$NVDA forming local higher low and above 20-Day SMA NASDAQ:NVDA has traded very poorly recently. Today we are looking at a daily price chart of NASDAQ:NVDA and we have seen many lower lows and lower highs since GTC Conference. After touching the ATH of 150 $, the price is making new lows and has recently touched the lows of 85 $ and made new higher low of 95 $. So, this marks a double higher bottom and now the at 105 $ is now above 20 Day SMA. This might mark a bullish reversal in my opinion.
So why not a trade idea on a Friday. #TGIF. I say we go long NASDAQ:NVDA here and now. Remain long if it remains over the 50-Day, 100-Day and 200-Day SMA. 200-Day SMA ist currently @ 125 $. If NVDA has a weekly close above 125 $ then we go all in on $NVDA.
Verdict: Long NASDAQ:NVDA here until 125 $. Keep watching this space for next levels.
Nvda_analysis
cup with handle pattern on the 1-hour time frameWelcome to today's analysis! Let’s break down the current price action on NASDAQ:NVDA and potential trade setups.
🌐 Overview: NASDAQ:NVDA Forming a Cup with Handle Pattern
📈 NASDAQ:NVDA is currently forming a cup with handle pattern on the 1-hour time frame. This pattern is typically bullish and could indicate a potential upward move.
🔄 Current Scenario:
NASDAQ:NVDA has formed a cup shape and is now developing the handle. The handle is a consolidation phase before a potential breakout.
The key level to watch is the resistance at the top of the handle. A breakout above this level could signal a bullish continuation.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
🔴 Resistance: Top of the Handle (Needs breakout for continuation)
🟢 Target: Measured move equal to the depth of the cup, projected from the breakout point.
🛠️ Trade Scenarios
📌 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Above Resistance)
If NASDAQ:NVDA breaks and holds above the handle resistance, it could move toward the target level.
This breakout would confirm the cup with handle pattern and suggest a potential upward trend.
📌 Bearish Scenario (Failure to Breakout)
If NASDAQ:NVDA fails to break out and instead moves lower, it could retest the support levels within the cup or handle.
A failure to hold above key support levels could indicate a potential reversal or further consolidation.
📌 Conclusion
NASDAQ:NVDA is forming a cup with handle pattern on the 1-hour time frame. A breakout above the handle resistance could signal a bullish move toward the target level. If the price fails to break out, further consolidation or a retest of support levels may be necessary.
NVDA’s Wild Crash Alert: I’m Braced for a Heart-Stopping Drop!NVDA’s like a rocket losing altitude, and I’m on edge! It’s at $95.99, but I’m seeing it tumble to $90, maybe $88.95, then $83.59 if the bears go wild. If that breaks, whoa—$77.48 could hit hard! I’m glued to $90 for the first clue—big selling there, and it’s game on for a slide.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
NVDA: Buy the Dip or Miss the Run?NVDA 💥🔥
Let’s be real, the market’s been shaky. Between the spike in volatility and the new tariff chatter coming out of the Trump camp, tech stocks are getting tossed around. But here’s the thing—volatility is where the setups live. And NVDA, sitting at the center of the AI revolution, isn’t going to stay down forever.
This might be the window. We’re talking a solid entry zone between 90 and 70, right where volatility meets opportunity.
Our profit targets?
✅ 110 for a clean bounce
✅ 125 as momentum builds
✅ 145+ if the bulls take the wheel again
It’s not about chasing—this is about timing the wave before it rips. So if you’re into smart risk, layered entries, and riding volatility like a pro… NVDA just rang the bell.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. All trading involves risk, especially in volatile conditions. Always do your own research or speak to a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NVDA Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-15NVDA Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-15)
NASDAQ:NVDA
Below is a synthesized, step‐by‐step quant analysis of NVDA’s weekly options environment based on all model reports and the provided options data:
─────────────────────────────
SUMMARY OF MODEL KEY POINTS
▪ Grok/xAI Report – Price is trading tightly in a range near $112.20 with short‐term oscillation between support (~$111.95) and resistance (~$112.35). – Very mixed short‐term indicators (5‑minute MACD bearish but daily MACD bullish) and overall neutral technicals. – High option volume and open interest around $110 (max pain) and $115, but the report concludes with “no trade recommendation” given the mixed signals.
▪ Llama/Meta Report – Confirms NVDA is at $112.20 and finds 5‑minute charts “neutral/consolidating” while noting the daily chart shows some bullish recovery. – Despite daily technical hints of a potential bullish reversal, overall bias is assessed as moderately bearish. – Recommends a put option trade—specifically a $109 strike put with an ask premium of $0.84—citing a moderately bearish view and a 70% confidence level.
▪ Gemini/Google Report – Acknowledges that while the daily chart is bullish (strong momentum above keys like the 10‑day EMA) short‑term M5 charts show consolidation and the negative news (export restrictions and a possible $5.5B charge) adds significant uncertainty. – Notes that the max pain level is at $110 (below the current price) and that although pre‑market action appears firm, the conflicting signals create high risk. – Concludes strongly to “NO TRADE” at the open given the mixed and conflicting signals (confidence around 30%).
