LONG $BTC / SHORT $NVDA PAIR TRADE ez pair trade overvalued tecc stonk vs future of finance / global reserve currency
nvda and many other tech stocks rallied 150% since the previous lows, i think its time btc plays catch up (currently up around 100%, previous bear market rally was ~340%)
nvda also has highest p/e ratio it has ever had (150 p/e) so i think this is a good option if you're looking for something to short
Nvdashort
NVDA Future Long Term Outlook | $QQQ | Bank Earnings kick off- NASDAQ:NVDA shaping up a H&S bearish pattern on daily time frame
- NASDAQ:SMH / SOXX semi sector relatively weaker than NASDAQ:QQQ & $NASDAQ. that's why im still holding onto SOXS
- When lead bull sectors starts to turn into more bearish we have to be careful with the other sectors. So far it is showing relative weakness but not too big of a divergence yet.
- Bank earnings will not directly effect QQQ and SMH but will indirectly effect sentiment and if SPY drops a lot so will tech stocks and vice versa.
$NVDA will go below $109 this quarterNASDAQ:NVDA
* after two consecutive down weeks, there was a week of consolidation
* Currently 2d-2d-1 on #TheStrat
* I am still bearish on semiconductors; we are still in a bearish channel and I think the rally to 187 (December) was just a failed broadening formation. Institutions wanted to squeeze bears into selling their positions by running it up.
* Now it’s time to run it below 109 (October low)
I'm watching to see if the price will go ABOVE 150.10 this coming week (which would breach last week's high) and THEN have it retrace and fall shortly after that. The drawdown could take several weeks, we'll see.
Maybe a 2d-1-2u-2d, which I think "Stratters" call a "Randy Jackson" ?
NVDA SHORT!! HIGH Probability Retrace to $200NVDA has been on a tear higher lately as has all of Tech despite the Banking failures. It seems everyone thinks Tech will outperfrom with lower yields. What people are failing to realize is that Lower yields are a sign of a flight to safety in BONDS and this implies a POOR Economic outlook. One of the 1st sectors to get his hard in a recession is TECH.
Here NVDA is up against MAJOR Resistance on multiple time frames and notice all of those resistance lines converge between $255-$270.
Several Broken trendlines are shown and notice that price has retraced to the "scene of the crime". Now Broken Support of those trendlines become a test of Resistance. With TL resist and Horizontal Resist all in this area this is a great area to SELL into the rally.
SHORT NVDA at anything > $257.
ADD To shorts up to $270 level.
Max position is 10-11%% Capital in trade.
This risks 1% if a CLOSE > SL = $280.16.
Downside Target Price ~$200.
2.49 Reward:Risk Ratio
Trade what you see!!
Nvidia -> Time To Fill The GapHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis .
On the weekly timeframe Nvidia stock just had a massive rally towards the upside, just the past 70 days the market is up about 75%.
You can also see that during this long move towards the upside, we didn't really have any weekly correction towards the downside, so from a weekly perspective I do expect at least a short term correction to retest the next weekly previous resistance area, which is now turned support.
On the daily timeframe you can see that Nvidia stock is starting to create resistance at the current $235 area, so from here it is quite likely that we will see a short term correction towards the downside to retest the next previous daily support zone, which should be turned support once again.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
NVDA bullish continuation?$NVDA soars before market opens after beating the earnings estimates. it also got a price upgrade from few analyst from 225 to 255 or 275
below is my key level for day trading entry and exit.
NVDA average price move per day is $7-$10 per day depending on market volatility and catalyst.
Below is the price level I'm looking for entries and exit for TSLA:
Buy call above 237.87 and sell at 242.49+ or above
Buy puts below 232.12 and sell at 227.35 or below
make sure that you set up alerts on those key level so you wont miss the move.
and always to take your profits as you see one.
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsLooking at the NVDA NVIDIA Corporation options chain, i would buy the $180 strike price Calls with
2023-3-17 expiration date for about
$16.35 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Remember, this is a medium term play, we could not necessarily see instant results.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Nvidia -> Higher, Higher And HigherHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis .
On the weekly timeframe you can see that Nvidia is actually quite overextended towards the upside, just the last couple of weeks the market had a pump of about 65% towards the upside.
Considering the fact that from a weekly perspective we are also retesting previous support which is now turned resistance, I do expect a short term rejection towards the downside and then the longer term continuation towards the upside.
