Get started

Nvidia

Is the AI Revolution Built on a House of Cards?In the treacherous landscape of technological ambition, Nvidia emerges as a cautionary tale of unchecked corporate hubris and potentially unsustainable growth. What appeared to be an unstoppable technological juggernaut now reveals deep fissures in its seemingly impenetrable facade, with mounting challenges threatening to unravel its carefully constructed narrative of AI dominance. Specific challenges underscore this fragility: comments from Microsoft's Satya Nadella suggest a potential moderation in AI chip demand, while Alphabet's Sundar Pichai has highlighted that "the low-hanging fruit is gone" in AI model development. Beneath the glossy veneer of technological innovation lies a troubling reality of regulatory scrutiny and market volatility. Nvidia faces a perfect storm of challenges: a potential slowdown in AI chip demand, an aggressive antitrust investigation by Chinese regulators, and growing skepticism from industry leaders. The competition is intensifying, with Amazon developing its own Trainium AI chips, and Broadcom positioning itself to capture significant market share with custom AI chip solutions projected to reach $90 billion in the next three years. OpenAI co-founder Ilya Sutskever's stark statement that "we've achieved peak data" further undermines the narrative of unbridled AI growth. The broader implications are profound and deeply concerning. Nvidia's struggles represent a microcosm of the larger technological ecosystem—a world where innovation is increasingly constrained by geopolitical tensions, regulatory challenges, and the harsh economic realities of diminishing returns. Despite massive capital expenditures by tech giants—with Microsoft nearly doubling its spending to $20 billion and Meta increasing expenses by 36%—only 4% of US workers use AI daily. This stark disconnect between investment and actual utility exposes the potential fragility of Nvidia's market position, with analysts suggesting that 2024 may have been the peak in terms of percentage increase for AI-related infrastructure spending.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by UDIS_View
NVIDIA's Declined over 10%, Why? When will be the Buy timing? NVIDIA fell nearly 4% today before narrowing the loss to 1.22%. Since hitting a record closing high of $148.88 in early November, the AI chip maker's stock has dropped over 10%. So, what is causing NVIDIA's decline? Firstly, Supply Chain Issues and Challenges NVIDIA faces multiple challenges in its supply chain, a significant factor in its stock decline. First, according to the latest data, the order volume and schedules for the GB200 and GB300 have been adjusted. Particularly, the mass production and shipment of GB series products have been postponed until after the Lunar New Year in February, increasing market uncertainty. Additionally, the small-scale production plans for GB300 face tight deadlines, putting pressure on GB200's mass production. Specific supply chain issues include CoWoS-L packaging technology, heating problems, copper cable connections, and leakage issues. These not only affect product yield rates but also increase system integration time costs. Consequently, NVIDIA has suggested customers purchase the B200 8-card HGX as a transitional solution, and clients like Microsoft are considering switching their orders. These supply chain issues affect NVIDIA's product delivery capabilities and reduce market expectations for its future performance. Secondly, Market Competition and Narrative Changes ASICs are gaining market recognition as a competitive narrative. ASICs are chips designed for specific tasks, akin to custom running shoes for a race. For certain tasks, ASICs outperform NVIDIA's GPUs (widely used for computing tasks) and are potentially cheaper. OpenAI co-founder Ilya and industry leaders like Microsoft's CEO Satya have started discussing the importance of not only training AI models but also ensuring they can quickly and accurately make decisions in real applications. This shift in perspective gives ASICs an advantage in some scenarios, as they are designed for rapid, precise execution of tasks. This raises questions about the cost of NVIDIA's GPUs. While powerful, they are expensive and require significant electricity and cooling. As ASICs perform better at lower costs for some tasks, there's consideration of replacing NVIDIA's GPUs with ASICs. Additionally, changes in scaling law narratives and the strengthening of inference narratives pose threats to NVIDIA. Scaling laws suggest that increasing AI model size (e.g., more neurons or layers) typically improves performance, but these gains are not infinite and require significant computational resources. This means NVIDIA must continually invest resources to improve product performance, potentially increasing costs. Moreover, companies like BTC, Tesla, and Google are investing heavily in their own AI chips or solutions. This intensifies market competition and challenges NVIDIA's leadership. Thirdly, Market Sentiment and Capital Flows Market sentiment and capital flow significantly impact NVIDIA's stock price. As the year ends, retail investors, ETFs, and institutions adjust their portfolios. Fluctuations in tech giants like Microsoft, Apple, and Google affect tech