▪ DeepSeek Report – Points out that although NVDA is trading above some key EMAs, the negative news and heavy put open interest (especially near the $110 level) weigh on sentiment. – Using max pain logic and a moderately bearish bias (targeting a move toward $110), recommends buying a $110 strike put at a $1.10 premium with a 68% confidence level. – Provides detailed entry, profit target, and stop‐loss conditions (though the premium is notably above an “ideal” range of $0.30–$0.60).
───────────────────────────── 2. AREAS OF AGREEMENT AND DISAGREEMENT
Agreement: – All models acknowledge that the negative news (export restrictions, potential $5.5B charge) introduces strong bearish pressure. – There is a common observation that options open interest clusters around the $110 level (max pain) with heavy activity on both calls and puts, signaling sensitivities near that price. – Technical indicators in the very short term (5‑minute charts) show consolidation, even though the daily charts lean more bullish in some cases.
Disagreement: – Grok/xAI and Gemini conclude that the mixed signals (technical consolidation with bearish news drag) warrant no immediate trade at open. – Llama/Meta and DeepSeek tilt toward a moderately bearish view and recommend a put trade—though they differ on the exact strike (Llama selects ~$109, DeepSeek prefers $110) and premium levels. – Confidence levels differ substantially (from 0% and 30% up to 68–70%), reflecting uncertainty about whether the news or bullish technicals will dominate intraday.
───────────────────────────── 3. CONCLUSION & RECOMMENDED TRADE
Overall Market Direction Consensus: The environment remains ambiguous. Although the daily charts show some bullish resilience, the weight of recent negative news, the gravitational pull of $110 max pain, and heavy put volumes lean toward a modestly bearish bias. Still, the signals are mixed and the immediate post‑open direction is highly uncertain.
Recommended Trade (if you choose to be opportunistic): Based on Llama/Meta and DeepSeek—if you’re willing to take a moderately bearish bet at open—a put trade might be considered. However, note that Gemini and Grok/xAI advocate waiting for a clearer signal given the uncertainty.
For traders who prefer to have a trade based on a bias toward a downside reaction, one possible trade would be: • BUY a single‑leg, naked weekly PUT option. • Strike: $109.00 (ask premium of $0.84 is close enough given liquidity and moderate bearish distance). • Expiration: April 17, 2025 • Entry: at market open • Rationale: With a moderately bearish tilt from the negative news and max pain considerations, a $109 put offers a risk/reward profile in a premium region slightly above the ideal range (but acceptable given the high-impact catalysts). • Confidence Level: ~70% • Key risks: A continued short‑term consolidation or a “bounce” in price (especially if NVDA moves toward the max pain level and finds support) would hurt a put position. Also, any unexpected bullish catalyst could quickly overturn the bearish bias.
That said, because of the significant conflicting factors and the risk that the negative news may already be priced in, one could also justify sitting on the sidelines (as recommended by two of the models).
───────────────────────────── 4. FINAL RECOMMENDATION
In our view, the market is too conflicted for a high‑confidence directional bet. However, if you are inclined to act on the moderately bearish view—and you accept the risk of an early move against your position—the put side is the only candidate for a single‑leg trade. With that said, given the discord among the models (with two models advising “no trade”), a conservative trader might well decide to wait for clearer price action at the open.
───────────────────────────── TRADE DETAILS (JSON Format)
{ "instrument": null, "direction": null, "strike": null, "expiry": null, "confidence": null, "profit_target": null, "stop_loss": null, "size": null, "entry_price": null, "entry_timing": null }
───────────────────────────── FINAL NOTE: While there is some support for a moderately bearish put trade (for example, buying a $109 put at $0.84), the divergent signals from the models (including strong advice from two reports to avoid trading today) mean that risk management is paramount. Many quant practitioners would prefer to wait until post‑open confirmation before jumping in.
Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
US President Says All Necessary Permits Will Be Given to NVDAIn shocking turn of events today, US President Donald Trump said "All necessary permits will be expedited delivered to Nvidia."
The asset however, fail to play according to the rhythm of the fundamental, up by 1.51% as of the time of writing with the RSI at 56.27. Nvidia has also been plaque by Trump's tariff rate increment that saw the shares lose about 29% in market value for the past 3 weeks.
For Nvidia Shares ( NASDAQ:NVDA ), a break above the $150 resistant could pave way for a bullish course. Similarly, failure to break pass the resistant point could resort to a bearish reversal bringing it back to the support point.
Analyst Forecast
According to 43 analysts, the average rating for NVDA stock is "Strong Buy." The 12-month stock price forecast is $172.76, which is an increase of 53.68% from the latest price.
Quantum's NVDA Trading Guide 4/13/25Sentiment: Neutral. AI chip dominance drives optimism, but tariff risks and valuation concerns temper enthusiasm. Chatter posts split—bulls see growth, bears eye correction.
