Should wait for the Breakout..Bearish Divergence on Weekly & Monthly TF.
However, Hidden Bullish Divergence is appearing
on Weekly TF which is actually a Positive sign.
Immediate Support seems to be around 126 - 130.
But if 140 is Sustained on Weekly basis, we may witness
further Upside around 150ish.
Best Approach would be to wait for the Rectangular Channel
Breakout.
Nvidia
NVDA Lost it's key support level. Are we headed to 50$ ?The critical support level has been breached, and the price action suggests we could be headed toward the $50 zone 📉. Adding fuel to the bearish case, we see a major bearish divergence on the MFI indicator, signaling weakening momentum.
Is this the beginning of a deeper correction? Stay sharp! ⚠️
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NVIDIA 9-month Channel Up bottomed! Is it a buy??NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern for almost 9 months (since the June 20 2024 High). The correction since the start of January is technically the pattern's Bearish Leg and yesterday it hit the bottom (Higher Low trend-line).
Last time it did so was on August 05 2024 and an instant rebound followed. That was also the time the 1D RSI was on the 34.00 Support, just like today. In fact every time in the past 11 months that this RSI Support was tested, the price rebounded aggressively by at least +26.85%.
Since the previous Higher High rebound peaked on the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, our Target on the medium-term will be $164.00.
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NVIDIA: Megaphone bottomed. Rally to $195 starting.NVIDIA is almost oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 34.183, MACD = -6.220, ADX = 39.717) as it reach the bottom (LL) trendline of the Megaphone pattern that it has been trading in since November 21st 2024. This is not the first time we see NVDA inside such Megaphone pattern. As a matter of fact, it was during July-October 2023 when it last did so. The 3rd LL was the buy signal and it coincided with a Triple Bottom on the 1D RSI. This is the exact position we are at right now. The stock has completed three lows below the 1D MA50 and looks ready to rebound with force. The smallest recent rally has been +86.41%. The trade is long, TP = 195.00.
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NVIDIA can reach $300 by the end of the year.Crazy as it may sound, NVIDIA / NVDA may recover from the current pull back and hit $300 by the end of the year.
The reason is that the consolidation it has been in for the past 9 months, has been spotted on both previous long term growth Channel Up patterns right before the Channel topped.
As a matter of fact, it was the last year of its bull rally. The previous consolidation phase's bottom was in March 2021 and before that in April 2017.
As we've entered March 2025 with the price sitting right at the bottom of the 2.5 year Channel Up, the probabilities of a final rally increase.
The previous two have been +206% and +217% respectively.
The $300 Target sits right under a potential +206% increase.
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Nvidia’s Sell-Off Deepens: How to Capitalize on the Decline?📉 Nvidia’s Technical Breakdown:
● Nvidia’s stock has been caught in a storm of selling pressure over the past month.
● The recent breach of critical trendline support levels suggests the downward trend could gain momentum in the days ahead, opening the door for savvy traders to capitalize on the bearish momentum.
🔄 NVDS: The Perfect Inverse Play for Nvidia’s Slide
● For those looking to navigate this decline, an inverse ETF like NVDS NASDAQ:NVDS offers a compelling opportunity.
● Designed to move in the opposite direction of Nvidia’s stock, NVDS has shown a chart pattern that almost perfectly inverse Nvidia’s price action.
● This makes it a strategic tool to potentially profit from the stock’s anticipated slide.
Nvidia - The +50% Rally Is Inevitable!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is about to create a false breakdown:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After the -12% drop on Nvidia last month, Nvidia actually broke the final support trendline towards the downside. However bulls are about to break it again towards the upside, which would confirm the false bearish breakdown, leading to a short squeeze rally of about +50%.
Levels to watch: $140, $200
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
NVIDIA Stock Goes Diving-Dressed ahead of Dotcom Crash RepeatingNvidia’s stock recently experienced a significant decline, tanked to 6-month low reflecting a mix of investor sentiment shifts, market dynamics, and company-specific concerns.
