Nvda is about to be sold heavilyI will open a short position if I get an entry at 450. Head and neck pattern that will break soon in my opinion.
Nvdashort
ANALYSIS ON NVDADear Investors and Traders,
I'm sharing with you this analysis on NVDA to let you know that the price will come down after the squeeze it made in October, if you're holding as an investor close your position and take your profits, and if you're trading there's no point of taking long trades on NVDA currently.
For further questions, don't hesitate to ask!
NVIDIA did the wrong move.The open was outside of the L-MLH and the HAGOPIAN is playing out too.
Next Target is the Center-Line, which has a roughly 80% chance to reach it.
So, I let my small position ride for a early Christmas gift §8-)
Peace for the wold!
NVDADear Traders,
expecting trend to remain bearish for short time. Targeting 350 region. Thank you.
NVIDIA - A drop below $400I see a drop below $400 in NASDAQ:NVDA
And there's a nice potential for the target at the L-MLH.
My inner Damon want's to short more, More, MORE! §8-)
If you want to know from where, jump to my Blog before session open and find out!
NVDA - AnalysisNVDA
W1 - There is a double top, which may indicate a fall in price. After breaking through the trend line, the nearest target will be at level 345, if the price consolidates beyond the level of 401, it will be possible to consider a change in trend and in the global movement of the target to 269.83
The trend line may also be broken and the uptrend will continue
What can you expect?
Movement to levels 401 - 345.02 - further correction and formation of the next pattern is possible to understand the picture and how to act
Short
Targets – 401 - 374.59 - 345.02
Long-term perspective (retest needed\3rd wave) – targets 345.02 - 306.34 - 269.83
Long - will be considered when the situation changes.
NVDA #nvda NVDA heading lower? If it does here are some levels it might hit if it doesn't regain the 50 day quicky
NVDA has topped. Sell it now.2023 has been an incredibly strong year for stocks. The Nasdaq rallied 38% in the first six months for one of the best starts to a year in history.
This rally has been primarily led by an AI/tech theme that has been responsible for the bulk of these gains. That part of the rally is likely over, however… at least for now.
Every bull market has a “theme” with leading stocks that set the pace. In the late 90s that was the dot-com bubble. In the 2009-2020 bull market that was big tech like Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, Apple and Google (hence the FAANG stocks moniker). The 2020-2021 bull market was led by “work-from-home” stocks like Zoom, Teladoc and Peloton.
The 2023 bull market has been led by artificial intelligece. The leading stocks have been Meta, Microsoft, Dynatrace, MongoDB, Palantir, AMD, and the biggest leader of them all, Nvidia.
Over the last 4-6 weeks we have witnessed many of these leading names roll over and retrace beneath their 50-day moving average – a key level that generally supports top stocks through the move higher.
Despite the recent pullback in the market, Nvidia has held at its highs.
Wednesday after the close, Nvidia reported earnings. And the results were better than anyone could have expected.
Earnings $2.70 per share versus estimates of $2.08. Sales were $13.5 billion – 20% above expectations. And the company raised forward guidance (how much they expect to bring in next quarter) from $12 billion to $16 billion.
They also announced a $25 billion share buyback which should act to propel the stock price even further. Investors got everything they wanted and then some. NVDA stock shot up 10% after hours. The news was so good, the entire Nasdaq index shot up 1% on the news.
But Thursday, in the first few hours of trading, all of those gains were gone. The Nasdaq opened higher, and immediately began selling off. It fell 3% during the session. And NVDA was back where it closed the day before.
This, to me, is a clear signal that the 2023 rally in tech stocks is over. The high was likely made on July 19th, and I doubt we see that level again this year.
In a bear market, like we had in 2022, what you want to see is the market going UP on BAD news. This is the sign that the low is in, and buyers are coming back in.
We saw this on October 13, 2022. After a government inflation report revealed the worst numbers yet – far worse than expectations – the market gapped down and opened a full 3% lower than it was the day before. However, stocks immediately began to rally, and the index surged 5% that day. This was the signal that the low was in.
On the other hand, in a bull market, we want to watch for times when the market goes DOWN on GOOD news. This often signals a top. And I believe we saw that on Thursday.
Nvidia was the only stock that could have reversed this pullback. The earnings report was better than even the most optimistic investor had hoped. This should have absolutely put an end to the pullback and caused the market to rally higher. Instead, we saw the opposite.
So, what does this mean?
First of all, and let me be clear on this, I am NOT saying the market is about to crash. I simply believe the “easy money” stage is over.
I expect to see fairly choppy conditions for the next few weeks or months, and investors can no longer rely on the bull market to push everything higher.
