NVDA - Back again, now down again?The pattern seems to repeat.
Again, we had a HAGOPIAN, which sais, that price goes back more than from where it came, and this rule was right.
Up in here, I'm not that confident anymore that price will reach the Centerline. But, it's not about what I think, or how confident I'm are. I just have to follow my Strategy and act according to the Rules, the trading framework of the Medianlines.
That said, we either shoot up on earnings, or we definitely tank down. For now, there is no trade, only a Gamble. I rarely gamble, so I'll sit on the sidelines and let it happen whatever will come out on earnings.
As for a Lotto-Ticket, I would buy some Puts and just have fun to watch how they get burned, or how I get a Christmas Moment in the beginning of the new year §8-)
Nvdashort
Seems like buying pressure will fall for a while in NVDAFollowing the negative news recently, including fears of a trade war between USA and China, and the concern about the cheaper AI moder DeepSeek, made the shares of Nvidia fall. Shares of other hight-tech companies also fell including Alphabet, Apple and Microsoft.
On the technical the price broke the strong support trendline from beginning of 2024 while also making a big gap down at the start of the week. The 100EMA is also broken down, indicating the beginning of a short/mid-term pullback.
The selling idea here is interesting, but risky. I will be looking for sell setups with small lots in the coming days.
NVDA - Waiting for a pullback to add to my short exposureThe first NVDA analysis went pretty well.
Let's see what we can do from here.
Over the weekend the world was going crazy once more. This knocked the markets down and they opened in the red, and so does NVDA.
I would like to see a pullback to the 1/4 line. Because this would give me the chance to load the short even more.
Target is the Center-Line.
(Former analysis linked)
Mr.Million | NVDA Chart and potential Buy AreaIn my last post, I shared three (3) reasons why I was bearish on NVDA 📉:
Thanks to China and #DeepSeek_AI challenging NVDA’s monopolistic dominance in AI-related graphics chips, NVDA has since nosedived to ~$120.
What now? I believe there’s still more room to fall (and I’ll be waiting). 📉
🔥~$90-100 = Strong Buy 🚛🚛🚛
Mr.Million | Why I am Bearish on NVDA Near TermNVDA appears to have completed Wave (3) and could drop to ~$100.
A potential ending diagonal forming + DOUBLE bearish divergence. 🚨
NVDA feels heavy. Unlike the past two breakouts that blasted through resistance like a 🚀, the latest breakout at ~$141 feels like it’s stuck in the mud! 😞
So, where would I go long?
🔥~$100 = Very Strong Buy 🚛🚛🚛
Remember: if NVDA falls, so will Nasdaq (and BTC)! I am holding lots of cash! 💰💰
NVDA Stock Update: Downtrend Alert!📉 NVDA Stock Update: Downtrend Alert! 🚨
Attention traders!
As we analyze the current market structure for NVIDIA (NVDA), it's crucial to note the recent developments on the daily chart.
Key Observations:
Market Behavior Since December 20, 2024: NVDA has been in a ranging market, characterized by significant volatility.
Bearish Signal: We witnessed a huge bearish engulfing pattern, indicating strong selling pressure. This is a critical signal for traders to consider.
Break of Key Level: The recent higher high can now be defined as a Lower High (LH) as the base of the order block at $129.60 has been broken.
Expected Support Levels:
As we move forward, we anticipate the following support levels:
$124.94
$120.33
$115.78
We are particularly focused on potential accumulation within this Demand Zone. It's essential to stay vigilant and adapt your strategies accordingly!
Happy trading, and stay safe! 📊💼
NVIDIA's Momentum A Breakout Story in Progress1. Trend and Structure
The chart showcases an upward momentum, breaking out of a prior resistance level, indicating bullish pressure. The breakout aligns with the upward-sloping trendline, which serves as a strong support structure.
2.Breakout Confirmation
The price has successfully broken through a resistance level, confirming a bullish breakout. This signals potential continuation toward the marked target zone.
3.Entry Point
The entry appears to have been taken near the breakout point, at approximately $141.60, aligning with the bullish momentum.
4. Target (Take Profit)
The take-profit level is marked at $152.94, representing a reasonable upward move from the breakout point. This target aligns with the continuation of the trend.
5. Stop Loss
The stop-loss level is placed at $133.46, below the recent support and trendline. This level ensures protection in case the breakout fails.
6.Risk-Reward Ratio
The setup demonstrates a healthy risk-to-reward ratio, with potential gains outweighing the risks. This indicates a well-calculated trade.
7. Technical Indicators
The momentum of the candles breaking the resistance shows strong bullish interest. No immediate signs of bearish divergence or reversal are visible in the chart.
The chart reflects a bullish breakout setup in NVIDIA's stock price. With strong momentum and a clear trendline breakout, the trade aligns well with the current upward movement. The target and stop-loss levels are well-placed, adhering to a disciplined trading strategy.
NVDA - A 90% Short fall to the centerline ($100-$104) or lowerDouble top, failed breakout of the high—call it what you will.
Fact is, NVIDIA has taken a brutal hit and is now trading back inside the fork.
Hagopian—what on earth is a HAGOPIAN?
According to the Fork Framework rulebook, if the market fails to reach its next target (the next line, such as the centerline, lower median line parallel, etc.), it reverses and moves further back than where it started.
This is (not so exactly) what happened in December. Instead of reaching the centerline, the market turned, shot beyond the upper median line parallel (U-MLH), and was supposed to break above the November 21st high. It missed that target as well. And this, my friends, is....?
...again, a HAGOPIAN!
Now, it’s heading south again. But this time, we have an over 90% probability of reaching the centerline. Why? Because when the market breaks above the U-MLH and then falls back into the fork, it’s a very bearish signal.