Here’s our @PandorraResearch Team ̶M̶u̶m̶b̶o̶ ̶j̶u̶m̶b̶o̶ fundamental and technical breakdown of what is going on with Nvidia stock NASDAQ:NVDA and why:
1. Cooling AI Enthusiasm
Nvidia has been at the forefront of the AI boom, with its chips powering advanced AI platforms. However, investor optimism about AI-related stocks has begun to wane. While Nvidia reported impressive revenue growth (122% in recent earnings), its future guidance failed to meet sky-high expectations. Investors are increasingly concerned that the returns from AI investments may take longer to materialize than initially anticipated. This cooling enthusiasm has led to a reassessment of Nvidia’s valuation, contributing to the stock's decline.
2. High Valuation Concerns
Nvidia’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio had soared to levels significantly higher than industry averages, reflecting lofty expectations for its future growth. At its peak, Nvidia was trading at 45 times expected earnings, compared to the S&P 500’s average of 22 times. Such high valuations often make stocks vulnerable to corrections when market sentiment changes or growth slows. The recent sell-off suggests that some investors are beginning to view Nvidia’s stock as overvalued.
3. DOJ Antitrust Investigation
Another factor weighing on Nvidia’s stock is news of a U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) subpoena investigating potential antitrust violations. The probe reportedly focuses on whether Nvidia’s business practices limit customer options or stifle competition. While no formal charges have been filed, such investigations create uncertainty and make investors jittery about regulatory risks.
4. Broader Market Pressures
The decline in Nvidia’s stock also coincides with broader market challenges. Rising interest rates and concerns about the U.S. economy have led many investors to shift away from high-growth tech stocks like Nvidia toward more stable, rate-sensitive investments. Additionally, a general downturn in the Nasdaq Composite index has amplified the pressure on Nvidia shares.
5. Profit-Taking After a Massive Rally
Before its recent drop, Nvidia had seen meteoric gains—its stock surged over 120% in one year and briefly became the world’s most valuable company. Such rapid growth often attracts profit-taking as traders sell off shares to lock in gains. Analysts described this as a "routine selloff" after an extraordinary rally.
Technical challenge
The main technical 3-month log scaled graph for Nvidia's stock indicates on unattainable highs never seen before since Dotcom crash, reached through a massive long term path inside upside channel.
Conclusion
Nvidia’s stock decline is driven by a combination of factors: tempered AI optimism, valuation concerns, regulatory uncertainty, broader economic pressures, and profit-taking after an exceptional run-up. While some analysts remain bullish on Nvidia due to its dominance in AI hardware, others see the pullback as a natural correction in response to overextended valuations and shifting market conditions.
--
Best schadenfreude wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎
Nvidia’s Sharp Decline: Market Turbulence or Buy Opportunity?Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) shares took a steep dive on Monday, falling nearly 9% after former President Donald Trump confirmed that tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico will take effect on Tuesday. This sharp drop contributed to broader market weakness, with the Dow tumbling 800 points (-1.8%) and the Nasdaq Composite sliding over 3%.
Despite Nvidia’s recent earnings beat, its stock has fallen over 13% since last Wednesday, erasing its $3 trillion market cap and bringing its valuation down to $2.79 trillion. However, Tuesday’s trading session saw a notable rebound, with NASDAQ:NVDA gaining 3% as buying pressure returned. Given the technical setup and macroeconomic factors at play, is Nvidia poised for a comeback?
Tariff Fears and Supply Chain Scrutiny
Nvidia’s revenue surged 78% year-over-year to $39.33 billion in its latest earnings report, surpassing analysts’ expectations. However, investor sentiment remains cautious due to the uncertainty surrounding new trade tariffs.
Trump’s 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada could impact Nvidia’s supply chain. While most of Nvidia’s chips are manufactured in Taiwan, other high-end components and full computing systems are assembled in Mexico and the U.S., making them subject to the new duties.
Technical Analysis
Despite Monday’s sharp sell-off, Tuesday’s market session saw a 4% bounce, signaling potential recovery. Key technical indicators suggest a possible shift in momentum. Nvidia’s relative strength index (RSI) has dipped close to oversold territory, suggesting the stock may be due for a reversal. NASDAQ:NVDA is trading at levels last seen in September, a historically strong support area that could trigger buying interest.
