DeepSeek AI | TechStocks Crash | NVIDIA down -17%On Monday (yesterday), Wall Street reacted wildly with the release of Chinese AI app DeepSeek.
Throughout the day, roughly 1 Trillion US Dollars was wiped from the stock market, largely from chip and tech stocks suck as Nvidia which caused a larger sell-off.
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman called it an "impressive model" and POTUS Donald Trump said that it should be a "wakeup call for our industries".
The bright side of this, is that there can be some excellent entry points found across the market after the sell-off.
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NASDAQ:NVDA
Nvda_analysis
Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Price Drops by Approximately 17%Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Price Drops by Approximately 17%
The start of 2025 appeared favourable for Nvidia (NVDA) shares from a fundamental perspective:
→ On 6 January, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang delivered a keynote at the Consumer Electronics Show (CES).
→ On 22 January, the company's stock prices rose following President Trump's Stargate project announcement.
However, news from China triggered a sharp decline, with Nvidia's stock price plunging approximately 17% yesterday, as shown on the Nvidia (NVDA) chart.
According to Reuters, last week the Chinese startup DeepSeek launched a free AI assistant requiring minimal resources. By Monday, the assistant had surpassed its American rival, ChatGPT, in downloads from Apple’s App Store.
CNN reports that the R1 model is both powerful and significantly cheaper than AI technologies from OpenAI, Google, or Meta. DeepSeek claimed to have spent just $5.6 million on its base model, compared to the hundreds of millions or billions invested by American companies in their AI technologies.
This may have led market participants to conclude that the AI industry requires fewer Nvidia chips than previously thought, prompting a sell-off of Nvidia shares. This decline also impacted other companies in the sector, with sharp drops in Oracle (ORCL), Broadcom (AVGO), and others.
As a result, Nvidia lost its title as "the world's most valuable company" to Apple, and its CEO saw his fortune decrease by 20%.
Technical analysis of Nvidia (NVDA) stock chart indicates that:
→ The upward channel (marked in blue), formed by price fluctuations throughout 2024, has been broken, as the price fell well below its lower boundary.
→ The psychological resistance level of $150, previously highlighted in our analyses (most recently on 6 January), held firm despite numerous challenges.
→ The sharp drop, accompanied by a bearish gap between $142 and $128, can be interpreted as a market structure shift (MSS).
This development may lead to reduced investor interest in the AI sector, with NVDA stock likely to continue its decline within a downward channel.
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NVDA Stock Update: Downtrend Alert!📉 NVDA Stock Update: Downtrend Alert! 🚨
Attention traders!
As we analyze the current market structure for NVIDIA (NVDA), it's crucial to note the recent developments on the daily chart.
Key Observations:
Market Behavior Since December 20, 2024: NVDA has been in a ranging market, characterized by significant volatility.
Bearish Signal: We witnessed a huge bearish engulfing pattern, indicating strong selling pressure. This is a critical signal for traders to consider.
Break of Key Level: The recent higher high can now be defined as a Lower High (LH) as the base of the order block at $129.60 has been broken.
Expected Support Levels:
As we move forward, we anticipate the following support levels:
$124.94
$120.33
$115.78
We are particularly focused on potential accumulation within this Demand Zone. It's essential to stay vigilant and adapt your strategies accordingly!
Happy trading, and stay safe! 📊💼
Market Analysis: NVDAMarket Analysis: NVIDIA
Over the past three to four months, NVIDIA Corporation ( NASDAQ:NVDA NVDA) has demonstrated solid performance, with its stock price increasing by approximately 4.96%. This steady growth reflects the company’s strong position in the technology sector, driven by its dominance in GPU production, AI advancements, and cloud computing.
The release of its latest financial results and continued demand for AI-related technologies have kept investor confidence high. However, market volatility and broader concerns in the tech sector may have tempered the pace of its gains. Overall, NVDA remains a key player to watch, especially as AI adoption accelerates globally.
Why has the title been stuck in the same range for over 90 days?
Let's always keep in mind that NVDA, from the low it reached in 2022, has now experienced an increase of about 1200%, so a sideways phase is completely normal, if not expected!
