Nvdaprediction
NVIDIA $NVDA | NVIDIA EARNINGS REPORT Nov. 20th, 2024NVIDIA NASDAQ:NVDA | NVIDIA EARNINGS REPORT Nov. 20th, 2024
BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $148.75 - $165.00
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $138.00 - $148.75
SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $118.25 - $138.00
Weekly: Bullish
Daily: Bullish
4H: Bullish
NASDAQ:NVDA reports earnings today, these are the areas that I will look for significant price movement at. The market is anticipating around an 8.5% move, roughly an $11.50 move in either direction, based on ATM option prices, or an 11%-12% move, roughly $16.50 move in either direction, based on volatility calculations.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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What happened? $Nvidia surged nearly 5%!!!!Reason1: Cooling of Blackwell overheating issues boosts confidence.
Concerns about overheating in Nvidia's latest high-end chip, Blackwell, had been widely discussed. However, multiple authoritative analysis firms and Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang confirmed that these issues have been resolved. Industry analysts noted that such problems have been effectively mitigated, with negligible impact on chip performance and supply cadence. This clear positive signal has instilled confidence in investors regarding Blackwell’s stability and market prospects.
Reason2: Technological advancements raise expectations.
As Nvidia's most advanced chip to date, the complete resolution of design issues marks its research and production entering a mature phase. Coupled with its powerful computing capabilities and potential applications in AI and data centers, market expectations for the product's profitability have significantly increased, serving as a key driver of Nvidia's stock surge.
Reason3: Professional analysis alleviates concerns.
Semiconductor analysis firm-Semianalysis indicated that the supply chain adjustments related to the overheating issue were merely "minor modifications" with almost no effect on the chip's actual performance. This analysis helped the market move past excessive worries about Blackwell’s overheating issues, laying the groundwork for Nvidia to regain investor trust in the short term.
Reason4: Stock price retraces to strong support levels.
From a technical analysis perspective, the stock price moving in a bullish channel, recently retracing to an upward trend line and the 0.236 Fibonacci support level. This support has triggered a rise, indicating that previous movements were merely weak short-term corrections.
Under the combined influence of these favorable factors, Nvidia's stock jumped nearly 5% in a single day, not only boosting its own valuation but also uplifting the tech sector and the broader market. However, whether this upward trend can continue in the short term will depend on today's earnings report. For specific operational strategies, please refer to my last post : "NVIDIA Earnings Preview: Strategy Notes for Q3 Report."
NVIDIA Earnings Preview: Strategy Notes for Q3 ReportPre-Earnings Strategy: First things first—know the key numbers and the market expectations. But keep in mind, NVIDIA’s revenue recognition can get tricky, so don’t be surprised by unpredictable results. This is why a solid strategy, proper positioning, and downside protection are essential going into the report.
1. Core Numbers & Expectations
Where do Buy-Side Expectations Come From? NVIDIA has been beating guidance by around $2 billion each quarter and then raising guidance by another $2 billion (last quarter they raised it by $2.5 billion).
For Q3, the guidance given in Q2 was $32.5B. Based on the trend, buy-side expectation bumps that up by another SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B , so the real expectation for Q3 is $34.5B.
Looking ahead to Q4, buy-side is expecting GETTEX:39B (Q3 actual $34.5B + $2.5B + another SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B ). To make the buy-side comfortable with this, the Q4 guide needs to come in at least at $38B (realistically, even FWB:37B could suffice).
Key Takeaway for a Big Beat: Q3 revenue needs to hit $34.5B, and Q4 guidance should be at $38B, with Blackwell contributing over SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:5B in Q4.
2. What the Analysts Think
This is a mega-cap stock, so pretty much every sell-side analyst has a report. But let’s just focus on the key voices from Goldman (Hari), UBS (Arcuri), and Morgan Stanley (Moore), aka the “HAM Trio.”
For Q3:
Moore: Bearish—expects $32.5B
Hari & Arcuri: Neutral-Bullish—expect around $34.3B
For Q4 Guidance:
Moore: Bearish—expects $35.3B
Hari: Bullish—expects $39.2B
Arcuri: Bullish—expects $38.9B
3. Q4 Blackwell Revenue Breakdown
Management previously mentioned Q4 Blackwell revenue could be “several billion.” If it’s $2-3B, that’s below expectations. $5-6B would be a strong beat.