stocks like NVIDIA. Investors are more cautious, favoring stable, promising companies. Given these conditions, NVIDIA faces pressure on its stock price due to supply chain issues and competition. Lowered expectations for NVIDIA's future performance lead to capital outflows and stock price declines. Fourthly, Future Outlook and Catalysts Despite current challenges, NVIDIA has opportunities for a turnaround. First, NVIDIA needs to resolve supply chain issues, improve product yield, and delivery capabilities. Second, strengthening its presence in software and applications is crucial to addressing market competition. Additionally, NVIDIA should explore new computing narratives to expand its computing potential. Fifthly, Technical Analysis and Price Divergence Previously, prices rose continuously, but volume and KDJ began to decline, showing divergence. Without capital support, upward momentum was insufficient, leading to a short-term adjustment and a break below the mid-term trend line, resulting in a mid-term callback. When Might a New Rally Occur? From a technical analysis perspective: After two prior mid-term adjustments, breaking the downward trend line may signal the start of a new rally. Thus, this new rally must first break the resistance line. From a catalyst perspective: While January's CES and the earnings release in late February may not bring major surprises, March's GTC is worth anticipating. NVIDIA needs to showcase new technologies and products at this event to restore market confidence. If NVIDIA can introduce groundbreaking innovations, a stock rebound is possible.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by xugina78
GOOD BTC ENTRY !! SL 59K TP 72KREASONS WHY !! Market Sentiment and Momentum: Bitcoin soared in 2023, and experts predict further gains in 2024, potentially reaching $80,000. Despite long-term optimism, Bitcoin experienced a recent dip. Technical indicators suggest potential downside, but the market remains in a tug-of-war. If buyers can push past the $44,700 resistance, a jump to $48,000 is in sight. Spot Bitcoin ETF Launch: The launch of a spot Bitcoin ETF in early 2024 is poised to revolutionize the crypto landscape. This move is expected to attract significant capital from both retail and institutional investors, further fueling Bitcoin’s ascent. Bitcoin Halving Event: Scheduled for April or May 2024, the Bitcoin halving event will curtail the yearly supply of new Bitcoin. This reduction in supply could establish conditions where demand potentially outstrips supply, a fundamental factor in the optimistic price forecast. Investor Confidence and Accumulation: Investors are holding on to their BTC with conviction stronger than in 2021. Relative realized profits show that despite a new all-time high, selling has not been as significant as during the previous cycle. Consistent accumulation since February 2024 indicates confidence among investors, expecting further price growth.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by NYRUNSGLOBAL
COIN 260 - 273 AFTER EARNINGS ?Why Coinbase Could Soar to $260 Post-Earnings Coinbase, the renowned cryptocurrency exchange platform, has been making headlines with its impressive financial performance. As we approach the next earnings release, there’s a palpable buzz around the possibility of the stock price hitting the $260 mark. Here are some compelling reasons why this could become a reality: Strong Earnings Report: Coinbase recently reported earnings per share (EPS) of $1.04 for the quarter, significantly surpassing analysts’ consensus estimates1. This positive surprise is a testament to the company’s robust revenue generation and cost management strategies. Revenue Growth: The company’s net revenue reached $905 million in the fourth quarter, marking a 45.2% increase from the previous quarter2. This surge in revenue reflects Coinbase’s ability to attract and retain a substantial user base, despite the volatile nature of the cryptocurrency market. Profitability: For the first time since the fourth quarter of 2021, Coinbase reported a net income of $273 million2. This return to profitability could be a strong indicator of the company’s financial health and operational efficiency. Market Position: With a mission to increase economic freedom worldwide, Coinbase has established itself as a leading platform in the crypto economy3. Its comprehensive suite of services, including trading, staking, and safekeeping, positions it well to capitalize on the growing interest in cryptocurrencies. Analyst Optimism: Some analysts have set high price targets for Coinbase, with predictions reaching as high as $2764. This optimism is fueled by the company’s consistent performance and the expanding adoption of crypto assets. Technological Edge: Coinbase is not just a marketplace for crypto transactions; it’s also a technology provider that enables developers to create innovative crypto products3. This dual role could be a key driver in the company’s future growth and stock price appreciation. Macro Factors: The broader financial market’s sentiment towards cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology can significantly impact Coinbase’s stock. Positive developments in the crypto space often translate into increased trading volumes and higher revenues for exchanges like Coinbase.
