Nvidia
Fundamental Weakness Meets Technical Strength, AMD at a Turning?Hello readers,
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) posted strong Q4 earnings, with a 24% year-over-year revenue increase to $7.66 billion, slightly surpassing estimates. Adjusted EPS came in at $1.09, just above expectations.
However, the data center segment underperformed, bringing in $3.86 billion a 69% YoY increase but below the $4.1 billion analysts had anticipated. Additionally, CEO Lisa Su cautioned that data center sales may decline by 7% in the next quarter. This guidance, combined with the revenue miss, led to an 8.2% pre-market drop in AMD’s stock price.
Technical Perspective
The price has finally arrived at the first key area of interest. This level has been anticipated for some time, and the fundamental reaction has now drawn the price close to the marked zone.
For those considering this as a potential investment, I can provide a small but valuable confirmation: from a technical standpoint, this is not a mistake to take, as this area holds the potential to generate strong liquidity for further growth.
Key criteria:
1. Strong horizontal price zone around the $100
2. The round number itself $100
3. The trendline since 2018
4. Channel projection
5. Equal waves from the top
For a more in-depth technical analysis, visit my Substack channel - content is now available for English readers. Simply go to my profile and click on "Website."
Regards,
Vaido
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider risk management before making any investment decisions.
$NVDA: Broadening Formation & Earnings Play – $180 Calls for MayHey what's up everyone. Here's an analysis on NASDAQ:NVDA 👇🏽
💹 Trade Analysis & Setup
NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is currently trading at $116.66, showing high volatility inside a Broadening Formation (BF) on both the daily and monthly timeframes.
This setup is a textbook liquidity expansion pattern, where price is making higher highs and lower lows within a widening megaphone structure.
The key catalyst in play is NVDA earnings on Feb 21, 2025, which could drive significant price action and IV expansion.
🔼 Bullish Case (Targets: $129 - $141.88 - $150+)
Earnings Catalyst (Feb 21): AI demand remains strong, with NVDA leading the semiconductor market.
Breakout Zone at $123-$125: NVDA must reclaim this zone to shift into an uptrend.
$129 (Prior Weekly High): A breakout here could bring momentum buyers & institutions into play.
Gap Fill to $141.88: Major upside potential exists if NVDA can sustain bullish momentum post-earnings.
🔻 Bearish Risks (Key Support & Breakdown Levels)
Daily Lower BF Break (~$113-$115): If this level fails, downside could accelerate toward $110-$105.
Monthly Broadening Formation Lower Level (~$100-$95): Extreme downside risk in the worst-case scenario.
Earnings Disappointment: If NVDA’s report fails to meet expectations, a strong move down is possible.
Theta Decay Impact: My contract loses value daily (~$3.53 per day), so a slow move up is not favorable.
IV Crush Post-Earnings: If NVDA doesn’t move much after earnings, option value could rapidly drop.
🚀 My Trade Plan
Bullish Breakout Plan: Hold if NVDA reclaims $123-$129, targeting $141-$150+ before March-April.
Earnings Play Strategy: Hold through earnings ONLY IF NVDA builds strength into Feb 21.
Exit if $113 breaks below with strong volume to prevent further downside losses.
NVDA’s Daily & Monthly Broadening Formations confirm high volatility & liquidity expansion. The next major move is likely earnings-driven.
If NVDA clears $129, I will hold my calls. If support at $113 fails, I may exit early.
💡 Trade Details:
Position: NVDA $180c 16 MAY 25
Entry Price: $2.60
Current Price: $1.72
P/L Open: (-$85.66) / (-33.8%)
Delta: 11.36 (~0.11)
Theta: (-3.53)
Key Catalyst: Earnings on Feb 21, 2025
Nvidia's Price Approaches the $110 MarkThe stock has dropped more than 11% over the past five trading sessions due to newly imposed tariffs on Taiwanese semiconductors (which could increase Nvidia's costs) and growing concerns over DeepSeek's advanced AI model, which has intensified competition in the sector. Additionally, rising global trade tensions have led investors to lose confidence in Nvidia's future market outlook. As one of the most influential technology companies worldwide, a potential slowdown in global economic growth could negatively impact Nvidia's sales and revenue projections.
Accelerated Downtrend
Nvidia has already undergone a significant decline from the $150 price zone and is now approaching the key support level at $114 per share. So far, the sharp bearish moves have largely been accompanied by price gaps, and no clear trend-defining structure has emerged to establish a decisive bearish bias. This suggests that, in the long run, investors should watch for potential bullish corrections, given the speed of the recent sell-off.
RSI Indicator
The RSI line has consistently declined and is now approaching the oversold zone near the 30 level. This signals a strong imbalance between buying and selling pressure, which could increase the likelihood of short-term upward corrections in the stock price.
