Nvidia - New All Time High Is Coming!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) can rally another +50%:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After creating an expected correction of about -40%, Nvidia is now almost back to new all time highs, showing no signs of weakness despite the recent tech stock correction. If Nvidia creates a new all time high, it is quite likely that it will rally again, potentially all the way up to $400.
Levels to watch: $200
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Nvidia
Nvidia ($NVDA) could retest summer low of $91NVDA stock is in a perfect range between all-time high of $141 and summer low of $91 that was hit within the first leg of correction in wave A down.
Recently, the price has retested the upside of the range within the wave B up and slipped back into the established range.
This could be the start of the last wave C down to retest the summer valley of $91.
Advanced Micro Devices | AMD Team RED is READY
As with any competitor, a quarterly earnings report from a peer can provide great insight into the market. For Advanced Micro Devices, the Q2'23 earnings report from Intel provides great views on the surging demand for AI chips and a rebound in PC demand crucial for AMD
The most immediate signal from Intel beating Q2'23 estimates and guiding up for Q3 is the rebound in PC demand. Most importantly, the inventory correction appears over with OEMs no longer digesting chip inventory.Back in Q3'22, AMD shocked the market by cutting PC revenue estimates by $1 billion. The company quickly went from $2 billion in quarterly CPU sales for PCs to less than $1 billion.
Intel still reported Q2 Client Computing revenue was down 12% YoY to $6.8 billion, but the number was up $1.0 billion sequentially. The chip giant guided up Q3 revenue to $13.4 billion, up $0.5 billion sequentially.In Q1'23, AMD reported that client revenues had fallen further to only $739 million. AMD CPU revenues are now far over $1 billion per quarter below the peak levels providing substantial upside potential when the PC market normalizes.
Intel discussed a mixed picture for their business in the near term due to AI. The chip giant is seeing a wallet share shift from the sever CPU spend towards AI chips.The move is both good and bad for AMD. The company has the MI300 AI GPU chip hitting the market in Q4 providing a strong competitor to the booming demand for the H100 from Nvidia, but the chip isn't out on the market yet.
In the near term, AMD may see some suppressed data center demand while heading into 2024. Ultimately, the company should see upside from AI demand for the MI300 along with the Alveo AI accelerator.On the Q2'23 earnings call, Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger suggested the AI pipeline for 2024 had surged to $1 billion: In my formal remarks, we said we now have over $1 billion of pipeline, 6x in the last quarter.
Going back a few months, Morgan Stanley had estimated the AI potential for AMD was only $400 million with upside potential to $1.2 billion. The Intel forecasts would suggest the AI potential for AMD is far higher next year when the MI300 is in full-scale production.
Nvidia guided up current quarter sales estimates by 50% to over $11 billion. The company suggested data center sales would reach $7+ billion in the quarter.
AMD has only seen data center sales reach $1.3 billion in quarterly sales leaving a huge gap from Nvidia. Even Intel still hit $4.0 billion in data center sales during Q2'23, though the amount is down nearly 20% form 2022 levels due in part to losing market share to AMD.
The big issue for AMD is whether data center sales growth stalls causing a miss to 2H sales targets while booming AI demand ultimately boosts sales starting in Q1'24, or maybe Q4. The chip company peaked at quarterly sales of $6.6 billion back Q2'22 and the current quarterly analyst estimates aren't very aggressive.
A rebound in PC demand to more normalized levels places AMD back at the Q4'23 revenue target of $6.5 billion alone. A PC rebound to normal digestion ($2 billion quarterly run rate) along with higher data center or AI demand leads to vastly higher revenues in 2024.
The current analysts aren't even factoring in much growth in the Q2'24 revenue estimate of $6.76 billion. The amount is just 4% upside from Q2'22 despite potentially surging demand from AMD entering the AI GPU space.
AMD is set to report earrings after the close on August 1. Investors should focus less on the Q2 numbers or even Q3 guidance and focus more on a return to more normalized revenue levels plus the upside from AI.Our view has long held that AMD has the earnings potential of $5 to $6 and the AI opportunity is all upside to this view.