NASDAQ:COINLong
by NYRUNSGLOBAL
COSTCO 850 AFTER EARNIGS ?? 5 STRONG REASONS WHY !!! thanks to WWW.CAFECITYSTUDIO.COM NY RUNS GLOBAL INC . Robust Financials:Costco has consistently demonstrated strong financial performance. Its revenue growth, profitability, and debt management are impressive. The company’s ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) score for its industry is good, indicating responsible business practices . Customer Loyalty and Resilience:Costco’s loyal customer base contributes to its stability. Even during economic downturns, consumers tend to remain loyal to the brand. This loyalty makes Costco stock relatively recession-resistant, which is a valuable asset for long-term investors. Analyst Sentiment:Over the past few months, analysts have revised their average price target for Costco upwards significantly. This suggests positive sentiment and confidence in the company’s future prospects. There is high visibility into Costco’s activities for the coming years, supporting predictable sales. Inflationary Pressures:The recent inflationary pressures have positively impacted Costco stock. As the Federal Reserve adjusts its monetary policy, companies like Costco may benefit from higher prices and increased consumer spending. Valuation Considerations:While Costco’s fundamentals are strong, it’s essential to consider valuation. The company operates with relatively high earnings multiples. Investors should weigh the potential upside against the current valuation when projecting the stock price.
NASDAQ:COSTLong
by NYRUNSGLOBAL
$ORCL 126 AFTER EARNINGS NYSE:ORCL 126 AFTER EARNINGS Strong Quarterly Earnings: Oracle has shown strong financial performance in the recent past, with its stock price soaring after reporting results that beat analysts' expectations and highlighted its position amid the AI boom. This indicates a positive market response to its financial performance, which could lead to a higher stock price in the future. Increased Price Targets by Analysts: Analysts have increased their price targets for Oracle, with some predicting a potential rise to $126. These optimistic forecasts suggest that the market and analysts have confidence in the company's future growth and performance. Positive Market Sentiment: The market's response to Oracle's earnings reports has generally been positive, with the stock price rising after strong earnings reports. This suggests that if Oracle continues to report strong earnings, the market could respond positively, potentially pushing the stock price towards $126. High Growth Potential: Analysts predict that Oracle's earnings and revenue will grow significantly over the next 3 years. This high growth potential could attract investors and drive up the stock price. Market Leadership: Oracle is a market leader in cloud computing and database software. Its strong market position and broad scope of offerings could contribute to its continued growth and success, potentially leading to a higher stock price. Positive Industry Outlook: The cloud computing and database software industries are expected to continue growing, driven by the increasing need for digital solutions and data management. As a leader in these spaces, Oracle is well-positioned to benefit from this industry growth. AI-Related Gains: Oracle has been highlighted for its position amid the AI boom, indicating its potential to benefit from the growing demand for AI-related services and solutions.
NYSE:ORCLLong
by NYRUNSGLOBAL
NVIDIA - Arguments For BearsAs in my last post "Arguments For Bulls" I do my Analysis for NVDA with eyes of a Bear. We see the red down sloping Pendulum Swing Pitchfork. Because the A-Point is LOWER than the C Point, it's a Pullback Fork that would give us the potential downfall target at the Center-Line, before the Pendulum of price would swing to the upside again. - the "Trend Barrier Dow" was breached - price reacted to the tick multiple times at the U-MLH (White Rectangle) (Upper-Medianline-Parallel). This is clear resistance. - Price just filled the GAP from 3 Days ago, so it can continue in the opposite direction (down) again. So, that's it. You have 3 ways to play this: Long, Short, Flat. Earnings of such a Market influential underlying is a pure gamble. I grab some Pop-Corn and watch the show and see, which of the cases is wrong and right. §8-) Happy Profits all
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by Tr8dingN3rd
Nvidia: Gradual ProgressNvidia’s stock has made slight progress toward fulfilling our primary scenario. We still anticipate -wave sell-offs down to the support level at $90.69, where the blue wave (IV) correction should finally conclude. However, our alternative scenario of an already finished wave alt. (IV) remains in play. In this case, the stock would resume its ascent as part of blue wave alt. (V), pushing well above the resistance at $152.89 to reach new highs and, thus, complete the overarching green wave alt. (probability: 37%).
