$140 - $150 are imminent for NVDANVIDIA Stock Analysis & Forecast
Price Outlook: $140 - $150 in Sight
NVIDIA (NVDA) has consistently been one of the most rewarding stocks for investors, delivering substantial returns over the past few years. However, following its all-time high (ATH) of approximately $153 on January 7, 2025, the stock experienced a notable pullback, declining to around $105.
Since that dip, NVDA has shown signs of recovery, with the current price stabilizing at $121.67. This upward momentum suggests a potential rally toward the $140 - $150 range in the near term.
Investment Strategy
Long-Term Perspective: Given NVIDIA’s strong fundamentals and market dominance, accumulating shares for long-term investment remains a solid strategy.
Short-Term Trading: For traders, technical indicators suggest potential entry and exit points. Refer to my chart for the accompanying chart for detailed technical analysis (TA) insights.
While the stock has shown resilience, monitoring key support and resistance levels will be crucial in determining the next phase of its movement.
Nvdalong
NVDA Falling Wedge Pattern Setup after retestAnother falling wedge pattern has formed on NVDA's hourly chart, with price action contained between two converging downward trendlines. The stock shows a potential bullish reversal setup after testing major support at 109. Volume has been declining during the pattern formation, which is why a falling wedge. Pull back to retest upper trendline.
SL at 108 1st target 131
Nvidia’s Sharp Decline: Market Turbulence or Buy Opportunity?Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) shares took a steep dive on Monday, falling nearly 9% after former President Donald Trump confirmed that tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico will take effect on Tuesday. This sharp drop contributed to broader market weakness, with the Dow tumbling 800 points (-1.8%) and the Nasdaq Composite sliding over 3%.
Despite Nvidia’s recent earnings beat, its stock has fallen over 13% since last Wednesday, erasing its $3 trillion market cap and bringing its valuation down to $2.79 trillion. However, Tuesday’s trading session saw a notable rebound, with NASDAQ:NVDA gaining 3% as buying pressure returned. Given the technical setup and macroeconomic factors at play, is Nvidia poised for a comeback?
Tariff Fears and Supply Chain Scrutiny
Nvidia’s revenue surged 78% year-over-year to $39.33 billion in its latest earnings report, surpassing analysts’ expectations. However, investor sentiment remains cautious due to the uncertainty surrounding new trade tariffs.
Trump’s 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada could impact Nvidia’s supply chain. While most of Nvidia’s chips are manufactured in Taiwan, other high-end components and full computing systems are assembled in Mexico and the U.S., making them subject to the new duties.
Technical Analysis
Despite Monday’s sharp sell-off, Tuesday’s market session saw a 4% bounce, signaling potential recovery. Key technical indicators suggest a possible shift in momentum. Nvidia’s relative strength index (RSI) has dipped close to oversold territory, suggesting the stock may be due for a reversal. NASDAQ:NVDA is trading at levels last seen in September, a historically strong support area that could trigger buying interest.
With traders digesting tariff implications and market conditions stabilizing, Nvidia could see a short-term bounce if momentum continues.
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Breaking: Nvidia ($NVDA) Surges 4% on Earnings BeatNvidia (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ), the U.S.-based semiconductor giant, has once again outperformed market expectations, reporting $39.3 billion in Q4 revenue, a 2.7% increase beyond analyst projections. While its dominance in AI chips remains unchallenged, a surprising growth driver has emerged: its automotive and robotics segment. With demand for driver-assist technology soaring, this segment is poised to become Nvidia’s next multi-billion-dollar business.
The Rise of Nvidia’s Automotive Business
Nvidia’s automotive and robotics revenue surged by 103% year-on-year, reaching a record $570 million in Q4 FY2025. This brings its total segment revenue for the fiscal year to $1.69 billion, marking the second consecutive year above the $1 billion threshold.
Although automotive contributes just 1.45% to Nvidia’s total revenue, analysts predict exponential expansion as real-world applications of autonomous driving and robotics continue to develop.
Technical Analysis
As of the latest session, NASDAQ:NVDA closed up 3.67% and continued its positive momentum, rising 2% in premarket trading. From a technical standpoint, Nvidia is approaching a bullish breakout, supported by the following indicators:
- RSI at 48: This suggests the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, leaving ample room for an upward push.
- Key Fibonacci Levels: In case of a pullback, the 65% Fibonacci retracement level serves as a strong support zone, providing a potential rebound point.
- Breakout Potential: A move above the 1-month high could signal further bullish momentum, paving the way for new highs.
With AI-driven demand surging, and Nvidia's automotive and robotics division gaining traction, the company is well-positioned for long-term profitability. Investors should keep a close watch on technical breakouts and fundamental milestones, as Nvidia continues to redefine the future of AI and autonomous technology.
NVIDIA to $228If Nvidia were truly done for, why is it impossible to find their latest 5000 series GPUs?
Even if someone wanted to buy one, they simply can't.
The reason lies in Nvidia's commitment to fulfilling the soaring demand from AI data centers, which has left them unable to produce enough H100 and H200 models.
