Get started

Nvdaprediction

From Boom to Bust? Nvidia Warns of a Potential 50% DropAfter an incredible rally, Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA has finally hit a wall at its all−time high of $140, failing to secure a strong monthly close above this critical resistance level. This stagnation at the peak is a red flag for the stock’s near-term momentum. Since the rally began in 2016, the monthly chart has been overwhelmingly bullish, with only a few exceptions: 2018, 2022, and now 2024, where the monthly chart has printed a bearish engulfing candle. Historically, when this pattern has appeared, it has led to steep retraces. Based on the median pullback from the past two occurrences, we could see a 50% decline by mid 2025 from current levels, a potential bloodbath for unprepared investors. Is this a guaranteed outcome? Of course not. But higher timeframes carry significant weight in macro price action, and this bearish signal is too significant to ignore. Stay alert—volatility ahead! While a short-term pump toward the $140s is more than likely, it’s important to recognize that this move will feel more like a dead cat bounce than a sustainable recovery. For those considering a short position, this potential bounce could offer the perfect entry point. However, unless NVDA can achieve a strong break above $150 and successfully flip this level into support, there’s no compelling reason to turn bullish here. The macro warning signs remain intact, and the risk of a deeper retrace increases.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by ZelfTrade
$NVDA Dominance in NASDAQ: $NVDA vs NASAD IndexAll of us in crypto are used to looking at the BTC.D Chart (Bitcoin Dominance). With BTC.D stuck in a range between 57% and 60% we try to look at a new dominance chart which no one is talking about. Same as DeFI in TradFI we can look at one of the most famous Asset which is NASDAQ:NVDA vs its dominance in tech heavy NASDAQ index. Let’s call it ‘ NASDAQ:NVDA Dominance’ (NVDA.D) © 😉. Further usage of the ticker should be copyrighted to me. 😊 $NVDA.D is now below its 200 Day SMA. If we plot NASDAQ:NVDA vs NASDAQQ Index, we get $NVDA.D and there we see that NVDA.D is making multi months lows and below 200 Day SMA. We have not seen this kind of weakness in $NVDA.D since CHAT GPT was launched in Nov 2022. The last time $NVDA.D was below the 200 Day SMA it spent almost 6 months consolidating during the 2022 Tech bear market before AI sparked the new bull market.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by RabishankarBiswal
NVIDIA in Correction phaseWhat to Expect After Nvidia's Major Market Cap Tumble Rocky White Wed, January 29, 2025 at 6:00 PM GMT+5 2 min read Expectations were high for artificial intelligence (AI) companies, but they took a hit on Monday after Chinese startup DeepSeek claimed it can spend way less money and deliver AI performance comparable to major tech firms. This triggered massive selloffs in megacap stocks. Nvidia (NVDA) fell 17%, losing over $500 billion in market capitalization -- a record-breaking decline, larger than the entire market cap of companies like Mastercard (MA), Netflix (NFLX), Costco (COST), and Bank of America (BAC). Broadcom (AVGO) also plunged 17%, losing about $200 billion in market value, while Oracle (ORCL) fell roughly 14%, or $70 billion in market cap. It made me curious how stocks have tended to perform after such massive losses.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by POWERFUL_TRADERS
NVDA making its way to retest a previous CHOCHHi Traders! I'm waiting patiently on NVDA. It broke through a 4HR Bullish OB, and now It's making its way down to retest that breaker OB area. However, If it keeps breaking down past 136.00, then the 4HR CHOCH would become invalid. I have 2 alerts set- 1 at 140.50, and 136.50. These are potential areas where there could be a reversal. Price likes to test previous CHOCH patterns, so watching closely for the best possible entry if the chart presents itself that way. If the reversal happens and continues to move up, I'm looking for price to break 150 since tapping that area a few times already. Lets see what we can get🤞 *DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. The ideas and trades I take on my page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I trade. Remember, trading of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine.*
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by thattradergirl
3
Nvidia: FluctuationOver the past two weeks, NVDA has exhibited increased fluctuation within the boundaries of the current key levels: the resistance at $152.89 and the support at $126.34. Initially, the price seemed to favor our alternative scenario, but it managed to reverse just in time. Following a dip to $129, the stock rebounded swiftly. Our primary assumption remains that the beige wave III should eventually break above the $152.89 resistance. However, there is still a 33% chance that the expected rises will be delayed by a new low of the blue wave alt.(IV). This alternative scenario will prevail if the stock falls below the $126.34 support level.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by MarketIntel
NVDA vs SMH @ 100 Day SMAToday we are plotting the ratio chart of NVDA vs the semiconductor ETF SMH on a weekly basis. NVDY/SMH i3 at 100 Day SMA because as the rally in NDY has stalled out while other Semi stocks are having a bull run form the recent lows. The semi cap equipment companies had a bad year last year. So within semis people re going for low Market Cap stocks and the recent underperformers. But in the last 5 years, the ratio chart always bounced back from its 100- and 200-Day SMA. Sq this might be an accumulating zone for NVDA believers.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by RabishankarBiswal