With traders digesting tariff implications and market conditions stabilizing, Nvidia could see a short-term bounce if momentum continues.
$NVDA to $130, then a crucial decision.Sure, NASDAQ:NVDA is in a downtrend, but the $114 bottom has been confirmed, which should lead to $130. After reaching $130, we'll see if the king is back.
A double bottom pattern is a classic technical analysis formation indicating a significant trend change and momentum reversal from a previous downtrend. It involves a security or index dropping, rebounding, dropping again to a similar level, and then rebounding once more (potentially starting a new uptrend). This pattern resembles the letter "W." The twice-touched low is now seen as a crucial support level. As long as these two lows hold, there is new potential for an upside.
BUY $130 NOW and enjoy the ride
Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Hits New Yearly LowNvidia (NVDA) Stock Hits New Yearly Low
The NVDA stock chart shows that during yesterday’s trading session, the price dropped to $112.16, marking:
→ A new low for 2025, surpassing the previous bottom set on 3 February.
→ The lowest price in nearly five months.
Why Is Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Falling?
Bearish sentiment may be driven by:
→ A Wall Street Journal report stating that Chinese companies can still access Nvidia’s latest Blackwell chip despite Biden-era restrictions. Investors may fear tighter regulations, as the U.S. aims to limit technological advancements for geopolitical rivals.
→ The impact of Trump’s trade tariffs, which continue to disrupt global markets.
Technical Analysis of NVDA Stock
As noted in our report five days ago, NVDA’s price is forming a more defined downward channel (red) while moving further away from the Rising Wedge pattern (blue).
How Low Could Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Drop?
Despite NVDA’s weak performance relative to the broader market, investors may seek long positions in this former 2024 market leader.
Potential support levels:
→ The lower boundary of the red channel.
→ The psychological $100 mark.
If the Rising Wedge plays out, bears may target $85, based on the A-B range projected from point C.
A high-risk bullish argument could suggest that yesterday’s drop was a false bearish breakout below the 3 February low.
NVDA Stock Price Forecast
Analysts remain optimistic, possibly due to last week’s strong earnings report.
According to TipRanks:
→ 38 out of 41 analysts recommend buying NVDA.
→ The 12-month average price target is $178.
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NVIDIA At The 1/4 Line - Secure Profits Now?
Currently at the 1/4 line, we can expect a potential pullback. So, if you want to secure some of your fat profits, just do it.
Why not 50% ?
If it goes up again, you have secured 50%.
If it goes down, you still have 50% for a runner.
However, I'm still follow the rule-set and the trading-framework of the Medianlines. Doing this, I know that prices PTG is the Center-Line.
NVDA - Do it again Sam - Insider only sold, not boughtI have posted enough about what's going on in NVDA. It's important in this Stock, to not going crazy, not matter what one thinks it "will" or "could" happen.
A great Hint by Unusual Whales is, that insiders had only sold in the last year, never bought their one Stock.
...what does that telly us?
May profits be with us §8-)
The key is whether there is support around 121.82-123.90
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
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(NVDA 1W chart)
The key is whether it can receive support and rise around the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.5 (120.14) ~ 0.618 (127.46).
If not, and it falls, it is expected to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Accordingly, there is a possibility that it will touch around 104.75.
-
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can rise above 121.82-123.90 and receive support.
If not,
1st: Fibonacci ratio 0.382 (113.42)
2nd: 104.75
You need to check whether it is supported near the 1st and 2nd above.
At this time, the important thing is whether the price can be maintained above the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart and remains, it is likely to turn into a downtrend, so be careful when trading.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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Cryptocurrency and Stocks will DecoupleI still remember the AI saying that NVDA was going to 320 "in the near future." This was back in June 2024. No matter when you asked the AI, its only prediction would be up, it couldn't make an analysis based on the data coming from the chart. The program wasn't very intelligent, that's what I concluded.
I disagreed. NVDA is going down and this is now fully confirmed.
We are seeing a very long distribution phase and the crash is now taking place.
Ok, but what about Bitcoin?