The key investor takeaway is that AMD is still $50 below all time highs while Nvidia has soared over $100 above the late 2021 highs. Investors should use the current weakness in AMD to load up on the stock while leaving some capital to buy any weakness following Q2 earnings due to the potential for near term disappointment leading to long term opportunities.
The EUR/USD forecast for reaching 1.11 by December 2024The EUR/USD forecast for reaching 1.11 by December 2024 might seem ambitious given current trends, but let's delve into why this could indeed happen:
Economic Recovery in the EU: Recent posts on X highlight expectations around the ECB's monetary policy. If the European Central Bank continues to adjust rates in response to economic recovery signals, a stronger Euro might follow. Discussions around inflation cooling off and potential rate adjustments suggest a more robust Eurozone economy, which traditionally supports a higher EUR/USD rate.
Political Stability and Sentiment: With the U.S. political landscape shifting due to the Democratic nomination of Kamala Harris for the 2024 election, there's a narrative shift. While not directly economic, political stability or perceived changes in policy direction can influence currency strength. If her campaign promises economic policies that might strengthen the Euro against the Dollar, this could be a psychological boost for EUR/USD.
Market Sentiment and Speculation: There's noticeable chatter on platforms like X about EUR/USD movements. Speculation can drive markets; if traders and investors start betting on a stronger Euro due to any positive economic data or geopolitical shifts, this speculative buying could push the rate towards 1.11.
Technical Analysis: Some analysts have pointed out key resistance and support levels. Breaking through these levels, especially with momentum, could set new targets. If EUR/USD manages to convincingly breach the 1.09 resistance and maintain that level, the next psychological target becomes 1.10, with 1.11 not far beyond in terms of market psychology.
Interest Rate Differentials: If the ECB's rate adjustments lead to a narrowing of the interest rate differential with the Fed, capital flow might favor the Euro more, pushing its value up against the Dollar. Given historical trends, even a small change in rate expectations could significantly impact the forex market.
Global Economic Factors: Broader economic conditions, like improvements in European trade balances, could bolster the Euro. If the EU manages to show resilience or growth in sectors previously affected by global downturns, this could reflect positively on the EUR.
Seasonal Trends and Market Calendar: There's often a lull before the end-of-year where markets might move based on year-end portfolio adjustments. If there's a sentiment that the Euro will strengthen, this could be the period where movements towards 1.11 get traction due to year-end positioning.
LRCX in the same position and price AMAT was this time last yearLRCX following in the foot steps of AMAT to $295? AMAT also repeating the same move it made a year ago right now as well. Both are in the same field both are involved in the production of Ai processors and the tools to make them. I think its ironic that LRCX just happens to be in the same pattern on the same month AMAT started its nose bleed run up.
Option shares right now are expensive for a $74 stock no matter how long or short you look. Somethings going on and the companies in the semiconductor industry know it. Nvidia and AMD prices right now are very inviting which means they had to reduce their prices either by splitting them or something but they must know that a boom is about to happen and they needed to make their prices in line with what is about to happen. I haven't looked at stock options in over a year and I was surprised to see everyones prices had gone up. Yet Semiconductors all seem to be price point. With the materials side looking Bullish as hell. I am just saying keep your eyes open on this because its about to happen all over the place.....a shift a huge shift.
by iCantw84it
10.16.24
NVIDIA GOING TO $75?? Unlikely but the chart shows...We have a DOUBLE TOP AND A RISING WEDGE with a price target of $75 on the daily chart. It seem unlikely but there is a big old gap from back in Feb 2024 at $75. There is another gap that needs to be filled around $119 that seem more likely. IMO the market like to balance itself by filling the gaps it leaves behind. The RSI looks to of topped out and is also curving over. Its very unlikely for NASDAQ:NVDA to drop that far down, but down to $119 seems likely before a possible Christmas rally (and wash sales) in late DEC. NVDA is such a strong company and demand for its chips is high, I really don't like the looks of that Double Top combined with a Rising Wedge. Safe Trading everyone!! (Charts are only part of the bigger picture especially with Nvidia, it is a beast of a company and who wouldn't love the opportunity to buy more NVDA at $75)
Nvidia - Consolidation Before -50% Drop!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is preparing for the correction:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Nvidia is still creating pretty clear market structure and price action and therefore there is no reason to change direction or opinion. Following the previous cycles, a correction of roughly -55% is likely and Nvidia's recent consolidation is a first strong sign of bearish weakness.
