$SOXL Inverted Cup and Handlel (SELL NOW!)Grasping chart patterns is essential for market participants. This article explores the inverted cup and handle formation, a bearish signal that suggests potential downward movement.
The inverted cup and handle, also known as an upside-down cup and handle pattern, is a bearish chart pattern that can appear in both uptrends and downtrends. It is the reverse of the traditional bullish cup and handle pattern. The inverted formation consists of two main components: the "cup," an inverted U-shape, and the "handle," a small upward retracement following the cup.
SELL NASDAQ:NVDA AMEX:SOXL NASDAQ:AMD NASDAQ:AVGO NASDAQ:QCOM NASDAQ:MRVL NASDAQ:MU $TXN.
Lets BUY it again WHEN IT'S LOW guys.
Mark my word
NVDA
NVIDIA I Set for Potential 20%+ Upside – Key Level Buy Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** NVIDIA Analysis - Listen to video!
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NVDA Topping PatternUnlike the previous call, I made in NVDA that was corrective.
This double-top pattern is signaling a reversal pattern.
From a trading perspective, this is a great risk/reward setup that is relatively simple. A CRACK! here will likely lead to at least the right side filling, with the potential deeper pullback (reversal)
If on the other hand, it pops above recent highs then no trade or an easy stop out.
As you all know I don't do targets, I think they are silly and only used to pretend one has such insight not only can they call the move but also a "target" too. Yeah well, I'll leave that to the "experts" ;)
Bulls don't be a dick for tick.
Shorts take some early profits to improve cost basis but let this one ride!
OH NO! $SOXS is primed for a significant rise.The concept of a multiple bottom suggests that the stock has already experienced a significant decline, creating a buying opportunity at a lower price over time.
Plus, Trump is coming= BYE semidocutor stocks!
Stricter trade policies and tariffs on imported semiconductors could disrupt global supply chains, leading to higher costs and potential shortages.
During his previous presidency, Trump focused on "America First" policies, which included promoting domestic manufacturing and reducing reliance on foreign supply chains
Additionally, there were concerns about the potential mismanagement of federal initiatives like the CHIPS and Science Act, which aimed to boost domestic semiconductor manufacturing.
AMEX:SOXL , NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:AMD , NASDAQ:AVGO , NASDAQ:QCOM : Sell now to take the profit.
IT'S COMING
How Will Nvidia's Stellar Quarter Impact the Future of Tech InveNvidia Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) experienced a rollercoaster ride as investors grappled with its impressive third-quarter earnings report. While the chip giant delivered a strong performance, the market's reaction was somewhat muted, highlighting the high expectations placed on the company.
A Quarter of Record-Breaking Growth
The surge in revenue was primarily driven by the robust demand for Nvidia's high-performance GPUs, which are essential for powering artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning applications. The company's data center segment, in particular, saw exponential growth, fueled by the increasing adoption of AI in various industries.
A Cautious Market Response
Despite the impressive results, Nvidia's stock price fluctuated throughout the day. While the initial market reaction was positive, with shares rising in pre-market trading, the momentum soon faded. Some analysts attributed this to the high expectations set by Nvidia's consistent outperformance in recent quarters.
Another factor that may have influenced the market's reaction was Nvidia's outlook for the fourth quarter. While the company provided a revenue forecast that exceeded analyst expectations, some investors may have been hoping for even more aggressive guidance.
Long-Term Growth Prospects Remain Strong
Despite the short-term volatility, Nvidia's long-term growth prospects remain robust. The company's dominance in the AI and machine learning market, coupled with its strong financial position, positions it well to capitalize on the ongoing technological revolution.
As AI advances and becomes more pervasive, the demand for high-performance computing solutions is expected to soar. With their superior performance and energy efficiency, Nvidia's GPUs are ideally suited to meet this growing demand.
Key Takeaways from Nvidia's Earnings Report
• Record Revenue: Nvidia's third-quarter revenue of $35.08 billion surpassed expectations and marked a significant year-over-year increase.
• Strong Data Center Performance: The data center segment was a major growth driver, fueled by the increasing adoption of AI and machine learning.
• Cautious Market Reaction: Despite the strong results, the market's reaction was muted, reflecting high investor expectations.
• Long-Term Growth Potential: Nvidia's strong market position and focus on innovation position it well for future growth.
As Nvidia continues to push the boundaries of technology, its stock price will likely remain volatile. However, the company's strong fundamentals and promising growth prospects make it an attractive investment opportunity for long-term investors.