I believe tech stocks have seen their highs for 2023. Those with large open gains in stocks like Meta, Amazon, Apple, Google, Nvidia and the like may consider selling to lock in those gains here.
There will still be stocks that go up, some of them by substantial amounts. But I believe this is now a more selective stock picker’s market.
Personally, I sold the index funds in my long-term account and moved to cash ( I also went short the Nasdaq via QID). As of yesterday, those index funds funds were up 37% year-to-date. That is a phenomenal year, and I do not want to risk giving those gains back.
To me, this is a low-risk decision. The worst-case scenario is that I am wrong or something material changes that propels stocks higher.
If this happens, and the Nasdaq makes new highs this year, I will simply buy those funds back. All I will have missed is a 6% move.
Generating Income from NVDA ConsolidationDescription
NVDA has seen consistent gains following the upside break of its descending intermediate trendline on 17JAN. Now it seems to have settled into a consolidation pattern (Ascending Triangle) following the event-related runaway gap up through an ATH on 25May. Ascending triangles represent a healthy demand for a stock with a planned distribution at a particular price, which appears to be 480, and now we are now seeing the second rejection of the upper boundary of the pattern @482.
At the same time, DIA, SPY and IXIC have all seen retests and rejections of their 50D EMAs today. In general, I expect the continued fall in the indexes to keep NVDA in consolidation, despite consistent earnings outperformance.
Technical Indicators to signal the entry:
Ascending Wedge upper boundary second rejection.
Technical Risk Factors:
MACD 12 over 26 bullish cross
The expected price is <482 until breakout of the pattern.
I will be using short dated call credit spreads to:
Limit upside risk while maintaining a neutral position
take advantage of skewed earnings IV
Call Credit Spread
Levels on Chart
SL: 482 / or a minor that does not reach the ascending trendline at the bottom of the pattern
PT: <482
TP: @ expirations
*Stops based off underlying stock price, not mark to market loss
The Trade
BUY
8/25 487.5C
SELL
8/25 482.5C
R/R & Breakevens vary on fill.
Manage Risk
Only invest what you are willing to lose
I warrant that the information created and published by me on TradingView is not prohibited, doesn't constitute investment advice, and isn't created solely for qualified investors.
Call Me Crazy But....NVDA LOOKS EXHAUSTEDNVDA has been the golden child of '23 for sure but I believe it's time for it to take a breather. I don't think such a large gap will go untouched for too much longer. I know I'm not the only one seeing this, so I'd expect there to be some games being played before we get there, either way I'll be positioned well for this fall. The higher it goes, the better the payout for me when it's all said and done. I might sound confident, but of course I could be completely wrong. Only Time Will Tell...
Sell NVDA NowNVDA stock has topped. The run is over. And institutions are using Wednesday's earnings beat as a final chance to sell their shares while they can.
Over the last 4-6 weeks we have witnessed many of these leading names roll over and retrace beneath their 50-day moving average – a key level that generally supports top stocks through the move higher. Despite the recent pullback in the market, Nvidia has held at its highs.
Wednesday after the close, Nvidia reported earnings. And the results were better than anyone could have expected...
Earnings $2.70 per share versus estimates of $2.08. Sales were $13.5 billion – 20% above expectations. And the company raised forward guidance (how much they expect to bring in next quarter) from $12 billion to $16 billion.
They also announced a $25 billion share buyback which should act to propel the stock price even further. Investors got everything they wanted and then some. NVDA stock shot up 10% after hours. The news was so good, the entire Nasdaq index shot up 1% on the news.
But Thursday, in the first few hours of trading, all of those gains were gone. The Nasdaq opened higher, and immediately began selling off. It fell 3% during the session. And NVDA was back where it closed the day before.
This, to me, is a clear signal that the 2023 rally in tech stocks is over. The high was likely made on July 19th, and I doubt we see that level again this year.
The 2023 high is in - both for the Nasdaq and Nvidia stock. Institutional sellers are very clearly selling into the good earnings news and using the demand as a chance to exit their multi-billion-dollar positions. Do not make the mistake of buying here. The party is over.
NVDA Short: End of 5th Wave and huge reversal candleFrom my chart, it should be very obvious that the euphoria for NVDA has ended. We all know that this stock is over-priced. Yes, it is earning a lot more from the data centers (please see their financials if you are interested, but I don't trade from fundamental analysis).
What we also know is that their executives have been selling into this price movement up. While a lot of the bears were heavily damaged during the past 5 months, I am here announcing that the end is here.
The fabulous results from NVDA also triggered a lot of upgrades of price targets from major banks and other financial institutions. What I can say is, this is definitely an attempt at liquidity for the strong hands to exit.