Moore: Expects $5-6B (bullish on Blackwell)
Arcuri: Expects only SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:3B (more conservative)
4. Summary of Analyst Divergence
There’s a clear split among the top analysts, particularly around the Q4 guidance. This divergence sets up potential volatility.
5. Trading Strategy
1. Pre-Earnings Positioning: If the stock dips ahead of earnings, consider adding to the position. If there’s a rally, trim some to lock in profits.
2. Post-Earnings Reaction: If it tanks, be ready to add more, since Q1 of FY25 is expected to be a breakout quarter.
3. Hedging with Options: Use options to protect existing stock positions—don’t go into earnings unhedged.
Implied Move Post-Earnings:
The options market is pricing in about a 9% move, which puts the stock between $128-$153 (current price is around $141).
Options Strategies
Bullish Play (Betting on a Big Rally): Buy calls, but keep it small—treat it as a high-risk, high-reward play. If it goes to zero, it won’t hurt too much.
Lower-Cost Bullish Play: Consider a call spread (buy a lower strike call, sell a higher strike call). This caps your upside but reduces the cost.
Protecting Existing Long Stock Positions: Use covered calls. If the stock tanks, you get some downside protection from the premium. If it rallies, you still make money up to the strike price, plus the premium collected. The downside is losing the stock if it gets called away above the strike.
Want to Buy the Dip After Earnings? Sell puts. If the stock drops, you get assigned shares at a lower price and keep the premium. If it rallies, you pocket the premium.
NVIDIA in a Channel – Key Levels to WatchHey trading family, NVIDIA is moving in a channel, and the next breakout could set the tone. Here’s what I’m seeing:
Break below $137: This could trigger a correction down to $134, $132, $129, and possibly $120.
Break above $143: If we clear this level, NVIDIA could push up toward $154.
This channel setup gives us a clear roadmap for both upside and downside potential. What’s your game plan?
Like, comment, and share your thoughts! Got your own ideas or questions? Send me a DM – let’s chat about it.
Mindbloome Trading // Kris
Trade What You See.
NVIDIA at a Crossroads: $141 Dip or $155 Push?Alright, trading family, let’s break down NVIDIA. Here’s the game plan:
1️⃣ If we break below $144, we could see a dip to $142, maybe even $141 before looking for a bounce.
2️⃣ If the market pushes up from here, the next target is $153–$155. That’s the zone to watch for momentum to keep rolling.
Stay calm, trade what you see, and let NVIDIA show you the way. Whether it’s a dip or a pop, there’s always a wave to catch.
Mindbloome Trading/ Kris
NVDA Set to Make Waves: Big Levels Ahead!Update:
Good morning, trading family. Here to break this down nice and easy for you. Let’s ride the NVDA waves together:
1️⃣ First scenario: NVDA climbs to $154–$156. From there, it could either break higher or pull back to $150, maybe lower. Watch for a bounce if it dips.
2️⃣ Second scenario: A move to $168 is on the table, but expect a pullback to $164 before the next push higher. If the pullback goes deeper, it’s just a chance to reset.
3️⃣ Third scenario: If NVDA powers through all those levels, $179 is next, with a potential correction back to $168 along the way.
Mindbloome Trading/ Kris
Trade What You See
NVDA (NVDL) BIG MOVE BREWING, BUY THE DIP! 100%+ MOVE INBOUNDNASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:NVDL
BIG MOVE BREWING, BUY THE DIP! 100%+ MOVE INBOUND
In this video, we discuss the following:
1.) My #HIGHFIVESETUP trading strategy which incorporates charting patterns, volume profiles, MACD, RSI, and TREND.
Notable recent winners with my strategies include NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:SOFI NASDAQ:MBLY NASDAQ:AMZN NYSE:HIMS
2.) Go in-depth on how to tell when an investment or trade will go against you and what you should be looking for. We go over my favorite indicator for this, which is the Williams R%.
We primarily discuss the 2X levered ETF NASDAQ:NVDL which has the same setup as it's parent NASDAQ:NVDA . So feel free to use this setup for either one depending on your risk tolerance.
Thanks for all the support! Over 500 TV followers in such a short period of time, you all are amazing!