Outlook: Neutral, slightly bearish. Options pin $110, with $105 puts active. ICT/SMT eyes $108-$110 buys to $115 if $108 holds. Bearish below $108 risks $105.
Influential News:
Federal Reserve: Two 2025 cuts support growth stocks, positive for $NVDA.
Earnings: Q1 due May; no update today.
Chatter: Debates AI growth vs. tariff/supply chain risks.
Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A): No confirmed NASDAQ:NVDA M&A; AI chip partnerships rumored.
Other: Tariff volatility hit NASDAQ:NVDA ; stock swung (April 3-9).
Indicators:
Weekly:
RSI: ~50 (neutral).
Stochastic: ~45 (neutral).
MFI: ~40 (neutral).
SMAs: 10-day ~$112 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$115 (below, bearish).
Interpretation: Neutral, bearish SMAs signal weakness.
Daily:
RSI: ~48 (neutral).
Stochastic: ~50 (neutral).
MFI: ~45 (neutral).
SMAs: 10-day ~$112 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$115 (below, bearish).
Interpretation: Neutral, bearish SMAs suggest pullback.
Hourly:
RSI: ~45 (neutral).
Stochastic: ~55 (neutral).
MFI: ~50 (neutral).
SMAs: 10-day ~$112 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$115 (below, bearish).
Interpretation: Neutral, stabilizing.
Price Context: $110.93 (April 11), 1M: -9%, 1Y: +28%. Range $105-$120, testing $110 support.
Options Positioning (May 2025):
Volume:
Calls: $115 (12,000, 60% ask), $120 (10,000, 55% ask). Mild bullish bets.
Puts: $105 (8,000, 70% bid), $108 (6,000, 65% bid). Put selling supports $108.
Open Interest:
Calls: $115 (35,000, +6,000), $120 (25,000, +5,000). Bullish interest.
Puts: $105 (20,000, flat), $108 (22,000, +3,000). Hedging. Put-call ~1.0.
IV Skew:
Calls: $115 (40%), $120 (42%, up 3%). $120 IV rise shows upside hope.
Puts: $105 (35%, down 2%), $108 (36%). Falling $105 IV supports floor.
Probability: 60% $105-$120, 20% <$105.
Karsan’s Interpretation:
Vanna: Neutral (~300k shares/1% IV). IV drop could pressure $110.
Charm: Neutral (~150k shares/day). Pins $110.
GEX: +60,000. Stabilizes range.
DEX: +8M shares, neutral.
Karsan view: GEX holds $105-$120; tariff news key.
ICT/SMT Analysis:
Weekly: Neutral, $105 support, $120 resistance. No $NVDA/ NASDAQ:AMD divergence.
Daily: Bullish at $110 FVG, targets $115. Bearish < $108.
1-Hour: Bullish >$110, $115 target. MSS at $108.
10-Minute: OTE ($109-$111, $110) for buys, NY AM.
Trade Idea:
Bullish: 50%. ICT/SMT buys $108-$110 to $115. Options show $115 calls. Fed cuts aid.
Neutral: 35%. RSI (~50), SMAs (bearish), $105-$120 range.
Bearish: 15%. Below $105 possible with tariffs. $105 put volume grows
NVDA TO $176 BY JUNE THEN $1000 END OF YEARNVDA to $176 by June Then $1000 End of Year: A Bold Thesis
Key Points
It seems likely that NVDA could reach $176 by June 2025, supported by strong AI market trends and upcoming earnings, but reaching $1000 by year-end is highly speculative and controversial.
Research suggests Elliott Wave analysis shows a potential bullish trend, but specific price targets like $1000 lack broad analyst support.
The evidence leans toward significant growth potential due to NVDA's leadership in AI and new product launches, yet such aggressive targets involve high uncertainty.
Current Price and Market Context
As of April 9, 2025, NVDA's closing price on April 8 was $96.30, with pre-market trading at $98.22. This reflects recent volatility, with a 52-week range from $75.61 to $153.13. The stock's performance is tied to its dominance in AI and GPU markets, which are experiencing robust growth.
Analysis for $176 by June
Reaching $176 by June 2025, an 83% increase from $96.30, is ambitious but plausible. Upcoming earnings on May 28, 2025, estimate an EPS of $0.93 and revenue of $43.34 billion, with potential beats driving price surges. Elliott Wave analysis suggests NVDA may be completing a corrective phase, with a falling wedge pattern indicating a possible upward breakout, supporting short-term targets around $176.
Analysis for $1000 by Year-End
The prediction of $1000 by December 2025, a 940% increase, is highly speculative. While some analyses, like a Forbes article, suggest NVDA could see a tenfold rise by 2026 due to the Blackwell architecture, most analyst targets range from $170 to $235. This target lacks broad support and involves significant market and fundamental risks.
Unexpected Detail: Stock Split Impact
An unexpected factor is NVDA's 10-for-1 stock split in June 2024, adjusting prices from over $1,000 to current levels, making historical comparisons complex. This split aligns the $1000 target with post-split valuations, but achieving it requires unprecedented growth.