Update: GOLD, SILVER, NVDA, SPDR Sectors, SPY, QQQ & MoreThe markets are really struggling this morning.
The strong selling after the open is likely an indication traders are not buying into the hype right now.
NVDA earnings hit and drove the markets a bit higher into the open. I see this selling pressure as a BIG SHIFT into my Anomaly Event.
Gold & Silver are reacting to the downside.
SPTD sectors, particularly XLE (Energy) is still showing strong upward trends - while many of the others have already started to move downward.
I'm watching XLF and XLRE for a breakdown event.
The SPY & QQQ are showing broad weakness right now.
Prepare for my Price Anomaly Event.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Drops Following Earnings ReportNvidia (NVDA) Stock Drops Following Earnings Report
On 13 November, we analysed Nvidia’s (NVDA) price chart and noted:
→ The continuation of a long-term upward channel (highlighted in blue).
→ A consolidation below the psychological $150 level, forming a narrowing triangle along the Quater Line, which divides the lower half of the channel.
On 20 November, Nvidia released its Q3 earnings report, which exceeded analysts’ expectations:
→ Earnings per share (EPS): $0.81 (expected: $0.74).
→ Revenue: $35.08 billion (expected: $33.17 billion).
→ Revenue growth: +94% year-on-year, +17% quarter-on-quarter.
Key Insights (via Reuters):
→ Optimism centres on Nvidia’s new Blackwell processors.
→ Concerns arise over a reduced revenue forecast due to supply chain constraints in chip production.
Despite strong results, Nvidia’s stock price dipped slightly following the report. Pre-market data suggests today’s trading could start around $142.50.
What’s Next?
Technical analysis of Nvidia’s chart indicates potential for further downside movement, with resistance levels formed by:
→ The psychological $150 mark.
→ A Resistance line running parallel above the correction channel (July–October) at a height equal to its range.
If bearish sentiment gains momentum in today’s main session, it could:
→ Confirm a bearish breakout from the consolidation triangle.
→ Threaten a breach of the lower boundary of the long-term growth channel.
In a worst-case scenario, NVDA could shift into a bearish trend within a descending channel (marked in red).
Analyst Outlook:
According to TipRanks:
→ 39 of 42 analysts recommend buying NVDA stock.
→ The average 12-month price target is $165.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Short time, target 138Following daily chart.
I am posting a couple of hours before earning.
First, I don't believe the earnings will be good enough to push the price more. Also, I am following 3 different power indicators, which all gave me a short signal.
In this case, I want to use 2 different Fibonacci levels for the target, The first one is a long run from august, the other one is a short run, and both targets are around 137 for me.
TP 138
SL 147 - stop under 147 candle close.
Btw I see the same pattern in Amazon and SPX, so I am short in both 3 of them.
NVIDIA (NVDA) Earnings Beat Expectations! 🚀 NVIDIA (NVDA) Earnings Beat Expectations! 🚀
NVIDIA just released its earnings report last night, and the results are stellar:
💰 Revenue: $35.08 billion
🔥 Exceeded Expectations: By 5.77%
This impressive beat highlights NVIDIA's dominance in the AI and semiconductor space, showcasing its ability to capitalize on booming demand for cutting-edge technology.
📊 Market Outlook
The market is expected to react positively during the pre-market session. Based on Elliott Wave analysis on the 25-minute chart:
Current Position: Wave 2
Potential Move: A strong rally could lead to new all-time highs at $151 and $155.
⚠️ However, if we see a drop below $137.70, it could signal a liquidity grab before the anticipated move upward.
💡 Pro Tip: Monitor pre-market action and key levels closely to optimize your entry and risk management.
#NVIDIA #Earnings #StockMarket #NVDA #ElliottWave
NVIDIA Q3 earnings exceed expectations, but stock price falls
Nvidia's third-quarter earnings surpassed market expectations. The EPS stood at 81 cents, notably higher than the market consensus of 75 cents. Total sales reached almost $35 billion, exceeding the forecast of $33 billion. This impressive performance was highlighted by a remarkable 94% increase in total sales compared to last year's period, alongside a robust 106% surge in net profit.
Despite delivering a solid third-quarter performance, Nvidia's stock price took a hit. This drop occurred as the company's fourth-quarter sales guidance fell short of Wall Street's elevated expectations. The market had projected Nvidia's fourth-quarter sales to reach $37.5 billion, but the company revealed that it would instead be at $37.1 billion.