This situation also allows Nvidia to increase their profit margins significantly, capitalizing on the disparity between demand and the media frenzy surrounding them.
DeepSeek serves as a prime example of how out of touch mainstream media can be.
All DeepSeek did was replicate Chat GPT.
Training models requires substantial computing power. The panic surrounding Nvidia and other semiconductor companies is quite amusing; the demand for computing power is skyrocketing!
The gap between the reality of the AI mega-trend and the narrow focus of mainstream media is staggering! It's astonishingly out of touch! Just as out of touch as Cramer was when he declared META was done at $100, or when he thought Chat GPT would obliterate Google at $88.
Stock prices fluctuate between being overvalued and undervalued. While we have metrics like EGF and PE ratios to assess valuation, indicating that Nvidia is currently inexpensive, this doesn't guarantee it won't drop further. However, it is generally wiser to buy stocks when they are cheap rather than when they are costly.
The greater the deviation from the high then the greater the BUYING OPPORTUNITY being presented for the very best leading companies.
The key takeaway is that the deeper Nvidia falls during its corrections, the more advantageous it could be.
Those who are experiencing anxiety during these declines may find themselves selling at a loss, or for a marginal profit possibly around previous highs, while the stock has the potential to rise to $228 and beyond.
The potential for growth is significant; the $228 Fibonacci extension may not represent the peak. Attempting to predict a top for Nvidia could be misguided. Once it reaches $228, Nvidia might maintain a valuation similar to its current $130 level.
NVDA - Back again, now down again?The pattern seems to repeat.
Again, we had a HAGOPIAN, which sais, that price goes back more than from where it came, and this rule was right.
Up in here, I'm not that confident anymore that price will reach the Centerline. But, it's not about what I think, or how confident I'm are. I just have to follow my Strategy and act according to the Rules, the trading framework of the Medianlines.
That said, we either shoot up on earnings, or we definitely tank down. For now, there is no trade, only a Gamble. I rarely gamble, so I'll sit on the sidelines and let it happen whatever will come out on earnings.
As for a Lotto-Ticket, I would buy some Puts and just have fun to watch how they get burned, or how I get a Christmas Moment in the beginning of the new year §8-)
Nvidia = 4T Market CapNASDAQ:NVDA : Largest Market Cap in the World?!
4 Trillion Market Cap Inbound 🎯
Ever since Nvidia flipped to green on the H5 indicator we have come back to retest it 5 times. In which we bounced and then rallied hard!
Support created and NASDAQ:NVDA is breaking out!
Not financial advice
NVIDIA (NVDA) Bounces Off Weekly EMA – Is a Rally Coming?📈 NVIDIA (NVDA) closed the week with a strong bullish candle, rebounding off the 50-week EMA. Historically, this has been a key level for the stock, often signaling strong continuation moves to the upside.
Key Observations:
- 1W 50 EMA Support: In previous cycles, NVDA has repeatedly touched this moving average and rebounded, leading to sustained uptrends. The highlighted regions on the chart reinforce this pattern.
- Strong Buying Volume: The volume bars suggest renewed interest from buyers at this level.
- Macro Uptrend Intact: Despite recent corrections, NVDA remains in a long-term bullish trend.
Fundamentals:
- NVIDIA is expected to release their next earnings report on February 26th, which is in 19 days from now.
- NVIDIA is set to release their $3000 NVIDIA GB10 compact AI super computer in May.
- As cheaper-to-run AI models like DeepSeek are released and get into the hands of businesses, this will lead to increased demand for AI chips (read about Jevons' Paradox on Wikipedia ).
Potential Price Path:
🚀 If history repeats, this bounce could lead NVDA to reclaim previous highs and even explore new all-time highs in the coming months.
⚠️ Risk Factor: If NVDA fails to hold above the 50-week EMA, downside risk increases, with a potential retest of lower support levels.
📊 Conclusion: This historical pattern suggests a high-probability trade setup. Traders and investors should keep an eye on volume confirmation and macroeconomic conditions before making their next move.
💬 What’s your take on NVDA’s next move? Share your thoughts below! 👇
Let me know if you want any refinements or additional insights. 🚀
Don't forget,
Patience is Paramount.
NVIDIA in Correction phaseWhat to Expect After Nvidia's Major Market Cap Tumble
Rocky White
Wed, January 29, 2025 at 6:00 PM GMT+5 2 min read
Expectations were high for artificial intelligence (AI) companies, but they took a hit on Monday after Chinese startup DeepSeek claimed it can spend way less money and deliver AI performance comparable to major tech firms.
This triggered massive selloffs in megacap stocks. Nvidia (NVDA) fell 17%, losing over $500 billion in market capitalization -- a record-breaking decline, larger than the entire market cap of companies like Mastercard (MA), Netflix (NFLX), Costco (COST), and Bank of America (BAC).
Broadcom (AVGO) also plunged 17%, losing about $200 billion in market value, while Oracle (ORCL) fell roughly 14%, or $70 billion in market cap. It made me curious how stocks have tended to perform after such massive losses.