Survey Note: Detailed Analysis of NVDA's Potential Price Surge to $176 by June and $1000 by Year-End
Introduction
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), a leader in graphics processing units (GPUs) and artificial intelligence (AI), is currently trading at approximately $96.30 as of April 9, 2025, based on the closing price from April 8, with pre-market activity showing a slight uptick to $98.22. This analysis explores the feasibility of NVDA reaching $176 by June 2025 and an ambitious $1000 by the end of the year, leveraging Elliott Wave theory and other validated analytical methods. Given the stock's recent performance and market context, we examine technical patterns, fundamental catalysts, and long-term growth potential.
Current Market Position and Historical Context
NVDA's stock has shown volatility, with a 52-week range from $75.61 to $153.13, and a year-to-date change of -11.36% over the past week and -12.23% over the past month, per recent data. The all-time high was $153.13 on January 6, 2025, indicating significant upside potential from current levels. The market capitalization stands at $2.35 trillion, with a beta of 2.40, reflecting high volatility. Key financial metrics include an EBITDA of $83.32 billion and an EBITDA margin of 63.85%, underscoring strong profitability.
A critical context is the 10-for-1 stock split in June 2024, which adjusted share prices from over $1,000 to current levels, making historical comparisons complex. This split, detailed in a CNBC article (Nvidia announces 10-for-1 stock split), was aimed at making ownership more accessible, aligning with the user's post-split price targets of $176 and $1000.
Metric Value
Closing Price (Apr 8) $96.30 USD
Pre-Market Price (Apr 9) $98.22 USD
52-Week Range $75.61 - $153.13 USD
Market Cap $2.35T USD
Beta (1Y) 2.40
Earnings Next Report May 28, 2025, EPS Estimate $0.93, Revenue Estimate $43.34B USD
Last Quarter EPS $0.89 (estimated $0.85, +4.96% surprise)
Dividend Yield (TTM) 0.04%
Elliott Wave Analysis: Technical Insights
Elliott Wave theory, a method identifying market psychology through wave patterns, suggests NVDA may be in a corrective phase, potentially completing wave (4) of a larger five-wave structure. Recent analyses, such as those on TradingView (NVIDIA Stock Chart), indicate a falling wedge or ending diagonal formation, often signaling a reversal and start of an upward trend. This could support a move to $176 by June, as wave (5) projections often extend to 1.618 times wave (1), potentially aligning with such targets.
Specific Elliott Wave analyses, like those from ElliottWave-Forecast (Elliott Wave Expects New All Time High), suggest NVDA has completed corrections and is resuming higher, with wave counts indicating impulsive rallies. However, these analyses lack explicit price targets reaching $1000, focusing more on trend continuations.
Short-Term Target: $176 by June 2025
Reaching $176 by June 2025, an 83% increase from $96.30, is ambitious but supported by several factors. The earnings report on May 28, 2025, is a critical catalyst, with estimates for EPS at $0.93 and revenue at $43.34 billion. Given NVDA's history of beating estimates, as seen in the last quarter with EPS of $0.89 against an estimate of $0.85, a strong report could drive significant price appreciation.
Technical indicators, such as a breakout from the falling wedge, align with this target. Analyst price targets, ranging from $125 to $220 with an average of $177.19 per Zacks (NVIDIA Price Target), also support the possibility, with some forecasts reaching $235.92 (NVDA Forecast). However, achieving this in two months requires sustained bullish momentum and favorable market conditions.
Long-Term Target: $1000 by Year-End 2025
The prediction of $1000 by December 2025, a 940% increase from current levels, is highly speculative. Most analyst forecasts, such as those from MarketBeat (NVIDIA Stock Forecast) and TipRanks (Nvidia Stock Forecast), range from $170 to $235, far below $1000. However, a Forbes article from May 25, 2024 (Nvidia Stock Tops $1,000), suggests NVDA could see a tenfold rise by 2026 due to the Blackwell architecture, potentially supporting a $1000 target by late 2025 if growth accelerates.
Blackwell, a new GPU architecture, is expected to enhance NVDA's AI and data center offerings, potentially driving revenue growth. CoinCodex forecasts a high of $260.32 by December 2025 (NVIDIA Stock Forecast), still below $1000, indicating the target is outlier and involves significant risk. Market volatility, competition, and macroeconomic factors, such as tariff impacts noted in CNN reports (NVDA Stock Quote), add uncertainty.
Fundamental Catalysts and Risks
NVDA's fundamentals are strong, with consistent revenue growth and high EBITDA margins. The company's expansion into AI, autonomous systems, and supercomputers, as noted in LiteFinance (Nvidia Stock Price Prediction), supports long-term growth. However, short-term corrections due to overvaluation or market sentiment, especially around tariff concerns, pose risks.
