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Nvidia

NVDA - Playing (with?) the crowdBesides all the crazy news, I don't believe this company what they say. IMO they just play with the crowd and make nice gains from the News they spread via the media. That's just my opinion, and I'm maybe wrong. But what about the information we can gather from the chart? I have hidden the huge GAP so that we can focus on the last weeks and days. There is a big bounce from the top that to me looks like a Flag, steering in my face. Bulls would argue that is a huge Long signal, right? OK, so be it... But what do my eyes see that makes me wake up at night? Price broke out of this Flag/bounce and within one single bar it was able to reach the Center line. This is not the norm, it's not natural. Second, watch the volume in bar 1 and 2. Should volume not explode if such a breakout is real? Well, it was not real in my trading world. The Market Maker just opened price higher, that's it. No real buyers there, just another GAP to push the price of NVDA higher. Maybe someone will appreciate this and unload it's stock? Hmmm... And where did it stopped? Right at the CL. As I always say: You can fake it, but you can't hide. §8-) My current conclusion? 1. NVDAs price is way too high. The company is not worth the current price. 2. Volume does not confirm higher price. It was made artificially by open higher and push it upwards. 3. The Center line is reached. Price found it's current balance. So, should we short it? Absolutely NOT! Without any clear indications after earnings, I don't touch this bad Boy §8-) I just watch this movie and learn...
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Tr8dingN3rd
2
Nvidia Stock Takes a Hit as Biden Administration Targets Chin...Nvidia Stock Takes a Hit as Biden Administration Targets Chinese Access to AI Chips Nvidia Corporation, a renowned fabless designer of graphics processing units (GPUs), witnessed a 3% dip in its stock price on Friday in response to actions taken by the Biden administration to restrict Chinese access to state-of-the-art computer chips used for artificial intelligence (AI). Specifically, Nvidia's H100 Tensor Core GPU is expected to be affected by these new regulations. Nvidia's stock movement ran counter to the Dow Jones, which experienced gains attributed to robust earnings results from JPMorgan, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo, outperforming Wall Street consensus. Meanwhile, the NASDAQ Composite and the S&P 500 seemed unaffected by the banks' success and moved in the opposite direction. Nvidia's Stock and Chinese AI Chip Bans: Last autumn, the Biden administration initiated a ban on the export of Nvidia's H100 and A100 GPUs to mainland China, both of which play pivotal roles in generative AI and military applications. Advanced Micro Devices' MI250 accelerator chip was also impacted by this ban. At the time, Nvidia estimated that the new regulations could result in up to $400 million in lost sales. However, recent reports by Reuters reveal that the administration has identified mainland companies accessing AI chips via a loophole that allows overseas units of Chinese corporations to continue procuring these products. These foreign subsidiaries either illicitly transport the chips to the mainland or facilitate remote access to the chip technology, despite operating far outside China's borders. According to Reuters: " he very chips barred by US regulations could be purchased from vendors in the famed Huaqiangbei electronics area in the southern Chinese city of Shenzhen." Complete Restriction Challenges: It remains uncertain how Washington can effectively block China from accessing AI technology. Chinese corporations are already finding ways to access this technology through third-party channels, including Amazon Web Services, which employs these chips in its cutting-edge data centers. As of the time of writing, Nvidia's stock has decreased by 0.8%, trading at $465 per share. However, investors need not be overly concerned. Nvidia's stock has been on an upward trajectory since it hit a low of just below $410 on September 21. This steady ascent, spanning over three and a half weeks, shows no immediate signs of slowing down. Nvidia continues to navigate the complex terrain of international regulations and the ever-evolving tech industry, making it a company to watch closely in the coming months.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by FOREXN1
19
NVDA Can Fall NVDA Can Fall: NVIDIA hit the 161.8 Fibonacci extension and took a little correction. It has been consolidating for some time but also forming a diamond pattern. Although this pattern is not one of the strongest, if it plays out, the market can fall below the FCP zone. Or even the previous high level with a 200sma (daily time frame) confluence and trend line. This can have a knock-on effect on NASDAQ 100 (US100). Something to watch out for. If you found this post useful or information please support this analysis by liking and sharing. 👍✔ Also us for more.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by vikinsa
