Nvidia
Nvidia Subdivides Lower from Recently ATHPrice is now in the target box for our circle a wave and I am watching for the potential of a reversal higher in our circle b wave. To continue to leak lower could bolster the case for ALT purple wave 4 as price appears somewhat short term oversold. My primary is a circle b wave corrective retrace. Because of the sheer bullish of the long term chart, only a move below $104-$106 would signal a major top may have been struck.
TSLA : Big Resistance Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Tesla stock chart, we can see that the price has once again reached the supply zone at $185 and has been unsuccessful in breaking through the resistance. For this reason, our previous analysis remains valid. We need to see when this decline will finally start! The supply zone is between $191 and $206, and the bearish targets for this stock are $168, $153, and $139 respectively.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Why Nvidia’s Monster $3T Valuation Poses a Threat to S&P 500Too fast Nvidia climbed the ladder of success and now the broad-based S&P 500 is at risk of getting sucked into a crisis if the chip giant were to trigger it.
Nvidia Value Takes Up 7% of S&P 500
Is Nvidia (ticker: NVDA ), the massive chip company, too big to fail? Shares of the juggernaut in the AI space have soared more than 160% this year and they show no signs of slowing down. That’s all great news for traders who enjoy the daily volatility and love watching billions of dollars slosh around as markets try to figure out Nvidia’s worth.
What markets have agreed on so far is that Nvidia is worth more than $3.2 trillion. The lofty price tag, however, comes with certain dangers. One such danger is that Nvidia makes up about 7% of the S&P 500. The broad-based Wall Street darling, packaged with 500 public companies , is valued at $46 trillion.
The danger isn’t too obvious now for obvious reasons. Nvidia is yet to give back (if it ever does, right?) some of its formidable gains. But there are signs already. Last Friday, this ratio of 93:7 tipped the S&P 500 into a loss just because the hulking size of Nvidia was too much weight on the stock index.
And because the markets aren’t allowing any breathing room and shares are always on fire, we can’t know the impact a crash in Nvidia could have on the S&P 500. But since the pendulum swings both ways, it pays to be prepared.
The Big Three’s Massive Weight
The tech-focused concentration of the S&P 500 doesn’t end with Nvidia. The two other companies that are also worth over $3 trillion each have the same weight on the equity benchmark.
Add Apple (ticker: AAPL ) and Microsoft (ticker: MSFT ) next to the AI chip maker and you’ve got a nice 21% chunk of the S&P 500 concentrated in three companies. In other words, that’s more than $10 trillion of valuation in total and it dominates the large-cap rankings .
What’s the common ground between all three? AI, more or less, with Apple playing catch up pretty fast.
“Why not pick on Apple then, if it’s the same market value?” Apple brings home more than $380 billion in revenue a year while Nvidia can only do $60 billion . Moreover, the iPhone maker has 2.5 times Nvidia’s trailing 12-month free cash flow.
Doomsday Scenario
A possible doomsday scenario in the artificial intelligence corner, every permabear will tell you, can trigger a rude awakening for investors and strip those giants off their record high valuations.
They actually had a moment of victory, although a brief one. In April, Nvidia endured its biggest drop since its recognition as the purest AI play out there. Shares erased more than 10% in the span of a few days. But before permabears had a chance to sip at their mezcal espresso martini and call it a day, Nvidia had bolted past the losses and into fresh record territory.
These days, it’s largely the same few stocks pumping and driving the gains across the indexes. That doesn’t sound like much of a diversification — the narrative pushed by passive investors who choose to shove some money into an index and do nothing. If the S&P 500 served as a diversification vehicle in the past, it certainly doesn’t look like it today.
Your Thoughts?
Will we see the AI bubble burst like the dot-com bubble of the 2000s? Or will Nvidia continue lifting the sea of stocks? Leave your thoughts below.
NVIDIA - Correction after stock split?NASDAQ:NVDA has been one on the strongest stocks of the past decade with a rally of +25.000%.