Let’s take a look at the chart since May 25, 2023 (599 days // 317%)
We can observe how the uptrend has always been accompanied by a very important trendline, which has now been retested and invalidated, all marked by a particularly unfavorable signal: a candle that opens higher, setting a new all-time high, and closes in the negative.
Nonetheless, NVDA has consistently exhibited a similar pattern – large uptrends, leaving gaps open almost everywhere, and long sideways phases, which usually lead to a breakout driven by earnings announcements.
Let’s look at the examples the market provides us:
We have the first upward move (1st), driven by earnings results that cause a gap up of about 20%, followed by a wide trading range in which the price remains trapped. Later (2nd), a strong bullish phase, and finally another sideways phase (3rd), all with very wide ranges!
Now, the current zone is a difficult one to analyze because initially it seemed to be a bullish zone, but now appears to be more of a consolidation…
So, the situation we find ourselves in now is another moment for a buy or a trend change? Let us know your thoughts in the comments!
BUY NVDA (130-135)NVIDIA (NVDA) is currently trading within a well-defined channel and is approaching a strong support zone between $130 and $135, a level where buyers have historically stepped in. The recent rejection from the $155 resistance suggests a potential rebound from the lower range. This setup provides a bullish trade opportunity, with an entry around $130-$135 and a target of $170, offering a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. A stop-loss below $125 is recommended to manage risk.
Signal:
Buy Zone: $130 - $135
Target Price: $170
Stop-Loss: $125
If this analysis resonates with you, please like, follow, and share your insights in the comments to support more content like this.
NVDA – Buy the Dip for a Short BounceOur last NASDAQ:NVDA trade went very well. Within a few weeks we made more than 15% re-testing the ATH and generating a new one. Directly after hitting the ATH we saw a sell on good news event during the CES and the presentation of the “Home AI PC”. The perfect time to buy was yesterday minutes before markets closed. The price formed a falling wedge with a RSI divergence. Nevertheless, buying today could still give results. Target is the ATH again and invalidation point is a close below our $140 support.
Target Zones
$154
Support Zones
$140
$NVDA LongNVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) shows signs of a potential rebound based on Elliott Wave Theory and key technical indicators. The chart suggests that NVDA has likely completed a corrective Wave 4 and could be entering Wave 5, signaling a continuation of its primary bullish trend. Divergences in the Relative Strength Index (RSI), MACD, and Williams %R indicate that the recent pullback may be temporary.
The RSI shows a bullish divergence, with higher lows on the indicator while the price made lower lows, a common precursor to upward momentum. The MACD has turned upward, with a bullish crossover suggesting increasing buying interest. The Williams %R, which measures overbought and oversold conditions, also shows a divergence, indicating the stock may have been oversold and could be ready to reverse.
NVIDIA’s strong fundamentals, driven by increasing demand for AI infrastructure and GPUs, support this technical setup. Compared to gold and U.S. Treasury bonds, which have stabilized with minimal growth potential, NVIDIA offers significant upside as the chart signals a potential reversal and renewed bullish momentum.
Daily Halftime Report: NVDA Continuation Buy-InDaily Halftime Update: NVDA gapped up on this morning's session to retest it's ATHs at $152.89 which was tested back in Nov 21, 2024. Looking for a entry between $149.5-$149.95 (Target: $149.73) and a close above $148.98 for confirmation of Continuation to retest those ATHs in the weeks to come. Looking for a $160 Price Target on the Long Trade here.
NVIDIA (NVDA): Will $142 or $133.92 Break First?Morning Trading Family
NVIDIA is sitting at a key point, and what happens next could lead to a big move. Let’s break it down in simple terms so it’s easy to follow.
If NVDA Breaks Above $142
Things could get exciting for the bulls. Here’s what to expect:
Breaking above $142 could kick off a solid bull run.
We’d likely see momentum push the price higher from there.
If NVDA Breaks Below $133.92
The bears might take over, and these levels could show up next:
$129: The first stop where some buyers might try to step in.
$114: A bigger drop, which would be an important level to watch for support.
Here’s the Plan
-Watch $142 and $133.92—these are the key levels.
-Be ready for a breakout or breakdown, but only trade when it’s confirmed.
-Always manage your risk. Use stop-losses and don’t risk more than you’re comfortable losing.