1
[EN] Shooting star Nvidia. Target: 195$ // GaliortiTrading NASDAQ:NVDA has its very mature uptrend in an exhausted five-wave cycle on 3-month candles . It is currently developing a shooting star at all-time highs . It is highly likely to develop a corrective pattern in its long-term uptrend. Probably in a wave A, B, C pattern. The top of the previously broken bullish channel , its accelerated trendline and the level of 61.8% of Fibonnaci constitute the target of this correction ($195). Large bearish divergence with RSI indicator
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by GaliortiTrading
Nvidia (NVDA) -> Path Ahead Is ClearMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only trade stocks , crypto , options and indices 🖥️ I only focus on the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise. This is how you build real long term wealth! In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Nvidia. After Nvidia - just a couple of months ago - perfectly retested the bottom support trendline of the rising channel at the $120 level Nvidia stock pumped more than 300% towards the upside. We do have next resistance coming in at the $600 level and although Nvidia looks quite overextended, I do expect more bullish continuation to retest the upper channel trendline. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy. Keep the long term vision🫡
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by basictradingtv
50
Nvidia's Highs, Lows, and the Journey AheadNvidia, a renowned tech industry stalwart, is navigating through market turbulence, having witnessed its stock soar to record highs and subsequently decline, leaving investors pondering its future trajectory. On August 24th, the stock marked a record $502, but the $500 level acted as a psychological barrier, triggering a 15% retreat from its peak as it likely represented a pinnacle for investors. This decline has momentarily stabilized above $400, with buyers striving to elevate the price amidst prevailing market forces. The low at $403 on August 14th is pivotal; breaching it could see the price descending to $400 and potentially to the next substantial support at $346, mirroring November 2021’s high. Despite these oscillations, Nvidia boasts a year-to-date gain of 184%. If the current support sustains, a revisit to the $500 level is plausible. The ongoing scenario raises questions—Is this downturn transient, or does it herald a prolonged decline? Observing upcoming market trends and Nvidia’s performance will be crucial in deciphering the longevity of this downturn.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Sublime_Trading
NVDA, AI MARKET Volatility-DRIVER, Prospects and Considerations!Hello There! Welcome to my analysis about NVIDIA on several timeframe perspectives. The fourth industrial evulotion is accelerating massively with many stocks adopting the AI technology and others, the ones that are still operating on old economy level and do not adopt the new technology seems to depreciate and do not move forward with the rally similar as it has been seen within the dot-com bubble where 90% of the stocks within the market have been burned and did not recovered. Now, a major question is if NVDIDIA is catching the same fate and if it is ripe for a huge bearish bubble burst or it continues to print solid continuations and upside potential as it made within the recent times. In this case the main AI Stock Index is a important indication as well as the fact that NVIDIA is continuing with the trend dynamics here. Especially as NVIDIA already moved faster and approached the all-time-high it has room for further continuations similar as it is within the wave developing within the AI Stock Index. This means that NVIDIA is having the target-zones within the upper boundary of the channel at around 1000. Once these have been reached it could turn out to be a major bearish distribution zone if the market changes and interest rates climb to higher levels. Therefore it will be important how and if NVIDIA shows up with bearish momentum because this is going to alter the dynamics. In this manner, thank you everybody for watching, support is greatly appreciated, all the best! VP
NASDAQ:NVDA
by VincePrince
5
XLK - Bullish Weekly CrossFor the third time in XLK price history we have had a crossover of the 50 weekly MA & 100 Weekly MA. the previous 2 times coming out of the Dot com crash and GFC when this happened it resulted in a quick multi week double digit rally. Will this rally happened again? XLK could rally while other aspects of the market rollover. Why? simply the cash moats of some of the Mega Cap companies insulate them more from rising yields. Im expecting a bounce off the support level.
