NVDA: Is the incredible run coming to an end?NVDA chart is as bullish as it can get. Monthly close is as strong as it can get. There is nothing bearish about this at this moment. And this is where I get my spidey senses tingling. I am looking at a couple little things to be cautious.
1. Price hit the 2.618 fib extn from cycle wave 1 and 2. This is as good place as any to complete primary wave 3. Regardless of what the future holds, this extension is a great resistance. The reaction from this spot has been pretty sharp, but there is no sign of deeper damage yet.
2. RSI negative divergence: On the monthly timeframe the divergence is very clear. On daily timeframe, things are very frothy. There is no indication of a macro turn yet, but this is where things get unpredictable.
We need to see where the weekly closes. At this point no bearish setup until we see a weekly close below 900. After stock split things might start to get interesting.
Nvda_analysis
Can we go back to reality?Congratulations NVDA, because you delivered everything you could deliver in terms of good results, however, can we get back to reality?
Will the Black Monday that we experienced in 1987, in the DOW JONES index, be experienced again in 2024, and thanks to NVDA and technology companies?
We know what happened between 1980 and 1985 to the American economy, right?
It is known that in the 1980s and early 1990s, dollars could circulate freely around the world, so much so that we had a global economic miracle, and the world was swimming in booming growth.
But, at the current moment, dollars can no longer circulate freely around the world (FED, China, Russia) and continue contributing to global growth? Therefore, the technological war we are experiencing today (chips and electric cars), diverted dollars to these sectors, further inflating this bubble that is about to burst.
Speaking of electric cars, China is firmly dumping its electric cars around the world at very reasonable prices (as it has no intention of breaking its internal market – control), once and for all destroying the automobile industry in many emerging countries, oh my, no?
Let's go graphics.
Monthly: NVDA has reached the three golden levels of the FIB of the SETUP used, so there is nowhere else to go. So, SPX, get ready.
The red lines are resistance points.
Weekly: With the brilliant financial report recently released, prices are ready to seek the golden region of this chart period.
The red lines are resistance points.
Daily. Prices have reached the region of 100% of the bullish pivot.
The red lines are resistance points.
Do your analysis and good business.
Be aware, if you buy, use stop loss.
See other graphical analyzes below.
A Golden Age for Splits? Nvidia's MoveNvidia's recent announcement of a 10-for-1 stock split sent ripples through the tech industry. Investors cheered the move, with the stock price surging 9% to a record high. But beyond the immediate impact on Nvidia, Bank of America (BofA) suggests this could be the first domino in a wave of tech stock splits. This article explores the implications of Nvidia's split, the factors driving potential future splits, and the historical trends associated with this strategy.
Nvidia's Split: A Catalyst for Change?
Nvidia's stock price, hovering around $1,000 before the announcement, undoubtedly played a significant role in the decision. With a lower share price after the split, the stock becomes more accessible to individual investors, potentially broadening its investor base. This aligns with BofA's observation that Nvidia is already a favorite among retail investors, according to a May 22 Vanda Research report.
BofA analysts see the split as a positive sign, highlighting a trend of "shareholder-friendly policies" within large-cap tech companies. They also point to historical data suggesting that companies undergoing splits tend to experience strong returns in the following year.
A Landscape Ripe for Splits?
BofA's note identifies 36 companies within the S&P 500 with share prices exceeding $500, potentially making them candidates for future splits. This includes tech giants like Microsoft and Meta Platforms, whose stock prices are approaching that threshold.
There are several factors making the current tech landscape ripe for stock splits:
• Soaring Stock Prices: Fueled by technological advancements and strong demand, many tech stocks have experienced phenomenal growth in recent years. This has pushed share prices to record highs, potentially creating a psychological barrier for some retail investors.
• Accessibility and Liquidity: A lower share price can make a stock more attractive to individual investors, increasing overall trading volume and liquidity. This broader investor base can potentially lead to a more stable stock price.
• Psychological Impact: A lower share price can make the stock appear more affordable, even if the underlying value of the company remains unchanged. This can trigger increased buying interest, particularly among retail investors.
Beyond Price: The Strategic Considerations
While share price is a key factor, companies considering a split should also weigh other strategic considerations:
• Signaling Confidence: A stock split can be seen as a sign of management's confidence in the company's future growth potential. This positive signal can improve investor sentiment and potentially attract new investment.
• Maintaining Momentum: A well-timed split can capitalize on a company's positive momentum, further propelling its stock price upwards. However, a poorly timed split during a market downturn might not yield the desired results.