Today, Nvidia had a stock split of 1:10, meaning that for every 1 share of Nvidia, you recieved another 9 shares (10 in total). Therefore, Nvidia stock price was simply divided by 10 ($1.200 / 10 = $120). Nvidia stock is currently retesting a major resistance trendline and is repeating another "cycle pattern" like we saw in 2015 and 2019. A correction is simply quite likely.
Levels to watch: $120, $50
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
NVIDIA is going to top out, consolidate before taking offThere's only one more meme rally left before CBDC's. I expect Nvidia to meet guidance for earnings, will spike up and then crater.
There's some cheap puts for .20 for 500 strike price for July. Will probably be 450 after it's all said and done when it bottoms out. Which is a 2,250x return if the stock did crater! Couldn't rule out a flash crash. I think if we wait till next week to buy the puts it'll be cheaper, maybe .15 which is a 3,000x.
They will definitely soar when the FED ends up cutting rates after the BOJ sells treasuries and BRICS unveil their currency.
If Trump wins our country will convert back to a gold standard. If Biden wins they will try to usher in a CBDC. Better own some food, land, ammo and precious metals comrade if you do decide to vote against "Mean Tweets"...
$NVDA & $GME Day Trading Strategy With Algorithm Indicator NASDAQ:NVDA We day trade two stocks: Nvidia and $GME. Our strategy is to go long only. We wait for our algorithm to alert us with a large green dot. We have been in a long position with NASDAQ:NVDA since June 11th, and as of today, we exited our position with a nice profit when we received a large red dot.
Fundament and vision over hard data ? NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:TSLA
Taking a quick look at the two technological giants, we could say that NVIDIA´s massively beating Tesla in a straight line. Not only Tesla, but the whole market´s badly beaten by this huge company.
NVIDIA earned around 186% YTD . On the other hand Tesla is down around 29% YTD.
DATA
Current biggest company of the world, which NVIDIA has became few days ago, has been reporting amazing data throughout the year. Huge sales, incredible earnings and breathtaking margins !
On the other hand, Tesla´s reported the worst numbers since the meeting held in June 2023. There are many factors that have affected the numbers of these companies. Especially the uncertainty about China, the EV price war in Chinese market and the impact of tariffs imposed by US and EU on EVs. Moreover AI boom and demand for chips helped NVIDIA to rise.
RECAP
Tesla reported:
Revenue: $21.3 billion
Net Income: $1.13 billion
EPS: $0.34
Tesla's revenue and net income declined significantly compared to Q1 2023
NVIDIA reported:
Revenue: $26.0 billion
Net Income: $14.88 billion
EPS: $0.61
However there are many questions to be answered. Are Nvidia´s margins sustainable in long-term ? What if demand for chips decreases ? What if long-awaited AI bubble bursts one day ?
I highlighted with vertical lines on the graph reaction of these two stocks after last earnings reported:
1. Tesla stopped his downward plunge and stabilized between 170 and 190.
2. NVIDIA has rocketed upward
Is it all about key numbers ?
In my opinion investors still react wisely on incoming data and many of them rely on it. However other factors can move the price such as fundament, management and CEOs and their visions.
It´s the vision of Elon Musk that keeps Tesla at its current valuations. He tries to persuade stakeholders and potential investors that company is more than EV maker. He talks about software company aiming wider like building artificial intelligence, robo taxi and AI for all of us and around us.
It´s nothing new, Tesla´s basically built entirely on Elon´s vision. So far it´s paying off. Until when ? Don´t take me wrong. I´m a fan of Elon´s visions and hopefully they manage to make it true. It seems to be long run, BUT THAT´S INVESTING !
NVIDIA seems to have less persuasive vision and investors rely more on key financial numbers and definitely some of them just have jumped on trend leading by AI boom.
Who will be a winner in long-term ? We could only guess. However proofs speak clear, NVIDIA is one and only winner in battlefield.
