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NVIDIA NASDAQ Topping Out Multi Year Correction IncomingNVIDIA and the whole stock market is topping out. I see a crash coming perhaps within the next month or two. NVIDIA has weekly bearish divergence on the RSI so a drop is imminent and a possible multi year downtrend as the chart shows. The valuation is over 2 trillion, thats a little ridiculous as are most valuations on these companies. This blowoff in the stock market is now the whales who bought at the bottom unloading their bags onto the new investors. I can see it in the comments. As soon as I read on a live stream that NVIDIA is going to save the world and go to 20k by some randinos, that indicates to me that its the top. THIS BELOW IS A NEAT LITTLE READ, NOT MY OWN THIS IS BY Justin Gabriel | Feb 17, 2023 In 1929, at the height of an economic boom in America, Joseph Kennedy Sr. (father of JFK) was working as a stockbroker on Wall Street. As the story goes, Joseph was walking around when he decided to sit down for a shoeshine. While polishing his shoes, the young worker gave Joseph some of his favorite stock picks. When Joseph heard the shoeshine boy giving out stock tips, he figured the party was about to end, and it was time to get out of the market. Joseph proceeded to exit his positions in the market and bought short positions that bet on the market going down. Shortly after that, the stock market entered a free fall. On Monday, October 28, 1929, the market dropped about 13%. The next day it fell another 12%. These became better known as Black Monday and Black Tuesday, and ushered the United States into The Great Depression.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by Bitgolder
64
NVDA Nvidia Buy the Dip OpportunityNVDA and MSFT stood out as my top picks for 2023! On the chart, you'll find some of my past buy recommendations, such as this one before the earnings: In my view, the current retracement presents a favorable 'buy the dip' opportunity. Utilizing the Fibonacci retracement tool, I've identified a buy zone between the 0.618 level and 0.5, ranging from $785 to $821. My year-end price target is set at $1100! Most likely, we'll see a stock split soon, a move that is statistically considered bullish!
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by TopgOptions
2
Nvidia's Meteoric Rise: A Rally Cools Amid Market TurbulenceIn a stunning reversal, Nvidia Corp.,( NASDAQ:NVDA ) the behemoth in the semiconductor industry, witnessed its most significant one-day drop in nine months, sending shockwaves through the market and prompting questions about the sustainability of its blistering rally. Traders scrambled to lock in profits following an astonishing surge that saw Nvidia's ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) stock skyrocket by over 19% in just six consecutive trading days. The chipmaker's shares tumbled by 5.6% on Friday, marking the largest single-day decline since May 31. The magnitude of the drop was staggering, erasing approximately $130 billion in market value—a feat rarely witnessed in the annals of US stock market history. Nvidia's ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) meteoric ascent this year has been nothing short of breathtaking, fueled by buoyant optimism surrounding the relentless demand for its chips, particularly in the realm of artificial intelligence computing. Despite the setback on Friday, the stock has still managed to post staggering gains, boasting an impressive surge of over 70% since the beginning of 2024. With a market capitalization hovering around $2.2 trillion, Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) stands tall as the third-largest company in the S&P 500, trailing only behind tech titans Microsoft Corp. and Apple Inc. However, signs of overheating were evident earlier in the session as Nvidia's ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) shares surged by as much as 5.1%, pushing key momentum indicators to dizzying heights. The relative-strength index soared above 85, reaching levels not seen since November 2021, signaling that the stock was ripe for a correction. The rapid ascent had triggered warnings of potential market turbulence, underscoring the need for caution amidst euphoric sentiment. The pullback in Nvidia's ( NASDAQ:NVDA stock price serves as a sobering reminder of the inherent volatility in the markets, punctuating a period of exuberance with a dose of reality. While the long-term growth prospects for Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) remain robust, investors are urged to tread carefully amidst heightened uncertainty and evolving market dynamics. As Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) navigates through choppy waters, the focus shifts to the company's ability to sustain its growth trajectory and weather the storm of market fluctuations. With innovation at its core and a track record of resilience, Nvidia is poised to emerge stronger from the current setback, reaffirming its status as a stalwart in the ever-evolving landscape of technology and finance.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by DEXWireNews
NVDANVIDIA shares have been accumulating for a long time. The last few days we have been watching the price trying to get out of the zone. There are no significant resistances from above, which means there will be no potential sellers up to the $1500 levels. Tensions are growing in the Pacific Ocean, where the production of the "hearts" of all world technology is concentrated. Maybe we will have to live not only in conditions of resource scarcity, but also in conditions of technology scarcity?