Key Levels
$130: The most significant resistance level, representing a neutral price zone over the past few months. A return to this level could reinforce a sideways market outlook in the coming weeks.
$114: A critical support level, aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement barrier. Sustained movements below this level could reinforce the bearish perspective and trigger a more extended selling wave.
By Julian Pineda, CFA - Market Analyst
NVIDIA ARE YOU READY FOR THE DIP?this is monthly chart. every time rsi came back from"overbought" region you can observe it dumped average 69%.
dont hold on to your bags. sell on a bounce and buy it back much lower in a few months.
NVDA: Looks like bottom to me!NASDAQ:NVDA : Looks like bottom to me!
- Volume shelf
- 50D MA
- S/R Zone
- Almost at Green support beam on Wr%
- Above bull flag breakout retest
$135▶️$160 inbound 🎯
Not financial advice
NVIDIA back in the range to go higher?Let's see if NVIDIA is going back into the range to go even higher to the top of the range...
Maybe it's time to revisit this chart along with $NVDAIf you bought NASDAQ:NVDA and you're nervous:
First establish why you bought it first place?
What was your trade plan at the time of the buy?
Where was the planned Take Profit?
Where was the planned Stop Loss?
Are you still strictly following that plan right now?
Did you buy it for short term hold or long term?
If you bought it for long term and it's still within your trade plan then why worry or even think about it?
If you bought it for short term then execute your trade plan, it's just a trade.
If you broke all your rules and it's way below your planned Stop Loss and now you're looking around trying to find people who are hyping it up trying to make yourself feel better - don't do that, those people hyping it up are in loss with you as well.
Check the image I added, detach yourself emotionally and review the chart to estabish where we might be position and what might come next then set up a strict plan to follow from here on.
NVIDIA hit its 1W MA50 after 2 years! One last rally left?NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) opened significantly lower on Monday following the DeepSeek news on more efficient and lower cost A.I. competition and by doing so, the price hit its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 2 years, resulting in Tuesday's very strong rebound.
We have to go back to the week of January 23 2023 to see NVDA trading again on the 1W MA50, which became the major Support of the Channel Up pattern that took it off the 2022 Inflation Crisis bottom.
So the question is, does NVIDIA have fuel left in the tank for one more rally? Technically the answer is yes and it can be found on the stock's price action since July 2015. As you can see, the price has gone through 3 similar eras of Bull Cycles through Channel Up patterns and subsequent Bear Cycles of strong corrections that touched the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) before initiating the new Bull.
From the Bear Cycle bottom to the Bull Cycle's top, NVIDIA took around 1100 days (1162 during the 2015 - 2018 Cycle and 1071 during the 2019 - 2021 Cycle). Assuming the current Cycle will be at least as long as the last one (1071 days), the stock's Top is expected to be around September 2015.
It was in fact around this time during the last Cycle (Feb 2021) when NVIDIA touched again its 1W MA50, resulting into a new rally phase, the last one of the Cycle. This historic price action shows that during its last year, the stock always makes a January - Oct/Nov rally. When the 1W MA50 gets hit again, it is when the new Bear Cycle is confirmed.
As a result, based on this data set, we've entered NVIDIA's final rally of the Cycle, assuming of course it doesn't close a candle below the 1W MA50 and also that the 1M RSI recovers its MA trend-line (yellow), which also happened again during its previous Cycle.
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Nvidia could still be seriously overvaluedIf the release of DeepSeek's AI models really is as disruptive as some suspect, Nvidia bulls could be seriously questioning if they want to hold onto the stock for the long haul. And that means some bulls could be looking to offload into a bounce while bears seek to fade into them. I highlight some key levels for bears to keep an eye on.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst City Index and Forex.com
NDQ100 Update - Overaction? Thanks for checking out our latest update. Today, we are looking at the NDQ100 daily chart.
What a 48 hours we have seen. After a plunge that wiped off up to 1 trillion dollars and close to 600 million off Nvidia, we saw a fast fightback at the end of the session and a recovery on Tuesday. The crash occurred after Chinese Tech company DeepSeek shocked the AI world with a powerful LLM.
Looking at the last price action, has support reformed? Will we see the new push higher after this last seller test? Buyers look interested, but we would like further confirmation with rallies that fill the gap or a test of the last high.
Good trading from Eightcap.
Easy money on $NVDA breakout todayIn the meanwhile why not take easy money on perfect morning triangle shape paired with charting setup of previous day and confirmed by lower low and double bottom stabilization. Too many points confirming the same thing to miss out on.
Alerted it live in TradingView chatroom, hope you profited on it 👍
$121.50+ break was the trigger for a buy, it continued uptrending into market close $129. Total $7.50 per share or +6%
We'll see what kind of setup develops tomorrow.