What’s Next for NVDA: $142 or $123?Good morning Trading Family Here’s the game plan: if NVDA moves above $133.50, we could see it climb to $134.50, then correct back down to $123. If it breaks $129.33, it might drop to the $123 range. But if it pushes past $137, we could see it head toward $142. This Sunday, I’m hosting a webinar on how emotions can hurt your trading and how to take control of your mindset for better results. Send me a message or check out my profile for details. If this added value to your trading, like, comment, and share it with someone who needs it. Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Mindbloome-Trading
$NVDA LongNVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) shows signs of a potential rebound based on Elliott Wave Theory and key technical indicators. The chart suggests that NVDA has likely completed a corrective Wave 4 and could be entering Wave 5, signaling a continuation of its primary bullish trend. Divergences in the Relative Strength Index (RSI), MACD, and Williams %R indicate that the recent pullback may be temporary. The RSI shows a bullish divergence, with higher lows on the indicator while the price made lower lows, a common precursor to upward momentum. The MACD has turned upward, with a bullish crossover suggesting increasing buying interest. The Williams %R, which measures overbought and oversold conditions, also shows a divergence, indicating the stock may have been oversold and could be ready to reverse. NVIDIA’s strong fundamentals, driven by increasing demand for AI infrastructure and GPUs, support this technical setup. Compared to gold and U.S. Treasury bonds, which have stabilized with minimal growth potential, NVIDIA offers significant upside as the chart signals a potential reversal and renewed bullish momentum.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by FairValueBuffet
NVIDIA (NVDA): Will $142 or $133.92 Break First?Morning Trading Family NVIDIA is sitting at a key point, and what happens next could lead to a big move. Let’s break it down in simple terms so it’s easy to follow. If NVDA Breaks Above $142 Things could get exciting for the bulls. Here’s what to expect: Breaking above $142 could kick off a solid bull run. We’d likely see momentum push the price higher from there. If NVDA Breaks Below $133.92 The bears might take over, and these levels could show up next: $129: The first stop where some buyers might try to step in. $114: A bigger drop, which would be an important level to watch for support. Here’s the Plan -Watch $142 and $133.92—these are the key levels. -Be ready for a breakout or breakdown, but only trade when it’s confirmed. -Always manage your risk. Use stop-losses and don’t risk more than you’re comfortable losing. If you enjoyed this breakdown, give it a like or follow. Have questions about NVIDIA or any other chart? Send me a DM, and I’ll help you out. Feeling stressed or burned out from trading? You’re not alone. Let’s chat about ways to build a balanced trading mindset that helps you stay in the game for the long term. You’ve got this! Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Mindbloome-Trading
15
NVIDIA (NVDA): Breakout Levels in Sight!Good morning, trading family! NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is getting close to a key resistance level at $141.87. Here’s what could happen: If the price breaks $141.87: We might see it move up to $150 and even $158 if the momentum stays strong. This is an exciting setup, so keep an eye on how the price reacts. Let’s stay focused and trade smart! Wellness Tip of the Day: Start your morning with a healthy breakfast. A mix of protein (like eggs or yogurt), healthy fats (like nuts or avocado), and slow carbs (like oatmeal or whole-grain bread) will give you steady energy and help you make sharp decisions all day. Comment, like, follow, or send me a message if you’d like more details about this trade! Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Mindbloome-Trading
Is NVIDIA Ready to Break Out or Break Down?Good morning, trading family! How’s everyone feeling today? Got your coffee? Charts ready? It’s time to dive in and see what the market has in store for us. Here’s the vibe: NVIDIA’s setting up for something big—are we aiming for $142 or sliding to $119? It’s like a game of tug-of-war, and the market’s holding the rope. Quick Tip: Remember, trading is about patience and discipline. If you’re feeling stuck, step away, take a breath, and come back with a clear head. The market’s not going anywhere. If you want a closer look at these setups or other ideas I’m watching, feel free to check out my profile or send me a DM—I’m always happy to share insights or answer questions. Let’s make it a great day! Kris /Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Mindbloome-Trading
NVIDIA's Declined over 10%, Why? When will be the Buy timing? NVIDIA fell nearly 4% today before narrowing the loss to 1.22%. Since hitting a record closing high of $148.88 in early November, the AI chip maker's stock has dropped over 10%. So, what is causing NVIDIA's decline? Firstly, Supply Chain Issues and Challenges NVIDIA faces multiple challenges in its supply chain, a significant factor in its stock decline. First, according to the latest data, the order volume and schedules for the GB200 and GB300 have been adjusted. Particularly, the mass production and shipment of GB series products have been postponed until after the Lunar New Year in February, increasing market uncertainty. Additionally, the small-scale production plans for GB300 face tight deadlines, putting pressure on GB200's mass production. Specific supply chain issues include CoWoS-L packaging technology, heating problems, copper cable connections, and leakage issues. These not only affect product yield rates but also increase system integration time costs. Consequently, NVIDIA has suggested customers purchase the B200 8-card HGX as a transitional solution, and clients like Microsoft are considering switching their orders. These supply chain issues affect NVIDIA's product delivery capabilities and reduce market expectations for its future performance. Secondly, Market Competition and Narrative Changes ASICs are gaining market