What´s your strategy in long-term investing ? Are you "fundamental guy" , "vision guy" or "data guy " ? Or do you look at it as a whole thing ?
Let us know, feel free to share your opinion in comments
Let´s talk about it
Nvidia - How high is too high?Nvidia (NVDA) continues to defy gravity, hitting $140 in pre-market trading today.
This translates to:
A 23% increase in June alone
A 55% increase in Q2
A staggering 184% increase since the beginning of the year
A 225% year-to-date (YTD) surge
These are the kinds of figures we've come to expect from Nvidia, making even impressive YTD gains of 27% by companies like Microsoft look pedestrian. Nvidia's rise has also propelled it to the top of the market cap rankings, becoming the world's most valuable publicly traded company.
The Question of Sustainability
The burning question is, can this growth be sustained?
So far, Nvidia has the numbers to back it up. The company has already generated more EBITDA this year than in all of FY2023. While its Price/Earnings Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.55 suggests a slight overvaluation, and has been increasing steadily for a year, it remains below the PEG ratios of multi-trillion-dollar peers like Microsoft and Apple.
Technical Indicators Flashing Green
The technical indicators also paint a bullish picture. The stock is well above its short-, mid-, and long-term moving averages, indicating strong momentum. The recent surge in volume further confirms heightened investor interest.
The Bias and Sentiment Strength (BASS) Indicator, a composite tool created by @mattzab combining several technical indicators, also flashes a strong buy signal for Nvidia. (For a detailed explanation, see this page: ).
The Road Ahead: Smooth Sailing or Bumpy Ride?
The big question is whether we'll see a soft landing, a minor pullback, or a significant dip. This will depend on how many investors decide to take profits and the speed at which they do so. A rapid sell-off would likely be triggered by a sudden collapse in the "AI hype" or if companies find themselves unable to effectively utilize their new AI chips, or their efforts to capitalize on LLMs fail.
It's still early days in the AI boom, but parallels have already been drawn with the dot-com bubble which many investors are old enough to remember. It took Apple more than 5 years after the crash to reach its dot-com peak, and Microsoft needed more than 14 years. While there is no looking back for these stocks now, one shouldn't forget that Cisco, which was regarded as a crucial internet infrastructure provider at the turn of the century, never reached its dotcom peak again. But then again, past market crashes do not guarantee future losses, or how did the saying go again?
For now, the status quo remains: everyone is bullish as long as everyone else is bullish as well.
As always, stay vigilant out there!
BTC vs NVDA Fractal 📈📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈
Fractals are a helpful way to identify how markets have previously moved. When identifying a similar pattern, it can be useful to speculate future potential price action.
In my previous updates, I've mentioned the two scenarios that I foresee for BTC after reaching a new ATH. The one was a correction, and the other was range trading until after the halving. Find the previous Bitcoin post here:
When we compare BTC to how Nvidia has been moving, we see a very similar corrective pattern play out, followed by a steep increase. Then, after a period of sideways/range trading on NVDA, the price continues to even higher highs as it increases parabolically. Could we possible see something similar on Bitcoin? I think it's worth keeping an eye on this fractal and expect some boring price action for a while on BTC.
If you found this content helpful, please remember to hit like and subscribe and never miss a moment in the markets.
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NASDAQ:NVDA MEXC:BTCUSDT
NVIDIA 176% YTD GAINS 2024 NASDAQ:NVDA 🚀 NVIDIA’s Stellar Ascent: A 176% YTD Surge! 🚀
In the high-stakes world of tech stocks, NVIDIA has emerged as the year’s undisputed champion, boasting a jaw-dropping 176% increase in its stock price year-to-date. Here’s a snapshot of why NVIDIA is the talk of Wall Street:
Market Cap Milestone: NVIDIA has not only skyrocketed in stock value but also achieved a monumental market cap of $3.335 trillion, surpassing tech giants like Microsoft to become the most valued company in the world.