NVDA has fallen slightly since the earnings announcement and remains around 146.00. However, the price still remains within the ascending channel, indicating momentum. If NVDA sustains an uptrend within the channel, the price may gain upward momentum toward the 150.00 high. Conversely, if NVDA breaks below the channel’s lower bound, the price may fall further to 138.30.
NVDA Predictive Modeling Outlook : Pre Earnings 11-20-24I thought I would have a little fun with my ADL Predictive Modeling system.
This shows the Daily & Weekly predictive results for NVDA prior to the earnings data release.
Have fun.
This is really just to show you how the ADL system works and to test the outcome related to NVDA's earnings/outcome.
Get some..
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
NVIDIA’s Next Move: Ready to Rally or Slip Lower?Good morning, trading family!
Let’s take a simple look at NVIDIA (NVDA) and where it might be headed from here. We’re at an important crossroads, so here’s what we’re watching:
If NVDA Moves Higher:
If NVDA can hold its current position, it has room to drive up into the $150 range. This could signal that buyers are stepping in and momentum is building for a rally.
If NVDA Moves Lower:
A drop could take us to the following key levels:
$144: First potential stop for support.
$138–$137: A zone where buyers might try to step in.
$132: A deeper pullback that could see some consolidation.
$129 and $120: These are lower support areas to watch if selling pressure continues.
How to Approach This:
Mark These Levels: Add them to your chart for reference.
Wait for Confirmation: Don’t rush in—see how NVDA reacts at each level.
Trade What You See: Let the price action guide you, not your emotions.
We’re at a moment where NVDA could make a strong move in either direction. Keep it simple, stay patient, and watch the levels.
Let’s make it a great trading day!
Mindbloome Trading // Kris
NVDIA - Arguments For BullsMedianlines (Pitchforks) do not forecast.
They PROJECT the most probable path of price.
At each moment in time, a "Medianline/Pitchfork Analyst" can relay on the rules and the framework they provide.
In this case I see the following arguments for a continuation to the upside:
- price is above the Center-Line
- price did test the CL two times and hold
- price was attempted to test the CL a third time, but was even too strong to reach it, and is now in this very momentum to the upside
- when price trades towards a Medain-Line but can't reach it, it's a sign that price will continue the direction it had before (up in this case). The next Target is the "next" Medianline, which is the U-MLH (Upper-Medianline-Parallel)
- price broke the blue-dashed A/R line to the upside
All said, we have to keep in mind that there is also a opposite side of the Coin. I will provide another Chart Analysis with "Arguments For Bears".
What happened? $Nvidia surged nearly 5%!!!!Reason1: Cooling of Blackwell overheating issues boosts confidence.
Concerns about overheating in Nvidia's latest high-end chip, Blackwell, had been widely discussed. However, multiple authoritative analysis firms and Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang confirmed that these issues have been resolved. Industry analysts noted that such problems have been effectively mitigated, with negligible impact on chip performance and supply cadence. This clear positive signal has instilled confidence in investors regarding Blackwell’s stability and market prospects.
Reason2: Technological advancements raise expectations.
As Nvidia's most advanced chip to date, the complete resolution of design issues marks its research and production entering a mature phase. Coupled with its powerful computing capabilities and potential applications in AI and data centers, market expectations for the product's profitability have significantly increased, serving as a key driver of Nvidia's stock surge.
Reason3: Professional analysis alleviates concerns.
Semiconductor analysis firm-Semianalysis indicated that the supply chain adjustments related to the overheating issue were merely "minor modifications" with almost no effect on the chip's actual performance. This analysis helped the market move past excessive worries about Blackwell’s overheating issues, laying the groundwork for Nvidia to regain investor trust in the short term.
Reason4: Stock price retraces to strong support levels.
From a technical analysis perspective, the stock price moving in a bullish channel, recently retracing to an upward trend line and the 0.236 Fibonacci support level. This support has triggered a rise, indicating that previous movements were merely weak short-term corrections.
Under the combined influence of these favorable factors, Nvidia's stock jumped nearly 5% in a single day, not only boosting its own valuation but also uplifting the tech sector and the broader market. However, whether this upward trend can continue in the short term will depend on today's earnings report. For specific operational strategies, please refer to my last post : "NVIDIA Earnings Preview: Strategy Notes for Q3 Report."
NVDA earnings 11/20NVDA cycle target 225 , but it has run a lot and is in the 3rd cycle without a major pullback.