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Lazy-Lizard
Nvidia near its cycle peakYou can't turn on the TV without hearing about Nvidia that means that we're in the cycle distribution phase, can the stock rally to $1,300 certainly so this isn't a call to sell $950 today at all, but it is a call that the years high probably happens between now and July 4th start to make your exit plan now, so that when $1,300 arrives, you know what to do. as new ATH print every week, it becomes easy to accidentally wind up as a boiled frog. SMCI monster rally will chart a similar course
NASDAQ:NVDA
by noam_chom
Nvidia - $1000 And Then DropHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Nvidia. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: Starting in 2018 Nvidia stock has been trading in an obvious rising channel formation. We had the last retest in August of 2018 which was then followed by a +650% rally towards the upside. Considering that Nvidia is now approaching the upper resistance of the channel, I do expect a (short term) pullback to retest previous support and then more continuation from there. -------- I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied. Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions. Keep your long term vision.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by basictradingtv
20
EURUSD KEEP FOLLOWING BULL MOVE LONG TERM The EUR/USD currency pair has been making waves recently, and it’s currently dancing around the 1.1150 mark. Here’s what you need to know: Recent Highs: The pair has been on a bullish streak, reaching its highest level since March 2022 after convincingly breaking above the 1.1100 mark. Bulls are flexing their muscles, and the euro is strutting its stuff against the US dollar 1. US Dollar Weakness: The greenback has been feeling a bit under the weather. The latest US inflation data showed signs of easing inflationary pressure, causing the US Dollar Index (DXY) to hit its lowest point since April 2022, hovering just above the 100.50 area. Odds of further rate hikes by year-end have also declined significantly 1. ECB’s Hawkish Stance: Across the pond, the European Central Bank (ECB) remains hawkish. Persistent inflationary pressure in the euro area is pushing them to consider raising policy rates by a quarter percentage point later this month 1. Upcoming Data: Keep an eye out for more US inflation data. The Producer Price Index (PPI) is estimated to drop from 6.6% to 6.1% annually, while the core figure is expected to decline from 5.3% to 4.8%. Additionally, the ECB will release the minutes of its latest meeting 1. Technical Levels to Watch Resistance: The immediate resistance lies near 1.1150. Support: On the downside, watch out for the previous daily low at 1.1005. Psychological Levels: The psychological levels of 1.1100 and 1.1200 are crucial battlegrounds
Long
by NYRUNSGLOBAL
The Endgame for Nvidia's Price Surge !!!Hello everyone, today I would like to talk about Nvidia. I believe that the current price level could be very challenging for the stock, so buying at these prices without any correction in price and time is not recommended at all. Please be aware of the risks and if you were an early buyer, it is a good idea to take some profit. The price might go higher, but the risk to reward ratio here is not favorable for new buyers. You can use the protective RSI line to monitor the trade, and we could see massive correction in these areas. NASDAQ:NVDA GETTEX:NVD #nvidia #nvda Disclaimer: This information or service is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be personal financial advice
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by S_INV28
4
NVIDIA 850 ABOVE 815 SL 805 Reason Why Nvidia Will Still Growing Diverse Market Presence: NVIDIA is not just a semiconductor manufacturer; it’s a tech powerhouse. Beyond GPUs for gaming and professional markets, they also create system-on-a-chip (SoC) units for mobile computing and automotive applications. Their expansion into cloud software and services positions them well for growth1. Cloud-Based Software Dominance: The pandemic accelerated the adoption of cloud-based software and computing. NVIDIA’s GPUs play a crucial role in data centers—the brains behind cloud services. In Q1 2021, NVIDIA’s data center revenue hit a record high of $2.05 billion, accounting for 36% of total sales. Major players like Microsoft’s Azure Cloud, Google Cloud, and Amazon’s AWS rely on NVIDIA’s GPUs for data operations1. AI and Deep Learning: Artificial intelligence (AI) systems demand fast and reliable processors. NVIDIA’s GPUs are unmatched for training and running AI systems. Their focus on research and development ensures they stay at the forefront of AI technology1. Competing with Giants: NVIDIA is developing its own cloud services, including AI Enterprise and the Base Command Platform. They’re also venturing into creative collaboration tools with Omniverse. These initiatives put them in direct competition with tech giants like Amazon, Apple, Alphabet, and Microsoft1. Analyst Estimates: While NVIDIA’s stock has rallied significantly, its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio remains high. However, analysts estimate that by fiscal 2025, their earnings per share could double, making the stock more attractive2.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by NYRUNSGLOBAL