Bitcoin will decouple from traditional markets, just look at the news.
While Cryptocurrency is due a generational bullish wave, the stock market is due a generational retrace.
I honestly don't know how the stock market will perform but I can look at individual charts. NVDA is bearish and going down strong.
NVDA, TSLA, the SPX, the NDX and Crypto are not the same. These are two completely different monsters.
The SPX and NDX is landline.
Crypto is free wireless internet for all.
The SPX and the NDX is centralization and control.
Bitcoin is decentralization, innovation, technology and freedom.
Times change.
The stock market will recover and it is sure to continue growing long-term.
Will the establishment let it crash or will they jump in and pump it up?
I don't know. But NVDA is bearish and going down. What one does, the rest follows.
But, what about Bitcoin? Bitcoin is going up.
It is very simple. They will decouple, they will not move together anymore. Many, many Altcoins are trading at bottom prices, many stocks are trading high up.
The giant stocks will crash, while the Cryptocurrency market goes up. This is one more of the reasons why we are about to experience the biggest bull-market in the history of Crypto.
People are evolving, the world is changing. We are changing from centralized monopoly money, to a free decentralized technology that is available for all.
Money is not the paper, the shiny stone or the codes; money is what we decide to use for the purpose of exchanging value.
At one time, salt used to be money as well as cows. Sea shells, glass and cacao are also on the list. People used to use these things as money.
The argument that Bitcoin has no value is obviously flawed. If you want to buy a Bitcoin you have to pay a price, that's value, nothing more.
If we decide to use something as money, it becomes money.
Bitcoin is money for the new generation.
The old generation dies out and a new one takes its place.
Life will continue to evolve and money will do the same.
Now it is Bitcoin, later down the road it will be something else. But Bitcoin has value, it is really expensive and it will continue to grow.
After the crash, NVDA will recover for sure.
Namaste.
Nvidia stumbles to test 200 MA post earningsWill the dip buyers emerge here?
US markets continue to remain on the back foot, with the tech sector in sharp focus after Nvidia’s earnings. The chip giant initially climbed over 1% in pre-market trading but swiftly reversed, dropping 4% as investors reacted to results that, while decent, failed to dazzle. With chipmakers driving market volatility and concerns mounting over US-China tech tensions, Nvidia’s performance today could set the tone for the sector.
Adding to uncertainty, Donald Trump reignited trade war fears, announcing that tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China will take effect on 4 March.
Let's see if Nvidia dip-buyers will emerge to defend the 200-day MA around $126 area, or whether we will see further weakness heading into the close. Next key levels to watch include $120.00 and $115.00. Wednesday's low of $128.50 is now the key resistance level to watch. It would be a bullish scenario if we go back above this level now.
On a macro front, attention turns to Friday’s Core PCE data following weak economic reports, including a 4.6% slump in pending home sales and rising jobless claims. Next week we have ISM PMIs and NFP jobs report, as well as a rate decision from the ECB, all to look forward to.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Nvidia Flexes Bold Guidance but Can the Chipmaker Deliver on It?Chief Jensen Huang showed hubris on the earnings call right after Nvidia NVDA reported another blockbuster quarter with record sales and soaring profits. He said that demand for the new Blackwell chip is “amazing.”
“Well, I'm more enthusiastic today than I was at CES We have some 350 plants manufacturing the 1.5 million components that go into each one of the Blackwell racks, Grace Blackwell racks. Yes, it's extremely complicated,” Huang said. “Nothing is easy about what we’re doing, but we’re doing great.”
Everyone and their dog was glued to the screen after-hours Wednesday, waiting to hear what the most important person for the stock market was going to say. And many were hoping it’ll be good and Nvidia will save us from the recent selloff that spilled from tech stocks to all stocks .
And indeed, it was another stellar performance by Nvidia. For the fourth quarter ended January 26, the chipmaking giant pulled in record revenue of $39.3 billion, up 80% from a year ago, topping analyst estimates for $38 billion. Earnings per share reached $0.89 against Wall Street guidance for $0.84 a pop. Net income landed at $22.1 billion, up 80% from a year earlier.