• Cost and Complexity: Implementing a stock split involves administrative costs and logistical complexities that companies need to consider.
Historical Trends and Potential Outcomes
BofA cites historical data showing that stock splits have generally been followed by positive returns. They argue that splits don't dilute the company's value, but rather make it more accessible to a broader investor base. This can lead to increased trading activity and potentially higher valuations.
However, it's important to note that correlation doesn't imply causation. While past trends suggest positive outcomes, future performance remains subject to market conditions and individual company fundamentals.
The Road Ahead: A Spliting Tech Future?
Nvidia's stock split has reignited the conversation around this strategy within the tech industry. With numerous companies sporting high share prices, BofA's prediction of a potential wave of splits holds merit. This trend, if it materializes, could have several implications:
• Increased Retail Investor Participation: Lower share prices could attract more retail investors to the tech sector, potentially boosting overall market activity.
• Enhanced Liquidity: Broader investor participation can lead to higher trading volumes and improved liquidity for these tech stocks.
• Short-Term Volatility: The implementation of splits could lead to short-term market volatility as investors adjust their positions.
Conclusion
Nvidia's stock split may be a harbinger of a larger trend within the tech sector. Companies with high share prices might consider following suit to broaden their investor base and potentially enhance long-term value. However, the decision to split should be a strategic one, carefully evaluating both the potential benefits and the associated costs and complexities. As the market watches Nvidia's post-split performance, it will be interesting to see if this move ushers in a new era of tech stock splits and how it shapes the investment landscape in the coming years.
Nvidia Shares Soar 8.43% After Stellar EarningsChip stocks soared in out-of-hours trading on Wednesday and Thursday after chipmaker Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) smashed Wall Street's expectations with its latest earnings report, continuing a period of extraordinary growth as booming interest in artificial intelligence propels the tech sector to new heights. Shares for Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) climbed nearly 8% during after-hours trading on Wednesday, peaking above $1,000 per share for the first time. While these gains have pared a little in the hours since Nvidia’s earnings report, shares for the California-based company were still up by more than 6% at the time of writing on Thursday morning.
Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) shares are currently trading at around $1,030, putting the chipmaker on track to surpass the $1,000 milestone and hit an all-time high when markets open on Thursday. Other chipmakers benefiting from intense interest in artificial intelligence include shares for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Arm Holdings, Dell Technologies, and Super Micro Computer Inc., which were all up between 3% and 6% during pre-market trading.
Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) released its hotly anticipated earnings report for the first quarter of 2024 on Wednesday afternoon, which smashed Wall Street’s expectations and marked the company’s most profitable quarter ever. Respectively, profits and sales were up 628% and 268% compared to the same time period last year, Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) said, reporting $6.12 earnings per share and $26 billion in sales for the three-month period ending April 30.
The release of OpenAI’s generative AI chatbot ChatGPT in 2022 ignited a global race among tech companies to build and deploy ever more advanced AI systems. The race has spurred stellar demand for the kinds of advanced computer chips required to maintain, run, and develop these AI systems, and Nvidia, formerly known for its gaming hardware, is one of the world’s leading beneficiaries for this demand and has become a bellwether for interest in the sector.
Nvidia's profit soars, underscoring its dominance in chips for artificial intelligence. Its net income rose more than sevenfold compared to a year earlier, jumping to $14.88 billion in its first quarter that ended April 28 from $2.04 billion a year earlier. Revenue more than tripled, rising to $26.04 billion from $7.19 billion in the previous year.
Technical Outlook
Nvidia's (NVDA) stock is up 8.97% in Thursday's market trading riding high with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 71.60 placing NASDAQ:NVDA in an overbought territory, hence a trend reversal is along the horizon in the long term.
Nvidia - Earnings, Channel, $1.000!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Nvidia .
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Explanation of my video analysis:
If you are objectively looking at the stock chart of Nvidia, you can see that Nvidia is currently trading in a solid rising channel formation. But as we are speaking, Nvidia is retesting the upper resistance and considering that we just saw a rally of +700% without any real correction, it is quite likely that we will see at least a short term bearish rejection from here.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Nvidia Earnings Poised for Surge as AI Adoption Faces ScrutinySemiconductor giant Nvidia prepares to deliver its first-quarter earnings report on Wednesday, a closely watched event for investors gauging the health of the artificial intelligence (AI) sector.
Market Expectations Point to Explosive Growth
Analysts anticipate a banner performance from Nvidia, fueled by surging demand for its AI chips. Revenue and profits are projected to exhibit exponential growth, with estimates suggesting:
Adjusted earnings per share: $5.65 (400% year-over-year increase).
