months range now. Note: DG full FTFC red so no sector support
IONQ - 3-1 Week at M Exhaustion. MASSIVE range on this one. Nearly 30% underlying move from weekly trigger to magnitude
HIMS - Hammer failed 2D, Weekly 3-1, Failed 2D month attempting to go 3
Bearish:
DOCU - Weekly 3-2-2 Shooter. Daily Big red 3 following double inside day so potential 3-2D daily to trigger shooter week down. Filling in massive gap from the last earnings report
Neutral:
DAL + UAL: Both have inside weeks. DAL at exhaustion risk. UAL bright green. Relative strength in the airline industry
Applied Materials Inc. Technical and Fundamental Aspects.Applied Materials, Inc. is an American corporation that supplies equipment, services and software for the manufacture of semiconductor (integrated circuit) chips for electronics, flat panel displays for computers, smartphones, televisions, and solar products.
The company also supplies equipment to produce coatings for flexible electronics, packaging and other applications.
U.S. chip stocks rise on Thursday, January 16th, after Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co NYSE:TSM , the world's largest contract chipmaker, reported record quarterly profit today.
In technical terms, Applied Materials stock was not among hyped and scorching-hot Trump-a-Rally assets in November, 2024.
However the most important thing is that in December, 2024 AMAT stocks has been supported by 100-week SMA and now is forming breakthrough of descending top/ flat bottom technical figure, trying to print the biggest over past twelve months 4-weeks upside swing.
In fundamental terms, Applied Materials NASDAQ:AMAT is presently being traded at a Forward P/E ratio of 22.12. This signifies a discount in comparison to the average Forward P/E of more than 25 for Semiconductors industry peers.
Another Semiconductors industry peers are being trading as follow - a Forward P/E ratio for Nvidia Corp NASDAQ:NVDA is presently 53.30; for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing NYSE:TSM is 34.92; for Broadcom Inc NASDAQ:AVGO is 191.80; for Asml Holding NV NASDAQ:ASML is 40.08; and for Advanced Micro Devices Inc NASDAQ:AMD is 106.63.
The main technical graph for Applied Materials Inc. NASDAQ:AMAT indicates on a forming breakthrough of descending top/ flat bottom technical figure.
The nearest upside target is considered by our team as a 6-month highs near $ 215 a share, and the far target is considered as a Double Top technical figure around $ 250 a share, that can be achieved over next 6 months.
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