X posts, such as one from @1000xStocks (X post), highlight NVDA's EPS growth reflecting AI monetization, suggesting bullish sentiment, but lack specific $1000 targets. Another from @ravisRealm (X post) notes adding positions at lower prices, indicating confidence but not supporting the $1000 target.
Conclusion
While reaching $176 by June 2025 is plausible with strong earnings and technical breakouts, the $1000 target by year-end is highly speculative, lacking broad analyst support and requiring unprecedented growth. Investors should monitor earnings reports, product launches like Blackwell, and market trends, while employing risk management strategies given the high uncertainty.
$NVDA and NVDA Dominance Fib retracement levelsNASDAQ:NVDA is now already in bear market territory and the next question when this slide in the stock price will stop. Today in our Daily dose of Chart we are looking into NVDA Feb retracement levels in the upward sloping channels and the NVDA Dominance in NASDAQ.
If we plot the upward sloping Fib retracement channel joining the top candles weekly chart within the upward sloping channel and then plot the Fib levels to the lowest levels of 2023 and 2024 then we see that the current price is at the 3.618 Fib level which is at 104 $. The next level is 4.236 and that level lies at approx. 95 USD. So if the sell of continues then the next price target is 95 USD.
In this blog space we have floated the idea of NVDA Dominance ($NVDA.D) which is just the ratio of NASDAQ:NVDA vs NASDAQ QQQ. The dark green line in the chart signifies the NVDA Dominance and it is currently well of its highs. If we simply plot the Fib retracement on the Dominance Line, then we see the next support is @618 which will give us a price of 99 $ on the NASDAQ:NVDA stock. So that means technical speaking we have great support and price memory between 95 $ - 99 $.
Verdict : Accumulate NASDAQ:NVDA here and go extra-long @ 95-99 $
NVDA Silicon Slippage: The Bearish Case for NVDA in 5 ContractsNVDA Bearish Options Thesis — “AI’s Reality Check”
A $500 Bet Against Hype, Headwinds, and a Tired Rally
Underlying: NVIDIA (NVDA)
Current Price: $109.67
Strategy: Buy 5x $90 PUTs expiring May 2, 2025 @ $1.00
Total Cost (Risk): $500
Breakeven: $89.00
Max Value at Expiry: $45,000 (if NVDA → $0)
Target Zone: $85–$95
Risk/Reward Profile: Asymmetric 1:9+
🧠 Thesis Summary: Why NVDA Could Drop
NVIDIA, the undisputed champion of the AI GPU race, now finds itself under increasing pressure from macro forces, competition, and sentiment. This trade capitalizes on a short-term reversal thesis into earnings season and macro repricing.
🚨 Key Catalysts for Downside:
🧬 1. AI Hype Fatigue
The market is cooling on generative AI names after 12+ months of hype.
Investor sentiment is shifting toward monetization over narrative — which hits NVDA’s high-multiple story.
💥 2. DeepSeek & Chinese Competition
The emergence of DeepSeek (a competitive LLM) raises the risk of a hardware shift in the East.
China accelerating self-sufficiency in chips = reduced NVDA demand.
📉 3. Macro Headwinds & Tariffs
Renewed trade war tensions threaten advanced chip exports.
Tariffs and tighter regulations = real demand compression for NVDA’s top-line growth.
📊 4. Technical Breakdown Confirmed
Weekly close below Fib 0.382 ($109.44) — now resistance.
RSI at 41.44 — weak and trending down.
Below VWAP ($113.65), signaling momentum shift.
"NVIDIA isn't breaking down because it's bad — it's breaking down because the market is waking up."
💰 Trade Breakdown: 5x $90 PUTs @ $1.00 (May 2, 2025)
Metric Value
Contracts 5
Cost per Contract $100
Total Premium $500
Breakeven $89.00
Max Gain $45,000
Max Loss $500 (premium only)
📊 P&L Scenarios (5 Contracts)
NVDA Price Drop % Intrinsic Value Total Payout Net Profit ROI (%)
$100 -8.8% $0.00 $0 -$500 -100%
$95 -13.4% $0.00 $0 -$500 -100%
$90 -17.9% $0.00 $0 -$500 -100%
$85 -22.5% $5.00 $2,500 $2,000 400%
$82.70 -24.6% $7.30 $3,650 $3,150 630%
$80 -27.1% $10.00 $5,000 $4,500 900%
🧮 Technical Levels to Watch
Level Price Notes
VWAP $113.65 Rejected
0.382 Fib $109.44 Just breached
0.5 Fib $96.07 Strong support
0.618 Fib $82.70 Bearish target
RSI 41.44 Weak momentum
✅ Summary
Factor Insight
Total Spent $500 (5x $90 PUTs @ $1.00)
Breakeven $89.00
Risk Fully capped at $500
Potential Return Up to $4,500 (900%) if NVDA → $80
Catalyst Market re-rating AI, earnings unknowns, regulatory clouds
Trade Horizon 33 days — high velocity post-breakdown possible
Nvidia (NVDA) Share Price Continues Bearish TrendNvidia (NVDA) Share Price Continues Bearish Trend
Earlier this month, our analysis of NVDA's share price led us to:
→ Establish a downward channel (marked in red).