2000 $CSCO vs 2025 $NVDA, is the similar crash possible?🚨 Could Nvidia be the next Cisco? 🚨
In 2000, Cisco dominated networking with its own chips. But competitors used cheaper, nearly as effective chips, and the stock dropped from $82 to $8 in just 2 years. Is the same fate possible for Nvidia?
Cisco invested heavily in its IOS CLI and aggressively defended it.
Nvidia did the same with CUDA, taking action against anyone trying to make alternatives.
But now, competition is heating up.
DeepSeek and other companies could lead those who over-invested in Nvidia chips on borrowed money to offload them, flooding the second-hand market with GPUs.
Meanwhile, the Magnificent 7 might slow down orders since they already have tons of Nvidia chips stockpiled.
Just like Cisco switches were 80% off in 2001, could we see a similar scenario with Nvidia?
And let’s talk about the $2000 RTX 5090 — would you buy one today?
Nvidia has committed huge resources to TSMC for chip production. They could be facing an overstock issue, and slashing prices could hurt profit margins. 😬
We will soon know the direction it will go, next few quarters will show us all.
NVIDIA Retesting The Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NVIDIA gapped down massively
On the DeepSeek news and
Went further down after the
Opening, but then a gap closing
Move started and the price is now
Retesting the horizontal resistance
Around 130/132$ which also
Happens to be the gap's opening
Level so based on technical analysis
We might be expecting a local
Bearish pullback from the resistance
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
NVIDIA Local UptrendNVIDIA in Local Uptrend on the 1-Hour Chart
NVIDIA made a higher high on the 1-hour chart, so we are in a local uptrend. It’s possible that we’ll see a higher low next, and then move up to a new higher high, or we could continue going higher right now.
If tomorrow the 4-hour candle close stays above $126.63 (yellow line) and holds that level, then we’ll have gained that support. In that case, we are back in the big range with the potential to reach $148.
NVIDIA Forms Inside Bar Pattern After Significant Drop...NVIDIA is currently exhibiting an inside bar pattern following a significant 17% decline, which was triggered by the DeepSeek Panic incident. This pattern indicates a period of consolidation where the price is stabilizing within the range established by the preceding candle. To make informed decisions moving forward, it is prudent to monitor price action closely and wait for a definitive breakout from this inside bar formation. A breakout above the upper boundary could signal a potential reversal or upward momentum, while a breakdown below the lower boundary may suggest further bearish pressure. Hence, exercising patience and assessing volume and market context will be crucial before committing to any trades.
DeepSeek AI | TechStocks Crash | NVIDIA down -17%On Monday (yesterday), Wall Street reacted wildly with the release of Chinese AI app DeepSeek.
Throughout the day, roughly 1 Trillion US Dollars was wiped from the stock market, largely from chip and tech stocks suck as Nvidia which caused a larger sell-off.
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman called it an "impressive model" and POTUS Donald Trump said that it should be a "wakeup call for our industries".
The bright side of this, is that there can be some excellent entry points found across the market after the sell-off.
_______________
NASDAQ:NVDA
NQ Futures -Key Levels after the sell off longs and shortsA must watch video that provides solid context to the current range using fibs + pivots .
Nvidia's Largest Single-Day Decline and Its ImplicationsNvidia Experienced Its Largest Single-Day Decline on 27th Jan, tumbled 17%, erasing USD589B from its market capitalisation, it was the biggest in the US stock market history.
What will be the implications?
Last month, we discussed how the Nasdaq reached and responded well to the upper band of its parallel channel.
Nvidia being one of the largest market cap stocks in Nasdaq. What will be Nasdaq’s performance like for the rest of the year?
Let’s explore how we can include fundamental analysis to make sense of the situation.
Micro E-Mini Nasdaq-100 Index Futures & Options
Ticker: MNQ
Minimum fluctuation:
0.25 index points = $0.50
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
NVIDIA is DONE? Or it is a good entry point? NVIDIA: Analyzing the Recent Price Drop and Long-Term Prospects
Greetings, this is Ronin. Today, we’ll dive into what happened yesterday with NVIDIA’s stock and why market panic is no reason to surrender. Let’s break down the situation step by step to understand the real drivers behind this decline.
What Happened?
Yesterday, the market was shaken by news from China: the development of a new artificial intelligence (AI) system that is cheaper to build and requires fewer computational resources. In response, NVIDIA’s stock plummeted, triggering concern among investors.
The key issue fueling the sell-off was fear of an AI sector revaluation. After NVIDIA’s meteoric rise of +200–300% over the past two years, even the slightest doubt can cause significant price fluctuations.
However, let’s not view the market through a lens of panic. Drops like this are temporary corrections, and here’s why NVIDIA remains a powerhouse in its industry.