Congestion zone 137/153
Above 153 move is 165/181
Below 137 move is 133-121/116
This is still a range bound move and coming days it needs to decide power over 153 or puke below 121.
If straight run towards 225 without any major pullback , in coming year , I would look for some good correction in overall markets
NVIDIA Earnings Preview: Strategy Notes for Q3 ReportPre-Earnings Strategy: First things first—know the key numbers and the market expectations. But keep in mind, NVIDIA’s revenue recognition can get tricky, so don’t be surprised by unpredictable results. This is why a solid strategy, proper positioning, and downside protection are essential going into the report.
1. Core Numbers & Expectations
Where do Buy-Side Expectations Come From? NVIDIA has been beating guidance by around $2 billion each quarter and then raising guidance by another $2 billion (last quarter they raised it by $2.5 billion).
For Q3, the guidance given in Q2 was $32.5B. Based on the trend, buy-side expectation bumps that up by another SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B , so the real expectation for Q3 is $34.5B.
Looking ahead to Q4, buy-side is expecting GETTEX:39B (Q3 actual $34.5B + $2.5B + another SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B ). To make the buy-side comfortable with this, the Q4 guide needs to come in at least at $38B (realistically, even FWB:37B could suffice).
Key Takeaway for a Big Beat: Q3 revenue needs to hit $34.5B, and Q4 guidance should be at $38B, with Blackwell contributing over SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:5B in Q4.
2. What the Analysts Think
This is a mega-cap stock, so pretty much every sell-side analyst has a report. But let’s just focus on the key voices from Goldman (Hari), UBS (Arcuri), and Morgan Stanley (Moore), aka the “HAM Trio.”
For Q3:
Moore: Bearish—expects $32.5B
Hari & Arcuri: Neutral-Bullish—expect around $34.3B
For Q4 Guidance:
Moore: Bearish—expects $35.3B
Hari: Bullish—expects $39.2B
Arcuri: Bullish—expects $38.9B
3. Q4 Blackwell Revenue Breakdown
Management previously mentioned Q4 Blackwell revenue could be “several billion.” If it’s $2-3B, that’s below expectations. $5-6B would be a strong beat.
Moore: Expects $5-6B (bullish on Blackwell)
Arcuri: Expects only SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:3B (more conservative)
4. Summary of Analyst Divergence
There’s a clear split among the top analysts, particularly around the Q4 guidance. This divergence sets up potential volatility.
5. Trading Strategy
1. Pre-Earnings Positioning: If the stock dips ahead of earnings, consider adding to the position. If there’s a rally, trim some to lock in profits.
2. Post-Earnings Reaction: If it tanks, be ready to add more, since Q1 of FY25 is expected to be a breakout quarter.
3. Hedging with Options: Use options to protect existing stock positions—don’t go into earnings unhedged.
Implied Move Post-Earnings:
The options market is pricing in about a 9% move, which puts the stock between $128-$153 (current price is around $141).
Options Strategies
Bullish Play (Betting on a Big Rally): Buy calls, but keep it small—treat it as a high-risk, high-reward play. If it goes to zero, it won’t hurt too much.
Lower-Cost Bullish Play: Consider a call spread (buy a lower strike call, sell a higher strike call). This caps your upside but reduces the cost.
Protecting Existing Long Stock Positions: Use covered calls. If the stock tanks, you get some downside protection from the premium. If it rallies, you still make money up to the strike price, plus the premium collected. The downside is losing the stock if it gets called away above the strike.
Want to Buy the Dip After Earnings? Sell puts. If the stock drops, you get assigned shares at a lower price and keep the premium. If it rallies, you pocket the premium.
WYSWYGThis week, NVDA reports earnings, confirming a couple of things: 1) whether it can sustain its sales, 2) whether it can increase them, and 3) who is distributing its chips( NASDAQ:SMCI , NYSE:DELL ). Similarly, today it signed an agreement with Google to develop quantum computing chips, a revolutionary step in the field of technology.
Technically speaking, we have a large symmetrical triangle(D) that has just invalidated any possibility of a drop. Right now, micro-patterns are forming(B,C), pushing the price up and down within a large descending flag(A). If the flag plays out, we could return to the resistance of the massive symmetrical triangle at $122 USD, which would then act as support. On the other hand, this flag could break, as there are several patterns that could quickly invalidate it. Therefore, I believe we’ll see movement in both directions on Wednesday, but ultimately trending higher and the symmetrical end price is $173