If you enjoyed this breakdown, give it a like or follow. Have questions about NVIDIA or any other chart? Send me a DM, and I’ll help you out.
Feeling stressed or burned out from trading? You’re not alone. Let’s chat about ways to build a balanced trading mindset that helps you stay in the game for the long term. You’ve got this!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
NVIDIA (NVDA): Breakout Levels in Sight!Good morning, trading family!
NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is getting close to a key resistance level at $141.87. Here’s what could happen:
If the price breaks $141.87: We might see it move up to $150 and even $158 if the momentum stays strong.
This is an exciting setup, so keep an eye on how the price reacts. Let’s stay focused and trade smart!
Wellness Tip of the Day: Start your morning with a healthy breakfast. A mix of protein (like eggs or yogurt), healthy fats (like nuts or avocado), and slow carbs (like oatmeal or whole-grain bread) will give you steady energy and help you make sharp decisions all day.
Comment, like, follow, or send me a message if you’d like more details about this trade!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Is NVIDIA Ready to Break Out or Break Down?Good morning, trading family!
How’s everyone feeling today? Got your coffee? Charts ready? It’s time to dive in and see what the market has in store for us.
Here’s the vibe: NVIDIA’s setting up for something big—are we aiming for $142 or sliding to $119? It’s like a game of tug-of-war, and the market’s holding the rope.
Quick Tip: Remember, trading is about patience and discipline. If you’re feeling stuck, step away, take a breath, and come back with a clear head. The market’s not going anywhere.
If you want a closer look at these setups or other ideas I’m watching, feel free to check out my profile or send me a DM—I’m always happy to share insights or answer questions. Let’s make it a great day!
Kris /Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
NVIDIA's Declined over 10%, Why? When will be the Buy timing? NVIDIA fell nearly 4% today before narrowing the loss to 1.22%. Since hitting a record closing high of $148.88 in early November, the AI chip maker's stock has dropped over 10%.
So, what is causing NVIDIA's decline?
Firstly, Supply Chain Issues and Challenges
NVIDIA faces multiple challenges in its supply chain, a significant factor in its stock decline.
First, according to the latest data, the order volume and schedules for the GB200 and GB300 have been adjusted. Particularly, the mass production and shipment of GB series products have been postponed until after the Lunar New Year in February, increasing market uncertainty. Additionally, the small-scale production plans for GB300 face tight deadlines, putting pressure on GB200's mass production.
Specific supply chain issues include CoWoS-L packaging technology, heating problems, copper cable connections, and leakage issues. These not only affect product yield rates but also increase system integration time costs. Consequently, NVIDIA has suggested customers purchase the B200 8-card HGX as a transitional solution, and clients like Microsoft are considering switching their orders. These supply chain issues affect NVIDIA's product delivery capabilities and reduce market expectations for its future performance.
Secondly, Market Competition and Narrative Changes
ASICs are gaining market recognition as a competitive narrative.
ASICs are chips designed for specific tasks, akin to custom running shoes for a race. For certain tasks, ASICs outperform NVIDIA's GPUs (widely used for computing tasks) and are potentially cheaper.
OpenAI co-founder Ilya and industry leaders like Microsoft's CEO Satya have started discussing the importance of not only training AI models but also ensuring they can quickly and accurately make decisions in real applications. This shift in perspective gives ASICs an advantage in some scenarios, as they are designed for rapid, precise execution of tasks.
This raises questions about the cost of NVIDIA's GPUs. While powerful, they are expensive and require significant electricity and cooling. As ASICs perform better at lower costs for some tasks, there's consideration of replacing NVIDIA's GPUs with ASICs.
Additionally, changes in scaling law narratives and the strengthening of inference narratives pose threats to NVIDIA.
Scaling laws suggest that increasing AI model size (e.g., more neurons or layers) typically improves performance, but these gains are not infinite and require significant computational resources. This means NVIDIA must continually invest resources to improve product performance, potentially increasing costs.
Moreover, companies like BTC, Tesla, and Google are investing heavily in their own AI chips or solutions. This intensifies market competition and challenges NVIDIA's leadership.