Market Volatility: A Natural Phenomenon
Imagine a river encountering a sudden boulder. The current becomes turbulent, water splashes and roars, but eventually, the river finds its way forward. Similarly, in the market, fundamental news about technological breakthroughs can stir things up, but capital always flows back to strong, stable assets.
Looking at NVIDIA’s chart, we can identify several local support levels where prices have repeatedly rebounded during past periods of market turbulence. These levels indicate that the current panic is not a collapse but rather a pullback within a long-term trend.
Why NVIDIA Remains Strong
Beyond Artificial Intelligence
NVIDIA’s products are not limited to AI development; they are integral to numerous high-tech sectors:
GPUs that are the gold standard in the gaming industry.
Solutions for data centers, automotive industries, and cloud computing.
Trump’s AI Investments
Former President Donald Trump recently announced a $500 billion investment in the U.S. AI sector. This substantial funding will bolster domestic demand for NVIDIA’s products.
Technological Leadership
NVIDIA produces processors unmatched in performance. Even if Chinese AI outperforms in certain areas, no country will completely dethrone NVIDIA. Competition? Yes. Dominance? Unlikely.
Long-Term Forecast
Short-term pullbacks are a natural part of market cycles. When news sparks panic, assets that previously showed enormous growth inevitably experience corrections. However, this does not negate long-term potential.
Key Figures:
2-Year Growth: +200–300%.
Current Correction: -12% in a day.
Long-Term Growth Outlook: NVIDIA’s annual revenue growth is still expected at 30–40%, according to analysts.
NVIDIA’s stock drop is a temporary event driven by short-term revaluation. Once liquidity returns and the panic subsides, the stock is poised to resume its upward trajectory.
Conclusion
The market has always been a stage for emotions to play out. But a true trader knows: when everyone is panicking, it’s time to act.
Chinese AI? It’s just another player entering the vast technological field. NVIDIA, on the other hand, remains a titan that sets the standard.
Panic comes and goes, but trends endure. With NVIDIA, we’ll witness many more peaks. This is Ronin. See you at the top of the charts! 📈💎
NVIDIA (NVDA): DeepSeek’s AI Shakeup Sends Nvidia PlummetingNvidia is down an astonishing 15% in just a few hours. The primary driver? Fundamentally, the announcement of Chinese startup DeepSeek has sent shockwaves through the market. This previously unknown company reportedly holds a significant number of Nvidia chips and claims to have developed an AI superior to ChatGPT with just a $6 million investment. This disrupts the entire tech landscape, as companies like Google and others are pouring billions into AI research and development. The news casts doubt on the competitive edge of industry giants, and Nvidia is caught in the crossfire, given its strong ties to AI development and chip demand.
From a technical perspective, Nvidia recently respected the upper boundary of its volume profile but failed to break above it—a likely factor contributing to this sell-off, though the DeepSeek announcement remains the major catalyst. The price has now dropped back to the Point of Control (POC) at $120, leaving a significant gap behind.
While a complete gap fill would be surprising in the short term, it’s not out of the question. However, we’re not looking to catch a falling knife here. Given the uncertainty around potential developments with DeepSeek, caution is important.
Our current plan is as follows: We are keeping the stop-loss for our first position at $114.50 to limit risk. A second entry is being considered in the range between $111 and $106.70, as this aligns well with both the wave ((ii)) structure and the volume profile.
This plan is not yet finalised, as we’re closely monitoring how the situation unfolds. For now, patience is key, given the volatility and the ongoing uncertainty.
Is DeepSeek really a threat to Nvidia?There are so many opinions circulating the internet right now, that it is difficult to get our heads around. Here is our opinion on what could happen with NASDAQ:NVDA stock in the near future.
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
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China strikes NVIDIA: The company loses nearly $500 billionThe stock price of #NVIDIA fell by 13.93%, closing at $118 on January 27 , following the success of Chinese startup DeepSeek in artificial intelligence.
The plunge in NVIDIA’s shares was triggered by the rising prominence of DeepSeek, whose AI model R1 surpassed OpenAI in key metrics, raising concerns over the U.S.’s leadership in IT technologies. The market capitalization of companies like NVIDIA dropped by over $1 trillion.
Last week, DeepSeek unveiled an updated model capable of providing reasoning-based answers, while its development costs remain significantly lower than those of competitors. This has raised doubts about the necessity of high investments in AI accelerators. Satya Nadella of Microsoft highlighted the importance of carefully analyzing developments from China.
DeepSeek’s advancements have disrupted the AI market, leading to a sell-off of U.S. tech stocks. Futures on the NASDAQ-100 (#NQ100) fell by 4%, while shares of European and Japanese semiconductor and tech companies also declined.
NVIDIA is facing significant market challenges, which are already impacting its future prospects. However, the demand for innovation may open new avenues for growth.