Revenue: $24.69 billion (200% increase from the prior year).
The Data Center segment, driven by cloud service providers like Amazon and Google, is the primary growth driver. The Gaming segment also contributes positively.
Emerging Challenges in the AI Landscape
Despite positive projections, Nvidia faces potential headwinds:
Transitional Hiccups: The shift from Hopper to Blackwell architecture might cause temporary sales slowdowns as customers wait for the new, more powerful chips.
Competitive Pressures: Tech giants like Amazon developing custom AI chips could threaten Nvidia's market share.
Positive Outlook Prevails Despite Cautious Optimism
Overall sentiment remains optimistic. Nvidia is a leader in the AI chip market, with analysts bullish on its future. The stock price has reflected this confidence with a recent strong performance.
Upcoming Earnings Report: A Critical Barometer
Wednesday's earnings report will be crucial for gauging AI sector momentum and Nvidia's ability to navigate technological changes.
Trading Strategy
Buy at: $975.84
Take Profits at:
T.P_1: $986.77
T.P_2: $1000.00
T.P_3: $1028.34
T.P_4: $1051.81
T.P_5: $1085.00
T.P_6: $1114.86
T.P_7: $1146.96
T.P_8: $1161.76
T.P_9: $1191.66
Stop Loss at: $830.06
Technical Study of Fundamental Support for NVDA EarningsNASDAQ:NVDA is the NYSE:GE , NASDAQ:MSFT , or NYSE:GM of prior Great Bull Markets of the past. It is overly influential; when it moves so too do most of the other semiconductor, electronic components, gaming stocks, etc. Too much importance is placed on this one lone stock. It is just one of many companies that are leading this new Great Bull Market.
However, NVDA has an earnings report due out Wednesday May 22. The black line defines the support that has held the stock even when the overall sentiment of retail groups was selling other stocks down more steeply than this one. The sideways trend is not developed enough at this time to pattern out any excessive pricing above fundamentals.
The question is where are the fundamentals right now--obviously well above the lower level outlined in blue, which was the previous fundamental support level.
The sideways support of February, outlined in orange, was the start of a fundamental support level before retail traders and smaller funds went bonkers on their excitement about NVDA beating expectations.
One good indication that fundamentals are within the current wide sideways trend is the fact that this stock has been trending back up to a narrow sideways trend, outlined in green.
Watching this stock this week can provide some more information for pre earnings run activity. Holding through to the earnings date poses higher risk as HFTs are gapping stocks down on earnings news that is not bad news but a minor weakness somewhere in the earnings report.
NVDA Nvidia LONG T1 900 T2 950NVDA Nvidia LONG T1 900 T2 950
Stop Loss is explained in the video with partial exit when price breach Horizontal support TL towards downside and remaining exit when green sloping TL breaches towards downside.
However, probability of NVDA reaching T1 = 900 and T2 = 950 is very high
NVDA Update: How Low Can She Go?NASDAQ:NVDA was over-speculated. It is a component of many ETFs based on all kinds of index funds, from semi-conductor ETFs to Big Blue chip companies, etc.
NVDA was the big loss stock for the NASDAQ on Friday. The huge down day was due to many retail investors and smaller funds running for the door. This has nothing to do with its earnings report. It is a universal panic in the stock market. Pro traders bought the stock in the last few minutes of the trading day. Now the stock is close to being a buy on the dip candidate.
The angle of descent is too steep to sustain but the price can collapse further as there is not a Dark Pool Buy Zone firmly established at this level.
Revenues and earnings have been showing exponential growth but the next earnings report is a month away. Just keep in mind that the economy is booming. We had a nudge of higher inflation mostly due to oil prices but some due to corporate growth. Inflation = Growth.
NVIDIA (NVDA) Slumps 10% Consecutively for 5 Days NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ), a prominent AI technology firm, has experienced a significant 10% decline in its stock over the past five days, leading some to speculate that the company's AI bubble may be bursting. This downward trend could be indicative of a broader bear season in the AI ecosystem.
One potential cause of NVIDIA's recent decline is the disruption of its business model. The company does not directly manufacture chips; instead, it designs semiconductors that are produced by the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company. Some of NVIDIA's key clients, including Meta, Amazon, OpenAI, and Microsoft, have recently begun designing their own AI chips, resulting in a loss of market share for NVIDIA. Intel and Google have also recently launched competing AI chips, including Gaudi 3 and Axion, further threatening NVIDIA's position in the market.