On the daily timeframe you can see that we are currently retesting also previous resistance, so I am now just waiting for some bearish rejection which will then lead to a short term weekly correction towards the downside.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation Strongest SupportNVDA NVIDIA Corporation looks ready for a technical rebound.
A technical rebound refers to a recovery from a prior period of losses when technical signals indicate that the move was oversold.
In this case, the Relative Strength Index momentum indicator of NVDA is below 30.
Even though i am overall bearish on the economy, buying a strong financial instrument when the RSI is below 30, would make a case for a potential short term reversal.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NVDA DAILY WOLFE WAVE SETUP OVER THE WEEKENDOn Sept 2, 2022, a daily wolfe wave entry was triggered. The projected target is calculated by extending a linear line between pivot 1 and 4 and projecting the line. This is represented as the green perforated line, as shown in the chart. Since there is no apex associated with the daily wolfe wave, an alternative price objective would be required using gaps, previous support levels or time. If there was an apex formec, then the projected target is defined by identifying the apex location and projecting a vertical line toward the green perforated projection tgt which is extending from left to right. Short term target is near gap at 150 or 21 day ma which is 164. Conservative level would be 155. I hope this helps.
Nvidia draws attention back to Pelosi's stock picks Stock investments by US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and her husband, venture capitalist Paul Pelosi, are again in the spotlight after shares of Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) declined again after the pair reduced their interest in the semiconductor company.
Pelosi is the first female Speaker of the US House of Representatives and second in line to the presidency (after Vice President Kamala Harris). Considering her very public position, her financial matters and by extension, her husband's, always attract attention.
In July, the couple sold 25,000 Nvidia shares in a transaction valued between $1 million and $5 million. The shares were sold at $165.05 apiece, reflecting a loss of $340,000. On Sept. 1, Nvidia fell 18.3%, and if not for the July transaction, the Pelosis would have lost $753,000, the news platform added.
While the decision may have just been due to good investor instinct, it is being marred by controversies. The filing of a bill in Congress, as well as a visit in Taiwan are making it harder to simply brush some of the controversies under the rug.
Semiconductor Boost
Paul Pelosi invested in Nvidia on June 17 with the exercise of 200 call options for shares in the company at a price of $100 per share. The transaction was also valued between $1 million and $5 million..
It came at a time when the CHIPS Act is tabled for approval in Congress. The bill, which President Biden signed into law in August, aims to strengthen domestic semiconductor manufacturing, design and research. According to TechRepublic, the law will provide $52 billion for semiconductor manufacturing incentives and research investments, as well as a 25% investment tax credit for semiconductor manufacturing, which would be a great help to companies like Nvidia.
New York Post columnist Charles Gasparino labelled the investment the "latest home run" for Pelosi, who Gasparino wrote, "has been killing it in the stock market in recent years," winning with companies that benefit from governmental legislation.
Congresswoman Pelosi supported the CHIPS Act. Following the July sale, people have started singing a different tune that the transaction may have been done to alleviate conflict of interest concerns.
Or it could be another smart investment move. Nvidia fell nearly 3% at close of trading Sept. 2. It has been on the red that week, likely due to the US government's restriction of the company's sales to China.
Another event connecting the House Speaker to the semiconductor industry is her visit to Taiwan on Aug. 2. The visit, which according to BBC was "strongly condemned" by China, involved a meeting with Mark Liu, chairman of the world's biggest chipmaker, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. or TSMC (TPE: 2330).
Other Investments
Aside from Nvidia, the Pelosis have other investments in public companies. Business Insider reported in July that they have shares in companies including:
AllianceBernstein (NYSE: AB),
the class A (NASDAQ: GOOGL) and C stocks (NASDAQ: GOOG) of Alphabet,
Amazon.com (NASDAQ: AMZN),
American Express (NYSE: AXP),
Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL),
Micron Technology (NASDAQ: MU),
Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT),
Paypal (NASDAQ: PYPL),
Salesforce.com (NYSE: CRM),
Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA), Visa (NYSE: V),
Walt Disney (NYSE: DIS),
and Warner Bros. Discovery Series A (WNASDAQ: WBD).
Speaker Pelosi's involvement in these companies prompted a legislation that would prohibit members of the US Congress from trading stocks. After months of resistance, Pelosi dropped opposition of the proposed legislation.
Insider included the House Speaker in its list of 25 richest members of Congress, with a net worth of at least $46.1 million. Amid insinuations that this may have something to do with information she passes on to help her husband with his investment decisions, the congresswoman told reporters in July that this was never the case.