AMEX:XLK
by Trading-Capital
NVDA has topped. Sell it now.2023 has been an incredibly strong year for stocks. The Nasdaq rallied 38% in the first six months for one of the best starts to a year in history. This rally has been primarily led by an AI/tech theme that has been responsible for the bulk of these gains. That part of the rally is likely over, however… at least for now. Every bull market has a “theme” with leading stocks that set the pace. In the late 90s that was the dot-com bubble. In the 2009-2020 bull market that was big tech like Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, Apple and Google (hence the FAANG stocks moniker). The 2020-2021 bull market was led by “work-from-home” stocks like Zoom, Teladoc and Peloton. The 2023 bull market has been led by artificial intelligece. The leading stocks have been Meta, Microsoft, Dynatrace, MongoDB, Palantir, AMD, and the biggest leader of them all, Nvidia. Over the last 4-6 weeks we have witnessed many of these leading names roll over and retrace beneath their 50-day moving average – a key level that generally supports top stocks through the move higher. Despite the recent pullback in the market, Nvidia has held at its highs. Wednesday after the close, Nvidia reported earnings. And the results were better than anyone could have expected. Earnings $2.70 per share versus estimates of $2.08. Sales were $13.5 billion – 20% above expectations. And the company raised forward guidance (how much they expect to bring in next quarter) from $12 billion to $16 billion. They also announced a $25 billion share buyback which should act to propel the stock price even further. Investors got everything they wanted and then some. NVDA stock shot up 10% after hours. The news was so good, the entire Nasdaq index shot up 1% on the news. But Thursday, in the first few hours of trading, all of those gains were gone. The Nasdaq opened higher, and immediately began selling off. It fell 3% during the session. And NVDA was back where it closed the day before. This, to me, is a clear signal that the 2023 rally in tech stocks is over. The high was likely made on July 19th, and I doubt we see that level again this year. In a bear market, like we had in 2022, what you want to see is the market going UP on BAD news. This is the sign that the low is in, and buyers are coming back in. We saw this on October 13, 2022. After a government inflation report revealed the worst numbers yet – far worse than expectations – the market gapped down and opened a full 3% lower than it was the day before. However, stocks immediately began to rally, and the index surged 5% that day. This was the signal that the low was in. On the other hand, in a bull market, we want to watch for times when the market goes DOWN on GOOD news. This often signals a top. And I believe we saw that on Thursday. Nvidia was the only stock that could have reversed this pullback. The earnings report was better than even the most optimistic investor had hoped. This should have absolutely put an end to the pullback and caused the market to rally higher. Instead, we saw the opposite. So, what does this mean? First of all, and let me be clear on this, I am NOT saying the market is about to crash. I simply believe the “easy money” stage is over. I expect to see fairly choppy conditions for the next few weeks or months, and investors can no longer rely on the bull market to push everything higher. I believe tech stocks have seen their highs for 2023. Those with large open gains in stocks like Meta, Amazon, Apple, Google, Nvidia and the like may consider selling to lock in those gains here. There will still be stocks that go up, some of them by substantial amounts. But I believe this is now a more selective stock picker’s market. Personally, I sold the index funds in my long-term account and moved to cash ( I also went short the Nasdaq via QID). As of yesterday, those index funds funds were up 37% year-to-date. That is a phenomenal year, and I do not want to risk giving those gains back. To me, this is a low-risk decision. The worst-case scenario is that I am wrong or something material changes that propels stocks higher. If this happens, and the Nasdaq makes new highs this year, I will simply buy those funds back. All I will have missed is a 6% move.
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NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by rossgivens
79
Worrisome ? Saudi Arabia is appearing in the global marketThe development and use of artificial intelligence has been a source of much discussion and concern around the world. In this scenario, a country that has long been overlooked in the technological area begins to emerge; Saudi Arabia. It is a controversial country, which participates in several conflicts in the region, directly or indirectly, and which has a bad record of human rights. However, it seeks to modernize and become a technological hub in the region. To do this, it adopts a curious strategy: investing in soccer. The Saudi national championship features names like Cristiano Ronaldo and Neymar Junior, as well as some European coaches, who were hired for astronomical values. But what is the purpose of this? It is not just a passion for the sport, but rather a way of diversifying its image and attracting investments. Macroeconomics As the largest Arab economy and one of the largest in the world, Saudi Arabia expects to reach a GDP of over 1 trillion dollars in 2023. However, its economic performance still faces many challenges, such as inflation, unemployment, public debt and current account deficit. In addition, the kingdom seeks to reduce its dependence on oil, whose prices are unstable and subject to external shocks. An example of this was the Covid-19 pandemic, which caused a 4.1% drop in GDP in 2020. Faced with this scenario, the Saudi government implemented measures of fiscal stimulus, public accounts adjustment and economic and social diversification, within the framework of the Vision 2030 plan. These measures favored the recovery of the economy in 2021, with an estimated growth of 8%. For