Despite these challenges, some analysts argue that the AI bubble has not yet burst. Bryan Beal, a top business executive, has suggested that NVIDIA's recent decline is not indicative of broader market trends. Rather, it is a reflection of the company's specific challenges. Moreover, NVIDIA's market capitalization, which reached $2 trillion in February 2024, remains higher than that of Alphabet and Amazon, making it the third-most valuable firm in the United States.
However, the recent economic data and inflation reports have caused markets and policymakers to lower their expectations for interest rate cuts, which has in turn caused tech stocks, including NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ), to waver. At present, NVIDIA's stock is trading at $762 on Nasdaq, having experienced a 10% decline in the last 24 hours and a decline of over 14% over the past five days.
Overall, while NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) may be facing challenges in its AI business, it is still a major player in the market and is likely to continue to play an important role in the development of AI technology.
Nvidia - Struggling at the highs!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Nvidia.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
For more than 6 years Nvidia stock has been trading in a pretty obvious rising channel formation. At the moment Nvidia stock is actually retesting the upper resistance trendline. Considering that Nvidia stock also rallied 650% over the past couple of months, it is quite likely that we will see at least a short term correction towards the downside, retesting the previous all time high.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
101% Option Play on NVDA Today! Just wanted to share our heck of a option play that we pulled this morning with NVDA, as a projected pullback from the recent bounce and reaction from the CPI/PPI/Unemply. Data that was release this weekend.
CNBC Analysts touted this as a safehaven, but I thought it was a false narrative based on the TA and what we were seeing on the charts going into the Aftermarket Session, yesterday.
Pullbacks are healthy, so we exact a rebound back to the north based on the past few trading sessions.
Stay Tuned for more as we move forward with providing you our Daily MyMI Option Playz at MyMI Wallet!
Nvidia's Downturn: Correction or Cyclical Shift?Nvidia, the undisputed leader in graphics processing units (GPUs), has hit a rough patch. After a stellar run that saw its stock price reach record highs, the company has entered correction territory, with its share price dropping over 10% from its peak. This sudden decline has sent shockwaves through the tech industry, prompting questions about the company's future and the broader health of the chip market.
A Look Back: Nvidia's Meteoric Rise
The past few years have been a golden age for Nvidia. Fueled by the surging demand for high-performance computing across various sectors, the company enjoyed phenomenal growth.
• Gaming Boom: The surging popularity of video games, particularly during the pandemic lockdowns, led to a massive increase in demand for Nvidia's powerful GPUs, which are essential for delivering high-fidelity graphics experiences.
• AI Revolution: The rapid advancement of artificial intelligence (AI) applications, from self-driving cars to facial recognition technology, created a growing need for Nvidia's specialized AI processing units (AIGPU).
• Cryptocurrency Craze: The rise of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum, which rely heavily on GPUs for mining, further boosted Nvidia's sales.
These factors combined to propel Nvidia's stock price to dizzying heights, culminating in an all-time high of $950 per share in late March 2024.
A Rude Awakening: Entering Correction Territory
However, the recent weeks have painted a different picture. As of April 10, 2024, Nvidia's stock price has fallen over 10% from its peak, officially entering "correction territory." This is typically defined as a decline of 10% to 20% from a recent high and is often seen as a sign of a market overcorrection or a fundamental shift in the company's prospects.
Possible Causes for the Downturn:
Several factors could be contributing to Nvidia's current woes:
• Market Saturation: The gaming industry might be approaching a saturation point in terms of high-end PC sales. This could lead to a decline in demand for Nvidia's top-tier GPUs.
• Cryptocurrency Volatility: The recent slump in cryptocurrency prices has led to a decrease in mining activity, potentially impacting Nvidia's sales to miners.
• Supply Chain Concerns: Ongoing global supply chain disruptions could be hindering Nvidia's ability to meet production demands, leading to shortages and price hikes.
• Analyst Cautiousness: Some analysts are expressing concerns about the sustainability of
Nvidia's growth trajectory, particularly in the face of increasing competition from other chip manufacturers.
Is This Just a Temporary Blip?
Despite the recent decline, some experts remain optimistic about Nvidia's long-term prospects. Here's why:
• The Metaverse Advantage: The burgeoning metaverse, a virtual reality-based online world, requires powerful graphics processing capabilities, which could be a major growth driver for Nvidia.
• AI Adoption Continues: The adoption of AI across various industries is expected to continue at a rapid pace, ensuring a sustained demand for Nvidia's AIGPUs.
• Innovation Powerhouse: Nvidia is known for its constant innovation and cutting-edge technology development. This could lead to new product categories and revenue streams in the future.