NVIDIA: Large MovesOverview My first two publications on this idea were removed and I was banned for a day so let's try this out again: ... I finally gave in and started looking into NASDAQ:NVDA and I'm glad I did. If I was going to comfortably invest in derivatives or shares of the tech company, I needed to perform a full evaluation and determine pragmatic price targets. Price Projections I have two macro projections and one micro projection that I would like to share with you. On the 1D chart I've established two Fibonacci retracements: one representing uptrend (green) and the other representing a downtrend (red). At the current moment of this publication, an ascending triangle is beginning to form on the hourly and daily charts. This leads me to believe that the markets haven't had their fill yet and that NVDA is most likely gearing up for another rally. If this breakout does occur, I believe that a price target of $750 is reasonable as this value rests around the 161.8% Fib level. For my second macro projection: a correction to the low $300s, or even mid $200s, is a reality as both of these values rest around or near a 50% or 61.8% Fib retracement level. The market does not appear to feel bearish on NVIDIA and a correction like this would require the current ascending triangle to become invalid which is unlikely without an external catalyst -- which is most definitely in existence. I explain this concept in more detail later in this article; you can find it under "NVIDIA Outsourcing." And finally, for those of us that want to make all the short and medium-term trades in-between, I've attached a copy of my projections within the ascending triangle and attempted to match them to the market's sentiments. This led me to project a double bottom within the current pattern. There is a possible second ascending triangle forming at the moment so I am remaining cognizant of significant support around the $470-480 range in the chance that this causes an invalid double-top (M pattern) and a potentially earlier breakout. About the CEO Jensen Huang is the CEO and President of NVIDIA and has held his title since 1993 when he first co-founded the company. He has a Master of Science in Engineering from Stanford University and, from what I've seen in a couple of his interviews, is very intelligent and self-aware. I'd like to regard him as a more stable version of Elon Musk or Steve Jobs. NVIDIA Outsourcing The impression I received during my research is that a lot of the semiconductor chips used in NVIDIA's A.I. projects are sourced from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC). As you probably already guessed, TSMC is located in Taiwan. The reason I believe that this can be problematic for the company is because, as of late, China has become more outspokenly aggressive towards Taiwan whom it believes it holds sovereignty over. Should China choose to invade the nation I believe this will result in a choke on NVIDIA's production which -- on top of market reactivity -- will drive the share prices downward. To touch on another geopolitical issue very briefly, Huang has made it clear that they supply China with limited-capacity chips to uphold National Security concerns in regards to artificial intelligence. This could very well serve as a motivator for China to want to gain control of TSMC as it would then obtain an advantage over NVIDIA: "give us fully capable chips or else." This is just my opinion and I came to this conclusion from my own research and from my limited knowledge on human psychology. Second red flag for outsourcing, TSMC requires the use of a specific technology that is only delivered by a Dutch company called Advanced Semiconductor Materials Lithography (ASML). I won't dive into the full details but their technology has yet to be reverse-engineered or produced at the same efficiency. ASML provides TSMC the ability to create an end product for NVIDIA. I think it goes without saying, that if NVIDIA does not figure out how to create an equally efficient manufacturing technology, or at least close to, then if ASML one day decides to stop providing said technology -- a market crash will occur for NVIDIA. Fundamental Analysis Time for the dry stuff. According to NVIDIA's Q3 Earnings Call, the following data is assumed to be true: Current Ratio (current assets/current liabilities) = 3.59 --> a 2% increase since January 29, 2023. Cash On-Hand has increased by 62.85% since January 29, 2023. Total Assets outpaced Total Liabilities