Good luck! Get the word out there!
NVDA Earnings Outlook:High Premium, Potential Post-Earnings DropNASDAQ:NVDA trades at a premium, with a P/E ratio of 277, towering over the sector median P/E of 25.56 and the S&P 500's P/E of 24.50. Its EV/EBIT is also remarkably high at 207.38 against the sector median of 19.45, signaling significant market sentiment.
The options market's pricing in a potential $50 move,trading well above recommended levels 50-day EMA, suggesting that it might be overbought. While there may be a continued run-up leading to earnings, a post-earnings drop is anticipated. Target levels post-earnings could be $433, $419, and $400. Play the run-up but be cautious to sell the news.
NVDA crash July 10 weekDid you ever feel like you missed out on NVDA? Don't worry, you can make up for some of that and ride the price on its way down (aka, short selling or put options). The bear is coming for the market this week and it's going to ravish the tech.
NVDA price is at a pitchfork resistance level and so is its RSI. Additionally see the divergence between the price highs and the RSI highs which also indicate a bearish outlook. These (as well as insights from my own unpublished indicators) tell me that a significant price drop will come this week.
Short NVDA againShort NVDA again, I honestly think we see a significant correction here from a technical perspective. Not sure whos buying here. Being very cations of short stop runs like the one we just had yesterday. Went 60% short at the open today at $444.32. 4 hr candies are beautiful. Not advise. Plan to walk it down with stops and see what happens. Not advise
NVDA - Why And When I Short Nvidia Yes, NVDA is stretched.
Price got so pumped with all the AI (fake?) news that it looks now like a Pump & Dump pattern.
However, it's not a reason to play Lotto.
We better wait for facts.
What are the actual facts in the eyes of a TA?
a) Pendulum Swings give context
b) the daily chart reveals where price has a high potential to turn sour. It's when price is opening within the Pitchfork, where we will short it and ride down to the Center Line.
c) RSI gives context about a strong divergence and underpins the story.
So, no no need to rush here.
And if we miss it?
Then there's always another trade §8-)
Short NVDAShort NVDA, made some $ on a short a few weeks ago but got stopped out a few times also. Slight loss on my NVDA trades last few weeks but am starting to short again here. Not Advise.
Nvidia -> Slowing Down And Now?Hello Traders and Investors ,
my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Nvidia 💪
Looking at the monthly timeframe you can see that after Nvidia retested previous support and the 0.786 fibonacci retracement at the $110 level, there was a solid rally towards the upside.
Also on the weekly timeframe you can see that we had a juicy inverted head and shoulders reversal pattern and I pointed out all the reasons why I do expect the upcoming pump of roughly 120% towards the upside.
Looking at the daily timeframe now you can see that Nvidia is a little bit overextended is also slowing down with momentum so there might be the possibility that we will see a short term correction after Nvidia actually breaks the current uptrend line.
Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint 📈
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
My previous analysis of this asset:
Short NVDALotsa people hiding in this beast. Been short for a bit. -1.5% on the short but adding, 50% position. Medium size. No stops yet. Not advise
NVDA - Key Bearish Factors
Hey traders! Today, I want to share my analysis on why I believe shorting NVDA could be a compelling opportunity.
1. Price at Upper Extreme: NVDA's price is currently at an upper extreme, indicated by the U-MLH of the Pitchfork. This suggests a potential reversal or correction.
2. Overhyped by AI News: NVDA may be overhyped by AI-related news, leading to excessive pricing based on future growth expectations.
3. Divergence in Indicators: Technical indicators are showing divergence, indicating a potential shift in NVDA's price trajectory.
My personal potential Targets:
a) the center line
b) the lower median-line parallel
Given the upcoming earnings, hedging is a crucial step in my trading strategy.
Thanks for any comments, rants and positive critics. §8-)
Forgot to publish this beautiful NVDA diamondShorted the diamond, it played out beautifully. Always trade a diamond on a timeframe 4h or longer, long or short.
NVDA by HesamUNTHey traders
what u think about NVDA ? is this over ?
i can take 419$ as major resistance lvl, as long we play below this lvl in Weekly TF
sure, wont b valid if price break it up in Daily and Weekly TF
share ur chart and leave a comment
NVDA bearish prediction for next week | Just a gut feelingThis is the most OPTIMISTIC outcome for NVDA I believe. There is another possibility I have in mind which results in us gapping down quite a lot on open. But overall, I'd say this may be a good guess based on the amount of distribution volume we've seen. I don't think we'll retest the highs anytime soon, because on Friday we ended with some pretty big sell volume.
We'll see!