recognition as a competitive narrative. ASICs are chips designed for specific tasks, akin to custom running shoes for a race. For certain tasks, ASICs outperform NVIDIA's GPUs (widely used for computing tasks) and are potentially cheaper. OpenAI co-founder Ilya and industry leaders like Microsoft's CEO Satya have started discussing the importance of not only training AI models but also ensuring they can quickly and accurately make decisions in real applications. This shift in perspective gives ASICs an advantage in some scenarios, as they are designed for rapid, precise execution of tasks. This raises questions about the cost of NVIDIA's GPUs. While powerful, they are expensive and require significant electricity and cooling. As ASICs perform better at lower costs for some tasks, there's consideration of replacing NVIDIA's GPUs with ASICs. Additionally, changes in scaling law narratives and the strengthening of inference narratives pose threats to NVIDIA. Scaling laws suggest that increasing AI model size (e.g., more neurons or layers) typically improves performance, but these gains are not infinite and require significant computational resources. This means NVIDIA must continually invest resources to improve product performance, potentially increasing costs. Moreover, companies like BTC, Tesla, and Google are investing heavily in their own AI chips or solutions. This intensifies market competition and challenges NVIDIA's leadership. Thirdly, Market Sentiment and Capital Flows Market sentiment and capital flow significantly impact NVIDIA's stock price. As the year ends, retail investors, ETFs, and institutions adjust their portfolios. Fluctuations in tech giants like Microsoft, Apple, and Google affect tech stocks like NVIDIA. Investors are more cautious, favoring stable, promising companies. Given these conditions, NVIDIA faces pressure on its stock price due to supply chain issues and competition. Lowered expectations for NVIDIA's future performance lead to capital outflows and stock price declines. Fourthly, Future Outlook and Catalysts Despite current challenges, NVIDIA has opportunities for a turnaround. First, NVIDIA needs to resolve supply chain issues, improve product yield, and delivery capabilities. Second, strengthening its presence in software and applications is crucial to addressing market competition. Additionally, NVIDIA should explore new computing narratives to expand its computing potential. Fifthly, Technical Analysis and Price Divergence Previously, prices rose continuously, but volume and KDJ began to decline, showing divergence. Without capital support, upward momentum was insufficient, leading to a short-term adjustment and a break below the mid-term trend line, resulting in a mid-term callback. When Might a New Rally Occur? From a technical analysis perspective: After two prior mid-term adjustments, breaking the downward trend line may signal the start of a new rally. Thus, this new rally must first break the resistance line. From a catalyst perspective: While January's CES and the earnings release in late February may not bring major surprises, March's GTC is worth anticipating. NVIDIA needs to showcase new technologies and products at this event to restore market confidence. If NVIDIA can introduce groundbreaking innovations, a stock rebound is possible.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by xugina78
Nvidia: Gradual ProgressNvidia’s stock has made slight progress toward fulfilling our primary scenario. We still anticipate -wave sell-offs down to the support level at $90.69, where the blue wave (IV) correction should finally conclude. However, our alternative scenario of an already finished wave alt. (IV) remains in play. In this case, the stock would resume its ascent as part of blue wave alt. (V), pushing well above the resistance at $152.89 to reach new highs and, thus, complete the overarching green wave alt. (probability: 37%).
NASDAQ:NVDA
by MarketIntel
Cautious optimism to give way to December decline for NVDA The sentiment around NVIDIA (NVDA) over the past 72 hours has been mixed but leans slightly positive. Here's what we see: Analyst Views : Analysts remain bullish, with a strong "buy" consensus and an average price target suggesting a potential 21% upside from current levels. This reflects optimism about NVIDIA’s prospects, particularly with its leadership in AI and data center technology. Seasonal Trends : Historically, December has been a weaker month for NVIDIA’s stock performance, with shares declining in 60% of Decembers over the past decade. However, this is typically followed by strong recoveries in the new year. Investor Discussions: Investors 'round the Web are expressing cautious optimism. Some highlight concerns about high valuation and broader market headwinds, while others emphasize NVIDIA's long-term growth drivers like AI and semiconductor demand. The overall mood suggests near-term caution due to seasonal and valuation factors but confidence in NVIDIA's long-term trajectory. With all this said, we see cautious optimism leading to a rise to a key resistance level in the 144.00 price range, followed by a decline in December, fueled alongside the SPY's potential crumbling.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by JC7USA
2
NVIDIA’s Next Move: Are We Headed to $160 or Dropping to $118?Good morning, trading family. NVIDIA just hit a big level, and now we’re seeing it pull back. Here’s what I’m watching: 1️⃣ First stop looks like $134.75. 2️⃣ From there, it could go one of two ways: We get a bounce, and NVIDIA pushes back up to the $160s. Or, it keeps sliding to $128-$130. If those levels don’t hold, we could see it drop even further to $118. This is one of those times where it’s all about watching the levels and letting the chart tell us the next move. Trade what you see. What do you think—are we bouncing or dropping lower? Let me know your take below, and hit like and follow if this breakdown helps. Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by Mindbloome-Trading
4