with assets increasing by 31.49% while liabilities increased by 9.44% since January 2023. Retained Earnings increased by 100.18% since January 29, 2023. Long-Term Debt decreased by 12.84% since January 29, 2023. Other notes: NVIDIA is presently undergoing several class action lawsuits filed in the United States District Court for Northern District of California, for the District of Delaware, and in the Court of Chancery of the State of Delaware. The lawsuits claim that certain NVIDIA executives made misleading statements related to channel inventory (product in between the manufacturing and reseller inventory stages) and impact of cryptocurrency mining on GPU demand between May 2017 and Nov 2018. There has been significant insider liquidation in 2023. In total, executives from NVIDIA – including Huang – have liquidated upwards of $786.8M in company shares within the calendar year. I would typically consider this a red flag but not a sign for impending declines; securing profits may be the only motivation. NVIDIA’s Board of Directors approved a share repurchase program up to $25.24B. Approximately 800K shares ($366M) were repurchased by the company from October 30 - November 17, 2023. This coincides with a relatively large rally followed by a 10% dip immediately after the Q3 Earnings Call.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Shepherd_Investor
2
Nvidia's Spectacular Rise: A $2 Trillion ValuationNvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ), the powerhouse in AI chip technology, is poised to close with a staggering $2 trillion valuation, marking a historic milestone in the realm of tech giants. The ascent comes on the heels of an optimistic forecast from Dell Technologies, propelling Nvidia's ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) stock to new heights and igniting a broader rally in the AI sector. Dell's rosy outlook, particularly regarding the surge in orders for AI-optimized servers powered by Nvidia's ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) processors, served as a catalyst for the market frenzy. With Dell's shares soaring to record highs, Nvidia's ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) stock surged by 3.6%, solidifying its position as a dominant force in the AI ecosystem. At $2.05 trillion, Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) now stands as the third most valuable company on Wall Street, trailing only behind tech behemoths Microsoft and Apple. This remarkable valuation underscores the pivotal role Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) plays in shaping the future of AI-driven innovation. The ripple effects of Nvidia's success were felt across the semiconductor industry, with companies like Super Micro Computer, Broadcom, and Marvell Technology witnessing significant gains. The PHLX chip index itself rallied to a record high, reflecting the widespread enthusiasm for AI-related investments. Nvidia's stranglehold on the high-end AI chip market, with prominent clients including OpenAI, Microsoft, Alphabet, and Meta Platforms, highlights its unrivaled position in driving advancements in generative AI technologies. As demand for its components continues to soar, Nvidia's stock has emerged as the most traded on Wall Street, surpassing even the likes of Tesla. The meteoric rise of Nvidia's ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) stock, which has surged by 65% in 2024 alone, underscores the insatiable appetite for AI-driven solutions and the company's relentless pursuit of innovation. With its stock market value eclipsing that of tech giants like Amazon and Alphabet, Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) has firmly cemented its status as a powerhouse in the tech industry. While Nvidia's ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) journey to a $2 trillion valuation is nothing short of remarkable, it also poses challenges and scrutiny. Questions about market dominance, supply chain constraints, and the sustainability of growth loom large as Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) continues to chart its course in the ever-evolving landscape of AI technology.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by DEXWireNews
Nvidia - Congrats!Nvidia today popped over 25% on blockbuster earnings. We predicted this as far back as February 15, 2023. Congrats if you opened a position or bought Call options! ---- How to understand price action. It is very easy to read price action if you have a reference point. These support/resistance lines are there to help you read where the buyers and sellers are likely to make a stand. You can also think of these indicators as moving pivot points . MasterChartsTrading Price Action Indicators show good price levels to enter or exit a trade. The Blue indicator line serves as a Bullish Trend setter. If your instrument closes above the Blue line, we think about going Long (buying). For commodities and Forex, when your trading instrument closes below the Red line, we think about Shorting (selling). For Stocks, I prefer to use the Yellow line as my Bearish Trend setter (on Daily charts ). A stock has to close below the Yellow line first, then rally towards the Red line and top out there. This is where I would short it.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by mastercharts