$NVDA - Resilience in ActionNASDAQ:NVDA
In my previous post (linked above) I noted the amount of macro upwards pressure NASDAQ:NVDA
Even with the market becoming leary of (or noticing other A.I. developer options), NASDAQ:NVDA still just makes the HARDWARE that these A.I. models are able to use and abuse in order to perform better. NASDAQ:NVDA will continue to create great hardware, and continually iterate on the items that will continue to make A.I. great.
My recommendation? Continue to hold, and buy at these lower levels. NASDAQ:NVDA will continue to rise.
NVDA making its way to retest a previous CHOCHHi Traders!
I'm waiting patiently on NVDA. It broke through a 4HR Bullish OB, and now It's making its way down to retest that breaker OB area. However, If it keeps breaking down past 136.00, then the 4HR CHOCH would become invalid. I have 2 alerts set- 1 at 140.50, and 136.50. These are potential areas where there could be a reversal. Price likes to test previous CHOCH patterns, so watching closely for the best possible entry if the chart presents itself that way.
If the reversal happens and continues to move up, I'm looking for price to break 150 since tapping that area a few times already. Lets see what we can get🤞
*DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. The ideas and trades I take on my page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I trade. Remember, trading of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine.*
NVDA LESSON Now We Hunt For A DISCOUNT Nvidia⚪️ NVDA Another example of traders getting
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entering pre 150 break.
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NVIDIA's Momentum A Breakout Story in Progress1. Trend and Structure
The chart showcases an upward momentum, breaking out of a prior resistance level, indicating bullish pressure. The breakout aligns with the upward-sloping trendline, which serves as a strong support structure.
2.Breakout Confirmation
The price has successfully broken through a resistance level, confirming a bullish breakout. This signals potential continuation toward the marked target zone.
3.Entry Point
The entry appears to have been taken near the breakout point, at approximately $141.60, aligning with the bullish momentum.
4. Target (Take Profit)
The take-profit level is marked at $152.94, representing a reasonable upward move from the breakout point. This target aligns with the continuation of the trend.
5. Stop Loss
The stop-loss level is placed at $133.46, below the recent support and trendline. This level ensures protection in case the breakout fails.
6.Risk-Reward Ratio
The setup demonstrates a healthy risk-to-reward ratio, with potential gains outweighing the risks. This indicates a well-calculated trade.
7. Technical Indicators
The momentum of the candles breaking the resistance shows strong bullish interest. No immediate signs of bearish divergence or reversal are visible in the chart.
The chart reflects a bullish breakout setup in NVIDIA's stock price. With strong momentum and a clear trendline breakout, the trade aligns well with the current upward movement. The target and stop-loss levels are well-placed, adhering to a disciplined trading strategy.
NVDA vs SMH @ 100 Day SMAToday we are plotting the ratio chart of NVDA vs the semiconductor ETF SMH on a weekly basis. NVDY/SMH i3 at 100 Day SMA because as the rally in NDY has stalled out while other Semi stocks are having a bull run form the recent lows. The semi cap equipment companies had a bad year last year. So within semis people re going for low Market Cap stocks and the recent underperformers.
But in the last 5 years, the ratio chart always bounced back from its 100- and 200-Day SMA. Sq this might be an accumulating zone for NVDA believers.
BUY NVDA (130-135)NVIDIA (NVDA) is currently trading within a well-defined channel and is approaching a strong support zone between $130 and $135, a level where buyers have historically stepped in. The recent rejection from the $155 resistance suggests a potential rebound from the lower range. This setup provides a bullish trade opportunity, with an entry around $130-$135 and a target of $170, offering a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. A stop-loss below $125 is recommended to manage risk.
Signal:
Buy Zone: $130 - $135
Target Price: $170
Stop-Loss: $125
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$NVDA LongNVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) shows signs of a potential rebound based on Elliott Wave Theory and key technical indicators. The chart suggests that NVDA has likely completed a corrective Wave 4 and could be entering Wave 5, signaling a continuation of its primary bullish trend. Divergences in the Relative Strength Index (RSI), MACD, and Williams %R indicate that the recent pullback may be temporary.
The RSI shows a bullish divergence, with higher lows on the indicator while the price made lower lows, a common precursor to upward momentum. The MACD has turned upward, with a bullish crossover suggesting increasing buying interest. The Williams %R, which measures overbought and oversold conditions, also shows a divergence, indicating the stock may have been oversold and could be ready to reverse.
NVIDIA’s strong fundamentals, driven by increasing demand for AI infrastructure and GPUs, support this technical setup. Compared to gold and U.S. Treasury bonds, which have stabilized with minimal growth potential, NVIDIA offers significant upside as the chart signals a potential reversal and renewed bullish momentum.
Daily Halftime Report: NVDA Continuation Buy-InDaily Halftime Update: NVDA gapped up on this morning's session to retest it's ATHs at $152.89 which was tested back in Nov 21, 2024. Looking for a entry between $149.5-$149.95 (Target: $149.73) and a close above $148.98 for confirmation of Continuation to retest those ATHs in the weeks to come. Looking for a $160 Price Target on the Long Trade here.