Levels to watch: $120. $60
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Bullish on NVDA: Riding the AI Wave!In trading, understanding the probabilities is crucial. By analyzing historical price movements and applying mathematical principles, I can identify high-probability setups on my charts.
This mechanical strategy allows me to make informed decisions about entering long positions on NVDA.
Why probabilities?
They help me navigate the unpredictable nature of the market, ensuring that my trades are backed by solid data rather than just intuition.
Here are some key fundamentals currently supporting a bullish bias for NVIDIA (NVDA):
- Surging Demand for AI Chips: NVIDIA is at the forefront of the AI revolution, with its chips being essential for training large language models and powering generative AI applications. The company has seen a staggering increase in demand for its GPUs, particularly the H100 chip, which has become critical for tech giants like Microsoft, Google, and Meta.
- Impressive Financial Growth: NVIDIA's stock has surged over 150% this year, significantly boosting its market capitalization. Analysts expect continued strong revenue growth, with projections estimating a 75% increase in third-quarter revenue to approximately $31.69 billion. This financial momentum reflects the robust demand for its AI-related products.
- Strategic Positioning in Data Centers: As companies invest heavily in AI infrastructure, NVIDIA's GPUs are becoming indispensable for data centers. The projected global capital expenditure on data centers is expected to rise dramatically, benefiting NVIDIA as it supplies the necessary hardware.
- Innovative Developments: NVIDIA is actively developing new AI processors to comply with U.S. export regulations, ensuring it maintains a foothold in critical markets like China. This adaptability positions NVIDIA favorably against rising competition from companies like AMD and Huawei.
- Market Leadership: With its early investments in AI technology and continuous innovation, NVIDIA has established itself as a leader in the AI chip market. This dominance allows it to command premium prices and maintain high profit margins, which were reported at 79.1% in the first quarter of 2024.
These factors collectively create a strong foundation for a bullish outlook on NVIDIA as it continues to capitalize on the growing demand for artificial intelligence technologies.
Join me in this journey towards maximizing our potential gains as we ride the bullish wave!
12M:
2W:
1H:
NVIDIA | A Second Technical Entry Opportunity This Year
NVIDIA has presented two key technical entry points for investors in 2024.
The first entry came during a correction in early August around the $100 level, which was shared on my TradingView channel.
The second opportunity is now, following last week’s close at an all-time high level.
After NVIDIA's strong rally in 2024, there have been two technical opportunities to enter the stock. The first was during the correction in early August around the $100 mark , which I highlighted in my earlier TradingView post.
The second opportunity has emerged now, as last week's closing price marked the highest in history. While the stock hasn't officially hit an all-time high yet, it has broken through the critical $130 resistance level, which had been a barrier for the past four months. This breakout puts the stock in what is often called "open waters," where there is no significant resistance overhead.
It's important to note that while this presents a potential technical buy, fundamentals play a key role here. The resistance of four months is relatively short in terms of a breakout, and from a psychological perspective, buying at current highs can feel doubting. While the technicals suggest a reasonable entry, it’s crucial to have a clear thesis, a long-term holding plan, and solid fundamental research.
At this point, I would say that entering the stock now carries more risk. It’s not a good entry point for short-term gains, and I wouldn’t recommend an "all-in" approach at these levels. Only investors who are willing to add to their position during a pullback, and who have done their fundamental homework should consider buying now with a long-term perspective.
Summary
NVIDIA has presented two technical buying opportunities in 2024, with the latest one emerging after a modest breakout above $130. While there is potential for further gains, such as a move toward $150-$170, this is a riskier entry, especially for short-term traders. Investors should consider the current market environment, do their fundamental research, and only buy if they’re prepared to hold for the long term or add to their position in case of a pullback.