→ Suggest that the lower boundary could act as support, which was confirmed (circled).
On 13 March, we anticipated the median line of this channel might serve as resistance, and yesterday’s ~5% drop in NVDA’s share price (marked by a red arrow) aligns with this scenario.
As a result, NVDA’s price has declined by approximately 17% since the start of 2025, despite being a market leader in 2024.
Why Did Nvidia (NVDA) Shares Drop Yesterday?
Market sentiment turned negative amid concerns that the Trump administration may soon impose previously delayed international trade tariffs.
Additionally, the Financial Times reported that Chinese regulators are encouraging firms to adopt data centre chips that meet stringent environmental standards. This raises concerns that Nvidia’s H20 chip, despite complying with U.S. export controls, may not meet China’s environmental regulations. Investors seemingly viewed this as a bearish signal for Nvidia’s future sales in China.
Technical Analysis of Nvidia’s Share Price
Currently, NVDA’s price is encountering resistance at the bullish gap formed on 12 March, around $112.50.
Given the broader market context, this setup could indicate an attempt by bears to resume the downtrend after a temporary rebound from oversold conditions. A consolidation pattern in the form of a narrowing triangle (marked in red) has also emerged.
If market conditions remain challenging, bears may push NVDA’s price towards the psychologically significant $100 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Nvidia Partners With General Motors to Build Self-driving CarsNVIDIA Corporation, a computing infrastructure company, provides graphics and compute and networking solutions in the United States, Singapore, Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, and internationally Partners With General Motors to Build Self-driving Cars.
Also in another news, IBM Taps NVIDIA AI Data Platform Technologies to Accelerate AI at Scale.
Apparently, shares of Nvidia (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ) is undeterred by all this news presently down 3.43% trading with a weak RSI of 44.
The 78.6% Fibonacci retracement point is acting as support point for shares of NVidia a break below that pivot could lead to a dip to the 1-month axis. Similarly, a breakout above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement point could catalyse a bullish renaissance for $NVDA.
$140 - $150 are imminent for NVDANVIDIA Stock Analysis & Forecast
Price Outlook: $140 - $150 in Sight
NVIDIA (NVDA) has consistently been one of the most rewarding stocks for investors, delivering substantial returns over the past few years. However, following its all-time high (ATH) of approximately $153 on January 7, 2025, the stock experienced a notable pullback, declining to around $105.
Since that dip, NVDA has shown signs of recovery, with the current price stabilizing at $121.67. This upward momentum suggests a potential rally toward the $140 - $150 range in the near term.
Investment Strategy
Long-Term Perspective: Given NVIDIA’s strong fundamentals and market dominance, accumulating shares for long-term investment remains a solid strategy.
Short-Term Trading: For traders, technical indicators suggest potential entry and exit points. Refer to my chart for the accompanying chart for detailed technical analysis (TA) insights.
While the stock has shown resilience, monitoring key support and resistance levels will be crucial in determining the next phase of its movement.
Nvidia (NVDA) Share Price Rises Over 6%Nvidia (NVDA) Share Price Rises Over 6%
The NVDA stock chart shows that following yesterday’s trading session, the share price climbed over 6%, outperforming the Nasdaq 100 index (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen), which gained just over 1%.
Despite this recovery from a six-month low, NVDA shares remain down 15% year-to-date.
Why Did Nvidia (NVDA) Shares Rise Yesterday?
Positive sentiment swept through the stock market after U.S. inflation data came in lower than expected. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the month stood at 0.2%, below analyst forecasts of 0.3% and the previous reading of 0.4%.
Investors may now be looking for opportunities following the March sell-off, triggered by Trump’s tariff policies and recession fears—and NVDA shares appear attractive in this context.
Barron’s suggests that NVDA stock may currently be undervalued, while MarketWatch cites BofA analyst Vivek Arya, who advises investors to focus on Nvidia’s gross profit margins as a key driver of significant share price growth.
Technical Analysis of NVDA Stock
Earlier this month, we identified a descending channel (marked in red) and suggested that its lower boundary could act as support—which was confirmed (highlighted by the circle).
Bullish perspective:
- The stock opened with a bullish gap and gained throughout the session, failing to hold below the psychological $110 level.
Bearish perspective:
- The price remains within the descending channel, with the median line potentially acting as resistance.
- The $117.50 level, previously a support, has turned into resistance (as indicated by the arrows) and may pose a challenge to further recovery.
NVDA Share Price Forecast
According to TipRanks:
- 39 out of 42 analysts recommend buying NVDA stock.