Of course, nothing works 100%. The market could turn around today and push past the high. But statistically, we’re aiming for the centerline—and there’s an over 90% chance we’ll hit it.
When will it happen?
Sorry, my crystal ball is broken.
All I do is follow the Fork/Median Line rulebook and rely on my experience.
As for me, I’m opening a short position in NVIDIA today and may add to it on the way down to the centerline. And I play this game with Options, so no hard price level stop for me.
NVIDIA - Arguments For BearsAs in my last post "Arguments For Bulls" I do my Analysis for NVDA with eyes of a Bear.
We see the red down sloping Pendulum Swing Pitchfork. Because the A-Point is LOWER than the C Point, it's a Pullback Fork that would give us the potential downfall target at the Center-Line, before the Pendulum of price would swing to the upside again.
- the "Trend Barrier Dow" was breached
- price reacted to the tick multiple times at the U-MLH (White Rectangle) (Upper-Medianline-Parallel). This is clear resistance.
- Price just filled the GAP from 3 Days ago, so it can continue in the opposite direction (down) again.
So, that's it.
You have 3 ways to play this:
Long, Short, Flat.
Earnings of such a Market influential underlying is a pure gamble. I grab some Pop-Corn and watch the show and see, which of the cases is wrong and right. §8-)
Happy Profits all
NVDA: Weekly to 4 hour: How low are we going: Correction ? Good morning Traders
Hope everyone had a great weekend of trading:
I created a video to give you a gauge on where NVDA is going. We have an correction but is it true correction is the question.
Let me know what you think of the video, comments are always welcome.
Happy hunting
MB Trader
Nvidia Has Strong Fundamentals but is that Enough?One Of the Biggest Success stories of 2023... NASDAQ:NVDA Truly Gained traction under the insane Artificial Intelligence Growth and alongside the hype train that skyrocketed most Semiconductor Stocks. The Balance sheet is a undeniable strength with more then 3 assets to 1 Liability, with good cash able to cover debt based on the balance sheet. Nvidia has very strong Fundamentals is that enough to justify the PE Ratio being at 55.94x ? and a Price to Sales Ratio of 30.3 ? and its price to books ratio at 50.2 , using these valuation methods Nvidia comes up as a expensive based on its current price to me personally. The RSI Is also pretty high at 53 . I am definitely interested in seeing how Nvidia plays out in the long-term. Share price has been aided by very high revenue growth beating all forecasts by analysts in recent Quarters. Nvidia Benefits from high profit margins, however is that enough to justify the high share price? as for management and there use of the cash we can see that Net margins are 55.0%, ROE of 91.1%, ROA of 60.9%, ROCE of 83.6%.
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Business Revenue Sources:
84.8% of the revenue is derived from "Compute & Networking"
15.2% of the revenue is derived from "Graphics"
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Balance Sheet:
Cash: US34.80b
DEBT: US8.46b
Equity: US58.16b
Total Liabilities: US27.07b
Total Assets: US85.23b
14.5% -> Debt to Equity Ratio
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Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor and in no way am I signaling a sell, buy, or hold opinion on this stock (Nvidia) I am just giving my personal opinion as a hobby trader, I have no certifications and I am not a financial analyst, I also may be wrong about how I feel about the stock. I want you to do plenty more research on this and the stocks you are interested in because the stock market always holds a lot of risk that may be different for each investor and trader. Please do not make opinions based on this or any idea. Please be careful!
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Idea:
Nvidia Go Bye Bye | Short or Take Profits Whenever news commentators feel the need to interview a CEO, and hail the CEO as some kind of benevolent "hero of the people", that is a pretty good indicator that something is awry.
The same applies for rampant social media hype.
At the end of the day, the chart & the macro backdrop tell the real story.
NASDAQ:NVDA will collapse from here. Don't bother trying to buy any time soon, you will only be hurting yourself; this thing, along with the broader market has some significant adjusting (downward) to work through.
Strong Analysis on NVIDIA (NVDA)Hey traders, let's break down what's happening with NVIDIA (NVDA) and how I'm approaching this setup.
As you can see on the chart, we had a pretty solid uptrend that got me excited for a while. The green Heikin Ashi candles were flowing nicely, indicating strong bullish momentum. But now, we’ve hit an interesting point where things are taking a turn.
Key Resistance Area
First up, there’s a key resistance zone around $128. It’s no surprise that the price started pulling back right after touching that area—it’s been tested multiple times before, and once again, the bulls struggled to break through. I marked this zone on the chart with an orange box to emphasize how critical it is. It’s like a ceiling that NVDA just can’t seem to smash.
The Pullback
Now, as the price started to dip from that resistance, I noticed a pullback that’s pretty significant. This is where I’m keeping an eye on a potential reversal or further downside action. The sell-off is accelerating, and it’s getting close to an important support zone between $90 and $96.
Support Zone
Here’s the good part: I’ve highlighted a major demand zone between $90 and $96. This area has held up in the past and acted as a solid floor for the price to bounce off. I marked it with a purple box so I don’t miss the opportunity to potentially buy back in if the price bounces.
What’s Next?
For me, the plan is straightforward: I’m waiting for the price to approach the support zone. If we get bullish signals (like a strong green candle or price action reversal), I’ll consider taking a long position with my stop just below the zone. On the flip side, if it breaks below $90, that’s my signal to step back and wait for a clearer direction.
Right now, it’s all about patience. I want to see if the support holds, and if it does, that’s where I’m ready to act. If you’re watching NVDA like me, keep an eye on these levels—this is where the action is happening.
Happy trading, and let’s see how this plays out!
Where will $Nvida drop to?
First of all, Nvidia is moving in a medium term downtrend, and on the way to lower low.
so we could see that the important support area would be previous low area, which share the same level with previous high volume candle.
In this case, traders who want to buy may need to wait for a better buy timing!