Regards,
Vaido
We're almost here!We are now just a point from my long held target of a double top, in what I am counting as an irregular (B) of intermediate degree.
Since price is behaving accordingly, I will not expand on what I have been forecasting for some time except to say that if shorting Nvidia in this area (as with any trade) make sure you are using stops...but best to wait for 5 micro waves down, followed by a micro corrective retace for the ideal set-up.
NVDA Set for a Rebound: Will It Hit $137.40 and Beyond?Hey, trading family! Today we’re diving into NVIDIA (NVDA) and its recent price action. Right now, we’re seeing a correction, but all eyes are on whether it can push back up toward that key resistance level of $137.40. Here’s what you need to watch:
Downside risk: If NVDA continues to correct, there’s potential for it to drop below $132. If that happens, we could see the price head even lower, testing support around $128-$130. Keep an eye on these levels, as breaking below them could signal further downside.
Upside potential: On the flip side, if NVDA finds support and buyers step in, we could see it climb toward $137.40. A strong move above this resistance could lead to a bigger breakout, setting the stage for a push higher.
Stay tuned to how NVDA reacts around these key levels—this correction might just present a great opportunity, depending on how the market moves. If this helped, drop a comment or share your thoughts on NVDA’s next move!
Distribution Patter for the last few months in Nvidia!Selling started at the top and the price has stayed in range, making multiple attempts for break out.
GREEN TRAPZONE - clear uptrend confirmed with Angle 6 in place now.
RED UMVD - Distribution, i.e. Profit selling.
Most likely a spike above the range as this would be the 3rd attempt, before falling back towards the GREEN TrapZone. Hopefully GREEN UMVD will show up for the strength.
Shorts Trapped Into Insider Selling | DELL I've been actively trading DELL with my private community members and I believe the company is gearing up for another positive run. Despite the news about Michael Dell selling more shares, which may have trapped some short-sellers, DELL is making strategic moves such as reducing costs, rejoining the S&P500, and aiming to capture market share from SMCI.
With this in mind, I see two potential entry points:
a. Enter the trade above $121.50, aiming for $127.
b. Enter the trade once it breaks $127, targeting $138.
Personally, I prefer the second option. DM me with any questions!
Nvidia's Stellar Surge: A Reflection of AI's AscendanceNvidia's meteoric rise in recent months is a testament to the burgeoning artificial intelligence (AI) revolution. As tech giants race to integrate AI into their products and services, the demand for Nvidia's high-performance computing chips has skyrocketed. The company's stock has surged by an impressive 25% in the past month alone, and it's on the brink of breaking its all-time high.
Nvidia's dominance in the AI hardware market can be attributed to its cutting-edge graphics processing units (GPUs), which are ideally suited for the complex computations involved in AI tasks. These chips have proven to be indispensable for training and deploying large-scale AI models, such as those used in natural language processing, computer vision, and generative AI.
As tech earnings season approaches, investors are closely watching Nvidia's performance. The company's financial results will provide valuable insights into the strength of demand for its products and the overall health of the AI market. Analysts are anticipating a strong earnings report, fueled by continued growth in data center sales and increasing adoption of Nvidia's AI solutions.
One of the primary drivers of Nvidia's success has been the accelerated development of AI technologies by leading tech companies. Meta, Alphabet, Microsoft, Oracle, and OpenAI, among others, have been investing heavily in AI research and development. These companies are racing to introduce new AI-powered products and services, such as chatbots, virtual assistants, and generative AI tools. To support these initiatives, they require powerful hardware infrastructure, including Nvidia's GPUs.
The growing demand for AI chips has created a significant opportunity for Nvidia. The company has been expanding its manufacturing capacity and investing in research and development to maintain its technological edge. Additionally, Nvidia has been exploring new markets, such as autonomous vehicles and healthcare, where AI is expected to play a crucial role.
While Nvidia's future prospects appear promising, it's essential to acknowledge the potential risks and challenges that could impact the company's growth. These include intense competition from other chip manufacturers, fluctuations in the global semiconductor market, and the possibility of regulatory hurdles related to AI development.