- The average 12-month price target for NVDA shares is $177.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NVDA Stock: Under $120 pressured? $111 Break Signals $100 RiskIs NVIDIA (NVDA) stock in trouble? As long as NVDA stays under the 120 area, it’s under serious pressure, and the red flag is a drop below 111, opening the door to a fall to the 100 area. In this video, we dive into the latest NVDA stock analysis, breaking down how U.S. export controls have slashed sales to China—now just 15% of total revenue—spooking investors. Could this be the catalyst for a bigger crash? We explore technical levels (120, 111, 100), the impact of CEO Jensen Huang’s sales warning, and what it means for NVDA stock price in near term. Don’t miss this critical update— Drop your thoughts in the comments: Is NVDA a buy or a sell at these levels?
Nvidia’s Sharp Decline: Market Turbulence or Buy Opportunity?Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) shares took a steep dive on Monday, falling nearly 9% after former President Donald Trump confirmed that tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico will take effect on Tuesday. This sharp drop contributed to broader market weakness, with the Dow tumbling 800 points (-1.8%) and the Nasdaq Composite sliding over 3%.
Despite Nvidia’s recent earnings beat, its stock has fallen over 13% since last Wednesday, erasing its $3 trillion market cap and bringing its valuation down to $2.79 trillion. However, Tuesday’s trading session saw a notable rebound, with NASDAQ:NVDA gaining 3% as buying pressure returned. Given the technical setup and macroeconomic factors at play, is Nvidia poised for a comeback?
Tariff Fears and Supply Chain Scrutiny
Nvidia’s revenue surged 78% year-over-year to $39.33 billion in its latest earnings report, surpassing analysts’ expectations. However, investor sentiment remains cautious due to the uncertainty surrounding new trade tariffs.
Trump’s 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada could impact Nvidia’s supply chain. While most of Nvidia’s chips are manufactured in Taiwan, other high-end components and full computing systems are assembled in Mexico and the U.S., making them subject to the new duties.
Technical Analysis
Despite Monday’s sharp sell-off, Tuesday’s market session saw a 4% bounce, signaling potential recovery. Key technical indicators suggest a possible shift in momentum. Nvidia’s relative strength index (RSI) has dipped close to oversold territory, suggesting the stock may be due for a reversal. NASDAQ:NVDA is trading at levels last seen in September, a historically strong support area that could trigger buying interest.
With traders digesting tariff implications and market conditions stabilizing, Nvidia could see a short-term bounce if momentum continues.
Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Hits New Yearly LowNvidia (NVDA) Stock Hits New Yearly Low
The NVDA stock chart shows that during yesterday’s trading session, the price dropped to $112.16, marking:
→ A new low for 2025, surpassing the previous bottom set on 3 February.
→ The lowest price in nearly five months.
Why Is Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Falling?
Bearish sentiment may be driven by:
→ A Wall Street Journal report stating that Chinese companies can still access Nvidia’s latest Blackwell chip despite Biden-era restrictions. Investors may fear tighter regulations, as the U.S. aims to limit technological advancements for geopolitical rivals.
→ The impact of Trump’s trade tariffs, which continue to disrupt global markets.
Technical Analysis of NVDA Stock
As noted in our report five days ago, NVDA’s price is forming a more defined downward channel (red) while moving further away from the Rising Wedge pattern (blue).
How Low Could Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Drop?
Despite NVDA’s weak performance relative to the broader market, investors may seek long positions in this former 2024 market leader.
Potential support levels:
→ The lower boundary of the red channel.
→ The psychological $100 mark.
If the Rising Wedge plays out, bears may target $85, based on the A-B range projected from point C.
A high-risk bullish argument could suggest that yesterday’s drop was a false bearish breakout below the 3 February low.
NVDA Stock Price Forecast
Analysts remain optimistic, possibly due to last week’s strong earnings report.
According to TipRanks:
→ 38 out of 41 analysts recommend buying NVDA.
→ The 12-month average price target is $178.
Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NVDA: Fibonacci cluster support and 200MA at 126.5. NASDAQ:NVDA : Fibonacci Cluster Support at 126.5 Sets Up Potential 10% Rally to 140
Looking at NVIDIA's technical setup, I've identified a critical support zone that could launch NASDAQ:NVDA toward a significant target if it holds.
Technical Analysis
The current price action shows NVIDIA testing a key support zone consisting of:
- Fibonacci cluster at 126.5
- 200 Moving Average support
If this support zone holds, I'm targeting the next Fibonacci cluster at 140, representing approximately a 10.7% upside potential.
Entry Strategy
I'm monitoring two potential entry scenarios:
Aggressive Entry (15-minute chart):
- Wait for 8 EMA to cross above 34 EMA
- Price must break above the most recent swing high
- Entry on confirmation of this break
Conservative Entry (30-minute chart):
- Same criteria as above but on the 30-minute timeframe
- Provides more reliable signals with fewer false breakouts
Risk Management
Stop Loss: Place stops below the 126.5 Fibonacci/200 MA support zone (approximately 124-125)
Profit Target: First target at the 140 Fibonacci cluster
Conflicting Indicators
My analysis shows mixed signals that require caution:
1. My WillVall indicator on the weekly chart shows a potential buy opportunity at current prices, BUT it needs to change direction and move above the 15 level before confirming a long-term entry
2. Multiple timeframe squeeze indicators (Weekly, 4D, 3D, 2D) are currently in squeeze with negative momentum, suggesting downside pressure
3. According to IBD Market School methodology, the market is showing signs of correction and the buy switch is currently OFF, indicating we should avoid new long positions
Trade Plan
Given the current market conditions and mixed signals:
- Wait for confirmation of support at the 126.5 zone
- Look for entry signal confirmation on preferred timeframe
- Use smaller position size due to conflicting indicators
- Set clear stop loss below support (124-125)
- Target the 140 Fibonacci cluster for profit taking
I'll remain patient and wait for clearer market conditions before committing significant capital to this trade. The technical setup is promising, but broader market conditions suggest caution.