LIKE l FOLLOW l SHARE for more great content and analysis!
NFA
NVIDIA on the Move: Key Levels to Watch! NVIDIA’s setting up for some action: we’re looking at a run to $143.60, but if we break through, we could be cruising up to the $150–$153 range! On the flip side, if we slip below $129.72, brace yourself—$117 could be on deck. Let’s keep it simple and see how it plays out!"
Easy Breakdown for the Trade
Current Target: $143.60
Right now, NVIDIA’s aiming at $143.60. If buyers keep stepping in, this is the first level we’re likely to hit. Think of it as the “first checkpoint” for our bullish move.
The Bullish Range: $150–$153
Breaking past $143.60 could open up a fresh wave of momentum. If we get through this level with some energy, then NVIDIA could quickly head up to the $150–$153 range. This is the zone where we’d see if buyers are still strong, so keep it on your radar if we reach it.
Critical Support at $129.72
Now, here’s the key to the downside. $129.72 is the level holding NVIDIA up right now. If we lose this support, it’s a signal that sellers have taken control. This could mean a strong dip is in the works.
Downside Target: $117
If we break $129.72, the next realistic target to the downside is $117. It’s a significant drop, but definitely within range if support doesn’t hold.
Trading Tip
Mark your levels and watch for those breaks! $143.60 is our short-term target, and if we clear it, we’re looking up to $150–$153. But if NVIDIA slips below $129.72, $117 becomes a real possibility. Keep it flexible, and trade the levels!
Mindbloome Trading / Kris
Mindbloome Exchange
NVIDIA at a Crossroads: Breakout to $150+ or a Dip to $138 Morning, trading family! Hope you’re all doing well. Let’s chat about NVDA—things are shaping up, and it feels like we’re at a bit of a crossroads. I’ve got a few scenarios in mind, so let’s walk through them together.
Scenario 1:
If we can break above this trendline, NVDA could gather some steam and make a nice run into the 150s. That would be a pretty strong move, and if momentum holds, we could keep cruising higher from there.
Scenario 2:
There’s also the chance we dip down into the 139-138 zone first. If buyers show up here, it might just be a little reset—kind of like taking a breath before pushing higher again.
Scenario 3:
If the market decides to break below 138, we could see a deeper pullback toward 136. It might feel like a bigger drop, but that could be the market giving us a better entry point before it starts building back up.
The key here is not to get ahead of things—just let the market show us its hand. It’s all about staying patient and prepared. What do you guys think? Do we break up, or do we get a dip first? I’d love to hear your thoughts—drop a comment below and let’s talk it through.
Mindbloome Trading/ Kris
Trade What You See
Exploring Nvidia's India Strategy: AI and LanguageNvidia, a leading technology company, has solidified its commitment to India with a series of significant announcements. The company unveiled a Hindi language model and forged strategic partnerships with major Indian corporations, underscoring its ambition to drive AI innovation and language technology in the country.
One of the most notable partnerships announced by Nvidia is with Reliance Industries, led by billionaire Mukesh Ambani. The two companies have outlined plans to build AI infrastructure in India, leveraging Nvidia's cutting-edge hardware and software solutions. This collaboration aims to accelerate AI research, development, and deployment across various sectors, including healthcare, agriculture, and education.
In addition to the partnership with Reliance, Nvidia also launched Nemotron-4-Mini-Hindi 4B, a small language model specifically designed for the Hindi language. Hindi, as the most widely spoken language in India, holds immense cultural and economic significance. The availability of a powerful Hindi language model will enable developers to create innovative applications and services tailored to the needs of Hindi-speaking users.
Nvidia's investment in India comes at a time when the country is experiencing a surge in AI adoption and development. The government's initiatives to promote digital transformation and innovation have created a favorable environment for technology companies to thrive. By partnering with leading Indian firms and investing in language technology, Nvidia is positioning itself as a key player in India's AI ecosystem.
The launch of the Hindi language model is a significant step towards bridging the language gap in AI. While English has dominated the AI landscape, there is a growing recognition of the importance of developing language models for regional languages. By investing in Hindi, Nvidia is demonstrating its commitment to making AI accessible to a wider audience and empowering local communities.