the next few years, the prospects are positive, but moderate: a growth of 3.1% is expected in 2023 and 3.5% in 2024. Table of data for 2020 and current 2023: Source: Nasdaq.com; Al-Monitor The Saudi oil sector It is controlled by the state-owned Saudi Aramco, the largest company in the world in market value and oil extraction. It produces 9.2 million bpd (barrels of oil per day), 9% of world production and half of the bloc’s capacity. The company also influences the global fossil fuel market by its extraction policy and its agreements with OPEC+. In 2020, it led an agreement of the organization to reduce extraction by 9.7 million bpd, 10% of global supply, until April 2021. In 2023, it also announced voluntary cuts in its extraction, with Riyadh saying it would reduce oil by 400 thousand bpd from May until the end of 2023. In addition, it extended the voluntary cut of one million bpd for another month, until July 2023. These measures aim to balance the fossil fuel market and avoid an oversupply. In August 2021, the price of Brent (international reference) was around US$ 72 per barrel, an increase of about 40% compared to the beginning of the year. And a recovery of about 80% compared to the lowest level recorded in April 2020 (US$ 40 per barrel). This high was sustained by the reduction of OPEC+ supply, by the improvement of demand with vaccination and by the expectation of a global economic recovery. The oil sector faces uncertainties and risks, such as the Delta variant of Covid-19, which can reduce the demand for oil, geopolitical tensions and the energy transition to renewable sources. Remember that the war between Russia and Ukraine has a direct impact on this sector, as oil is a strategic and essential resource for the development of many countries. Factors such as supply shortage, energy insecurity, geopolitical tension and emergency stock release affect fossil fuel prices, generating impacts on inflation, transportation, production, and consumption. How to solve this problem? It is important to seek peaceful and diplomatic solutions for the conflict in Ukraine, as well as sustainable and renewable alternatives for the global energy matrix. Oil consumption depends mainly on the level of economic activity of consumer and importer countries, which can increase or decrease their demand. WTI and Brent Oil Technical Analysis WTI Futures To be more precise, WTI suffered a slight drop from 127 to 66.87, resulting in a range between 69.84. In the chart below, we can observe that this corresponds to an accumulation pattern, based on Wyckoff’s structure. Stock data of this fossil fuel still indicate scarcity, as extraction was reduced since the beginning of the pandemic. There was a significant decrease in extraction between 2021 and 2022, compared to the period from 2017 to 2019, when it was much higher. In addition, the ESG sustainable movement agendas have long sought to reduce oil extraction, aiming to raise awareness about the use of fossil fuels worldwide. A more detailed analysis of the daily oil chart reveals an accumulation range. In the month of June, there was a significant increase in buying volume, indicating investor interest in buying. I believe this accumulation range will last for some time. After that, investors should wait for signs of interest rate cuts, which may occur in 2024. Jerome Powell does not signal a cut, but rather increases in interest rates. As we know, lowering inflation in the US economy is a challenge for the Federal Reserve, which directly affects the price of crude oil. The same pattern seems to repeat itself when we examine the Brent oil CFD. Again, we observe an accumulation structure during this period. We can also identify a bearish channel. Even with the buying flow since June, the market may return to the range between 86 and 70 until there are signs of improvement in economic data. What I mean by that is that Saudi Arabia, along with the United Arab Emirates, took advantage of the appreciation of oil to generate more wealth and profitability. This positively impacted the Middle Eastern countries. High oil prices benefited the countries, which increased their production, revenue and geopolitical influence, and they bought clubs, made sports partnerships, opening doors for diversification. Country’s Investments in Technology Saudi Arabia has invested billions of dollars in technology and innovation, as part of its plan for economic diversification and social modernization. The country has sought to become a hub for research and development in areas such as artificial intelligence, cloud computing, biotechnology, robotics, and cybersecurity. One of the examples of these investments is the purchase of 3,000 H100 chips from Nvidia, each valued at US$ 40,000, by the King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (Kaust), a national public research institution. These chips are essential for the development of artificial intelligence software, especially those based on the GPT-3 model. Kaust plans to use Nvidia’s chips to create its own ChatGPT, an intelligent conversation system that can interact with users in Arabic and English, answering questions, providing information and offering services. In addition to Kaust, other national institutions and companies have also bought chips from Nvidia to develop artificial intelligence projects. For example, the Saudi Telecom Company (STC), the largest telecommunications operator in the country, acquired 1,000 H100 chips to create a cloud computing platform that offers AI services to corporate and governmental customers. As we explore the implications of Saudi Arabia’s controversial ambitions, it is essential to consider how these actions are shaping global relations and, more specifically, the impact they have on leading companies in the technological scenario, such as Nvidia. What does NVIDIA have to do with it? Nvidia has stood out remarkably in relation to other companies in the development of chips for artificial intelligence, arousing the interest of Middle Eastern countries. But, this rise, caused some concerns to the