NASDAQ:NVDA
by MarketIntel
Nvidia - Launching The Final Bullrun!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) can still rally another +40%: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 After rejecting the channel resistance in June, July and August of 2024 and correcting about -40%, buyers immediately stepped in and pushed Nvidia much higher. There is a quite high chance, that we will see a final blow off rally, squeezing out the last remaining bears. Levels to watch: $200 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by basictradingtv
34
NVIDIA BREAKS BELOW!! Signs of Impending DropWe have seen the price close the day under the daily trendline trailing the lows of the uptrend for over two years. We have a view in mind to expect this decline and this only adds solidity on to that scenario. Further and way more interesting is that in the current point we stand in the price, it seems as if we are about to see a third wave move down which should be accompanied by an increase in volume and acceleration of the price. Now this is not a foregone conclusion as the price structure could still diverge into other more complex scenarios but it is fair to say the third wave down is among the most likely, if not outright the most. If we end up indeed amid a third wave, the 147 high should hold strongly until the rest of this current impulse wave is finished. Happy trading :)
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by HydraFinance
3
Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Drops Amid Investigation in ChinaNvidia (NVDA) Stock Drops Amid Investigation in China On 21 November, our analysis of Nvidia (NVDA) stock price revealed: → The continuation of a long-term upward channel (illustrated in blue). → The significance of resistance at the psychological level of $150. Since then, NVDA’s stock price has failed to surpass the highlighted resistance level, despite stock indices reaching record highs, indicating Nvidia's relative underperformance compared to the broader market. It seems the AI-driven rally may be losing steam. Investor concerns were heightened yesterday by news that China has launched an antitrust investigation into Nvidia, suspecting the company of violating the country’s competition laws. In response, Nvidia stated that it complies with its obligations wherever it operates and is ready to cooperate with regulators. Following this announcement, NVDA’s stock price experienced a modest decline, further reinforcing a bearish outlook. Technical analysis of Nvidia (NVDA) stock chart indicates that if the price fluctuations since September are viewed as forming a channel with curved lines (drawn in black), it becomes evident (as marked by an arrow) that the lower line has shifted its role from support to resistance — a bearish signal. In this context, the situation appears balanced, with buyers and sellers consolidating NVDA's price within a range of $132 to $150. The eventual breakout from this range could result in a significant swing—but in which direction? According to TipRanks, analysts remain optimistic: → 37 out of 40 analysts recommend buying NVDA stock. → The average 12-month price target for NVDA is $176. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by FXOpen
2
Long entry in NVIDIA! Fibonacci Analysis and Strategy¡Hi traders! Today, I’m sharing a long trade setup in NVIDIA (NVDA) that I’ve been watching closely. Let me walk you through my analysis and the plan I have for this entry. Take a look at this: the Fibonacci retracement is perfectly drawn, from the recent low to the high, and now the price is reacting right at the key 0.618 level—a super important zone for potential buy entries! On top of that, the RSI is holding above 50, signaling bullish momentum with room to grow before hitting overbought conditions. Here’s my plan: - Entry: I’m entering now, taking advantage of the breakout and support confirmation at the 0.618 level. - Stop Loss: I’ve set my stop slightly below the 130 level, just in case the price makes a deeper pullback. - Take Profit: - My first target is 154.67, which is the 1.0 Fibonacci level. - If the bullish momentum continues, I’ll aim for 194.51 at the 1.618 extension. What I love about this setup is that the volume doesn’t show any major weakness, and the overall trend is still intact. Of course, always remember to manage your risk—trading is all about probabilities, not guarantees. What do you think of this trade? Would you take this long entry with me? Let me know in the comments, and don’t forget to subscribe to the channel for more analysis like this. See you in the next idea, traders! 🚀📈 Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or investment recommendations. Remember, trading involves risks, and every trade should be analyzed based on your own risk profile. Always consult a professional before making financial decisions. Trade responsibly and manage your risk!