NVIDIA: Time for a breather 😮‍💨Let's take a closer look at Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA – a stock generating a lot of buzz. On the two-day chart, we observe a potential completion of Waves (3) and (4) between November 2021 and October 2022. As an alternative, we could see Waves (1) and (2), leading to the upcoming Wave (3). The targets are ambitious, and time will reveal the accuracy of these projections. Following Wave (4) or alt. (2), we've formed a 1, 2, 3, and 4 pattern. Now, Wave 5 is on the horizon, and our price target is positioned at the 161.8 % fibonacci extension. Zooming in, since our sub-wave 4 in red, we've constructed a Wave ((i)) and ((ii)) at $450. We're now in the process of building Wave ((iii)). A brief corrective move may follow before reaching the circled Wave ((iii)) at 161.8, around $662. After we reach our targets, we'll be on the lookout for an entry point for the next big Wave 5 movement.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by freeguy_by_wmc
1
SALESFORCE 310 AFTER EARNINGS Strong Revenue Growth: Salesforce’s total revenue for Q2 2024 was $8.603 billion, up from $8.247 billion in Q1 20241. This consistent growth in revenue is a positive sign. Impressive Earnings Per Share (EPS): The basic earnings per share (EPS) for Q2 2024 was $1.4118, up from $0.7562 in Q1 20241. This significant increase in EPS indicates a strong financial performance. Positive Analyst Expectations: Analysts expect the company to report earnings of $2.27 per share on revenue of $9.2 billion2. If Salesforce meets or exceeds these expectations in their upcoming earnings report, it could provide a further boost to the stock. Historical Stock Performance: The stock soared 12% after its last earnings report3, which could indicate investor confidence in the company’s financial health and future prospects.
NYSE:CRMLong
by NYRUNSGLOBAL
2
A Traders’ Weekly Playbook: Dynamic to our trading environment As we prepare to go into battle in the new trading week, we look down at the calendar and see the highlights being US core PCE and EU inflation, RBNZ meeting, China PMIs, and numerous Fed speakers - we regroup, and consider the propensity for outsized movement, into and around each data release, as we do with our assessment of the trading environment through which we deploy our strategy and our plan. When we consider the market environment, we assess whether a market is trending, balanced and ranging, as well as volatility and range expansion/contraction. Certainly, when it comes to recent movement through a period this has huge implications on how much risk we take in a position (i.e. the distance from entry to our stop) and subsequently our position size. It’s worth focusing on volatility, as many will attest to being at rock bottom levels in FX and gold volatility. Assessing realised volatility We can see from ‘realised’ volatility, which is essentially a statistical measure of volatility (vol) and takes the close-to-close percentage changes (over a set period), calculates the standard deviation of these returns, and then annualizes that number. Using EURUSD as case study, last week the pair saw daily percentage changes of 0.02%, 0.27%, 0.1%, 0.04% and -0.02%, so it’s no surprise that this statistical level of volatility sits at multi-year lows. We can also look at the implied level of volatility, which is derived from options pricing - I’ve used 1-week implied volatility as this assesses the risk events laid out in the playbook below. The implied move is heavily influenced by realised vol but will also include a premium that is determined by how dealers see the upcoming event risk (through the set period) driving price movement. Implied vol and the expected ranges If we look at 1-week implied volatility across the G10 FX pairs and gold again we see these 52-week lows (or the zero percentile of the 12-month range). By replicating the calculation used in options strategies, such as a weekly ‘straddle’ (can send the calculation upon request), we can see the expected move – higher or lower and with a 68.2% and 95% level of confidence – that price is expected to reach this week. Some use this for risk management purposes, others for mean reversion entry signals. Traders don’t really work on close-to-close price changes though and we cut our craft trading the full extent of the daily high-low range. Here we see EURUSD 5-day high-low range average (ADR) at 50 pips, where in three days last week we saw a range of under 35 pips. USDJPY averages (5-day) 