Stock Split Magic: The company’s recent 10-for-1 stock split has made its shares more accessible to a broader range of investors, fueling the fire of its already impressive rally.
Generative AI Gold Rush: NVIDIA sits at the forefront of the generative AI revolution, with its GPUs being the powerhouse behind the scenes. This sector is projected to reach a staggering $967.6 billion by 2032, and NVIDIA’s leading-edge technology is poised to reap the benefits.
ETF Rebalance: A leading tech ETF has shifted its balance, significantly increasing its stake in NVIDIA. This strategic move involves a massive $23 billion stake exchange, highlighting the confidence investors have in NVIDIA’s future.
Wall Street’s Vote of Confidence: Analysts are bullish, with predictions that NVIDIA’s stock could soar to $200. The consensus is clear: NVIDIA is expected to dominate the computing market for the next decade.
Part3: ''The Best Buy of the Decade?'' The Journey Continues... 🚀⭐ NVIDIA - The Best Buy of the Decade? The Journey Continues... 🌟📈
Part 1 and 2:
NVIDIA's incredible journey from my initial post on July 15, 2021 , proclaiming it the "Best Buy of the Decade," has exceeded all expectations. Two years later, in June 2023, we revisited this bold claim , and today, we witness NVIDIA's valuation approaching the $143.85 target, reinforcing the strong uptrend.
Oh..Have i mentioned that NVIDIA has now become the most valuable publicly traded company in the world, surpassing Microsoft with a market valuation over $3 trillion.
Supporting News:
Is NVIDIA (NVDA) a Buy After Its Recent Stock Split?
NVIDIA Overtakes Microsoft as Most Valuable Stock in the World
NVIDIA's Valuation Surges, Becoming the World's Most Valuable Company
Chart Insights:
12-Hour Heikin Ashi Candlestick Chart
Clear uptrend with a parabolic growth pattern
Target Price: $143.85 approaching swiftly
Industry Leadership:
NVIDIA's strategic moves, including stock splits and dominance in AI, gaming, and semiconductor industries, have positioned it as a market leader. CEO Jensen Huang's vision for the future continues to inspire confidence in NVIDIA's long-term growth. According to a recent article on TheStreet, Huang outlined a massive future for NVIDIA, emphasizing the company's pioneering role in AI and computing innovation.
Conclusion:
NVIDIA's journey is a testament to its robust business model and market leadership. From my initial forecast to today's historic milestone as the world's most valuable company, NVIDIA has proven to be a formidable player in the tech industry.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
ps. AI stocks at ATHs... AI crypto should follow
World's Top Companies: Who’s in the Exclusive $1T Club & Beyond?But wait, it gets even more exclusive than a mere $1 trillion! There’s a $2 trillion club with just a single player and a super-duper hyper-elite ultra club of $3 trillion. Can you name the participants?
Being part of the world’s biggest companies isn’t easy. It may look easy — these corporate giants gain billions of dollars in market cap before you make your morning cup of coffee (especially if you’re drowsy after a late-night options trading action).
In this Idea, we look at the dynamic docket of the world's most expensive companies, neatly stacked up in the TradingView Top companies list .
The world has never seen so much money concentrated in a few select companies. Fun fact: all of them had humble beginnings like starting out of a garage and trying to get clients through cold calling — but ended up changing the world with things like the iPhone.
Today, a total of seven companies are worth $1 trillion or more each and three of them boast a valuation of over $3 trillion each. Can you guess the common theme across all? It starts with “A” and ends with “I”.
Artificial intelligence (AI) has been popping these stocks to record highs for months now. And there’s no sign of slowing down the insane growth. All of these companies, except for one that’s not based in the US, are listed in the broad-based S&P 500 index and make up about 30% of its total weight. Can you spot them in the S&P 500 Stock Heatmap ?
Note that all numbers and rankings are measured by the companies' performances through mid-June of this year.