Beyond the immediate benefits of language technology, Nvidia's India strategy also has broader implications. By fostering partnerships and investing in AI infrastructure, the company is contributing to the development of a skilled workforce and promoting innovation in the country. This could have a long-term impact on India's economic growth and competitiveness on the global stage.
In conclusion, Nvidia's announcement of a Hindi language model and partnerships with major Indian companies marks a significant milestone in its India strategy. By investing in AI and language technology, the company is positioning itself as a key player in the country's digital transformation. As India continues to embrace AI, Nvidia's commitment to the region is likely to yield substantial benefits for both the company and the nation.
NVDA Full Wave Analysis from Weekly to Four HourGood morning Trading Family
Here is a massive detailed video outlining my thought process using wave counting and some other tools to figure out where NVDA is going and why along with key levels to look for and some scenarios that we can see play out with NVDA
Goal Here is to get you to see how using wave counting can help you form a a structure with your ideas using the IF Then methodology to become a better trader.
If this video helped boost, like , share: I am very grateful and appreciate your time watching this video
Any questions let me know and send me a Dm if you like
Mindbloome Trading
Trade What You See
NVDA Weekly to Four Hour In Depth Analysis Where Are We Going Good evening Traders
So in this video I go into the weekly and down to the four hour and 30 minute identifying key levels to look out for and where the market is going.
Currently where we are I really thought we were going to have a shorter correction and punch back up but hey I dont assume and I only trade what the market gives me.
What is currently happening is if we can break and close above 140.65 to me that would be a great entry for this bull run up to 150's
However we can correct back into the zone of 138.40 and then go back into the full bull swing of things
And Lastly we are sinking further to the 129.64 level looking for a entry on another bull run up, if we break lower then I dont know what to tell you other than our bull run maybe over ???
If you like the video: please share, boost, and follow or comment: give me feedback on what you currently see and why.
Hope you have a great day trading
Mindbloome Trading
Trade What You See
NVIDIA (NVDA) Rockets Higher! TP1 Hit, Eyes on More Gains!NVIDIA (NVDA) Long Trade (15m time frame)
Entry: $135.03
Current Price: $145.21 – Momentum strong as first target hit.
Key Levels:
Stop-Loss (SL): $131.88 – Below key support level to manage risk.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): $138.92 – First target hit, confirming upward trend.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): $145.21 – Next target likely to be reached soon.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): $151.50 – Key level for continued bullish momentum.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): $155.38 – Final target for this strong upward move.
Trade Outlook:
NVIDIA has surged after a clear entry signal at $135.03. With TP1 already achieved, bullish momentum remains intact, and we're aiming for the remaining targets as the stock pushes higher. The trend and technical setup suggest further gains are possible.
NVDA 4 HR Update Breaking $141-$145 in Sight, Momentum for $155Good morning, trading fam! Just a quick NVDA update for you:
We’re breaking through that $141 resistance. If we get past $145, it could be a good spot to lock in some profits. Might see a pullback around $147-$149, but if the momentum stays strong, $155 could be on deck. Let’s see how it plays out!
Trade what you see
Mindbloome Trading
Kris
NVDA Great ROI Trade Bullish to 145+ Hi Trading Family
Here is an update for you: a potential finish of our correction down from the analysis we currently did today. Massive ROI and break up potential, if your looking for a great trade with low risk ie put your stop below the low and let it run to 145 this could be the trade your after
Hope this helps
Mindbloome Trader
NVDA – Ride to 146 or Wipeout at 137?Alright, folks, here’s the deal. NVDA is balancing on the edge—either we ride the wave up to 145-146, or the market drags us back to 137-138 for a reset. This is that make-or-break moment where bulls need to paddle hard or risk missing the set.
Key Levels:
Support: 137-138 (black box) – Lose this, and it’s back to the lineup.
Target: 145-146 (orange zone) – Bulls need to hit this to stay in control.
It’s all about how price moves in these channels—either we push higher, or we take a quick dip before the next chance comes.
What do you think—are we riding this wave or catching some chop? Let me know below.
MB Trader
Ride the wave
Will NVDA Bounce or Breakdown? Key Levels to Watch at $129 and BGood evening Trading Family
NVDA is at a critical point right now—will it bounce back from $129, or are we headed down to $126 (or lower)? Let’s dive into the key levels I’m watching and break down what might happen next. If the market holds up, we could see a solid bounce, but if not... well, buckle up for a bigger drop. No fluff—just some good ol' technical analysis with a dash of Fibonacci and candlestick magic.