Despite these risks, Nvidia's strong market position and the increasing importance of AI suggest that the company is well-positioned to capitalize on the ongoing technological revolution. As AI continues to transform industries and society as a whole, Nvidia's high-performance computing chips are likely to remain a critical component of the AI ecosystem.
NVIDIA 4 Hour -30 Minute Wave Counting Where are We Going ? Morning Traders
We are looking at if this market has finished making a wave 4 correction or are we in for a treat with either a small correction down before we punch up to the 137-138 target we have in our wave counting and projections.
The question is always be aware of the worst case scenario here and the best case scenario, take caution
Happy Trading
MB Trader
Nvidia - A new Opportunity after beating Resistance!Daily chart, the stock NASDAQ:NVDA is forming a symmetrical triangle, and the price could not break out the resistance line R since June 2024.
Technical indicators RSI and MACD are on the positive side; to have an upward movement.
However, a new entry for bullish uptrend should be after 2 days trading above 128 -- Then the target price will be 175
A stop loss below the line SL should be considered.
NVIDIA Is Trying To Breakout Of A Triangle; Room For $150Hello Traders, and welcome to our new update!
This time I will take a look at Nvidia. It’s in a very nice recovery and looking strong, especially after retesting the $90 area and filling the gap from August, which occurred after earnings were released in May. This retracement was quite similar to the pullback we saw back in April, when the market retraced to the gap from February’s, following Q4 2023 earnings release.
Currently, Nvidia is coming out from an Elliott wave bullish triangle. This is significant because such triangles typically represent sideways price action between two contracting trendlines, where many traders tend to lose interest as the range drags on. However, as the price contracts, this is actually when we should expect a breakout, espeically when we see five subwaves labeled A-B-C-D-E within the triangle, it’s a strong signal that the breakout can be coming.
The confirmation for the breakout comes when the wave (D) swing high is broken, which was around $127. But now,the price is even pushing above $131.40, wave (B) high. if it closes above that level, I believe there’s a good chance the market will rally to new highs, potentially reaching the $150 area.
If you find these insights helpful, please like this idea or drop a comment below.
Gregor
NVIDIA $NVDA | NVIDIA WEDGE BREAKOUT SOON - Sep. 20th, 2024NVIDIA NASDAQ:NVDA | NVIDIA BREAKOUT SOON - Sep. 20th, 2024
BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $118.25 - $130.00
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $114.75 - $118.25
SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $103.75 - $114.75 (can be extended to $92.00)
Weekly: Bullish
Daily: Bullish
4H: Bullish
NASDAQ:NVDA looks choppy and very ranging, but is consolidating towards a zone that has been tested roughly seven times. Bulls should be looking for price to pinch and breakout above $118.25 towards the $130.00 price area, or bears can look for price to pinch and breakdown below the $114.75 level towards the $103.75 area. Bears can also look for price to drop to the $92.00 area that had started the previous bull rally. Despite my three main timeframes indicating a bullish trend, I would be happy with a fast move in either direction.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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NVDA Key Levels: Long Above $125.17, Short Below $123Hey traders, Mindbloome Trader here! Just sharing my latest NVDA chart—if we break above $125.17, I’m going long. But if we dip below $123, I’m ready to short. These levels are key, so keep an eye on them. As always, trade what you see and stay sharp!
NVDA Breakout: Key Levels to WatchHey traders, it’s Mindbloome Trader here! In this video, I’m breaking down NVDA from the weekly to the 4-hour chart. We’re at a crucial point—if we break above $125, we could rally to $127-$129. But if we slip below $122, watch for a drop to $120 or lower. Stay sharp and remember—trade what you see, not what you think!
NVDA price has shifted on monthly data -- not favoring BULLS.NASDAQ:NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation)
Shorter's paradise.
Monthly shift has been spotted. NVDA needs to break 500 to preserve hope for upside continuation. Otherwise, the other side will be their season.
If breakdown continues, a target at 300 levels is the goal. I'm still hopeful for a turnaround.
Net negative volume is quite significant conveying bear dominance.
Spotted at 430
TAYOR
Safeguard funds always.