Let’s roll!
1. 🧩 Microsoft (ticker: MSFT )
Microsoft is the world’s most valuable company worth a staggering $3.289 trillion. The software maker quickly swooped in to lead the AI race by backing ChatGPT parent OpenAI . It has invested $13 billion in the startup.
Microsoft’s growth is largely driven by the adoption of AI across its product suite. Artificial intelligence-powered assistants such as Microsoft Copilot can operate without human intervention or direct commands, making companies’ lives easier and more productive.
💰 Market Cap : $3.289 trillion
🐮 Revenue : $211.91 billion (2023)
👶 How It Started : Microsoft's first major deal was with IBM in 1980. They developed the operating system for IBM's new computer, which they named PC DOS. The deal was worth $50,000.
2. 🧩 Apple (ticker: AAPL )
Apple has entered the chat. The iPhone maker just recently figured out how to play catch up in the AI race after doing virtually nothing for a year. Apple Intelligence — the company’s response to AI — got investors excited about the future growth prospects of iPhone sales and overall revenue generation.
The AI announcement, made during Apple’s annual developer conference, helped lift its shares by 10% and propelled the company to the number one spot, dethroning Microsoft. Briefly, though .
💰 Market Cap : $3.258 trillion
🐮 Revenue : $383.29 billion (2023)
👶 How It Started : Apple traces its humble origins to Steve Jobs’s garage where he and another founder — Steve Wozniak, would test the products before selling them over the phone. A third founder — Ronald Wayne — was in the company for just 12 days and sold his 10% stake for $800. That stake today is worth more than $325 billion.
3. 🧩 Nvidia (ticker: NVDA )
Nvidia is the highflyer technology company responsible for building out the infrastructure layer of the artificial intelligence revolution. Its coveted AI chips are the hottest commodity for all other technology giants and that’s where Nvidia’s power comes from.
Earlier this month, Nvidia’s market value crossed $3 trillion for the first time, overtaking Apple and becoming the third company to ever breathe the rarefied air of so much money. First place coming soon?
💰 Market Cap : $3.244 trillion
🐮 Revenue : $60.92 billion (2023)
👶 How It Started : Jensen Huang, who never interviews wearing anything other than a black jacket, was cleaning tables and washing dishes at his local Denny’s diner. And that’s where he sat with his two friends — hardware savant Chris Malachowsky and software geek Curtis Priem — when he founded his chip making business Nvidia.
4. 🧩 Alphabet (ticker: GOOGL )
Alphabet, parent of search dominator Google, is taking on Microsoft in the rushed race to market an AI assistant. The company’s first generation AI bot, Bard, suffered a major blow at launch (it returned false information). Subsequent attempts failed to present any threat to ChatGPT so Alphabet rebranded it to Gemini.
💰 Market Cap : $2.194 trillion
🐮 Revenue : $307.39 billion (2023)
👶 How It Started : The founders, Larry Page and Sergey Brin, initially worked on their search engine project from their dorm rooms at Stanford University. They later moved to a garage in Menlo Park, California, which was owned by Susan Wojcicki, former CEO of YouTube. Google purchased YouTube for $1.65 billion in 2005. Today, YouTube generates that amount in two weeks.
5. 🧩 Amazon (ticker: AMZN )
Amazon, the ecommerce and cloud computing heavyweight, is riding the AI wave thanks to its cloud computing division Amazon Web Services (AWS). It’s the company’s cash cow, revenue generator, profit driver, or however you want to call it.
For the most recent quarter, AWS hit $100 billion in annual revenue run rate — a financial metric that estimates future growth based on current performance. Or the opposite of "Past performance is no guarantee of future results."
💰 Market Cap : $1.911 trillion
🐮 Revenue : $574.78 billion
👶 How It Started : Amazon was founded by Jeff Bezos in 1994 after he left his analyst job at the hedge fund D. E. Shaw & Co, inspired by the rapid growth of the internet. He took the risk of selling things online and picked books due to their wide selection and ease of distribution. And the rest is history.