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by MetalsMine
14
Brace for the Hit in NVIDIAWe have experienced a nearly uncontested rise in the price of NVIDIA stock for over two years at the current movement(since October 2022), from which it has soared almost 15x what its price was at this bottom. Now the key question is, can I identify a clear wave pattern? The answer is yes. We have a very clear five waves up in an impulse waveform. The completion of a 5-wave sequence precedes a move in the opposite direction. This being the case we should not be very far of from starting of the next corrective phase in the cycle. Usually wave four records their travel within the range of the previous wave four of one lesser degree. Previous wave 4 recorded its low near the 88-dollar mark. Thus we can have this as an initial target to look for although we do need to wait for a confirmation of prices moving down. For that I would like to see the prices creep below 137.60, and subsequently after taking out that level also move below 131.50. Once these two price targets get taken out we can add confidence to the view of this asset moving down to at least the 100 dollar level. Which ever play you might be looking to take, either shorting the selloff or just biding your time for a buy at the end of this, exercise caution in your trading. If you do short always keep the highs as an absolute point of invalidation for the outlook.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by HydraFinance
2
NVIDIA Analysis - Personal viewNVIDIA remains a leader in AI-driven markets, benefiting from demand for GPUs in data centers, gaming, and AI development. Its AI and machine-learning capabilities are shaping industries like autonomous vehicles and healthcare. However, valuation concerns and risks tied to macroeconomic shifts or supply chain vulnerabilities may pressure the stock. Looking ahead to 2025, my personal target for NVIDIA lies between $200 and $250. This range reflects a cautious approach, factoring in potential earnings normalization, adjustments in investor sentiment, and the broader tech sector's resilience in an evolving economic environment. *This is not financial advice.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Charts_M7M
The 3 Reasons To Buy Nvidia StockNvidia is coming back to the markets and its going to be exciting to see how this stock will perform This December earlier today i wrote about how I was so fearful about only trading bitcoin as a source of income in the capital markets even though I will try to document on the stock market because I know you may have some interest in trading stocks. And so once in a while, I will document on stocks if the price action as a swing trader. if its too good not to ignore but sadly I will not participate in the trades. Do you remember the rocket booster strategy? It has the following 3 steps: #1-The price has to be above the 50 SMA #2-The price has to be above the 200 SMA #3-The price should gap up in a trend The last step is important because we are buying the stock at a cheap price. as you can see from looking at the MACD histogram indicator below this chart NASDAQ:NVDA this is what you will see on this chart Do you remember what boosts this strategy? Its candle stick patterns If you want to learn more about trading rocket boost this content. Trade safe. Disclaimer: Do not use a high margin above x5 also, trading is risky please learn risk management and profit taking strategies Also feel free to use a simulation trading tool to improve your trading before you trade with real money.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by lubosi
The EUR/USD forecast for reaching 1.11 by December 2024The EUR/USD forecast for reaching 1.11 by December 2024 might seem ambitious given current trends, but let's delve into why this could indeed happen: Economic Recovery in the EU: Recent posts on X highlight expectations around the ECB's monetary policy. If the European Central Bank continues to adjust rates in response to economic recovery signals, a stronger Euro might follow. Discussions around inflation cooling off and potential rate adjustments suggest a more robust Eurozone economy, which traditionally supports a higher EUR/USD rate. Political Stability and Sentiment: With the U.S. political landscape shifting due to the Democratic nomination of Kamala Harris for the 2024 election, there's a narrative shift. While not directly economic, political stability or perceived changes in policy direction can influence currency strength. If her campaign promises economic policies that might strengthen the Euro against the Dollar, this could be a psychological boost for EUR/USD. Market Sentiment and Speculation: There's noticeable chatter on platforms like X about EUR/USD movements. Speculation can drive markets; if traders and investors start betting on a stronger Euro due to any positive economic data or geopolitical shifts, this speculative buying could push the rate towards 1.11. Technical Analysis: Some analysts have pointed out key resistance and support levels. Breaking through these levels, especially with momentum, could set new targets. If EUR/USD manages to convincingly breach the 1.09 resistance and maintain that level, the next psychological target becomes 1.10, with 1.11 not far beyond in terms of market psychology. Interest Rate Differentials: If the ECB's rate adjustments lead to a narrowing of the interest rate differential with the Fed, capital flow might favor the Euro more, pushing its value up against the Dollar. Given historical trends, even a small change in rate expectations could significantly impact the forex market. Global Economic Factors: Broader economic conditions, like improvements in European trade balances, could bolster the Euro. If the EU manages to show resilience or growth in sectors previously affected by global downturns, this could reflect positively on the EUR. Seasonal Trends and Market Calendar: There's often a lull before the end-of-year where markets might move based on year-end portfolio adjustments. If there's a sentiment that the Euro will strengthen, this could be the period where movements towards 1.11 get traction due to year-end positioning.
Long
by NYRUNSGLOBAL