55 pips, AUDUSD 42p, GBPUSD 65p and XAU $16. Traders need to be cute when working orders intraday. While many would dearly love higher volatility across markets, low volatility can stay that way for some time, although typically the longer it stays compressed the more USD positive it will prove to be when vol does finally present itself. For now this dynamic is pushing funds into high carry currencies and for traders who want upsized movement into areas which are moving, such as high beta equity plays (such as Nvidia and Super Micro Computers), crypto and select commodities. The process to work to a sustainable higher volatility regime may take time and will likely be driven by the interest rate markets – but we migrate to other markets (if the strategy allows) or we trade what’s in front of us and what the market gives us – we’re dynamic to adapt to price action and our market environment. The marquee event risks for traders in the week ahead Month-end flows – the sell-side banks expect FX rebalancing to result in USD selling across G10, except for the JPY. We’ll see if there is any noticeable effect on USD flows, but I’ve never seen any edge for trading in focusing on month-old flows. Tuesday Japan national CPI (10:30 AEDT) – the market expects headline CPI to print at 1.9% (from 2.6%) and core CPI at 3.3% (from 3.7%). A further deceleration in price pressures should once again challenge the notion the BoJ should be in a rush to change policy. BoJ board member Takata speaks later in the week (Thursday 12:30 AEDT) and he could offer insight on how the JP CPI print influences his view on any future policy changes. The JPY crosses are consolidating at key highs and require monitoring – preference to buy momentum should it play out in NZDJPY and AUDJPY Wednesday US consumer confidence (02:00 AEDT) – Further improvement in sentiment is expected with the index eyed at 115 (from 114.8). Unlikely to cause too great a reaction in the USD, but big numbers will only solidify calls that the US economy is in a good spot. Australia (January) CPI (11:30 AEDT) – the market looks for the first monthly CPI read of 2024 to come in at 3.6% (from 3.4%). AUS swaps pricing is very benign and doesn’t have a full 25bp cut priced until September, with 35bp of cuts priced by year-end. AUDCHF and AUDJPY longs have worked well, and I see risks of further upside in both crosses. AUDUSD is higher for 8 straight days. RBNZ meeting (12:00 AEDT) – the RBNZ meeting poses a sizeable two-way risk for NZD exposures, and we may well see a short period of volatility that traders will need to manage. 2 of 21 economists are calling for a 25bp hike, with NZ rates markets pricing a 20% chance of a hike. Subsequently, the weight of money is positioned for a hold in the cash rate, but with a hawkish outlook. A hike would also not greatly surprise but given the rates pricing would see the NZD spike hard. Positioning is a core consideration, and the market goes into the meeting very long of NZDs. Preference for limit longs in NZD pairs and buying weakness after the statement drops. Thursday US Core PCE inflation (Friday 00:30 AEDT) – the median estimate from economists is for headline PCE inflation to come in at 0.3% QoQ / 2.4% YoY, and core PCE at 0.4% MoM / 2.8% YoY. While this may not create big cross-asset vol, this will get the lion’s share of media attention given the Fed set policy to this inflation metric. We look at the mix of goods vs services inflation, and many will want to assess how the numbers feed into 3- and 6-month annualised rate. How much will traders see through the numbers as driven by seasonal factors or see something more entrenched? Friday China NBS manufacturing & services PMI (12:30 AEDT) – the market looks for the manufacturing index to print at 49.1 (from 49.2) and services at 50.8 (50.7). Chinese equity markets have found form, with the CN50 index hitting my target of 12k - an above consensus print should keep the upside momentum in play here, and flipping to the CHINAH index, there is upside potential for 6000 – exit longs on a daily close below the 5-day EMA. China Caixin manufacturing PMI (12:45 AEDT) – this survey takes the pulse of smaller manufacturing businesses in China. Here, the market looks for the index to print 50.7 (from 50.8), a result which should cause any real vol. EU (flash) CPI (21:00 AEDT) – the market eyes EU headline CPI at 2.5%, with core CPI at 2.9% (from 3.3%). EU swaps market prices the first 25bp cut in June, with 104bp (four) of cuts priced by December. US ISM Manufacturing (Sat 02:00 AEST) – the market looks for the manufacturing index to come in at 49.5, an improvement from the prior month’s reading of 49.1. Recall this manufacturing data point has been in contraction territory (a read below 50 indicates this) since October 2022 (15 months). Subsequently, a read above 50 could support the US equity markets (notably the US2000) and promote USD buying.
