NVDIA Technical buy now but recovery may take a bit longer.Last time we analyzed NVDIA corporation (NVDA) we called for a sell and clearly noted that it was not the time to buy yet (July 03, see chart below):
Our $110.00 downside Target got hit last week and as the price remains below the 1D MA50, it has entered an accumulation zone, which in the past has been very short-lived (April 19 2024, December 28 2022) and the price rebounded to a Higher High instantly or more long lasting (August 14 - October 31 2023).
In any event, NVDA has completed more than a -23.00% decline from its All Time High, which is the normal correction within the 22-month Channel Up, so that constitutes a new long-term buy entry for us. Our Target, whether we get a quick rebound or a longer-term one, is $170 (a 'modest' 2.0 Fibonacci extension).
On a side-note, the 1D RSI (black trend-line at the bottom of the chart) is also below the 40.00 mark, which within the Channel Up pattern has been the top of the long-term Buy Zone.
Note also that only a break below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), constitutes a long-term bearish reversal.
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Nvdiacorporation
Nvidia Stock Surges Above $1,000 up by 5%Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) has surged above the 1,000 level for the first time in a year, with its market cap racing past $2.5 trillion. The chip giant's earnings and sales growth have led it to pass or challenge Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) and Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) as the world's most valuable company. Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) stock surged 15.1% last week to a record 1,064.19, blasting past 1,000. The chip giant increased its market cap by $338 billion to $2.661 trillion as of May 24, just behind Apple ($2.913 trillion) and not far from Microsoft ($3.196 trillion).
At the end of last year, Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) had a $1.22 trillion market cap, lagging Google parent Alphabet ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ) and Amazon.com ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) in addition to Apple and Microsoft. Out of the Magnificent Seven stocks, Nvidia only had a higher valuation than Meta Platforms (META) and Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ).
On May 22, Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) reported Q1 2025 earnings per share of $6.12, up 461% vs. a year earlier, with revenue soaring 265% to $26.04 billion. Analysts expect Nvidia earnings to soar 107% in fiscal 2025 to $26.85 a share, followed by a 31% gain in fiscal 2026 to $35.12.
Microsoft, Apple, and the other Magnificent Seven stocks have various catalysts, but a lot of that reflects AI growth, or at least AI growth hopes that are good news for Nvidia. Megacap techs are spending massively on AI, with a lot of that going directly on Nvidia chips.
At the current $2.662 trillion valuation, Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) just needs a 12.8% advance to reach $3 trillion, which would also pass up Apple's current valuation and greatly narrow the gap with Microsoft. Nvidia stock rose 4.5% early Tuesday, pushing the market cap above $2.75 trillion.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell Tuesday morning, as Wall Street digested economic data in the form of two housing reports. Artificial intelligence giant Nvidia rallied to more record highs, while GameStop ( NYSE:GME ) soared on the stock market today after raising nearly $1 billion from a stock sale.
Technically, NVIDIA Corp ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) stock is currently overbought with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 78.10.
NVDIA targeting $1150 before a correction.Arguably one of the hottest (if not the hottest) stock in 2023 has been NVDIA Corporation (NVDA), currently sitting at roughly + 570% from its October 2022 market bottom. Our December 18 2023 long (see chart below) hit its target, with the price even soaring higher:
The question is, will it keep rising or finally give way to a proper correction or at best consolidation? Based on the vastly overbought 1W RSI (84.00), we are approaching levels of May 2022, which gave way to July's consolidation.
That consolidation however (July - December 2023) is identical to those of September 2020 - March 2021 and January - April 2017. All three consolidation phases took place in the middle of a Channel Up, broke below the 1D MA100 (red trend-line) but found Support and rebounded on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). Note that between all Channel Up patterns a strong correction took place that reached as low as the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). The correction phase was confirmed only after the price broke below the 1W MA50.
As a result, as long as the 1D MA100 holds and closes all 1W candles above it (or at worst the 1W MA50), we expect NVDIA to hit at least $1150, which would represent a rise marginally below +207.00% from the consolidation's bottom. As you can see on the chart, the previous 2 Channel Up patterns, peaked on the same % range (+207% and +210%) from their respective consolidations.
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NVDIA Short-term buy signal within the 8-month Channel Up.NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) not only found Support yesterday at the bottom of the 8 month Channel Up but the strong daily rise managed to close the 1D candle above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Last time it did so was on January 09 2023, on a similar bullish reversal fractal after a Channel Up bottom.
With the 1D RSI also rebounding exactly on the Support level from the bottom of that fractal, we turn bullish again on the stock, targeting the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at $540.00.
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NVDIA Is it late to buy if you missed the +25% jump??NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) closed almost at +25% yesterday and naturally investors who missed the opportunity to buy low might be wondering if it is too late to buy. Technically, the stock is within a 8 year Channel Up on the log scale and following the October 10 2022 Low exactly on its bottom, it has started the new bullish leg towards its top.
The 1W MACD just avoided a Bearish Cross with yesterday's price jump, something that also happened on the week of January 03 2023, which resulted in a relentless rally extension up to today. Our long-term target is $550, which is where the previous two mid-term rally peaks took a pause sideways (35.60% from the Channel's top).
We may potentially see a pull-back (hence an even better buy opportunity) if the 1W MACD eventually makes a Bearish Cross. On March 02 2022, that resulted in a -40% correction to the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), so you may reserve an amount in case this opportunity comes again. Typically during such Channel Up rallies, the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) holds the uptrend. When it broke in the past, the corrections of late 2018 and 2022 started.
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