Without a doubt, Nvidia continued its string of record-shattering results. And, what’s more, that’s also what Nvidia thinks will happen with the current quarter. The company projected revenue of $43 billion for the first three months of 2025, up 65% from the year-ago quarter when sales hit $26 billion .
To get to that figure, and keep the growth going, Nvidia will need to retain all its deep-pocketed clients like Amazon AMZN , Meta META , Microsoft MSFT and Alphabet GOOGL . These four alone make up about half of Nvidia’s revenue. Other customers with buckets of cash include ChatGPT parent OpenAI and Elon Musk’s Tesla TSLA .
As to the share price, investors didn’t really cheer the upbeat guidance or the double beat on both earnings and revenue. The stock showed virtually no reaction in extended trading — could it be that markets expected an even bigger blowout performance?
Or maybe they don’t believe in Nvidia’s business model after DeepSeek achieved for mere millions what OpenAI achieved for hundreds of millions? Year to date, Nvidia, the second-largest company in the world , is down 5% to $3.2 trillion. It’s drifted about 10% away from the all-time high hit in early January.
And with this, make sure to closely watch the earnings calendar for other hot reports as AI history is being made before our eyes.
What’s your take on Nvidia’s future? Do you think its Big Tech clients will soon whip up their own AI chips? Or is Nvidia’s AI dominance set in stone? Share your thoughts in the comment section!
NVIDIA's Momentum Analysis: Strong Fundamentals & TechnicalsUnpacking NVIDIA's powerful Q4 2025 performance with record revenue of $39.3B (up 78% YoY) and explosive Data Center growth of 93%. Technical analysis reveals strong support at the 50-day MA ($130-$134) with resistance at the all-time high ($153.13). Recent price action shows bullish momentum with key technical indicators pointing to continued strength. Essential viewing for investors navigating NVIDIA's post-earnings trajectory.
Nvidia (NVDA) Share Price Dips Slightly After Earnings ReportNvidia (NVDA) Share Price Dips Slightly After Earnings Report
Following the close of the main trading session yesterday, Nvidia released its quarterly earnings report, exceeding analysts' expectations:
→ Earnings per share: Actual = $0.89, Expected = $0.84
→ Revenue: Actual = $39.3 billion, Expected = $38.1 billion (a 78% increase year-on-year)
It was also revealed that Nvidia’s latest AI chip family, Blackwell, generated $11 billion in sales for the quarter. This eased concerns that transitioning to the Blackwell chip series could lead to a decline in revenue.
How Nvidia (NVDA) Shares Reacted to the Earnings Report
Despite the strong earnings, Nvidia’s share price did not benefit significantly. Post-market trading saw heightened volatility, with NVDA shares fluctuating between $126 and $136 in the first few minutes after the report’s release.
As volatility subsided, NVDA stabilised around $129, slightly below Wednesday’s closing price of $131.37, reflecting a decline of approximately 1.7%.
Technical Analysis of NVDA Stock Chart
In February, NVDA’s share price continued to hold below the lower boundary of its previous upward trend channel after failing to break the psychological barrier at $150. Specifically:
→ The lower channel boundary has now acted as resistance (indicated by the arrow).
→ A downward trend channel (marked in red) is becoming increasingly apparent.
As a result, NVDA shares have not shown the ability to recover from the panic sell-off on 27 January, when Nvidia and other leading AI companies saw their stocks plummet following the success of Chinese startup DeepSeek.
NVDA Share Price Forecast
Analysts remain optimistic, possibly due to the expected increase in AI-related capital expenditure by major tech firms in 2025. Additionally, the upcoming GTC conference could serve as a bullish catalyst, likely featuring new product announcements within the Blackwell family.
According to TipRanks:
→ 33 out of 36 analysts recommend buying NVDA shares.
→ The 12-month average price target for NVDA is $177.
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NVDA expected to remain volatile near term before bullish move!!Expecting to see sellers resume control at 135-136 levels near term, to take price back to 118-120$ gap fill target for liquidity purposes.
After that, looking for price advancement to 158-165 buy-side target levels for final high on weekly buy cycle.