NVDA to 151? Morning Trading Fam
Currently this is what I am seeing with NVDA, looks like we have decent support around 118 if that level holds I can see us driving up to 144 then 151 from here. However if we break through the 118 support: we could possibly see a massive breakdown down to 87-88 dollar range.
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
NVDA : Good shopping pointshello friends
We have analyzed these stocks for you in a very simple way. In the long term...
We have identified good shopping points where you can shop.
Note that the price is at the ceiling of the channel and it is not logical to buy at the ceiling of the channel, so either we buy in case of correction or if the channel is broken and its failure is valid, we can buy.
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Breaking: Nvidia ($NVDA) Surges 4% on Earnings BeatNvidia (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ), the U.S.-based semiconductor giant, has once again outperformed market expectations, reporting $39.3 billion in Q4 revenue, a 2.7% increase beyond analyst projections. While its dominance in AI chips remains unchallenged, a surprising growth driver has emerged: its automotive and robotics segment. With demand for driver-assist technology soaring, this segment is poised to become Nvidia’s next multi-billion-dollar business.
The Rise of Nvidia’s Automotive Business
Nvidia’s automotive and robotics revenue surged by 103% year-on-year, reaching a record $570 million in Q4 FY2025. This brings its total segment revenue for the fiscal year to $1.69 billion, marking the second consecutive year above the $1 billion threshold.
Although automotive contributes just 1.45% to Nvidia’s total revenue, analysts predict exponential expansion as real-world applications of autonomous driving and robotics continue to develop.
Technical Analysis
As of the latest session, NASDAQ:NVDA closed up 3.67% and continued its positive momentum, rising 2% in premarket trading. From a technical standpoint, Nvidia is approaching a bullish breakout, supported by the following indicators:
- RSI at 48: This suggests the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, leaving ample room for an upward push.
- Key Fibonacci Levels: In case of a pullback, the 65% Fibonacci retracement level serves as a strong support zone, providing a potential rebound point.
- Breakout Potential: A move above the 1-month high could signal further bullish momentum, paving the way for new highs.
With AI-driven demand surging, and Nvidia's automotive and robotics division gaining traction, the company is well-positioned for long-term profitability. Investors should keep a close watch on technical breakouts and fundamental milestones, as Nvidia continues to redefine the future of AI and autonomous technology.
Nvidia (NVDA) Share Price Dips Slightly After Earnings ReportNvidia (NVDA) Share Price Dips Slightly After Earnings Report
Following the close of the main trading session yesterday, Nvidia released its quarterly earnings report, exceeding analysts' expectations:
→ Earnings per share: Actual = $0.89, Expected = $0.84
→ Revenue: Actual = $39.3 billion, Expected = $38.1 billion (a 78% increase year-on-year)
It was also revealed that Nvidia’s latest AI chip family, Blackwell, generated $11 billion in sales for the quarter. This eased concerns that transitioning to the Blackwell chip series could lead to a decline in revenue.
How Nvidia (NVDA) Shares Reacted to the Earnings Report
Despite the strong earnings, Nvidia’s share price did not benefit significantly. Post-market trading saw heightened volatility, with NVDA shares fluctuating between $126 and $136 in the first few minutes after the report’s release.
As volatility subsided, NVDA stabilised around $129, slightly below Wednesday’s closing price of $131.37, reflecting a decline of approximately 1.7%.
Technical Analysis of NVDA Stock Chart
In February, NVDA’s share price continued to hold below the lower boundary of its previous upward trend channel after failing to break the psychological barrier at $150. Specifically:
→ The lower channel boundary has now acted as resistance (indicated by the arrow).
→ A downward trend channel (marked in red) is becoming increasingly apparent.
As a result, NVDA shares have not shown the ability to recover from the panic sell-off on 27 January, when Nvidia and other leading AI companies saw their stocks plummet following the success of Chinese startup DeepSeek.
NVDA Share Price Forecast
Analysts remain optimistic, possibly due to the expected increase in AI-related capital expenditure by major tech firms in 2025. Additionally, the upcoming GTC conference could serve as a bullish catalyst, likely featuring new product announcements within the Blackwell family.
According to TipRanks:
→ 33 out of 36 analysts recommend buying NVDA shares.
→ The 12-month average price target for NVDA is $177.
Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.