United States, which began to impose trade restrictions in the region. To better understand why Nvidia has stood out in this scenario, I decided to create a qualitative and quantitative analysis. Let’s explore the reasons behind Nvidia’s continued success in the field of technology. My goal is to show how Nvidia is benefiting from innovation in its sector and how this can impact its market performance. Qualitative analysis NVIDIA Nvidia is a company known for its products aimed at gaming, but that also stands out in the sector and in the race of artificial intelligences. The company positions itself as a leader and reference in this field, being one of the most valuable in the world. In 2020, its revenue was US$ 16.68 billion and, in August 2021, its market value was US$ 538 billion. With more than 18 thousand employees in more than 30 countries, Nvidia has strategic partnerships with technology giants such as Google, Microsoft, Amazon, Facebook, and Tesla. Relevant Details of the Sector of Activity: The semiconductor sector, in which Nvidia operates, is very competitive and innovative. Semiconductors are essential for the manufacture of electronic components and require efficient chips to meet growing demands. Nvidia differentiates itself by its experience in GPUs optimized for parallel processing and AI. In addition to having a solid presence in games, the company also offers solutions for cloud, data centers, IoT and other areas. For this, it invests continuously in research and development. SWOT analysis: _____ Strengths: * Market leadership in the CCaaS segment. * An open and flexible platform that integrates various cloud communication and collaboration solutions. * High quality and security of the services offered by the company. * Strong revenue and profit growth in recent years. Weaknesses: * Dependence on the North American market, which accounts for approximately 70% of the company's revenue. * Vulnerability to cyberattacks and privacy breaches. * Difficulty in retaining and attracting qualified talent in the technology sector. Opportunities: * Increased demand for cloud communication and collaboration solutions due to the COVID-19 pandemic and trends in hybrid work and online education. * Expansion into new geographical markets and customer segments. Development of new products and services that add value to customers and generate recurring revenue. * Strategic partnerships with other technology companies to enhance integration and interoperability of the company's solutions. Threats: * Intensified competition in the CCaaS segment, with the entry or strengthening of major market players such as Microsoft, Google, Cisco, and Facebook. * Regulatory or legal changes that could impact the SaaS sector or the CCaaS segment. * Reduced demand for cloud communication and collaboration solutions after the end of the pandemic or the return to in-person activities. Source: Seeking Alpha _____ Fundamental Analysis Going straight to the point about the financial health and performance of the company. For this, let’s use the financial data from the second quarter of fiscal year 2024 (ended July 31, 2023). The financial indicators that we will consider are: EBITDA, CFO, ROE, ROIC, Gross Margin and Operating Margin. Source: Yahoo Finance According to the data, it presents good indicators of profitability, cash generation and margins, despite the drop in revenue and profit compared to the previous year. The company stands out in the data center segment, which grew 61% compared to last year. It faces some challenges, such as Russia’s sanctions and China’s lockdowns, which may affect its performance in the future. But the company continues to invest in innovation and expansion, such as the acquisition of ARM and the launch of the Omniverse platform. NVIDIA is a leader in the graphics chip market, with potential to grow even more in the coming years. Source: Yahoo Finance The company has a liquidity of 5.07, which indicates good liquidity. This means that the company has more than enough to cover its short-term obligations. The company has a debt of 0.19, which indicates low debt. This means that the company has a healthy capital structure and is not heavily leveraged. We can conclude that Nvidia has a solid financial position and that it can take advantage of growth opportunities in the technology market. It has also shown consistent results and exceeded expectations. That is why it is considered one of the best in the technology sector. NVIDIA Technical analysis: Translate: But if we look deeper, the video increases since October 2022. If we look closely at the year 2022, it was a year in which the S&P 500 had a very large devaluation compared to the year 2021: It's evident that major stocks listed on Nasdaq and NYSE have also been impacted by this performance, with balances well below expectations and generating significant pessimism. From October 2022, we began to observe a gradual recovery in major stocks listed on Nasdaq and NYSE, although this began in June when there was an increase in purchases on June 21. Despite the sharp decline, there was a recovery from this drop, forming a range where investors took advantage of the pessimism to buy stocks. The movement observed at the bottom on October 3 corresponds to a “spring,” indicating the end of the downtrend. 2023 has been a positive year for Nvidia, and the recent surge could further boost share prices if it breaches the 483 region. After examining the impact of Nvidia on the global technology scenario, we see that technological innovations are not always used positively. We do not know how far Saudi Arabia plans to go, but its ambition and power raise doubts. The country is a controversial figure in the global scenario and with all the investment in technology and innovation, they can generate concerns for the international community. I hope this article was useful and informative for you. Thank you for your reading. Source: Reuters, Financial Times, Investing.com. Tradingview.com, Yahoo Finance
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Victoredbr