by Pepperstone
NVIDIA technical analysisAnalyzing NVIDIA we can see a complex market picture. The large Elliott waves (orange) indicate five primary price movements, with three being impulsive waves upward (1, 3, 5) and two corrective waves (2, 4). The smaller Elliott waves (white) represent sub-waves within the larger upward trend of wave (5). Potential support at a yellow channel, which is aligned with previous troughs and peaks, suggesting it's a significant level for future price action. The correction that may occur is suggested by the Fibonacci levels drawn on the last impulse of wave (5). The 0.5 Fibonacci level, often acting as a significant retracement level, points to a potential support area around $600.76, while the 0.618 Fibonacci level indicates a price around $554.92. Cumulative volume showing increased activity during rises and falls, might indicate the strength or weakness of the price movement. Increased volume during the last upward impulse may suggest solid buying interest at these price levels. With these observations in mind, it appears that if a correction occurs, we could look for support along the yellow channel and the indicated Fibonacci levels. Considering the market dynamics and historical price behaviors, these areas might offer potential reversal points for further price movements.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by CryptoDiabloo
a weekly price action market recap and outlook - nvidia #3Good evening and i hope you are well. Last time i talked about Nvidia was 3 week ago and Nvidia at 661. Time to revisit and adjust again. I said buy, 700 and even 800 were my targets. Market kept at it, 788 now with 823. If you made money, please leave a comment, thumps up or whatnot. I hope you enjoyed it. Outlook Quote from last outlook: "The thing about FOMO rallies is, no one knows where it will end and it can go so much higher and longer than anyone would have ever guessed." If you don't think this stock is a bubble, you have not been paying enough attention to bubbles and the financial markets as whole. But it's alright, as long as you make money, no one cares. Only question is, when will it burst. I explained my reasoning why it will continue to go up and if it stops, it might go down hard because so many people want to save their gains. bull case: 800 was my rough target based on some measured moves, it's a big round number and market did what it had to. Good profit taking there too. Now what possibly can the reason for the bulls be to buy this? Well, it's only going up and trend is your friend. Does that mean it's smart to buy at upper trend lines, fulfilled measured move targets and what have you? No. It's plain freaking dumb from a risk:reward perspective. The next reasonable targets are 900 and 1000. I just won't try to come up with reasoning from a price action perspective here, sorry. bear case: I did not touch any of the lines drawn 3 weeks ago. Last week we had a pullback for 10% and this week another run for 25% up. This is peak insanity of a stock and we are very close to the end. No one want's to be left holding the bag and the next pullback will be a deeper one. For that to happen, the overall market has to weaken and since we are still making new ath's evey week, no reasoning for a short here anyhow. If you dare, wait for weakness and then sell small. The risk:reward is on your side if bears can get something going, which odds favor after such a buy climax. If bears are strong, their first target should be 670. short term: stock is just going up and that's why the probability of it continuing, is higher than sideways or down. does that mean you should buy? no. risk:reward is on bear side and for that we need to see weakness and consecutive bear bars closing on their lows. so even probability is low, one should look for weakness and sell it small. medium-long term: bubbles burst eventually and when they do, market overshoots to the downside as well before osciallating around the fair price (average price). what will that be? who the f knows. if this stock does not lose at least 40% this year, i have to rethink my life choices very hard. Have a great weekend
NASDAQ:NVDA
by priceactiontds
1
Nvidia Bounce TrackWhile the main scenario for this stock implies a further advancement in price considering the importance of its product(s) in AI development and deployment, this project attempts to anticipate or "catch", a significant reversal signal, preferably with a candlestick shadow at one of the shapes (similar to the examples highlighted in past price action). 2 other relevant occurrences might pop somewhere else in the snapshot, without shadows, but with other candlestick patterns. A reversal of a wave (:no matter how big or small), provides a strategic entry relative to the context of the market or the context of future potential scenarios, having a tight exit strategy (above the high or in this case below the low of the signal candle), while being open to higher rewards relative to risk. This Simulation of potential future scenarios, resulting in a hybrid design that takes into account at least 10 such main scenarios, has been carefully selected, processed, and applied, with alien nen technology and mechanisms, brought to you from the depths of a Black Hole, where time and space collapse into a wonder of oneness and transcendence, called Singularity.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by UnknownUnicorn903284
3