If you found this helpful (or just mildly entertaining), give it a like, drop a comment with your thoughts, and hit follow for more updates. Your engagement helps me keep the content coming—and who knows, it might even help NVDA bounce back too!
MB Trader
Trade what you see not what you assume
NVDA Set for a Rebound: Will It Hit $137.40 and Beyond?Hey, trading family! Today we’re diving into NVIDIA (NVDA) and its recent price action. Right now, we’re seeing a correction, but all eyes are on whether it can push back up toward that key resistance level of $137.40. Here’s what you need to watch:
Downside risk: If NVDA continues to correct, there’s potential for it to drop below $132. If that happens, we could see the price head even lower, testing support around $128-$130. Keep an eye on these levels, as breaking below them could signal further downside.
Upside potential: On the flip side, if NVDA finds support and buyers step in, we could see it climb toward $137.40. A strong move above this resistance could lead to a bigger breakout, setting the stage for a push higher.
Stay tuned to how NVDA reacts around these key levels—this correction might just present a great opportunity, depending on how the market moves. If this helped, drop a comment or share your thoughts on NVDA’s next move!
Nvidia's Stellar Surge: A Reflection of AI's AscendanceNvidia's meteoric rise in recent months is a testament to the burgeoning artificial intelligence (AI) revolution. As tech giants race to integrate AI into their products and services, the demand for Nvidia's high-performance computing chips has skyrocketed. The company's stock has surged by an impressive 25% in the past month alone, and it's on the brink of breaking its all-time high.
Nvidia's dominance in the AI hardware market can be attributed to its cutting-edge graphics processing units (GPUs), which are ideally suited for the complex computations involved in AI tasks. These chips have proven to be indispensable for training and deploying large-scale AI models, such as those used in natural language processing, computer vision, and generative AI.
As tech earnings season approaches, investors are closely watching Nvidia's performance. The company's financial results will provide valuable insights into the strength of demand for its products and the overall health of the AI market. Analysts are anticipating a strong earnings report, fueled by continued growth in data center sales and increasing adoption of Nvidia's AI solutions.
One of the primary drivers of Nvidia's success has been the accelerated development of AI technologies by leading tech companies. Meta, Alphabet, Microsoft, Oracle, and OpenAI, among others, have been investing heavily in AI research and development. These companies are racing to introduce new AI-powered products and services, such as chatbots, virtual assistants, and generative AI tools. To support these initiatives, they require powerful hardware infrastructure, including Nvidia's GPUs.
The growing demand for AI chips has created a significant opportunity for Nvidia. The company has been expanding its manufacturing capacity and investing in research and development to maintain its technological edge. Additionally, Nvidia has been exploring new markets, such as autonomous vehicles and healthcare, where AI is expected to play a crucial role.
While Nvidia's future prospects appear promising, it's essential to acknowledge the potential risks and challenges that could impact the company's growth. These include intense competition from other chip manufacturers, fluctuations in the global semiconductor market, and the possibility of regulatory hurdles related to AI development.
Despite these risks, Nvidia's strong market position and the increasing importance of AI suggest that the company is well-positioned to capitalize on the ongoing technological revolution. As AI continues to transform industries and society as a whole, Nvidia's high-performance computing chips are likely to remain a critical component of the AI ecosystem.
NVIDIA 4 Hour -30 Minute Wave Counting Where are We Going ? Morning Traders
We are looking at if this market has finished making a wave 4 correction or are we in for a treat with either a small correction down before we punch up to the 137-138 target we have in our wave counting and projections.
The question is always be aware of the worst case scenario here and the best case scenario, take caution
Happy Trading
MB Trader
NIVIDIA 4 HR: Correcting back to 130.70 or We Pushing Higher UP Morning Traders
Quick update here, currently if we make a break above the 132.70 range the 137.30 is our goal and target however their are a couple hurdles along the way.
We can possibly still correct down to the 130.70 level
I go over the market from 4 hour to 30 minute giving you some levels to look for in today's trading day
Happy Trading
MB Trader