Navigating the Uncertainty: What Investors Should Consider
With conflicting signals emerging, investors are grappling with whether this is a buying opportunity or a sign of a more significant downturn. Here are some key considerations:
• Market Sentiment: Keep a close eye on the broader tech market and overall economic conditions. Factors like interest rate hikes and inflation can impact investor confidence and, consequently, technology stocks.
• Company Performance: Evaluate Nvidia's recent financial performance, future product roadmaps, and its response to emerging challenges. Are they taking steps to address supply chain issues or developing new markets?
• Analyst Opinions: While not infallible, analyst ratings can offer valuable insights into the potential risks and opportunities for Nvidia.
Beyond Nvidia: The Broader Chip Market
The correction in Nvidia's stock price might be indicative of a broader slowdown in the chip market. Investors should monitor other major chipmakers like AMD and Intel to gauge the overall industry sentiment.
Conclusion: A Crossroads for Nvidia
Nvidia undoubtedly faces headwinds, with its stock entering a correction territory. However, the company's strong fundamentals and position in high-growth markets like AI and the metaverse suggest its long-term potential remains intact. Investors should carefully consider the company's future prospects, the broader tech market landscape, and their own risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. The coming months will be crucial for Nvidia to navigate these challenges and demonstrate its ability to sustain its impressive growth trajectory.
Nvidia Enters Correction Zone After Plummeting by 10%Chipmaking giant Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) finds itself navigating the stormy seas of correction territory. With shares down 10% from their recent all-time highs, investors are left wondering: what lies ahead for this AI powerhouse?
Nvidia's ascent to prominence has been nothing short of remarkable, fueled by the insatiable demand for its graphics processing units (GPUs) in the era of artificial intelligence. From powering compute-intensive AI applications to serving as the backbone of data centers, Nvidia's chips have been instrumental in driving the AI revolution forward.
However, as the dust settles and the euphoria of past gains fades, investors are left pondering the reasons behind Nvidia's recent downturn. One catalyst could be the unveiling of Intel's new AI chip, Gaudi 3, which promises to rival Nvidia's most advanced offerings. Boasting superior power efficiency and faster AI model processing capabilities, Intel's chip represents a formidable challenge to Nvidia's dominance in the AI space.
Moreover, analysts at D.A. Davidson have raised concerns about a potential cyclical downturn on the horizon for Nvidia. They point to factors such as the shrinking size of AI models and increased competition from alternative solutions, which could dampen demand for Nvidia's stock in the coming years.
Despite these headwinds, Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) remains a titan in the world of AI technology, with a track record of delivering stellar financial performance. The company's recent earnings report showcased a staggering 486% jump in non-GAAP earnings per diluted share, underscoring the continued strength of its business.
As investors grapple with the uncertainty of market corrections and the evolving landscape of AI technology, Nvidia stands at a crossroads. Will it weather the storm and emerge stronger than ever, or will it succumb to the pressures of increased competition and shifting market dynamics? Only time will tell.
In the meantime, investors would be wise to keep a close eye on Nvidia's strategic moves and technological advancements, as they may hold the key to its future success in an ever-changing landscape.
Technical Outlook
Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) stock is in a downward Trend with the stock closing at 2% loss in Tuesday's trading session. With a weak Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 44.99 paving way for further decline. Nvidia's ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) 4-month price chart shows a three-black bearish crow candlestick pattern further attesting to the bearish trend of this thesis.
In conclusion, while Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) may be facing challenges in the present moment, its long-term prospects remain promising. As it adapts to the evolving demands of the AI market and navigates the complexities of correction territory, Nvidia has the potential to emerge as a resilient and enduring force in the world of technology.
NVDA Nvidia Double Top If you haven`t bought NVDA before the previous earnings:
Then it's important to note that technically, we're currently in a double top formation, which is one of the most bearish chart patterns. While I anticipate NVDA to rise by the year's end, it appears bearish for the next month.
Introducing Nvidia's Next Generation AI Hardware and Software OfNvidia has officially introduced its next generation AI hardware and software offering, setting a new standard in the industry. With cutting-edge technology and innovative solutions, Nvidia is paving the way for the future of artificial intelligence.
This new offering promises to revolutionize the way we approach AI, providing faster, more efficient, and more powerful solutions than ever before. With Nvidia's state-of-the-art hardware and software, traders can expect increased performance, improved accuracy, and enhanced capabilities to stay ahead in the market.
Now is the time to invest in Nvidia and take advantage of this groundbreaking technology. Don't miss out on the opportunity to be a part of the future of AI. Join us in long Nvidia today and be a part of the next generation of innovation.