6. 🧩 Saudi Arabian Oil (ticker: 2222 )
An outlier in the rankings saturated by tech giants, Saudi Arabian Oil is the world’s largest oil producer. Also known as Saudi Aramco, it’s the single most important revenue source for the Saudi government (makes up 92% of its budget to be exact). In 2022, when energy prices boomed following the Covid lockdown, Aramco pocketed record profits of $161 billion.
💰 Market Cap : $1.783 trillion
🐮 Revenue : $440.80 billion (2023)
👶 How It Started : Saudi Aramco was established in the 1930s when Standard Oil of California discovered oil in Saudi Arabia and formed the California-Arabian Standard Oil Company. By the 1980s, the Saudi government had fully nationalized the company, renaming it Saudi Aramco.
7. 🧩 Meta Platforms (ticker: META )
Last on our list of $1 trillion companies and beyond is Meta Platforms, previously known as Facebook. The brainchild of Harvard dropout Mark Zuckerberg had a rough 2022 with more than 70% wiped out of its value and knocking it out of the $1 trillion club.
The following year, 2023, was a lot more generous to the social media behemoth as it gained nearly 200% and jumped right back into a 13-digit valuation. The company was up another 45% for the first half of 2024.
💰 Market Cap : $1.279 trillion
🐮 Revenue : $134.90 billion (2023)
👶 How It Started : Facebook was initially called "Thefacebook" and was limited to Harvard students when it first launched on February 4, 2004. The company’s first office was Mark Zuckerberg’s dorm room.
📣 Let’s Hear from You!
What’s your favorite pick of the world’s top seven companies ranked by market capitalization? Let us know in the comments!
$NVDA Algorithm Buy Alert June 11Our strategy is to wait for the large green dot to enter a long position. One June 11 2024 14:45, we got our large green dot buy alert. We never trade with emotion. By eliminating emotion, we can trade successfully and make huge profits that will pay for the software 10 times over. As of today we are still in Nvidia long position
Nvidia is Topping in the Near TermAlthough having reached my target for wave v of 5, we do not have any evidence of a top in place as of today's trading session. In the days or weeks to come I look for a breach of $116 to give us our initial indication we've topped, with confirmation coming with a breach of $106.
This would be a long term top.
Best to all,
Chris
AVGO, Split coming? On it's way to 1550?The chart for Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) on the NASDAQ shows a bullish breakout from a falling wedge pattern, indicating a potential upward price movement.
After the breakout, the price has consolidated around the $1,406.64 level, suggesting a healthy pause before the next move.
The RSI at 57.48 indicates neutral to slightly bullish momentum, and increased volume during the breakout adds credibility to this move.
The projected path suggests the price will consolidate around $1,407.78 before breaking out to $1,419.17 and potentially reaching $1,438.35 and $1,445.40. Considering these factors, entering a long position if the price breaks above $1,419.17
with strong volume could be beneficial, with a stop loss below $1,391.91 to manage risk and targets at $1,438.35 and $1,445.40.
This could easily tun to 1550 with a 10% implied move on earnings.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
💫NVIDIA might be ready for ATH: Multitimeframe💫☝️Do not act based on my analysis, do your own research!!
The main purpose of my resources is free, actionable education for anyone who wants to learn trading and improve mental and technical trading skills. Learn from hundreds of videos and the real story of a particular trader, with all the mistakes and pain on the way to consistency. I'm always glad to discuss and answer questions. 🙌
☝️ALL ideas and videos here are for sharing my experience purposes only, not financial advice, NOT A SIGNAL. YOUR TRADES ARE YOUR COMPLETE RESPONSIBILITY. Everything here should be treated as a simulated, educational environment. Important disclaimer - this idea is just a possibility and my extremely subjective opinion. Do not act based on my analysis, do your own research!!