Thirdly, Market Sentiment and Capital Flows
Market sentiment and capital flow significantly impact NVIDIA's stock price. As the year ends, retail investors, ETFs, and institutions adjust their portfolios. Fluctuations in tech giants like Microsoft, Apple, and Google affect tech stocks like NVIDIA. Investors are more cautious, favoring stable, promising companies.
Given these conditions, NVIDIA faces pressure on its stock price due to supply chain issues and competition. Lowered expectations for NVIDIA's future performance lead to capital outflows and stock price declines.
Fourthly, Future Outlook and Catalysts
Despite current challenges, NVIDIA has opportunities for a turnaround.
First, NVIDIA needs to resolve supply chain issues, improve product yield, and delivery capabilities. Second, strengthening its presence in software and applications is crucial to addressing market competition. Additionally, NVIDIA should explore new computing narratives to expand its computing potential.
Fifthly, Technical Analysis and Price Divergence
Previously, prices rose continuously, but volume and KDJ began to decline, showing divergence. Without capital support, upward momentum was insufficient, leading to a short-term adjustment and a break below the mid-term trend line, resulting in a mid-term callback.
When Might a New Rally Occur?
From a technical analysis perspective: After two prior mid-term adjustments, breaking the downward trend line may signal the start of a new rally. Thus, this new rally must first break the resistance line.
From a catalyst perspective: While January's CES and the earnings release in late February may not bring major surprises, March's GTC is worth anticipating. NVIDIA needs to showcase new technologies and products at this event to restore market confidence. If NVIDIA can introduce groundbreaking innovations, a stock rebound is possible.
Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Price Falls to a Two-Month LowNvidia (NVDA) Stock Price Falls to a Two-Month Low
While the Nasdaq 100 index (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) climbed to an all-time high, Nvidia's (NVDA) stock price dropped below $131 during yesterday's trading session for the first time since mid-October. This bearish behaviour suggests a weakening of Nvidia's leading position. What is the reason?
A key driver could be the significant surge in Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) shares, a competitor to Nvidia. Following a roughly 20% price increase for AVGO in one day, another growth day followed, as we anticipated yesterday. As a result, amid Broadcom's strong forecast for 2025, AVGO shares have risen by 54% since early December, and investors may be reallocating their portfolios, selling NVDA and buying AVGO.
Technical analysis of Nvidia's (NVDA) stock chart reveals a concerning picture — bears may break the lower boundary of the blue channel, which has acted as support throughout 2024. Importantly, bears managed to push the price downwards both from the $150 level and the $140 level (indicated by arrows).
According to the Nasdaq exchange, NVDA's stock price in today's pre-market trading has fallen below $130. If this does not trigger demand for the stock of one of the leading companies in the AI boom, it will be another worrying signal.
According to TipRanks, analysts remain optimistic for now:
→ 37 out of 40 analysts recommend buying NVDA shares.
→ The average price target for NVDA is $177 within 12 months.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NVIDIA Update: Big Levels to WatchHere’s the deal with NVDA right now:
1)If it keeps dropping, we’re looking at a move down to $130–$127.
2)But if it can break above $139, we could see it climb to $145 or higher.
It all comes down to whether $139 holds strong or if the price slips lower. Just keep an eye on those levels and let the market do its thing!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Cautious optimism to give way to December decline for NVDA
The sentiment around NVIDIA (NVDA) over the past 72 hours has been mixed but leans slightly positive. Here's what we see:
Analyst Views : Analysts remain bullish, with a strong "buy" consensus and an average price target suggesting a potential 21% upside from current levels. This reflects optimism about NVIDIA’s prospects, particularly with its leadership in AI and data center technology.
Seasonal Trends : Historically, December has been a weaker month for NVIDIA’s stock performance, with shares declining in 60% of Decembers over the past decade. However, this is typically followed by strong recoveries in the new year.
Investor Discussions: Investors 'round the Web are expressing cautious optimism. Some highlight concerns about high valuation and broader market headwinds, while others emphasize NVIDIA's long-term growth drivers like AI and semiconductor demand.
The overall mood suggests near-term caution due to seasonal and valuation factors but confidence in NVIDIA's long-term trajectory.
With all this said, we see cautious optimism leading to a rise to a key resistance level in the 144.00 price range, followed by a decline in December, fueled alongside the SPY's potential crumbling.